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Introduction: blood centres are often faced with the problem of donor lapsing resulting in loss of donors from the already strained donor pool. In Zimbabwe, 70% of the donated blood comes from younger donors aged 40 years and below, who at the same time, have high attrition rates. This study seeks to apply the concept of survival analysis in analysing blood donor lapsing rates. Methods: in analysing the donor lapsing and retention rates, data on 450 first-time blood donors at the National Blood Service Zimbabwe, in Harare´s blood bank for the period 2014 to 2017 was extracted from the donors´ database. The Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) and Kaplan-Meier methods were applied in the analysis. Donor demographic characteristics suspected of having effect on donor lapsing and retention were identified and analysed. Results: the study findings show that 56.9% of the donors had lapsed by the end of the four-year study period. Results from the multiple Cox PH model indicate that donor age had a significant effect on blood donor retention time (p = 0.000918 < 0.05). The hazard ratio (HR) = 0.615 with 95% CI: (0.461; 0.820) shows that the relatively older donors had a lower hazard (38.5% lower) of lapsing compared to the hazard for younger donors. The effect of gender, blood donor group and donation time interval on donor retention and attrition were not statistically significant. Male donors had HR = 1.03; 95% CI (0.537; 1.99) with (p = 0.922 > 0.05) and donors with a 4-month interval between donations had HR = 1.31; 95% CI (0.667; 2.59) with (p = 0.430 > 0.05). Conclusion: the study confirmed the problem of donor attrition faced by blood centres. The age of the donor had a significant effect on the retention time of blood donors before lapsing. The older the blood donor, the lower the risk of lapsing. The Zimbabwe National Blood Service (NBSZ) Blood Centre authorities should have a critical mass of individuals above 40 years as potential blood donors because of their reliability in blood donation according to the study findings.
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Bancos de Sangre , Donantes de Sangre , Humanos , Zimbabwe , Donantes de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Bancos de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de Supervivencia , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , AdolescenteRESUMEN
Uveal melanoma (UM) is a common health challenge worldwide as a prevalent intraocular malignancy because of its high mortality rate. However, clinical workers do not have an accurate prognostic tool now. Immune function is closely related to tumor development. Interestingly, researchers have identified that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) are tightly associated with biological processes at the cellular level, particularly their involvements in immune response and its regulation of the growth of tumor cells. Hence, lncRNAs may be involved in the progression of uveal melanoma. UM patients' RNA expression matrices were extracted from TCGA database. The targeted immune genes were filtered by weighted correlation network analysis and the immune-related lncRNAs with a high prognostic relevance were obtained by Cox regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis. Each sample was scored according to those lncRNA expression and divided into high-risk and low-risk group. We confirmed the sensitivity and independence of our risk model compared to the tumor mutation burden score. Finally, we demonstrated the clinical relevance of our model by examining its sensitivity to different drugs. The risk score based on our risk model was significantly independent of other clinical parameters in either univariate (hazard ratioâ =â 109.852 [15.738-766.749], P valueâ <â .001) or multivariate (hazard ratioâ =â 114.075 [15.207-855.735], P valueâ <â .001) analyses. The ROC curves of this model imply high predictive accuracy for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival (1-year area under the curve [AUC]â =â 0.849, 3-years AUCâ =â 0.848, and 5-years AUCâ =â 0.761). Our study revealed that immune-related lncRNAs are significant in the clinical diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of UM patients. We successfully constructed a lncRNA-based prognostic risk model which may serve as a future reference for the diagnosis and prognosis of UM. Based on this model we also validated the sensitivity of some cancer drugs, which has implications for the future immunotherapy and drug development.
