RESUMO
A statistical analysis of maximum temperature from twelve weather stations in parts of Guinea is provided. Using maximum likelihood estimation, maximum temperature data was fitted by the Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Data from all of the twelve stations were adequately fit by the Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Return level estimates are provided. Significant trends in maximum temperature were found for four of the stations. The four stations exhibited significant positive trends at the 5% significance level.
Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Temperatura , Guiné , Funções VerossimilhançaRESUMO
Several lifetime distributions have played an important role to fit survival data. However, for some of these models, the computation of maximum likelihood estimators is quite difficult due to presence of flat regions in the search space, among other factors. Several well-known derivative-based optimization tools are unsuitable for obtaining such estimates. To circumvent this problem, we introduce the AdequacyModel computational library version 2.0.0 for the R statistical environment with two major contributions: a general optimization technique based on the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method (with a minor modification of the original algorithm) and a set of statistical measures for assessment of the adequacy of the fitted model. This library is very useful for researchers in probability and statistics and has been cited in various papers in these areas. It serves as the basis for the Newdistns library (version 2.1) published in an impact journal in the area of computational statistics, see https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=Newdistns. It is also the basis of the Wrapped library (version 2.0), see https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=Wrapped. A third package making use of the AdequacyModel library can be found in https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=sglg. In addition, the proposed library has proved to be very useful for maximizing log-likelihood functions with complex search regions. The library provides a greater control of the optimization process by introducing a stop criterion based on a minimum number of iterations and the variance of a given proportion of optimal values. We emphasize that the new library can be used not only in statistics but in physics and mathematics as proved in several examples throughout the paper.
Assuntos
Probabilidade , Software , Algoritmos , Simulação por Computador , Método de Monte CarloRESUMO
An alternative to the standard mixture model is proposed for modeling data containing cured elements or a cure fraction. This approach is based on the use of defective distributions to estimate the cure fraction as a function of the estimated parameters. In the literature there are just two of these distributions: the Gompertz and the inverse Gaussian. Here, we propose two new defective distributions: the Kumaraswamy Gompertz and Kumaraswamy inverse Gaussian distributions, extensions of the Gompertz and inverse Gaussian distributions under the Kumaraswamy family of distributions. We show in fact that if a distribution is defective, then its extension under the Kumaraswamy family is defective too. We consider maximum likelihood estimation of the extensions and check its finite sample performance. We use three real cancer data sets to show that the new defective distributions offer better fits than baseline distributions.
Assuntos
Funções Verossimilhança , Neoplasias , Distribuição Normal , Neoplasias do Colo/mortalidade , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Leucemia/mortalidade , Melanoma/mortalidadeRESUMO
The presence of immune elements (generating a fraction of cure) in survival data is common. These cases are usually modeled by the standard mixture model. Here, we use an alternative approach based on defective distributions. Defective distributions are characterized by having density functions that integrate to values less than 1, when the domain of their parameters is different from the usual one. We use the Marshall-Olkin class of distributions to generalize two existing defective distributions, therefore generating two new defective distributions. We illustrate the distributions using three real data sets.
Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Sobrevida , Teorema de Bayes , Simulação por Computador , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Humanos , Funções Verossimilhança , Distribuição Normal , Processos EstocásticosRESUMO
The art of parameter(s) induction to the baseline distribution has received a great deal of attention in recent years. The induction of one or more additional shape parameter(s) to the baseline distribution makes the distribution more flexible especially for studying the tail properties. This parameter(s) induction also proved helpful in improving the goodness-of-fit of the proposed generalized family of distributions. There exist many generalized (or generated) G families of continuous univariate distributions since 1985. In this paper, the well-established and widely-accepted G families of distributions like the exponentiated family, Marshall-Olkin extended family, beta-generated family, McDonald-generalized family, Kumaraswamy-generalized family and exponentiated generalized family are discussed. We provide lists of contributed literature on these well-established G families of distributions. Some extended forms of the Marshall-Olkin extended family and Kumaraswamy-generalized family of distributions are proposed.
RESUMO
The recent paper published by Miranda de Sa (2004) derived, for the first time, the sampling distribution of coherence estimated between two signals. The paper also considered computational issues of the sampling distribution, using an approximate method. In this short note, we provided several 1-line programs for the exact computation of various measures of the sampling distribution. The advantages of using these programs are discussed.