RESUMO
Chemical carcinogenicity is of primary interest, because it drives much of the current regulatory actions regarding new and existing chemicals, and its conventional experimental test takes around three years to design, conduct, and interpret as well as the costs of hundreds of millions of dollars, millions of skilled personnel hours, and several animal lives. Both academia and private companies are actively trying to develop alternative methods, such as QSAR models. This paper reports a QSAR study for predicting carcinogenic potency of nitrocompounds bioassayed in female rats. Several different theoretical molecular descriptors, calculated only on the basis of knowledge of the molecular structure and an efficient variable selection procedure, such as Genetic Algorithm, led to models with satisfactory predictive ability. But the best-final QSAR model is based on the GEometry, Topology, and Atom-Weights AssemblY (GETAWAY) descriptors capturing a reasonable interpretation. In fact, structural features such as molecular shape-linear, branched, cyclic, and polycyclic--and bond length are some of the key factors flagging the carcinogenicity of this set of nitrocompounds. This QSAR model, after removal of one identified nitrocompound outlier, is able to explain around 86% of the variance in the experimental activity and manifest good predictive ability as indicated by the higher q(2)s of cross- and external-validations, which demonstrate the practical value of the final QSAR model for screening and priority testing. This model can be applied to nitrochemicals different from the studied nitrocompounds (even those not yet synthesized) as it is based on theoretical molecular descriptors that might be easily and rapidly calculated.
Assuntos
Neoplasias/induzido quimicamente , Nitrocompostos/farmacologia , Relação Quantitativa Estrutura-Atividade , Animais , Avaliação Pré-Clínica de Medicamentos/métodos , Feminino , Nitrocompostos/química , RatosRESUMO
Several nitrocompounds have been screened for carcinogenicity in rodents, but this is a lengthy and expensive process, taking two years and typically costing 2.5 million dollars, and uses large numbers of animals. There is, therefore, much impetus to develop suitable alternative methods. One possible way of predicting carcinogenicity is to use quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs). QSARs have been widely utilized for toxicity testing, thereby contributing to a reduction in the need for experimental animals. This paper describes the results of applying a TOPological substructural molecular design (TOPS-MODE) approach for predicting the rodent carcinogenicity of nitrocompounds. The model described 79.10% of the experimental variance, with a standard deviation of 0.424. The predictive power of the model was validated by leave-one-out validation, with a determination coefficient of 0.666. In addition, this approach enabled the contribution of different fragments to carcinogenic potency to be assessed, thereby making the relationships between structure and carcinogenicity to be transparent. It was found that the carcinogenic activity of the chemicals analysed was increased by the presence of a primary amine group bonded to the aromatic ring, a manner that was proportional to the ring aromaticity. The nitro group bonded to an aromatic carbon atom is a more important determinant of carcinogenicity than the nitro group bonded to an aliphatic carbon. Finally, the TOPS-MODE approach was compared with four other predictive models, but none of these could explain more than 66% of the variance in the carcinogenic potency with the same number of variables.