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Melanoma , ARN Largo no Codificante , Neoplasias de la Úvea , Neoplasias de la Úvea/genética , Neoplasias de la Úvea/mortalidad , Neoplasias de la Úvea/inmunología , Humanos , Melanoma/genética , Melanoma/mortalidad , Melanoma/inmunología , ARN Largo no Codificante/genética , Pronóstico , Masculino , Femenino , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Biomarcadores de Tumor/genética , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
During patient follow-up in a randomized trial, some deaths may occur. Where death (or noncardiovascular death) is not part of an outcome of interest it is termed a competing risk. Conventional analyses (eg, Cox proportional hazards model) handle death similarly to other censored follow-up. Patients still alive are unrealistically assumed to be representative of those who died. The Fine and Gray model has been used to handle competing risks, but is often used inappropriately and can be misleading. We propose an alternative multiple imputation approach that plausibly accounts for the fact that patients who die tend also to be at high risk for the (unobserved) outcome of interest. This provides a logical framework for exploring the impact of a competing risk, recognizing that there is no unique solution. We illustrate these issues in 3 cardiovascular trials and in simulation studies. We conclude with practical recommendations for handling competing risks in future trials.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/terapia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
Background: Although there is consistent evidence that smoking is a risk factor associated with tuberculosis (TB), whether smoking cessation improves treatment outcomes and reduces the risk of TB recurrence remains understudied. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study with a seven-year follow-up in China. We recruited newly-diagnosed TB patients and classified them as non-smokers, ex-smokers, and current smokers. Current smokers were invited to participate in a smoking cessation intervention programme. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to assess the risk of death among TB patients and the risk of recurrence among successfully treated patients. Results: In total, 634 (79.2%) patients completed anti-TB treatments and 115 (14.4%) patients died. We confirmed the existence of a dose-response relationship between smoking frequency and the risk of TB recurrence (the slope of the fitted line >0; P < 0.05). Compared to those who continued smoking, the risk of death and recurrent TB for the patients who quit smoking during treatment decreased. The HR of mortality for smokers who smoked 30 or more cigarettes was 2.943 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.035-8.368), while the HR of mortality for those who smoked 30 or more cigarettes, but quit during treatment was 2.117 (95% CI = 1.157-3.871). However, the risk of recurrence remained high for ex-smokers who had a smoking history of 25 years or more. Conclusions: Our study provides further evidence supporting the World Health Organization's call for co-management of smoking and other risk factors as part of routine TB treatment.
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Recurrencia , Cese del Hábito de Fumar , Tuberculosis , Humanos , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/estadística & datos numéricos , China/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Seguimiento , Tuberculosis/mortalidad , Tuberculosis/prevención & control , Factores de Riesgo , Antituberculosos/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Fumar/epidemiología , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Background: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a critical cardiovascular disease with high morbidity and mortality. Identifying practical parameters for predicting long-term mortality is crucial in this patient group. The percentage of mean arterial pressure (%MAP) is a useful parameter used to assess peripheral artery disease. It can be easily calculated from ankle pulse volume recording. Previous studies have shown that %MAP is a useful predictor of all-cause mortality in specific populations, but its relationship with mortality in AMI patients is unclear. Methods: In this observational cohort study, 191 AMI patients were enrolled between November 2003 and September 2004. Ankle-brachial index (ABI) and %MAP were measured using an ABI-form device. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality data were collected from a national registry until December 2018. Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier survival plot were used to analyze the association between %MAP and long-term mortality in AMI patients. Results: The median follow-up to mortality was 65 months. There were 130 overall and 36 cardiovascular deaths. High %MAP was associated with increased overall mortality after multivariable analysis (HR = 1.062; 95% CI: 1.017-1.109; p =0.006). However, high % MAP was only associated with cardiovascular mortality in the univariable analysis but became insignificant after the multivariable analysis. Conclusions: In conclusion, this study is the first to evaluate the usefulness of %MAP in predicting long-term mortality in AMI patients. Our study shows that %MAP might be an independent predictor of long-term overall mortality in AMI patients and has better predictive power than ABI.
