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Lack of skilled human resources in primary care remains a major concern for policymakers in low- and middle-income countries. There is little evidence supporting the impact of residency training in family medicine in the quality of care, and it perpetuates misconceptions among policymakers that the provision of primary care can be easily done by any physician without special training. This article compares the risk of patients being hospitalized due to Ambulatory care sensitive conditions and the odds of having follow-up visits in primary care after hospital discharge, according to the type of their medical provider: (1) Generalists (reference), (2) Family physicians; and, (3) patients with no consultations prior to the event. Multilevel multivariate binomial regression models estimated the relative risks of a patient being hospitalized in a given month and the relative risks for the occurrence of a follow-up visit in primary care in a retrospective cohort of 636.640 patients between January 2013 and July 2018 in Rio de Janeiro. For all 14 conditions, there was a higher risk of hospitalization when patients had no consultation in primary care prior to the event. Except for Ear, Nose and Throat infections, patients seen by family physicians had a lower risk of being hospitalized, compared to patients seen by Generalists. Follow-up visits were more likely to happen among patients treated by family physicians for almost every condition analyzed. With two years of training in family medicine, Family physicians can reduce the risk of their patients being hospitalized and increase the likelihood of those patients having a follow-up consultation in primary care. Investments in residency training in family medicine should be made to fix the shortage of skilled physicians in primary care, reduce hospitalizations and improve quality and continuity of care.

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OBJECTIVE: To identify seasonal and temporal variations in daily incidence of homicides and suicides in Cali and Manizales, Colombia during 2008-2015. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An ecological time series study was performed using negative binomial regression models for daily incidence of homicides and suicides; analyses were controlled for yearly trends and temporal autocorrelations. RESULTS: Saturdays, Sundays, December holidays as well as New Year and New Year's Eve were associated with an increased risk of homicides in both cities. Suicide risk increased during December holidays and New Year in both cities. In addition, the suicide risk increased on paydays, Saturdays, Sundays, and Mondays in Cali, and it decreased during the Holy Week holidays in Manizales. December patterns of suicides and homicides are the opposite in each city, and between cities. CONCLUSIONS: The incidences of homicides and suicides are not homogeneous over time. These patterns can be explained partially by alcohol consumption and changes in people's routine activities which may modify exposure to violent circumstances.

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OBJECTIVE: To analyze the time trend of monthly mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases in Brazil from 1996 to 2017, with forecasts for 2022, besides analyzing the possibility of achieving the goal of the Plano de Ações Estratégicas para o Enfrentamento das Doenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis no Brasil (Strategic Action Plan to Tackle Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases in Brazil) from 2011 to 2022. METHODS: This is an ecological study that uses data from Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM - Mortality Information System), Sistema de Informações Demográficas e Socioeconômicas (Demographic and Socioeconomic Information System) and Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua - Continuous National Household Sample Survey). We established the age range between 30 and 69 years old and the evolution of the rates over time was made by autoregressive integrated moving average models in R statistical tool. RESULTS: Premature mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases are decreasing in Brazil as a whole, mostly in state capitals. There is also a trend to reach the Ministry of Health's goal in most of the country. For capitals that tend not to reach the goal, there is an association between mortality and social indicators, healthcare network and frequency of smoking. CONCLUSION: This study intends to improve planning of the public health system for the control of chronic respiratory diseases.

