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1.
Surgery ; 169(2): 325-332, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32933745

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Postoperative complications, length of index hospital stay, and unplanned hospital readmissions are important metrics reflecting surgical care quality. Postoperative infections represent a substantial proportion of all postoperative complications. We examined the relationships between identification of postoperative infection prehospital and posthospital discharge, length of stay, and unplanned readmissions in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database across nine surgical specialties. METHODS: The 30-day postoperative infectious complications including sepsis, surgical site infections, pneumonia, and urinary tract infection were analyzed in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program inpatient data during the period from 2012 to 2017. General, gynecologic, vascular, orthopedic, otolaryngology, plastic, thoracic, urologic, and neurosurgical inpatient operations were selected. RESULTS: Postoperative infectious complications were identified in 5.2% (137,014/2,620,450) of cases; 81,929 (59.8%) were postdischarge. The percentage of specific complications identified postdischarge were 73.4% of surgical site infections (range across specialties 63.7-93.1%); 34.9% of sepsis cases (27.4-58.1%); 26.5% of pneumonia cases (18.9%-36.3%); and 53.2% of urinary tract infections (48.3%-88.0%). The relative risk of readmission among patients with postdischarge versus predischarge surgical site infection, sepsis, pneumonia, or urinary tract infection was 5.13 (95% confidence interval: 4.90-5.37), 9.63 (8.93-10.40), 10.79 (10.15-11.45), and 3.32 (3.07-3.60), respectively. Over time, mean length of stay decreased but postdischarge infections and readmission rates significantly increased. CONCLUSION: Most postoperative infectious complications were diagnosed postdischarge. These were associated with an increased risk of readmission. The trend toward shorter length of stay over time was observed along with an increase both in the percentage of infections detected after discharge and the rate of unplanned related postoperative readmissions over time. Postoperative surveillance of infections should extend beyond hospital discharge of surgical patients.


Assuntos
Assistência ao Convalescente/organização & administração , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Melhoria de Qualidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Centro Cirúrgico Hospitalar/organização & administração , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Operatórios/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Assistência ao Convalescente/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Readmissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Sepse/epidemiologia , Sepse/etiologia , Centro Cirúrgico Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologia , Infecções Urinárias/etiologia
2.
J Am Coll Surg ; 230(6): 1025-1033.e1, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32251847

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to determine the effects of using the Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) on patient satisfaction and surgeon efficiency in the surgical informed consent process, as compared to surgeons' "usual" consent process. STUDY DESIGN: Patient perception of the consent process was assessed via survey in 2 cohorts: 10 surgeons in different specialties used their "usual" consent process for 10 patients; these surgeons were then taught to use SURPAS, and they used it during the informed consent process of 10 additional patients. The data were compared using Fisher's exact test and the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test. RESULTS: One hundred patients underwent the "usual" consent process (USUAL), and 93 underwent SURPAS-guided consent (SURPAS). Eighty-two percent of SURPAS were "very satisfied" and 18% were "satisfied" with risk discussion vs 16% and 72% of USUAL, respectively. Of those who used SURPAS, 75.3% reported the risk discussion made them "more comfortable" with surgery vs 19% of USUAL, and 90.3% of SURPAS users reported "somewhat" or "greatly decreased" anxiety vs 20% of USUAL. All p values were <0.0001. Among SURPAS patients, 97.9% reported "enough time spent discussing risks" vs 72.0% of USUAL patients. CONCLUSIONS: The SURPAS tool improved the informed consent process for patients compared with the "usual" consent process, in terms of patient satisfaction, ie making patients feel more comfortable and less anxious about their impending operations. Providers should consider integrating the SURPAS tool into their preoperative consent process.


Assuntos
Consentimento Livre e Esclarecido , Satisfação do Paciente , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Tomada de Decisões , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
3.
J Am Coll Surg ; 230(1): 64-75.e2, 2020 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31672678