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Índice Tobillo Braquial , Presión Arterial , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Infarto del Miocardio/mortalidad , Infarto del Miocardio/fisiopatología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/mortalidad , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/fisiopatología , Factores de Riesgo , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although healthy sleep patterns have been linked to a lower risk of cardiovascular disease in earlier research, it is unclear how beneficial they are for venous thromboembolism (VTE). AIM: This research aimed to examine the correlation between sleep patterns, genetic susceptibility, and VTE. METHODS: In the UK Biobank cohort, healthy sleep behaviors were defined as early chronotype, 7-8 hours of sleep each day, no snoring, infrequent insomnia, and infrequent daytime sleepiness. Each of the five criteria was given 1 point, creating a healthy sleep score ranging from 0 to 5. Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to examine the associations between genetic susceptibility, healthy sleep score and VTE. RESULTS: The UK Biobank study included 384,758 participants aged 56.6 ± 8.0 years. After a median of 11.9 years of follow-up, 8,885 (2.3%) participants were diagnosed with VTE. A healthy sleep score inversely affected VTE risk. For participants with a score of 5, the hazard ratio of VTE was 0.813 (95% confidence interval: 0.758-0.873, P<0.001) compared to those with a score ≤2. Early chronotype, sleeping 7-8 hours each day, infrequent insomnia, and infrequent daytime sleepiness were significantly associated with a 7.9%, 8.3%, 5.1%, and 20.7% lower risk of VTE, respectively. In addition, the correlation between sleep pattern and the incidence of VTE was consistent, regardless of genetic susceptibility (P for interaction = 0.366). CONCLUSIONS: Our secondary analysis of a large-scale prospectively gathered registry revealed that individuals with a healthy sleep pattern are significantly correlated with lower risk of developing VTE, irrespective of genetic susceptibility.
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Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Sueño , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Tromboembolia Venosa/genética , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Femenino , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Sueño/genética , Sueño/fisiología , Anciano , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Adulto , Biobanco del Reino UnidoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Visceral metastasis is an important predictor for poor outcomes in prostate cancer, however, the prognostic significance surrounding the specific sites of visceral metastasis remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of different visceral metastatic sites on survival in patients with prostate cancer. METHODS: We identified patients with metastatic prostate cancer between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2023 using the TriNetX database. Patients were divided into 4 cohorts according to their specific metastatic sites: lung metastases, brain metastases, liver metastases, and bone metastases. Survival analysis was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression models. RESULTS: In total, 59,875 patients diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer were identified, with 39,495 (65.2%) having bone metastases, 7,573 (12.5%) lung metastases, 5,240 (8.7%) brain metastases, and 7,567 (12.5%) liver metastases. The median overall survival was 44.4 months for patients with bone metastases, 31.9 months for lung metastases, 9.6 months for brain metastases, and 10 months for liver metastases. Lung metastases were associated with an improved survival when compared with liver and brain metastases. For patients with two visceral metastatic sites or concomitant bone metastases, liver metastases were related to worse outcomes. Asian patients experienced better OS than Caucasian and African American patients in visceral metastatic prostate cancer. CONCLUSION: Patients with lung metastases experienced better survival outcomes in prostate cancer with only one visceral metastatic site. Liver metastases were associated with worse outcomes when there were two visceral metastatic sites combined or concomitant bone metastases. Asian patients displayed improved survival rates when compared with both Caucasian and African American patients in visceral metastatic prostate cancer.
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Neoplasias Óseas , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias de la Próstata , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Anciano , Neoplasias Óseas/secundario , Neoplasias Óseas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundario , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/secundario , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Pronóstico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/secundario , Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidad , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Heart transplantation is the gold standard for advanced heart failure treatment. This study examines the survival rates and risk factors for early mortality in adult heart transplant recipients at a Brazilian center. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study involved 255 adult heart transplant patients from a single center in Brazil. Data were collected from medical records and databases including three defined periods (2012-2015, 2016-2019, and 2020-2022). Statistical analysis employed Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox proportional hazards analysis for 30-day mortality risk factors, and Log-rank tests. RESULTS: The recipients were mostly male (74.9%), and the mean age was 46.6 years. Main causes of heart failure were idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (33.9%), Chagas cardiomyopathy (18%), and ischemic cardiomyopathy (14.3%). The study revealed an overall survival of 68.1% at one year, 58% at five years, and 40.8% at 10 years after heart transplantation. Survivalimproved significantly over time, combining the most recent periods (2016 to 2022) it was 73.2% in the first year and 63% in five years. The main risk factors for 30-day mortality were longer time on cardiopulmonary bypass, the initial period of transplants (2012 to 2015), older age of the donor, and nutritional status of the donor (overweight or obese). The main causes of death within 30 days post-transplant were infection and primary graft dysfunction. CONCLUSION: The survival analysis by period demonstrated that the increased surgical volume, coupled with the team's experience and modifications to the immunosuppression protocol, contributed to the improved early and mid-term outcomes.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Trasplante de Corazón , Humanos , Masculino , Trasplante de Corazón/mortalidad , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Brasil/epidemiología , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/cirugía , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Tasa de Supervivencia , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Tiempo , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
The adverse pregnancy outcomes, including recurrent spontaneous abortion (RSA), are strongly correlated with water-soluble vitamins, but how to predict RSA occurrence using them remains unsatisfactory. This study aims to investigate the possibility of predicting RSA based on the baseline levels of water-soluble vitamins tested by ultra-liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. A total of 918 pregnant women was consecutively enrolled in this cross-sectional study. According to the miscarriage numbers, they were divided into normal first pregnancy (NFP, n = 608), once spontaneous abortion (OSA, n = 167), and continuous spontaneous abortion (CSA, n = 143) groups. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was employed to establish a risk model for predicting RSA. The RSA occurrence was 6.54% in overall pregnant women, with a prevalence of 12.57% in the OSA group and 27.27% in the CSA group. Significant differences were observed in baseline deficiencies of vitamin B3, B5, B6, and B9 among NFP, OSA, and CSA groups (χ2 = 12.191 ~ 37.561, all P < 0.001). Among these vitamins, B9 (HR = 0.89 and 0.88, all P < 0.001) and B6 (HR = 0.83 and 0.78, all P < 0.05) were identified as independent factors in both the OSA and CSA groups; whereas B5 was identified as an additional independent factor only in the CSA group (HR = 0.93, P = 0.005). The Cox proportional-hazards model established using these three vitamins exhibited poor or satisfactory predictive performance in the OSA (Sen = 95.2%, Spe = 39.0%) and CSA (Sen = 92.3%, Spe = 60.6%) groups, respectively. However, B5, B6, and B9 compensatory levels were not associated with RSA occurrence (all P > 0.05). Our study presents a highly sensitive model based on mass spectrometry assay of baseline levels in B vitamins to predict the RSA occurrence as possible.
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Aborto Habitual , Vitaminas , Femenino , Humanos , Adulto , Aborto Habitual/etiología , Embarazo , Estudios Transversales , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Espectrometría de Masas en Tándem/métodos , Solubilidad , Factores de Riesgo , Agua/químicaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers and causes of cancer death in Canada. Some previous literature suggests that socioeconomic inequalities in lung cancer screening, treatment and survival may exist. The objective of this study was to compare overall survival for immigrants versus long-term residents of Ontario, Canada among patients diagnosed with lung cancer. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study utilized linked health administrative databases and identified all individuals (immigrants and long-term residents) aged 40 + years diagnosed with incident lung cancer between April 1, 2012 and March 31, 2017. The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival with December 31, 2019 as the end of the follow-up period. We implemented adjusted Cox proportional hazards models stratified by age at diagnosis, sex, and cancer stage at diagnosis to examine survival. RESULTS: Thirty-eight thousand seven hundred eighty-eight individuals diagnosed with lung cancer were included in our cohort including 7% who were immigrants. Immigrants were younger at diagnosis and were more likely to reside in the lowest neighbourhood income quintile (30.6% versus 24.5%) than long-term residents. After adjusting for age at diagnosis, neighbourhood income quintile, comorbidities, visits to primary care in the 6 to 30 months before diagnosis, continuity of care, cancer type and cancer stage at diagnosis, immigrant status was associated with a lower hazard of dying 5-years post-diagnosis for both females (0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.8) and males (0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.7) in comparison to long-term residents. This trend held in adjusted models stratified by cancer stage at diagnosis. For example, female immigrants diagnosed with early stage lung cancer had a hazard ratio of 0.5 (95% CI 0.4-0.7) in comparison to long-term residents. CONCLUSION: Overall survival post diagnosis with lung cancer was better among Ontario immigrants versus long-term residents. Additional research, potentially on the protective effects of immigrant enclave and the intersection of immigrant status with racial/ethnic identity, is needed to further explore why better overall survival for immigrants remained.