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OBJECTIVE: To measure the effect that residency training in family medicine (RTFM) has on continuity and coordination of care. DESIGN: Observational cohort study using electronic health records. SETTING: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, public primary care system. PARTICIPANTS: 504 940 patients, 633 generalists (physicians without RTFM) and 204 family physicians (FP-doctors with 2 years of RTFM) from one health district between January 2015 and December 2018. INTERVENTION: Two years of RTFM. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risks of patients being referred to secondary care for outpatient consultations and diagnostics tests; and having a follow-up medical consultation in primary care within 3 and 6 months after being referred. RESULTS: We examined 2 414 508 medical consultations and 284 754 referrals to secondary care. FPs were less likely to request ambulatory care services (including surgical specialties), but were more likely to request ophthalmology, physiotherapy, rehabilitationand surgical evaluations for their patients. Patients referred to secondary care by FPs were more likely to have a follow-up visit in primary care for almost every service requested. If all medical consultations were performed by FPs, a 37.6% (95% CI 32.4% to 42.4%) increased demand for rehabilitation services would be noticed. Oppositely, 1532 (95% CI 1458 to 1602) fewer requests for dermatology would happen every year. CONCLUSIONS: RTFM improves coordination and continuity of care by making FPs more competent to retain those health conditions that can be properly managed in primary care and making FPs more competent to detect health conditions that require specific biomedical technologies and skills, increasing the demand for those services. Besides, it increases the chances of patients having follow-up visits in primary care. Policy-makers in low-income and middle-income countries must consider investing in RTFM to make primary care systems more comprehensive, with better coordination and continuity of care.

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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the time trend of monthly mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases in Brazil from 1996 to 2017, with forecasts for 2022, besides analyzing the possibility of achieving the goal of the Plano de Ações Estratégicas para o Enfrentamento das Doenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis no Brasil (Strategic Action Plan to Tackle Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases in Brazil) from 2011 to 2022. METHODS This is an ecological study that uses data from Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM - Mortality Information System), Sistema de Informações Demográficas e Socioeconômicas (Demographic and Socioeconomic Information System) and Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua - Continuous National Household Sample Survey). We established the age range between 30 and 69 years old and the evolution of the rates over time was made by autoregressive integrated moving average models in R statistical tool. RESULTS Premature mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases are decreasing in Brazil as a whole, mostly in state capitals. There is also a trend to reach the Ministry of Health's goal in most of the country. For capitals that tend not to reach the goal, there is an association between mortality and social indicators, healthcare network and frequency of smoking. CONCLUSION This study intends to improve planning of the public health system for the control of chronic respiratory diseases.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Analisar a tendência temporal das taxas mensais de mortalidade por doenças respiratórias crônicas no Brasil de 1996 até 2017, com projeções para 2022, além de analisar a possibilidade de cumprimento da meta do Plano de Ações Estratégicas para o Enfrentamento das Doenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis no Brasil de 2011 até 2022. MÉTODOS Trata-se de estudo ecológico que utiliza dados do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade, do Sistema de Informações Demográficas e Socioeconômicas e da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua. O recorte etário foi estabelecido entre 30 e 69 anos e a evolução das taxas no tempo foi feita por meio de modelos autorregressivos integrados de média móvel em plataforma estatística R. RESULTADOS As taxas de mortalidade precoce por doenças respiratórias crônicas apresentam-se decrescentes no Brasil como um todo e na maior parte das capitais, assim como, há tendência a atingir a meta do Ministério da Saúde na maior parte do país. Para capitais que tendem a não atingir a meta, verifica-se associação entre mortalidade e indicadores sociais, rede assistencial de saúde e frequência do tabagismo. CONCLUSÃO Pretende-se que o estudo possibilite um melhor planejamento do sistema público de saúde para o controle das doenças respiratórias crônicas.

