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Math Biosci ; 269: 37-47, 2015 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26362231

RESUMO

Dengue epidemics, one of the most important viral disease worldwide, can be prevented by combating the transmission vector Aedes aegypti. In support of this aim, this article proposes to analyze the Dengue vector control problem in a multiobjective optimization approach, in which the intention is to minimize both social and economic costs, using a dynamic mathematical model representing the mosquitoes' population. It consists in finding optimal alternated step-size control policies combining chemical (via application of insecticides) and biological control (via insertion of sterile males produced by irradiation). All the optimal policies consists in apply insecticides just at the beginning of the season and, then, keep the mosquitoes in an acceptable level spreading into environment a few amount of sterile males. The optimization model analysis is driven by the use of genetic algorithms. Finally, it performs a statistic test showing that the multiobjective approach is effective in achieving the same effect of variations in the cost parameters. Then, using the proposed methodology, it is possible to find, in a single run, given a decision maker, the optimal number of days and the respective amounts in which each control strategy must be applied, according to the tradeoff between using more insecticide with less transmission mosquitoes or more sterile males with more transmission mosquitoes.


Assuntos
Aedes , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Controle de Mosquitos/métodos , Algoritmos , Animais , Dengue/transmissão , Humanos , Insetos Vetores , Inseticidas , Masculino , Conceitos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos , Controle de Mosquitos/estatística & dados numéricos
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