RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) is a potentially deadly complication of total joint arthroplasty. This study was designed to address how the incidence of PJI and outcome of treatment, including mortality, are changing in the population over time. METHODS: Primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients with PJI from the 100% Medicare inpatient data set (2005-2015) were identified. Cox proportional hazards regression models for risk of PJI after THA/TKA (accounting for competing risks) or risk of all-cause mortality after PJI were adjusted for patient and clinical factors, with year included as a covariate to test for time trends. RESULTS: The unadjusted 1-year and 5-year risk of PJI was 0.69% and 1.09% for THA and 0.74% and 1.38% for TKA, respectively. After adjustment, PJI risk did not change significantly by year for THA (P = .63) or TKA (P = .96). The unadjusted 1-year and 5-year overall survival after PJI diagnosis was 88.7% and 67.2% for THA and 91.7% and 71.7% for TKA, respectively. After adjustment, the risk of mortality after PJI decreased significantly by year for THA (hazard ratio = 0.97; P < .001) and TKA (hazard ratio = 0.97; P < .001). CONCLUSION: Despite recent clinical focus on preventing PJI, we are unable to detect substantial decline in the risk of PJI over time, although mortality after PJI has declined. Because PJI risk appears not to be changing over time, the incidence of PJI is anticipated to scale up proportionately with the demand for THA and TKA, which is projected to increase substantially in the coming decade.
Assuntos
Artrite Infecciosa/mortalidade , Artroplastia de Quadril/efeitos adversos , Artroplastia do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/mortalidade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Artrite Infecciosa/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Medicare , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: Controversy persists over whether cancer risk is increased in communities surrounding oil fields, especially in the Oriente region of Ecuador. This ecologic study uses quantitative exposure data, updated mortality data, and improved statistical methods to study the impact of oil exploration and production activities on cancer mortality rates in the Oriente. METHODS: Cancer mortality rates in the Oriente in 1990 through 2010 were compared between seven cantons with active oil exploration and production as of 1990 and thirteen cantons with little or no such activities. Poisson regression was used to estimate mortality rate ratios (RRs) adjusted for age and sex. In a two-stage analysis, canton-specific log-RRs were regressed against quantitative estimates of cumulative barrels of oil produced and well-years per canton, adjusting for canton-level demographic and socioeconomic factors. RESULTS: Overall and site-specific cancer mortality rates were comparable between oil-producing and non-oil-producing cantons. For overall cancer mortality in males and females combined, the RR comparing oil-producing to non-oil-producing cantons was 0.85 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.72-1.00]. For leukemia mortality, the corresponding RR was 0.80 (95 % CI 0.57-1.13). Results also revealed no excess of mortality from acute non-lymphocytic, myeloid, or childhood leukemia. Standardized mortality ratios were consistent with RRs. Canton-specific RRs showed no pattern in relation to oil production volume or well-years. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this first ecologic study to incorporate quantitative measures of oil exploration and production showed no association between the extent of these activities and cancer mortality, including from cancers associated with benzene exposure.