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BACKGROUND & AIMS: We aimed to explore the determinants of muscle fat infiltration and to investigate whether myosteatosis, assessed as muscle fat infiltration percentage (%MFI) and muscle attenuation from computed tomography (CT), is associated with frailty in a group of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS: Cross sectional study including CRC patients. CT scan of the third lumbar vertebra was used to quantify body composition and the degree of %MFI (reported as percentage of fat within muscle area). Frailty was defined by Fried et al. (2001) as the presence of more than 3 criteria: unintentional weight loss, self-reported exhaustion, weakness (low handgrip strength), slow walking speed (gait speed) and low physical activity. Obesity was defined according to sex-and-age-specific body fat percentage (%BF) cutoff. RESULTS: A sample of 184 patients (age 60 ± 11 years; 58% men; 29% of patients with frailty) was studied. The sample was divided according to tertiles of MFI% (1st tertile 0 to 2.89%, n = 60; 2nd tertile ≥ 3.9-8.19%, n = 64; 3rd tertile ≥ 8.2-26%, n = 60). Age, females, body mass index, %BF, subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue and the proportion of patients with frailty were significantly higher in the 3rd %MFI tertile. Phase angle and muscle attenuation were significantly lower in the 3rd %MFI tertile. The determinants of %MFI (r2 = 0.49), which was log transformed due to its normal distribution, were %BF (ß = 0.54; eß = 1.72; 95% CI: 0.032 to 0.051; P < 0.01), age (ß = 0.34; eß = 1.40; 95% CI: 0.016 to 0.032; P < 0.01) and gait speed (ß = -0.12; eß = 0.87; 95% CI: -0.84 to -0.001; P = 0.049). In addition, in obese patients (n = 74) presenting 4 or 5 frailty criteria increased the chance of having higher %MFI and lower muscle attenuation, after adjustment for sex, age and comorbidities when compared to none or 1 criteria. CONCLUSIONS: In a sample of CRC patients, %BF and gait speed were the determinants of %MFI. In addition, markers of myostetatosis were associated with frailty in the obese patients.

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INTRODUCTION: Cameras for detecting traffic violations have been used as a measure to improve road safety in different countries around the world. In Cali, Colombia, fixed cameras were installed in March 2012 on a number of roads and intersections. All camera devices are capable of detecting simultaneously the following traffic violations: driving over the speed limit, running a red light or stop sign, violation of the traffic ban schedule, and blocking the pedestrian crosswalk. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of camera enforcement of traffic violations in Cali, Colombia. METHODS: A quasi-experimental difference-in-differences study with before and after measurements and a comparison group was conducted. We observed 38 intervention areas and 50 comparison areas (250 m radius), during 42 months before and 34 months after the installation of cameras. Effects were estimated with mixed negative binomial regression models. RESULTS: In intervention areas, after 12 months, there was a reduction of 19.2% of all crashes and a 24.7% reduction of injury and fatal crashes. In comparison areas, this reduction was 15.0% for all crashes and 20.1% for injury and fatal crashes. After adjusted comparisons, intervention sites outperformed comparison sites with an additional yearly reduction of 5.3% (p = 0.045) for all crashes. CONCLUSIONS: The use of cameras for detecting traffic violations seems to have a positive effect on the reduction of crashes in intervention areas. A beneficial spillover effect was found as well in comparison areas; but more evaluations are needed.

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BACKGROUND: Recent reports have suggested that air pollution mixtures represented by nitrogen dioxide (NO2) may have effects on human health, which are independent from those of particulate matter mass. We evaluate the association between NO2 and daily mortality among elderly using one- and multipollutant models. METHODS: This study was a daily time series of non-accidental and cause-specific mortality among the elderly living in São Paulo, Brazil, between 2000 and 2011. Effects of NO2, particulate matter smaller than 10µm (PM10), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O3) were estimated in Poisson generalized additive models. The single lag effect at lags 0 and 1 days and the cumulative effect from 0 to lag 10 days were evaluated in one-, two-, three- and four-pollutant models. The cumulative risk index (CRI) recently proposed to analyze associations with health of multiple correlated pollutants was additionally estimated for each multipollutant model. RESULTS: An association between NO2, PM10, CO and O3 exposures and non-accidental and cause-specific deaths was found in one-pollutant models. NO2 effects remained significant in multipollutant models for non-accidental and circulatory deaths. The estimated CRIs suggested that circulatory deaths were mainly associated with NO2, and respiratory deaths mainly with CO and O3, regardless the lag. For non-accidental deaths, multipollutant models were associated with the highest CRI, with the main pollutants depending on the chosen lag. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that air pollution mixtures represented by NO2 have an effect on non-accidental and circulatory mortality, which is independent from PM10, CO and O3. The CRI was always larger than the risks associated with single pollutants.