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Emigrantes e Inmigrantes , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etnología , Emigrantes e Inmigrantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Ontario/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Factores Socioeconómicos , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although red meat consumption has been associated with risk of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease and stroke, no prospective study has examined this with the risk of chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI). METHODS: In a prospective study of 63,257 Chinese in Singapore, who were aged 45-74 years old at recruitment, diet was assessed via a validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire. Incident CLTI cases were ascertained via linkage with nationwide hospital records for lower extremity amputation or angioplasty for peripheral arterial disease. Multivariable Cox models were used to examine associations between quartiles of meat intake and CLTI risk. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up of 18.8 years, there were 1069 cases of CLTI. Higher intake of red meat intake was associated with increased risk of CLTI in a stepwise manner. Comparing extreme quartiles of red meat intake, the hazard ratio (HR) for the association with CLTI risk was 1.24 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03-1.49; P-trend = 0.02]. In stratified analysis, red meat intake had a stronger association with CLTI risk among those without diabetes [HR (95% CI) comparing extreme quartiles = 1.41 (1.10-1.80); P-trend = 0.03] than among those with diabetes at baseline [HR (95% CI) comparing extreme quartiles = 1.04 (0.79-1.38); P-trend = 0.05] (P-interaction = 0.03). Otherwise, the associations were not different by sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension, alcohol consumption, or history of cardiovascular diseases. Using a theoretical model in substitution analysis that substituted three servings per week of red meat with poultry or fish/shellfish, the relative risk of CLTI was reduced by 13-14%. CONCLUSIONS: Consumption of red meat was associated with higher CLTI risk in this Asian cohort. Substituting red meat with poultry or fish/shellfish may reduce this risk.
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Isquemia Crónica que Amenaza las Extremidades , Dieta , Carne Roja , Anciano , Animales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Isquemia Crónica que Amenaza las Extremidades/epidemiología , Isquemia Crónica que Amenaza las Extremidades/etiología , Dieta/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Seguimiento , Carne/efectos adversos , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/epidemiología , Aves de Corral , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , Carne Roja/efectos adversos , Factores de Riesgo , Singapur/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Pueblos del Este de AsiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) is prevalent in individuals undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) and is related to increased susceptibility to coronary artery disease and initial peritonitis. In recent investigations, correlations have been found between indices of IR and the incidence of all-cause mortality in various populations. However, such correlations have not been detected among individuals undergoing PD. Hence, the present study's aim was to explore the connections between IR indices and the incidence of all-cause mortality in PD patients. METHODS: Peritoneal dialysis patients (n = 1736) were recruited from multiple PD centres between January 2010 and December 2021. Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline regression models were used to evaluate the connections between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride-glucose/body mass index (TyG-BMI), and triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and the occurrence of all-cause mortality. All three IR indices were integrated into the same model to assess the predictive stability. Furthermore, a forest plot was employed to display the findings of the subgroup analysis of PD patients. RESULTS: Overall, 378 mortality events were recorded during a median follow-up time of 2098 days. Among PD patients, a higher TyG index, TyG-BMI, and TG/HDL-C ratio were identified as independent risk factors for all-cause mortality according to Cox proportional hazards analyses (hazard ratio (HR) 1.588, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.261-2.000; HR 1.428, 95% CI 1.067-1.910; HR 1.431, 95% CI 1.105-1.853, respectively). In a model integrating the three IR indices, the TyG index showed the highest predictive stability. According to the forest plot for the TyG index, no significant interactions were observed among the subgroups. CONCLUSION: Significant associations were found between the TyG index, TyG-BMI, and TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of all-cause mortality among PD patients. The TyG index may be the most stable of the three surrogate IR markers. Finally, a correlation was identified between IR and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients undergoing PD.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Resistencia a la Insulina , Diálisis Peritoneal , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Diálisis Peritoneal/mortalidad , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Triglicéridos/sangre , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Anciano , Glucemia , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , AdultoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Mutated human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) is an oncogene with critical pathogenic roles in breast cancer. HER2-low-positive breast cancer is a recently described subtype. We aimed to explore the clinical and molecular characteristics of gastric cancer with low HER2 expression, drawing on recent developments in breast cancer subtypes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study involved 129 patients with HER2-non-amplified gastric cancer treated in Iwate prefectural Iwai Hospital from 2013 to 2019. Tumors were classified as HER2-null or low-positive based on immunohistochemistry score 0 or 1 + or 2 + with HER2 negativity in situ hybridization, respectively. Statistical analyses, including Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional hazards model were conducted. RESULTS: Low HER2 expression was present in 26% (33/129) of the patients. Clinicopathological characteristics were not significantly different between the HER2-low and null groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis of overall survival was significantly longer in the HER2-low group than in the HER2-null group (P = 0.01). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, HER2-null status was associated with worse survival (hazard ratio 3.01; 95% confidence interval 1.18-7.65; and P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: This study highlights the prognostic importance of low HER2 expression in gastric cancer, similar to that observed in HER2-low-positive breast cancer, and suggests reclassification of gastric cancer to improve personalized treatment. Future studies should elucidate the molecular underpinnings of low HER2 expression in gastric cancer to guide novel therapeutic strategies and improve outcomes.
