RESUMO
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends tracking risk-adjusted antimicrobial prescribing. Prior studies have used prescribing variation to drive quality improvement initiatives without adjusting for severity of illness. The present study aimed to determine the relationship between antimicrobial prescribing and risk-adjusted ICU mortality in the Pediatric Health Information Systems (PHIS) database, assessed by IBM-Watson risk of mortality. A nested analysis sought to assess an alternative risk model incorporating laboratory data from federated electronic health records. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of pediatric ICU patients in PHIS between 1/1/2010 and 12/31/2019, excluding patients admitted to a neonatal ICU, and a nested study of PHIS+ from 1/1/2010 to 12/31/2012. Hospital antimicrobial prescription volumes were assessed for association with risk-adjusted mortality. RESULTS: The cohort included 953,821 ICU encounters (23,851 [2.7%] nonsurvivors). There was 4-fold center-level variability in antimicrobial use. ICU antimicrobial use was not correlated with risk-adjusted mortality assessed using IBM-Watson. A risk model incorporating laboratory data available in PHIS+ significantly outperformed IBM-Watson (c-statistic 0.940 [95% confidence interval 0.933-0.947] versus 0.891 [0.881-0.901]; P < 0.001, area under the precision recall curve 0.561 versus 0.297). Risk-adjusted mortality was inversely associated with antimicrobial prescribing in this smaller cohort using both the PHIS+ and Watson models (P = 0.05 and P < 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Antimicrobial prescribing among pediatric ICUs in the PHIS database is variable and not associated with risk-adjusted mortality as assessed by IBM-Watson. Expanding existing administrative databases to include laboratory data can achieve more meaningful insights when assessing multicenter antibiotic prescribing practices.
RESUMO
A relationship between Pao2 and mortality has previously been observed in single-center studies. We performed a retrospective cohort study of the Pediatric Health Information System plus database including patients less than or equal to 21 years old admitted to a medical or cardiac ICU who received invasive ventilation within 72 hours of admission. We trained and validated a multivariable logistic regression mortality prediction model with very good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.79-0.92; area under the precision-recall curve, 0.39) and acceptable calibration (standardized mortality ratio, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.75-1.23; calibration belt p = 0.07). Maximum Pao2 measurements demonstrated a parabolic ("U-shaped") relationship with PICU mortality (Box-Tidwell p < 0.01). Maximum Pao2 was a statistically significant predictor of risk-adjusted mortality (standardized odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.23-1.32; p < 0.001). This analysis is the first multicenter pediatric study to identify a relationship between the extremes in Pao2 values and PICU mortality. Clinicians should remain judicious in the use of oxygen when caring for children.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To assess the frequency, yield, and cost of echocardiograms meeting "rarely appropriate" criteria. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective, single-center study of pediatric patients presenting with syncope. Patients were categorized according to the appropriate use criteria and based upon location of care (emergency department only, primary care setting only, or referred to a pediatric cardiologist). Multivariable regression was used to determine factors associated with performance of a "rarely appropriate" echocardiogram. Costs were calculated using fair market values from the Healthcare Bluebook. RESULTS: The cohort included 637 patients presenting with syncope during the 1-year study. Echocardiograms were ordered for 127 of 637 (20.1%) including 0 of 328 emergency department patients, 1 of 66 (1.5%) primary care setting patients, and 127 of 243 (52.3%) patients evaluated by a pediatric cardiologist. Use of echocardiography by pediatric cardiologists was categorized as "appropriate" in 92 of 127 (72.4%), "maybe appropriate" in 6 of 127 (4.7%), and "rarely appropriate" in 29 of 127 (22.8%). Abnormal findings were seen in 6 of 127 (4.7%) echocardiograms but in none of the "rarely appropriate" studies. In multivariable analysis, female sex and younger age were the only factors associated with performance of a "rarely appropriate" echocardiogram. "Rarely appropriate" echocardiograms cost an estimated $16 704.00 ($576.00 per patient) in the 1-year study. CONCLUSIONS: "Rarely appropriate" echocardiograms performed for syncope do not contribute management changing diagnostic information. However, they burden patients with additional cost and perhaps contribute to increased need for follow-up.