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BACKGROUND: Evaluation of short-term mortality displacement is essential to accurately estimate the impact of short-term air pollution exposure on public health. OBJECTIVES: We quantified mortality displacement by estimating single-day lag effects and cumulative effects of air pollutants on mortality using distributed lag models. METHODS: We performed a daily time series of nonaccidental and cause-specific mortality among elderly residents of São Paulo, Brazil, between 2000 and 2011. Effects of particulate matter smaller than 10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and carbon monoxide (CO) were estimated in Poisson generalized additive models. Single-day lag effects of air pollutant exposure were estimated for 0-, 1- and 2-day lags. Distributed lag models with lags of 0-10, 0-20 and 0-30 days were used to assess mortality displacement and potential cumulative exposure effects. RESULTS: PM10, NO2 and CO were significantly associated with nonaccidental and cause-specific deaths in both single-day lag and cumulative lag models. Cumulative effect estimates for 0-10 days were larger than estimates for single-day lags. Cumulative effect estimates for 0-30 days were essentially zero for nonaccidental and circulatory deaths but remained elevated for respiratory and cancer deaths. CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of mortality displacement within 30 days for nonaccidental and circulatory deaths in elderly residents of São Paulo. We did not find evidence of mortality displacement within 30 days for respiratory or cancer deaths. Citation: Costa AF, Hoek G, Brunekreef B, Ponce de Leon AC. 2017. Air pollution and deaths among elderly residents of São Paulo, Brazil: an analysis of mortality displacement. Environ Health Perspect 125:349-354; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/EHP98.

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BACKGROUND: Important social and economic changes accompanying the recent fast rate of urbanization have been considered a major factor in triggering and sustaining urban violence in Brazil. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of exposure to direct, indirect, and contextual violence on the risk of psychological distress. METHODS: Prospective longitudinal study carried out among 3,058 civil servants working at university campuses in Rio de Janeiro. Psychological distress was measured using the General Health Questionnaire, and exposure to individual violence was assessed as direct (DV), indirect (IV), and both direct and indirect (DIV). Contextual violence was assessed through the geocoding of residential addresses of study participants and the rates of homicides in 2005 at the corresponding weighting area. Multiple logistic regression was used to evaluate individual and contextual correlates of psychological distress. RESULTS: Exposure to DIV increased more than six times (95% CI 2.7-16.0) the odds of psychological distress occurrence at the six-year follow-up. Regarding persistence of psychological distress, the association with violence exposure was 1.6 (95% CI 1.0-2.4) for DV and 2.7 (95% CI 1.3-5.3) for IV. Contextual violence was not associated with psychological distress, and no interaction effect was found between exposure to individual and contextual violence in the occurrence/persistence of psychological distress. CONCLUSIONS: Results of this study highlight the importance of assessing multiple forms of violence in research on the social determinants of mental disorders and support the view that individual exposure to different forms of violence increases the risk of psychological distress.

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Se realizó un estudio descriptivo de corte transversal, con el objetivo de caracterizar clínica y epidemiológicamente el bruxismo en pacientes mayores de 15 años, en el consultorio No. 6, perteneciente al Área de Salud del Policlínico Romárico Oro Peña, municipio de Puerto Padre. Se interrogó y se examinó a toda la población incluida en el estudio para determinar las características de esta afección. El grupo más afectado fue el de 25 a 34 años. Se observó un ligero predominio de pacientes del sexo femenino. Referido a la ocupación los más afectados fueron los intelectuales, seguidos de los trabajadores. Según forma de bruxismo y el horario en el que practican este hábito, se aprecia que el rechinamiento estuvo presente en la totalidad de los pacientes, en el horario nocturno, seguido del apretamiento durante el día. En cuanto a los síntomas prevaleció el dolor y cansancio muscular, seguido de los que presentaron fracturas de dientes y restauraciones. El signo más frecuente fue la existencia de patrones no funcionales de desgaste oclusal, seguido de la fractura de dientes y restauraciones (AU)