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Receptor ErbB-2 , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/patología , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Gástricas/genética , Neoplasias Gástricas/metabolismo , Receptor ErbB-2/metabolismo , Receptor ErbB-2/genética , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Biomarcadores de Tumor/genética , Biomarcadores de Tumor/metabolismo , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Inmunohistoquímica , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
Depression is frequently reported in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) due to the disastrous prognosis of progressive motor impairment, but the risk of depression in ALS is still unclear. Therefore, we investigated the risk of depression in ALS and analyzed the effect of ALS-related physical disability on the risk of developing depression using the Korean National Health Insurance Service (KNHIS) database. A total of 2241 ALS patients, as defined by the International Classification Diseases (ICD, G12.21) and Rare Intractable Disease codes (V123), and 1:10 sex- and age-matched controls were selected from the KNHIS. After applying exclusion criteria (non-participation in national health screening, history of depression, or having missing data), 595 ALS patients and 9896 non-ALS individuals were finally selected. Primary outcome is newly diagnosed depression during follow-up duration defined by ICD code (F32 or F33). A Cox regression model was used to examine the hazard ratios (HRs) after adjustment for potential confounders. During the follow-up period, 283 cases of depression in the ALS group and 1547 in the controls were recorded. The adjusted HR for depression in ALS was 9.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.87-10.60). The risk of depression was slightly higher in the disabled ALS group (aHR 10.1, 95% CI 7.98-12.67) than in the non-disabled ALS group (aHR 8.78, 95% CI 7.42-10.39). The relative risk of depression was higher in younger patients than in older patients, and in obese patients than in non-obese patients. Our study showed that ALS patients have an increased risk of depression compared to non-ALS individuals.
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Esclerosis Amiotrófica Lateral , Depresión , Humanos , Esclerosis Amiotrófica Lateral/epidemiología , República de Corea/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Depresión/epidemiología , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
AIMS: Risk factors for lower limb amputation (LLA) in individuals with diabetes have been under-studied. We examined how 1/demographic and socioeconomic, 2/medical, and 3/lifestyle risk factors may be associated with LLA in people with newly diagnosed diabetes. METHODS: Using the Swedish national diabetes register from 2007 to 2016, we identified all individuals ≥18 years with an incident diabetes diagnosis and no previous amputation. These individuals were followed from the date of diabetes diagnosis to amputation, emigration, death, or the end of the study in 2017 using data from the In-Patient Register and the Total Population Register. The cohort consisted of 66,569 individuals. Information about demographic, socioeconomic, medical, and lifestyle risk factors was ascertained around the time of the first recorded diabetes diagnosis, derived from the above-mentioned registers. Cox proportional hazard models were used to obtain hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: During the median follow-up time of 4 years, there were 133 individuals with LLA. The model adjusting for all variables showed a higher risk for LLA with higher age, HR 1.08 (95% CI 1.05-1.10), male sex, HR 1.57 (1.06-2.34), being divorced, HR 1.67 (1.07-2.60), smokers HR 1.99 (1.28-3.09), insulin treated persons HR 2.03 (1.10-3.74), people with low physical activity (PA) HR 2.05 (1.10-3.74), and people with an increased foot risk at baseline HR > 4.12. People with obesity had lower risk, HR 0.46 (0.29-0.75). CONCLUSIONS: This study found a higher risk for LLA among people with higher age, male sex, who were divorced, had a higher foot risk group, were on insulin treatment, had lower PA levels, and were smokers. No significant association was found between risk for LLA and education level, country of origin, type of diabetes, blood glucose level, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, creatinine level, or glomerular filtration rate. Obesity was associated with lower risk for LLA. Identified variables may have important roles in LLA risk among people with diabetes.
