RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To identify prognostic factors for survival at 6 and 12 months in patients evaluated for liver transplantation using Child-Pugh (CP) classification and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. METHODS: We evaluated 144 patients with cirrhosis who were candidates for liver transplantation. We excluded patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, recent liver recipients, and patients who died because of factors unrelated to liver disease. The studied variables were age and sex; prothrombin time; platelet count; albumin, cholesterol, bilirubin, creatinine, and serum sodium concentrations; CP classification and MELD score; and the presence of ascites, encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and previous variceal bleeding. Data were processed using statistical software (SPSS version 13.0). RESULTS: Of the 144 patients, 27 (18.7%) did not survive because of complications of liver disease. Univariate analysis showed the most significant factors to be sex, prothrombin time, bilirubin and albumin levels; ascites, encephalopathy, CP classification, and MELD score. At Cox regression analysis, only CP classification proved to be a valid predictor of survival in our cohort. The lowest survival according to CP classification at 6 and 12 months corresponded to stage C and to MELD scores higher than 15. CONCLUSIONS: Child-Pugh classification is an independent prognostic factor for recipient survival. Stage C in the CP classification and a MELD score higher than 15 were strongly related to worse survival. Both scores must be taken into consideration for adequate evaluation of liver transplantation for candidates.
Assuntos
Cirrose Hepática/mortalidade , Cirrose Hepática/cirurgia , Falência Hepática/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado/fisiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Falência Hepática/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Seleção de Pacientes , Contagem de Plaquetas , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Tempo de Protrombina , Análise de Regressão , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Sobreviventes , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
From July 4, 1999, when a liver transplantation program was started in Cuba, to December 30, 2007, we performed 125 procedures in 115 patients. The most frequent reasons for transplantation were cirrhosis caused by hepatitis C virus (29%) and alcoholic cirrhosis (17.2%). Two patients received simultaneous liver-kidney transplants. Sixty-seven patients were males, and the patient ages ranged from 12 to 74 years. The average surgical time was 6 hours, and cold ischemia time was 4 to 14 hours. The average blood consumption was 1630 mL; 2900 mL of plasma and 8 units of platelets were used in 7 cases. Immunosuppression was mainly cyclosporine, mycophenolate mofetil, and prednisone. Acute cellular rejections were treated in almost all cases with 3 doses of methylprednisolone. The most frequent complications were biliary (15%), hepatic arterial thrombosis (6%), postsurgical bleeding (8%), acute cellular rejection (20%), and ductopenic rejection (2%). The overall 1-year survival was 74.7%.