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: With inpatient length of stay decreasing, discharge destination after surgery can serve as an important metric for quality of care. Additionally, patients desire information on possible discharge destination. Adequate planning requires a multidisciplinary approach, can reduce healthcare costs and ensure patient needs are met. The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) is a parsimonious risk assessment tool using 8 predictor variables developed from the American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) dataset. SURPAS is applicable to more than 3,000 operations in adults in 9 surgical specialties, predicts important adverse outcomes, and is incorporated into our electronic health record. We sought to determine whether SURPAS can accurately predict discharge destination. STUDY DESIGN: A "full model" for risk of postoperative "discharge not to home" was developed from 28 nonlaboratory preoperative variables from ACS NSQIP 2012-2017 dataset using logistic regression. This was compared with the 8-variable SURPAS model using the C index as a measure of discrimination, the Hosmer-Lemeshow observed-to-expected plots testing calibration, and the Brier score, a combined metric of discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: Of 5,303,519 patients, 447,153 (8.67%) experienced a discharge not to home. The SURPAS model's C index, 0.914, was 99.24% of that of the full model's (0.921); the Hosmer-Lemeshow plots indicated good calibration and the Brier score was 0.0537 and 0.0514 for the SUPAS and full model, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The 8-variable SURPAS model preoperatively predicts risk of postoperative discharge to a destination other than home as accurately as the 28 nonlaboratory variable ACS NSQIP full model. Therefore, discharge destination can be integrated into the existing SURPAS tool, providing accurate outcomes to guide decision-making and help prepare patients for their postoperative recovery.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Alta do Paciente , Transferência de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Operatórios , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Período Pré-Operatório , Melhoria de Qualidade , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco
5.
Ann Surg ; 264(1): 10-22, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26945154

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To develop parsimonious prediction models for postoperative mortality, overall morbidity, and 6 complication clusters applicable to a broad range of surgical operations in adult patients. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Quantitative risk assessment tools are not routinely used for preoperative patient assessment, shared decision making, informed consent, and preoperative patient optimization, likely due in part to the burden of data collection and the complexity of incorporation into routine surgical practice. METHODS: Multivariable forward selection stepwise logistic regression analyses were used to develop predictive models for 30-day mortality, overall morbidity, and 6 postoperative complication clusters, using 40 preoperative variables from 2,275,240 surgical cases in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data set, 2005 to 2012. For the mortality and overall morbidity outcomes, prediction models were compared with and without preoperative laboratory variables, and generic models (based on all of the data from 9 surgical specialties) were compared with specialty-specific models. In each model, the cumulative c-index was used to examine the contribution of each added predictor variable. C-indexes, Hosmer-Lemeshow analyses, and Brier scores were used to compare discrimination and calibration between models. RESULTS: For the mortality and overall morbidity outcomes, the prediction models without the preoperative laboratory variables performed as well as the models with the laboratory variables, and the generic models performed as well as the specialty-specific models. The c-indexes were 0.938 for mortality, 0.810 for overall morbidity, and for the 6 complication clusters ranged from 0.757 for infectious to 0.897 for pulmonary complications. Across the 8 prediction models, the first 7 to 11 variables entered accounted for at least 99% of the c-index of the full model (using up to 28 nonlaboratory predictor variables). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that it will be possible to develop parsimonious models to predict 8 important postoperative outcomes for a broad surgical population, without the need for surgeon specialty-specific models or inclusion of laboratory variables.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Hospitalar , Cuidados Pós-Operatórios , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Adulto , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Cirurgiões
6.
Ann Surg ; 264(1): 23-31, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26928465

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To develop accurate preoperative risk prediction models for multiple adverse postoperative outcomes applicable to a broad surgical population using a parsimonious common set of risk variables and outcomes. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Currently, preoperative assessment of surgical risk is largely based on subjective clinician experience. We propose a paradigm shift from the current postoperative risk adjustment for cross-hospital comparison to patient-centered quantitative risk assessment during the preoperative evaluation. METHODS: We identify the most common and important predictor variables of postoperative mortality, overall morbidity, and 6 complication clusters from previously published prediction analyses that used forward selection stepwise logistic regression. We then refit the prediction models using only the 8 most common and important predictor variables, and compare the discrimination and calibration of these models to the original full-variable models using the c-index, Hosmer-Lemeshow analysis, and Brier scores. RESULTS: Accurate risk models for 30-day outcomes of mortality, overall morbidity, and 6 clusters of complications were developed using a set of 8 preoperative risk variables. C-indexes of the 8 variable models are between 97.9% and 99.2% of those of the full models containing up to 28 variables, indicating excellent discrimination using fewer predictor variables. Hosmer-Lemeshow analyses showed observed to expected event rates to be nearly identical between parsimonious models and full models, both showing good calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Accurate preoperative risk assessment of postoperative mortality, overall morbidity, and 6 complication clusters in a broad surgical population can be achieved with as few as 8 preoperative predictor variables, improving feasibility of routine preoperative risk assessment for surgical patients.


Assuntos
Cirurgia Geral , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Adulto , Estudos de Viabilidade , Hospitais , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Modelos Estatísticos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos
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