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Amputación Quirúrgica , Extremidad Inferior , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Amputación Quirúrgica/estadística & datos numéricos , Suecia/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Adulto , Extremidad Inferior/cirugía , Pie Diabético/cirugía , Pie Diabético/epidemiología , Pie Diabético/etiología , Sistema de Registros , Estilo de Vida , Estudios de Cohortes , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the real world effectiveness of modified vaccinia Ankara-Bavarian Nordic (MVA-BN) vaccine against mpox infection. DESIGN: Emulation of a target trial. SETTING: Linked databases in Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: 9803 men aged ≥18 years with a history of being tested for syphilis and a laboratory confirmed bacterial sexually transmitted infection (STI) in the previous year, or who filled a prescription for HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis in the previous year. On each day between 12 June 2022 and 27 October 2022, those who had been vaccinated 15 days previously were matched 1:1 with unvaccinated men by age, geographical region, past HIV diagnosis, number of bacterial STI diagnoses in the previous three years, and receipt of any non-MVA-BN vaccine in the previous year. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The main outcome measure was vaccine effectiveness ((1-hazard ratio)×100) of one dose of subcutaneously administered MVA-BN against laboratory confirmed mpox infection. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios to compare the rate of laboratory confirmed mpox between the two groups. RESULTS: 3204 men who received the vaccine were matched to 3204 unvaccinated controls. A total of 71 mpox infections were diagnosed, with 0.09 per 1000 person days (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.05 to 0.13) in the vaccinated group and 0.20 per 1000 person days (0.15 to 0.27) in the unvaccinated group over the study period of 153 days. Estimated vaccine effectiveness of one dose of MVA-BN against mpox infection was 58% (95% CI 31% to 75%). CONCLUSION: The findings of this study, conducted in the context of a targeted vaccination programme and evolving outbreak of mpox, suggest that one dose of MVA-BN is moderately effective in preventing mpox infection.
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Eficacia de las Vacunas , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Ontario/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Vacuna contra Viruela/administración & dosificaciónRESUMEN
Selenium, a crucial antioxidant in the body, has been linked to all-cause and cause-specific mortality. However, the relationship between selenium and mortality in the general population remains unclear. A total of 5449 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (2003-2004, 2011-2016) were analyzed to track participant mortality until December 31, 2019. The COX proportional hazard model, KaplanâMeier survival analysis and restricted cubic spline regression analysis were used to investigate the associations. Subgroup analysis was conducted on the basis of age (≤ 60, > 60), sex (male, female), and smoking status (nonsmoker, former smoker, and current smoker). The second quartile was associated with lower all-cause mortality and noncardiovascular mortality (HR and 95% CI 0.61,0.45-0.83;0.59,0.42-0.83, respectively). The third quartile was associated with lower cardiovascular-related mortality (HR and 95% CI 0.49, 0.32-0.76). Elevated serum selenium concentrations were associated with lower all-cause mortality, noncardiovascular mortality (range ≤ 129.82 µg/L), and cardiovascular mortality (range ≤ 129.08 µg/L). Subgroup analysis revealed a positive correlation between the serum selenium concentration (range ≥ 129.82 µg/L) and all-cause mortality among the subgroup of current smokers (p < 0.001). This study indicates that the protective effect of the serum selenium concentration on cause-specific mortality decreases beyond a certain range in the general population, potentially increasing the risk of death among current smokers.
