RESUMO
Population size is widely used as a unit of ecological analysis, yet to estimate population size requires accounting for observed and latent heterogeneity influencing dispersion of individuals across landscapes. In newly established populations, such as when animals are translocated for conservation, dispersal and availability of resources influence patterns of abundance. We developed a process to estimate population size using N-mixture models and spatial models for newly established and dispersing populations. We used our approach to estimate the population size of critically endangered St. Croix ground lizards (Ameiva polops) five years after translocation of 57 individuals to Buck Island, an offshore island of St. Croix, United States Virgin Islands. Estimates of population size incorporated abiotic variables, dispersal limits, and operative environmental temperature available to the lizards to account for low species detection. Operative environmental temperature and distance from the translocation site were always important in fitting the N-mixture model indicating effects of dispersal and species biology on estimates of population size. We found that the population is increasing its range across the island by 5-10% every six months. We spatially interpolated site-specific abundance from the N-mixture model to the entire island, and we estimated 1,473 (95% CI, 940-1,802) St. Croix ground lizards on Buck Island in 2013 corresponding to survey results. This represents a 26-fold increase since the translocation. We predicted the future dispersal of the lizards to all habitats on Buck Island, with the potential for the population to increase by another five times in the future. Incorporating biologically relevant covariates as explicit parameters in population models can improve predictions of population size and the future spread of species introduced to new localities.
Assuntos
Distribuição Animal , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Espécies em Perigo de Extinção , Lagartos , Animais , Ecossistema , Feminino , Masculino , Densidade Demográfica , Ilhas Virgens AmericanasRESUMO
To determine whether cortisone acetate given as a single daily dose would be as effective as the same amount divided into three doses in suppressing adrenal androgen secretion in congenital adrenal hyperplasia, we studied three patients with the salt-losing variety, who were judged to have been adequately treated during the previous year. Each patient was receiving cortisone acetate, 20.6 to 22.6 mg/m2 body surface area per day, divided into three doses, and 9 alpha-fluorohydrocortisone, 0.05 to 0.1 mg/day. Their spontaneous and adrenocorticotropic hormone-stimulated blood concentrations of 17 alpha-hydroxyprogesterone, androstenedione, and testosterone were measured initially and were normal. Cortisone acetate was then given once a day in the same total daily dose. After 3 months, plasma adrenocorticotropic hormone concentration was increased in all three patients, and in two of them the plasma levels of 17 alpha-hydroxyprogesterone and androstenedione were also increased. In the third patient, after 7 months of once-daily therapy, plasma levels of 17 alpha-hydroxyprogesterone and androstenedione were increased. We conclude that a physiologic replacement dosage of cortisone acetate given once daily is not effective in controlling excessive adrenal androgen secretion in congenital adrenal hyperplasia.
Assuntos
Córtex Suprarrenal/metabolismo , Hiperplasia Suprarrenal Congênita/tratamento farmacológico , Androgênios/metabolismo , Cortisona/análogos & derivados , 17-alfa-Hidroxiprogesterona , Córtex Suprarrenal/efeitos dos fármacos , Hiperplasia Suprarrenal Congênita/sangue , Hormônio Adrenocorticotrópico/sangue , Androgênios/sangue , Androstenodiona/sangue , Criança , Cortisona/administração & dosagem , Esquema de Medicação , Feminino , Humanos , Hidroxiprogesteronas/sangue , Masculino , Testosterona/sangueAssuntos
Hiperplasia Suprarrenal Congênita/fisiopatologia , Aldosterona/sangue , Hidroxiprogesteronas/sangue , Doenças do Recém-Nascido/fisiopatologia , Sódio/antagonistas & inibidores , Hiperplasia Suprarrenal Congênita/sangue , Aldosterona/fisiologia , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Hidroxiprogesteronas/fisiologia , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Doenças do Recém-Nascido/sangue , Masculino , Sódio/deficiênciaRESUMO
The study of metabolism of muscle electrolyte in children with the salt-losing form of congenital adrenal hyperplasia reveals two types of alterations. After admission and during initial therapy with salt and desoxycorticosterone, the changes are typical of those seen in experimental animals with adrenalectomy and excessive replacement therapy. Discontinuation of the sodium supplement after three months of therapy resulted in a return of muscle electrolyte values to normal. During the period of poor growth common to these patients a different pattern was observed. Sodium and water accumulated without alteration in tissue potassium. The mechanism of this alteration is not clear; however, it is consistent with the known effects of excess cortisone on muscle composition. These observations permit the conclusion that at least two fractions of sodium are present in muscle fibers, that which exchanges potassium and that which is independent of potassium metabolism.