RESUMO
The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has reduced accuracy for liver transplantation (LT) wait-list mortality when MELD ≤ 20. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker associated with systemic inflammation and may predict cirrhotic decompensation and death. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic utility of high NLR (≥4) for liver-related death among low MELD patients listed for LT, controlling for stage of cirrhosis. In a nested case-control study of cirrhotic adults awaiting LT (February 2002 to May 2011), cases were LT candidates with a liver-related death and MELD ≤ 20 within 90 days of death. Controls were similar LT candidates who were alive for ≥90 days after LT listing. NLR and other covariates were assessed at the date of lowest MELD, within 90 days of death for cases and within 90 days after listing for controls. There were 41 cases and 66 controls; MELD scores were similar. NLR 25th, 50th, 75th percentile cutoffs were 1.9, 3.1, and 6.8. NLR was ≥ 4 in 25/41 (61%) cases and in 17/66 (26%) controls. In univariate analysis, NLR (continuous ≥ 1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8), increasing cirrhosis stage, jaundice, encephalopathy, serum sodium, and albumin and nonselective beta-blocker use were significantly (P < 0.01) associated with liver-related death. In multivariate analysis, NLR of ≥1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8 were each associated with liver-related death. Furthermore, we found that NLR correlated with the frequency of circulating low-density granulocytes, previously identified as displaying proinflammatory properties, as well as monocytes. In conclusion, elevated NLR is associated with liver-related death, independent of MELD and cirrhosis stage. High NLR may aid in determining risk for cirrhotic decompensation, need for increased monitoring, and urgency for expedited LT in candidates with low MELD. Liver Transplantation 23 155-165 2017 AASLD.
Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal/mortalidade , Cirrose Hepática/mortalidade , Transplante de Fígado , Linfócitos , Neutrófilos , Listas de Espera/mortalidade , Biomarcadores/sangue , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Doença Hepática Terminal/sangue , Doença Hepática Terminal/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática/sangue , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Contagem de Linfócitos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
Donor age has become the dominant donor factor used to predict graft failure (GF) after liver transplantation (LT) in hepatitis C virus (HCV) recipients. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a model of corrected donor age (CDA) for HCV LT recipients that transforms the risk of other donor factors into the scale of donor age. We analyzed all first LT recipients with HCV in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registry from January 1998 to December 2007 (development cohort, n = 14,538) and January 2008 to December 2011 (validation cohort, n = 7502) using Cox regression, excluding early GF (<90 days from LT). Accuracy in predicting 1 year GF (death or repeat LT) was assessed with the net reclassification index (NRI). In the development cohort, after controlling for pre-LT recipient factors and geotemporal trends (UNOS region, LT year), the following donor factors were independent predictors of GF, all P < 0.05: donor age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02/year), donation after cardiac death (DCD; HR, 1.31), diabetes (HR, 1.23), height < 160 cm (HR, 1.13), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) ≥ 120 U/L (HR, 1.10), female (HR, 0.94), cold ischemia time (CIT; HR, 1.02/hour), and non-African American (non-AA) donor-African American (AA) recipient (HR, 1.65). Transforming these risk factors into the donor age scale yielded the following: DCD = +16 years; diabetes = +12 years; height < 160 cm = +7 years; AST ≥ 120 U/L = +5 years; female = -4 years; and CIT = +1 year/hour > 8 hours and -1 year/hour < 8 hours. There was a large effect of donor-recipient race combinations: +29 years for non-AA donor and an AA recipient but only +5 years for an AA donor and an AA recipient, and -2 years for an AA donor and a non-AA recipient. In a validation cohort, CDA better classified risk of 1-year GF versus actual age (NRI, 4.9%; P = 0.009) and versus the donor risk index (9.0%, P < 0.001). The CDA, compared to actual donor age, provides an intuitive and superior estimation of graft quality for HCV-positive LT recipients because it incorporates additional factors that impact LT GF rates.