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Encuestas Nutricionales , Selenio , Fumar , Humanos , Selenio/sangre , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fumar/sangre , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Anciano , Causas de Muerte , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Factores de Riesgo , Estimación de Kaplan-MeierRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of heart failure and heart transplantation. Recently, some studies have reported that the autoimmune response in myocardial cells might be related to the pathogenesis of DCM. The CD247 gene has been previously found to be involved in autoimmune disease. Therefore, our study aimed to clarify the hypothesis that there is a certain linkage between polymorphisms of the CD247 gene and the triggering of DCM risk. METHODS: In the present study, two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the CD247 gene, rs12141731 and rs858543, were genotyped by polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP) in 355 DCM patients and 404 age- and sex-matched controls. RESULTS: Pearson's chi-squared test for the CD247 gene revealed that SNP rs858543 (p = 0.001, OR = 0.72, 95% CI = (0.588-0.882), but not SNP rs12141731, was associated with DCM in the Chinese Han population. Haplotype analysis revealed that the CC haplotype was associated with increased DCM susceptibility, while CT was a protective haplotype. Cox multivariate survival analysis indicated that the rs858543 TT genotype (HR: 0.608, 95% CI = 0.402-0.921, p = 0.019) was an independent multivariate predictor for longer overall survival in DCM patients. CD247 mRNA expression levels were significantly decreased in DCM patients (p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggested that a polymorphism in the CD247 gene may be a risk factor for DCM in the Chinese Han population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ChiCTR2000029701.
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Antígenos CD , Pueblo Asiatico , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Haplotipos , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Humanos , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/genética , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/etnología , Cardiomiopatía Dilatada/mortalidad , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , China/epidemiología , Pueblo Asiatico/genética , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Factores de Riesgo , Antígenos CD/genética , Adulto , Estudios de Asociación Genética , Frecuencia de los Genes , Fenotipo , Anciano , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Complejo CD3RESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Cancer is a leading cause of death in unhoused adults. We sought to examine the association between housing status, stage at diagnosis and all-cause survival following cancer diagnosis at a public hospital. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study examining new cancer diagnoses between 1 July 2011 and 30 June 2021. SETTING: A public hospital in San Francisco. EXPOSURE: Housing status (housed, formerly unhoused, unhoused) was ascertained via a county-wide integrated dataset that tracks both observed and reported homelessness. METHODS: We reported univariate analyses to investigate differences in demographic and clinical characteristics by housing group. We then constructed Kaplan-Meier curves stratified by housing group to examine unadjusted all-cause mortality. Finally, we used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to compare the hazard rate of mortality for each housing status group, adjusting for demographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: Our cohort included 5123 patients with new cancer diagnoses, with 4062 (79%) in housed patients, 623 (12%) in formerly unhoused patients and 438 (9%) in unhoused patients. Unhoused and formerly unhoused patients were more commonly diagnosed with stage 4 disease (28% and 27% of the time, respectively, vs 22% of housed patients). After adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics, unhoused patients with stage 0-3 disease had a 50% increased hazard of death (adjusted HR (aHR) 1.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.9; p<0.004) as did formerly unhoused patients (aHR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9; p=0.001) compared with housed individuals 3 months after diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Unhoused and formerly unhoused patients diagnosed with non-metastatic cancer had substantially increased hazards of death compared with housed patients cared for in a public hospital setting. Current or former lack of housing could contribute to poor outcomes following cancer diagnoses via multiple mechanisms.
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Hospitales Públicos , Vivienda , Personas con Mala Vivienda , Neoplasias , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Neoplasias/terapia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hospitales Públicos/estadística & datos numéricos , San Francisco/epidemiología , Personas con Mala Vivienda/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Adulto , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estimación de Kaplan-MeierRESUMEN
This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) in Asian patients with Esophageal Cancer (EC). Data from Asian EC patients were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was used for initial variable selection, followed by multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was subsequently constructed based on these factors. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves, while the clinical utility of the nomogram was assessed through decision curve analysis (DCA). The LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age, sex, marital status, tumor size, M stage, surgery, and chemotherapy as independent prognostic factors. The ROC curve results demonstrated that the area under the curve (AUC) values for predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS in the training cohort were 0.770, 0.756, and 0.783, respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUC values were 0.814, 0.763, and 0.771, respectively. Calibration curves indicated a high concordance between predicted and actual OS. The DCA demonstrated that the nomogram has significant clinical applicability. This nomogram provides reliable predictions and valuable guidance for personalized survival estimates and high-risk patient identification.