A descriptive and cross sectional study was carried out in order to characterize bruxism clinically and epidemiologically in patients older than 15 years old from the doctors office # 6, belonging to the health area of Romárico oro Policlinic in Puerto Padre municipality. All the population included in the investigation was inquired and examined to determine the characteristics of this afection, arrived at the following conclusion: the most affected age group were people from 25 to 34 years old. Regarding sex, female patients slightly prevailed. Concerning occupation, intellectuals were the most affected ones, followed by workers. According to the form and time of practice of bruxism, grinding was the most frequent manifestation in all the patients at night, followed by gritting during the day. It was also confirmed that the most common symptoms were pain and muscular fatigue, followed by those who suffered from teeth fractures and restorations. The most frequent signs were dysfunctional patterns of occlusal wear, followed by teeth fractures and restaurations (AU)

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This study evaluated the association between air pollution and hospital admissions due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases in Cubatão, São Paulo State, Brazil. Generalized additive Poisson regression models were used to model daily concentrations of particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3) and daily hospital admissions counts. Explanatory variables were temperature, relative humidity, day of the week, and holidays. For each increment of 10µg/m³ in PM10, we found an excess of 4.25 % (95%CI: 2.82; 71), 5.74% (95%CI: 3.80; 7.71), and 2.29% (95%CI: 0.86; 3.73) in admissions due to respiratory diseases for all ages, respiratory diseases in children under 5 years old, and cardiovascular diseases in adults over 39 years of age, respectively. For SO2, the increase was 3.51% (IC95%: 1.24; 5.83) for cardiovascular diseases in adults more than 39 years. For O3, the increase was 2.85% (IC95%: 0.77; 4.98) for cardiovascular diseases in adults more than 39 years of age and 3.91% (IC95%: 1.37; 6.51) for respiratory diseases in children under 5 years old. Air pollution has serious impacts on health in Cubatão, thus emphasizing the need for air quality control policies.

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Foi avaliado o impacto da poluição do ar nas internações por doenças respiratórias e cardiovasculares em residentes do Município de Cuba-tão, São Paulo, Brasil. Utilizaram-se modelos de séries temporais, com modelos aditivos generalizados, em regressão de Poisson, testando como variáveis independentes as concentrações diárias de material particulado (PM10); dióxido de enxofre (SO2) e o ozônio (O3). Como variáveis de controle a temperatura, umidade, dias da semana e feriados. Para cada incremento de 10µg/m³ de PM10, encontrou-se um excesso de internações de 4,25% (IC95%: 2,82; 5,71); 5,74% (IC95%: 3,80; 7,71) e 2,29% (IC95%: 0,86; 3,73) para doenças respiratórias totais, doenças respiratórias em menores de 5 anos e doenças cardiovasculares em maiores de 39 anos, respectivamente. O SO2 apresentou relação com as doenças cardiovasculares em maiores de 39 anos de 3,51% (IC95%: 1,24; 5,83) e o O3 com as doenças cardiovasculares em maiores de 39 anos: 2,85% (IC95%: 0,77; 4,98) e doenças respiratórias em menores de 5 anos: 3,91% (IC95%: 1,37; 6,51). Os efeitos da poluição atmosférica na saúde em Cubatão são pronunciados, indicando a necessidade de melhoria das políticas de controle.

This study evaluated the association between air pollution and hospital admissions due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases in Cubatão, São Paulo State, Brazil. Generalized additive Poisson regression models were used to model daily concentrations of particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3) and daily hospital admissions counts. Explanatory variables were temperature, relative humidity, day of the week, and holidays. For each increment of 10µg/m³ in PM10, we found an excess of 4.25 % (95%CI: 2.82; 71), 5.74% (95%CI: 3.80; 7.71), and 2.29% (95%CI: 0.86; 3.73) in admissions due to respiratory diseases for all ages, respiratory diseases in children under 5 years old, and cardiovascular diseases in adults over 39 years of age, respectively. For SO2, the increase was 3.51% (IC95%: 1.24; 5.83) for cardiovascular diseases in adults more than 39 years. For O3, the increase was 2.85% (IC95%: 0.77; 4.98) for cardiovascular diseases in adults more than 39 years of age and 3.91% (IC95%: 1.37; 6.51) for respiratory diseases in children under 5 years old. Air pollution has serious impacts on health in Cubatão, thus emphasizing the need for air quality control policies.