Assuntos
Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Seleção do Doador , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Hepatite C/complicações , Transplante de Fígado/métodos , Doadores de Tecidos , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Doença Hepática Terminal/diagnóstico , Doença Hepática Terminal/mortalidade , Doença Hepática Terminal/virologia , Feminino , Hepatite C/diagnóstico , Hepatite C/mortalidade , Humanos , Funções Verossimilhança , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados UnidosRESUMO
With increasing attention being paid to optimizing patient outcomes, it has been proposed that liver transplantation (LT) for individuals with elevated body mass index (BMI) values and high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores may adversely affect post-LT outcomes. We investigated the impact of BMI on post-LT outcomes in the context of MELD at LT. Using United Network for Organ Sharing data, we identified all adult (≥ 18 years) primary LT recipients from March 1, 2002 to September 30, 2011. BMI categories included the following: underweight, normal, overweight, class I obese, class II obese, and class III obese (<18.5; 18.5-24.9; 25-29.9; 30-34.9; 35-39.9; ≥ 40 kg/m(2), respectively). One-year post-LT death and graft loss were modeled using Cox regression, including interactions between BMI and MELD. A total of 45,551 adult recipients were identified: 68% male; median (interquartile range [IQR]) age 55 years (IQR, 49-60 years); MELD, 19 (IQR, 13-26); and donor risk index, 1.39 (IQR, 1.12-1.69). Representations in the BMI categories were underweight (n = 863, 2%), normal (n = 13,262, 29%), overweight (n = 16,329, 36%), class I obese (n = 9639, 21%), class II obese (n = 4062, 9%), and class III obese (n = 1396, 3%). In adjusted analyses, elevated BMI was not associated with increased risk for death or graft loss. Among the underweight, there were significant interactions between BMI and MELD with respect to death (P = 0.02) and graft loss (P = 0.01), with significantly increased risks for death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38-2.09; P = 0.006) and graft loss (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.21-1.74; P = 0.02) among those with low MELD (≤ 26), compared to normal BMI recipients with low MELD. In conclusion, overweight and obese LT recipients do not have increased risk of death or graft loss regardless of MELD. Underweight patients are at increased risk for poor outcomes post-LT, specifically underweight recipients with low MELD have increased risk for death and graft loss. Mechanisms underlying this phenomenon warrant further investigation.
Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Obesidade/complicações , Magreza/complicações , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Obesidade/mortalidade , Obesidade/fisiopatologia , Razão de Chances , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Magreza/diagnóstico , Magreza/mortalidade , Magreza/fisiopatologia , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados UnidosRESUMO
Repeat liver transplantation (LT) is controversial because of inferior outcomes versus primary LT. A minimum 1-year expected post-re-LT survival of 50% has been proposed. We aimed to identify combinations of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), donor risk index (DRI), and recipient characteristics achieving this graft survival threshold. We identified re-LT recipients listed in the United States from March 2002 to January 2010 with > 90 days between primary LT and listing for re-LT. Using Cox regression, we estimated the expected probability of 1-year graft survival and identified combinations of MELD, DRI, and recipient characteristics attaining >50% expected 1-year graft survival. Re-LT recipients (n = 1418) had a median MELD of 26 and median age of 52 years. Expected 1-year graft survival exceeded 50% regardless of MELD or DRI in Caucasian recipients who were not infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) of all ages and Caucasian HCV-infected recipients <50 years old. As age increased in HCV-infected Caucasian and non-HCV-infected African American recipients, lower MELD scores or lower DRI grafts were needed to attain the graft survival threshold. As MELD scores increased in HCV-infected African American recipients, lower-DRI livers were required to achieve the graft survival threshold. Use of high-DRI livers (>1.44) in HCV-infected recipients with a MELD score > 26 at re-LT failed to achieve the graft survival threshold with recipient age ≥ 60 years (any race), as well as at age ≥ 50 years for Caucasians and at age < 50 years for African Americans. Strategic donor selection can achieve >50% expected 1-year graft survival even in high-risk re-LT recipients (HCV infected, older age, African American race, high MELD scores). Low-risk transplant recipients (age < 50 years, non-HCV-infected) can achieve the survival threshold with varying DRI and MELD scores.
