RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Elderly patients are the fastest growing population requiring renal replacement therapy. It has been stated that renal transplantation may be the best treatment option for these patients. However, it has been observed that older patients have a higher mortality rate than those who are younger. Yet the factors that determine post-transplantation outcomes in this population remain poorly defined. The aims of this study were to evaluate the graft and patient survival in kidney transplant recipients who are older than 60 years of age to identify relevant predictive factors. METHODS: In this population-based retrospective cohort study of 201 kidney transplantations performed in elderly patients from January 2002 throughout June 2009, we estimated the 1-,3-,and 5-year patients and graft survival rates. We also evaluated the complications and the predictors of poor outcomes. Survival times were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and survival differences assessed with Mantel-Cox log rank-test. We performed a Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the impact of baseline and treatment characteristics on patient and graft survival. RESULTS: Graft and patient survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 76.4%, 71.3%, and 54.3%, and 78.2%, 73.8%, and 56.4%, respectively. Graft survival rates censored for patient death with a functioning graft were 93.1, 92.1, and 89%. Patient survival rates differed between diabetic and nondiabetic subjects at 1, 3 and 5 years (69.5% versus 83.6%; 59.8% versus 72.3%; 43.6% versus 65.7%; P = .008). On multivariate analysis, the factors associated with patients survival were diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR] 2.058, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.173-3.611, P = .012) and the 1-month serum creatinine value was > 1.6 mg/dL (HR 2.108 for each point increase, 95% CI 1.521-2.921, P = .000). Furthermore, there was an insignificant trend forward an association between active or past smoker and lower patient survival (HR 1.689, 95% CI 0.937-3.043, P = .08). The main causes of graft loss were patient death (79.5%). acute rejection (6.8%), and chronic allograft nephropathy (5.5%). CONCLUSION: Renal transplantation can be performed safely and with acceptable outcomes in elderly patients after appropriate clinical evaluation. The grafts show excellent survival albeit that deaths with a functional graft continue to be an important issue.