Se utilizaron análisis de series temporales con modelos aditivos generalizados en regresión de Poisson, además, para la prueba de las variables independientes se consideraron las concentraciones diarias de material particulado (PM10), dióxido de azufre (SO2) y ozono (O3). Como variables de control se consideraron: la temperatura, humedad, los días de la semana y festivos. Por cada incremento de PM10 10µg/m³, se encontró un exceso de hospitalizaciones de un 4,25% (IC95%: 2,82; 5,71), 5,74% (IC95%: 3,80; 7,71) y 2,29% (IC95%: 0,86; 3,73) para las enfermedades respiratorias en todas las edades, las enfermedades respiratorias en niños menores de 5 años y la enfermedad cardiovascular en adultos mayores de 39 años, respectivamente. El SO2 se relacionó con las enfermedades cardiovasculares en adultos mayores de 39 años en el 3,51% (IC95%: 1,24; 5,83) y O3 con enfermedades cardiovasculares en adultos mayores de 39 años: 2,85% (IC95%: 0,77; 4,98) y enfermedades respiratorias en niños menores de 5 años: 3,91% (IC95%: 1,37; 6,51). Los efectos de la contaminación atmosférica sobre la salud en Cubatão son elevados, lo que indica la necesidad de revisión en las políticas públicas de control.

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BACKGROUND: Exposure to high levels of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm (PM(2.5)) resulting from biomass burning is frequent in the subequatorial Amazon region. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether or not current exposure to PM(2.5) in the Brazilian Amazon has adverse effects on the daily peak expiratory flow (PEF) of schoolchildren. METHODS: The study design consisted of a panel comprising 309 children aged 6 to 15 years from the same school. PEF was measured daily, except weekends and holidays, from August to December 2006. Each child contributed to the study up to 67 daily measurements. All together there were 19115 PEF measures. Participation rate was 90%. Daily measurements of PM(2.5), temperature, and humidity as well as passive smoking, and subject features were regarded in the statistical analysis. Various exposures of PM(2.5) were considered throughout the analysis, among them 24-hour, 12-hour, 6-hour, and 5-hour means. To account for subject responses to confounders, mixed effects models were applied. The effects were evaluated considering air pollution levels on the current day or at 1- or 2-day lags and the averages of 0-1-day lags, 1-2-day lags and 0-, 1-, and 2-day lags. RESULTS: The 24-hour PM(2.5) means ranged from 6.39 to 99.91 µg/m(3). The adjusted models for the entire group of children revealed adverse effects. For instance, for an increase of 10 µg/m(3) in PM(2.5,) the reduction in the PEF average varied between 0.26 l/min (95% Confidence Interval (CI): -0.49; -0.04) and 0.38 l/min (95% CI: -0.71; -0.04). Restricted to the subgroup of non-asthmatic children, classified as such according to the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire, there was a reduction in the PEF ranging from 0.38 l/min (95% CI: -0.63; -0.13) to 0.53 l/min (95% CI: -0.90; -0.16) for an increase of 10 µg/m(3) in PM(2.5). There was no significant effect in the asthmatic group. When stratified by time of the day children were at school, the concurrent effects of air pollution on PEF were not significant, whereas the 6-hour exposure from 0 am to 5:30 am was significant for both morning and afternoon groups. Finally, the 24-hour mean lagged effect was only significant for the afternoon group of children. For an increase of 10 µg/m(3) in PM(2.5,) there was a reduction in the PEF that ranged from 0.41 l/min (95% CI: -0.76; -0.06) to 0.49 l/min (95% CI: -0.91; -0.07). CONCLUSION: Exposure to current levels of PM(2.5) in the Brazilian Amazon was associated with reductions in the lung function of schoolchildren. The adverse effects were more consistent in non-asthmatic children and with respect to the 6-hour mean from 0 am to 5.30 am.