Assuntos
Seleção do Doador/normas , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Rejeição de Enxerto/prevenção & controle , Transplante de Fígado/normas , Doadores de Tecidos , Transplantados , Listas de Espera , Adulto , Feminino , Rejeição de Enxerto/mortalidade , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reoperação/normas , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
GOALS: To assess awareness of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as a disease entity among individuals with and without metabolic risk factors in an outpatient clinical setting, and to evaluate interest in patient-centered education on NAFLD. BACKGROUND: NAFLD is the most common chronic liver disease in the United States with up to 30% of the adult population affected. Individuals with metabolic risk factors, particularly, insulin resistance, diabetes, and overweight/obesity, have a high prevalence of NAFLD estimated up to 70%, yet little is known about the understanding and perceptions of NAFLD in these high-risk patients. STUDY: A self-administered paper questionnaire was given to 368 adult patients presenting to an outpatient endocrinology clinic from February 2012 to October 2012. RESULTS: A total of 302 surveys were completed for a response rate of 82%. Overall, 18% of all respondents reported awareness of NAFLD. Even among patients with self-reported major risk factors for NAFLD (overweight/obese, insulin resistant, or both overweight/obese and insulin resistant), the rates of awareness of NAFLD were low (19%, 23%, and 24%, respectively). A majority of survey respondents expressed interest in receiving patient-centered education on NAFLD (73%). CONCLUSIONS: Among high metabolic risk individuals there is low awareness of NAFLD. The majority of those surveyed expressed interest in learning about NAFLD. These findings suggest opportunities to raise public awareness of NAFLD, particularly among patients at high metabolic risk, and to provide education to high-risk individuals with the goal of implementing early prevention strategies and optimizing care.
Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes/psicologia , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/psicologia , Obesidade/psicologia , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Adulto , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , Feminino , Humanos , Resistência à Insulina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/etiologia , Obesidade/complicações , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute intraoperative heart failure (HF) is a rare but often fatal complication of liver transplant surgery. Little is known about the clinical course or predictive variables. Our aims were to provide a detailed clinical description and conduct a systematic search for characteristics associated with intraoperative HF. METHODS: A matched case-control study of adults undergoing primary liver transplant from 2009 to 2011 was conducted. Cases showed new onset HF with an ejection fraction less than 50% during liver transplant surgery. Controls were recipients without signs or symptoms of HF. Matching was based on: age, sex, model for end-stage liver disease at the time of transplant, type 2 diabetes, and ß-blocker use. Conditional logistic regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2011, seven (3%) of 256 recipients developed intraoperative HF with one resulting death. All survivors regained normal systolic function within 6 months of surgery. Decreasing preoperative serum sodium (odds ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.94; P = 0.039) and increasing number of units of packed red blood cells transfused intraoperatively (odds ratio=1.2, 95% confidence interval, 1.001-1.467, P = 0.048) were associated with HF. CONCLUSION: No preoperative echocardiographic parameter predicted HF in affected patients. Two possible explanations are: our patients suffered from stress cardiomyopathy and therefore had no evidence of impaired contraction before the event or echocardiographic predictors of HF were masked by circulatory changes in patients with cirrhosis. Lower serum sodium and more red blood cell transfusions were associated with intraoperative HF. Lower mortality of our intraoperative cases compared to others may be influenced by earlier diagnosis and intervention.
Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Contração Miocárdica , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has reduced predictive ability in patients with cirrhosis and MELD scores ≤ 20. We aimed to assess whether a 5-stage clinical model could identify liver transplantation (LT) candidates with low MELD scores who are at increased risk for death. We conducted a case-control study of subjects with cirrhosis and MELD scores ≤ 20 who were awaiting LT at a single academic medical center between February 2002 and May 2011. Conditional logistic regression was used to evaluate the risk of liver-related death according to the cirrhosis stage. We identified 41 case subjects who died from liver-related causes with MELD scores ≤ 20 within 90 days of death while they were waiting for LT. The cases were matched with up to 3 controls (66 controls in all) on the basis of the listing year, age, sex, liver disease etiology, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma, and MELD score. The cirrhosis stage was assessed for all subjects: (1) no varices or ascites, (2) varices, (3) variceal bleeding, (4) ascites, and (5) ascites and variceal bleeding. The MELD scores were similar for cases and controls. Clinical states contributing to death in cases were: sepsis 49%, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis 15%, variceal bleeding 24%, and hepatorenal syndrome 22%. In a univariate analysis, variceal bleeding [odds ratio (OR) = 5.6, P = 0.003], albumin (OR = 0.5, P = 0.041), an increasing cirrhosis stage (P = 0.003), reaching cirrhosis stage 2, 3, or 4 versus lower stages (OR = 3.6, P = 0.048; OR = 7.4, P < 0.001; and OR = 4.1, P = 0.008), a sodium level < 135 mmol/L (OR = 3.4, P = 0.006), and hepatic encephalopathy (OR = 2.3, P = 0.082) were associated with liver-related death. In a multivariate model including the cirrhosis stage, albumin, sodium, and hepatic encephalopathy, an increasing cirrhosis stage (P = 0.010) was independently associated with liver-related death. In conclusion, assessing the cirrhosis stage in patients with low MELD scores awaiting LT may help to select candidates for more aggressive monitoring or for living or extended criteria donation.