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BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors associated with developing leprosy among the contacts of newly-diagnosed leprosy patients. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A total of 6,158 contacts and 1,201 leprosy patients of the cohort who were diagnosed and treated at the Leprosy Laboratory of Fiocruz from 1987 to 2007 were included. The contact variables analyzed were sex; age; educational and income levels; blood relationship, if any, to the index case; household or non-household relationship; length of time of close association with the index case; receipt of bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BGG) vaccine and presence of BCG scar. Index cases variables included sex, age, educational level, family size, bacillary load, and disability grade. Multilevel logistic regression with random intercept was applied. Among the co-prevalent cases, the leprosy-related variables that remained associated with leprosy included type of household contact, [odds ratio (OR) = 1.33, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02, 1.73] and consanguinity with the index case, (OR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.42-2.51). With respect to the index case variables, the factors associated with leprosy among contacts included up to 4 years of schooling and 4 to 10 years of schooling (OR = 2.72, 95% CI: 1.54-4.79 and 2.40, 95% CI: 1.30-4.42, respectively) and bacillary load, which increased the chance of leprosy among multibacillary contacts for those with a bacillary index of one to three and greater than three (OR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.19-2.17 and OR: 4.07-95% CI: 2.73, 6.09), respectively. Among incident cases, household exposure was associated with leprosy (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.29-2.98), compared with non-household exposure. Among the index case risk factors, an elevated bacillary load was the only variable associated with leprosy in the contacts. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Biological and social factors appear to be associated with leprosy among co-prevalent cases, whereas the factors related to the infectious load and proximity with the index case were associated with leprosy that appeared in the incident cases during follow-up.

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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the short-term effects of exposure to particulate matter from biomass burning in the Amazon on the daily demand for outpatient care due to respiratory diseases in children and the elderly. METHODS: Epidemiologic study with ecologic time series design. Daily consultation records were obtained from the 14 primary health care clinics in the municipality of Alta Floresta, state of Mato Grosso, in the southern region of the Brazilian Amazon, between January 2004 and December 2005. Information on the daily levels of fine particulate matter was made available by the Brazilian National Institute for Spatial Research. To control for confounding factors (situations in which a non-causal association between exposure and disease is observed due to a third variable), variables related to time trends, seasonality, temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, and calendar effects (such as occurrence of holidays and weekends) were included in the model. Poisson regression with generalized additive models was used. RESULTS: A 10 microg/m3 increase in the level of exposure to particulate matter was associated with increases of 2.9% and 2.6% in outpatient consultations due to respiratory diseases in children on the 6th and 7th days following exposure. Significant associations were not observed for elderly individuals. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the levels of particulate matter from biomass burning in the Amazon are associated with adverse effects on the respiratory health of children.

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We evaluate the association between income inequality (Gini index) and oral health and in particular the role of alternative models in explaining this association. We also studied whether or not income at the individual level modifies the Gini effect. We used data from an oral health survey in Brazil in 2002-2003. Our analysis included 23,568 15-19 and 22,839 35-44 year-olds nested in 330 municipalities. Different models were fitted using multilevel analysis. The outcomes analysed were the number of untreated dental caries (count), having at least one missing tooth (dichotomous) and being edentulous (dichotomous). To assess interaction as a departure from additivity we used the Synergy Index. For this, we dichotomized the Gini coefficient (high vs low inequality) by the median value across municipalities and the individual income in the point beyond which it showed roughly no association with oral health. Adjusted rate ratio of mean untreated dental caries, respectively for the 15-19 and 35-44 age groups, was 1.12 and 1.16 for each 10 points increase in Gini scale. Adjusted odds ratio of a 15-19 year-old having at least one missing tooth or a 35-44 year-old being edentulous was, respectively, 1.19 and 1.01. High income inequality had no statistically significant synergistic effect with being poor or living in a poor municipality. Higher levels of income inequality at the municipal level were associated with worse oral health and there was an unexplained residual effect after controlling for potential confoundings and mediators. Municipal level income inequality had a similar, detrimental effect, among individuals with lower or higher income.

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This study aimed at establishing the cross-cultural equivalence of scales used to evaluate physical activity level and measure cardiorespiratory fitness, for further application in elderly subjects. Three scales were identified after systematic review: Veterans Physical Activity Questionnaire (VSAQ), Rating of Perceived Capacity (RPC), and Physical Activity Rating (PA-R). The model proposed by Herdman et al. was applied to analyze equivalence. Test-retest reliability was calculated in a sample of 12 elderly subjects (74.5 +/- 3.5 years) using Lin's concordance coefficient and intraclass correlation coefficient. Good reproducibility was detected in all scales except RPC. Due to the small sample size, hardly any conclusions can de drawn, but the results point to the need for changes in the original scale's structures. The findings also suggest the adequacy of the scale's Portuguese-language version, although further validity studies appear to be necessary.

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OBJETIVO: Avaliar a relação entre poluição do ar e efeitos respiratórios agudos em crianças. MÉTODOS: Foi realizado um estudo ecológico de séries temporais em três unidades públicas de saúde do bairro de Jacarepaguá, município do Rio de Janeiro, entre abril de 2002 e março de 2003. Foram analisados dados diários de PM10, SO2, NO2, CO e O3, e como variáveis de desfecho 45.595 atendimentos pediátricos de emergência por sintomas respiratórios ou específicos por transtornos nas vias aéreas superiores e nas vias aéreas inferiores. Foram incluídas no modelo para controle de confundimento as variáveis referentes à tendência temporal, sazonalidade, temperatura, umidade relativa do ar, precipitação de chuva, infecções respiratórias e os efeitos do calendário (como feriados e finais de semana). Foi empregada a regressão de Poisson via modelos aditivos generalizados para estimar os efeitos dos poluentes e dos fatores de confusão. RESULTADOS: Somente o O3 apresentou resultado positivo e estatisticamente significativo, tanto com todos os atendimentos de emergência por queixas respiratórias como com os atendimentos motivados por sintomas nas vias aéreas inferiores. O efeito foi no mesmo dia da exposição (lag 0). Associação significativa e de sentido inverso ocorreu com o CO e os atendimentos pediátricos por queixas respiratórias. Não se observou resultado significativo com os demais poluentes atmosféricos. CONCLUSÕES: Foram encontradas associações entre indicadores de poluição atmosférica e o número de atendimentos pediátricos de emergência por motivos respiratórios em Jacarepaguá, apesar de os níveis de todos os poluentes monitorados permanecessem abaixo dos limites recomendados durante todo o período de estudos.

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OBJECTIVE: To propose a correction approach for underreporting and relocation of ill-defined causes of morbidity and mortality in the National Health System Mortality and Hospital Information Systems. METHODS: Modified James-Stein empirical Bayes estimators for events in delimited geographic areas were applied as a correction approach for underreporting in Brazilian municipalities in 2001. RESULTS: There was an increase of 55,671 deaths in the Mortality Information System, an underreporting correction of 5.85%. It was more effective at the age groups under five (8.1%) and 70 years old and more (6.4%); for neonatal (8.7%) and ill-defined (8.0%) causes of death; and in the states of Maranhão (10.6%), Bahia (9.5%) and Alagoas (8.8%). Relocation of ill-defined causes of mortality changed the structure of proportional mortality in the Northern and Northeastern regions, and increased the proportion of deaths due to cardiovascular diseases and reduced those due to external and neonatal causes. Relocation of ill-defined causes of hospital admissions did not affect hospital proportional morbidity. CONCLUSIONS: The results of underreporting correction were consistent with previous studies, in terms of age groups, causes and geographic areas. Relocation of ill-defined causes of death was spatially consistent. The approach studied may be applicable on Brazilian Health Information since it can be implemented in computational algorithms. Some improvements, however, may be considered, like estimation approaches based on time-space event distribution.

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