RESUMEN

Objective: Given the limited evidence on the relationship between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the risk of prediabetes among young adults, our study aimed to investigate the potential impact of the TyG index on the future development of prediabetes in young individuals. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 125,327 healthy adults aged 20 to 45 years. We utilized Cox proportional hazards regression models, combined with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting, to assess the relationship between baseline TyG index and the risk of prediabetes among young adults, exploring its non-linear association. A series of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were conducted to ensure the robustness of our findings. Results: After adjusting for covariates, the study found a positive correlation between the TyG index and the risk of prediabetes (HR=1.81, 95%CI: 1.54-2.13, p<0.0001). The risk of prediabetes increased progressively across quartiles of the TyG index (Q1 to Q4), with Q4 showing a significantly higher risk compared to Q1 (adjusted HR=2.33, 95% CI=1.72-3.16). Moreover, a non-linear relationship was identified between the TyG index and the risk of prediabetes, with an inflection point at 9.39. To the left of the inflection point, the HR was 2.04 (95% CI: 1.69 to 2.46), while to the right, the HR was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.48 to 1.65). Conclusion: Our study reveals a non-linear relationship and a saturation effect between the TyG index and the development of prediabetes among young individuals in China, with an inflection point at 9.39. Understanding this non-linear relationship can assist clinicians in identifying young individuals at high risk and implementing targeted interventions to reduce their risk of progressing to diabetes.

Asunto(s)

Glucemia , Estado Prediabético , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto Joven , Glucemia/análisis , China/epidemiología , Triglicéridos/sangre , Factores de Riesgo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios de Seguimiento , Pueblos del Este de Asia

RESUMEN

Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a prevalent metabolic disorder strongly linked to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Understanding the predictive value of lipid parameters in identifying abnormal glucose metabolism in NAFLD patients is crucial for early intervention. Methods: This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(NHANES) database (2017-2020) involving 1066 NAFLD patients. Participants were categorized into three groups: T2DM (n=414), prediabetes mellitus (pre-DM) (n=507), and normoglycemia (NG) (n=145). Traditional lipid parameters [triglycerides (TG) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)] and nontraditional lipid parameters [atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), residual cholesterol (RC), and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C)] were evaluated for their association with T2DM and pre-DM. Results: Elevated TG levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of T2DM and pre-DM, whereas high HDL-C demonstrated a protective effect. Among nontraditional lipid parameters, increased AIP and RC were most strongly associated with T2DM risk, while high non-HDL-C was best associated with the development of pre-DM. Stratified analyses revealed that these associations were stronger in younger, non-obese, smoking, and female NAFLD patients. Conclusion: Nontraditional lipid parameters, particularly AIP and RC, show superior predictive value over traditional lipid parameters in identifying abnormal glucose metabolism in NAFLD patients. Incorporating these novel biomarkers into clinical practice could enhance early detection and prevention strategies for T2DM and pre-DM in this high-risk population.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/sangre , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/epidemiología , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/metabolismo , Femenino , Masculino , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/metabolismo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Lípidos/sangre , Biomarcadores/sangre , Anciano , Estudios Transversales , Glucemia/metabolismo , Glucemia/análisis

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The worldwide prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in adults is experiencing a rapid increase. This study aimed to identify the factors affecting the survival of prediabetic patients using a comparison of the Cox proportional hazards model (CPH) and the Random survival forest (RSF). METHOD: This prospective cohort study was performed on 746 prediabetics in southwest Iran. The demographic, lifestyle, and clinical data of the participants were recorded. The CPH and RSF models were used to determine the patients' survival. Furthermore, the concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were employed to compare the performance of the Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model and the random survival forest (RSF) model. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative T2DM incidence was 12.73%. Based on the results of the CPH model, NAFLD (HR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.06, 2.85), FBS (HR = 1.008, 95% CI: 1.005, 1.012) and increased abdominal fat (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.04) were directly associated with diabetes occurrence in prediabetic patients. The RSF model suggests that factors including FBS, waist circumference, depression, NAFLD, afternoon sleep, and female gender are the most important variables that predict diabetes. The C-index indicated that the RSF model has a higher percentage of agreement than the CPH model, and in the weighted Brier Score index, the RSF model had less error than the Kaplan-Meier and CPH model. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that the incidence of diabetes was alarmingly high in Iran. The results suggested that several demographic and clinical factors are associated with diabetes occurrence in prediabetic patients. The high-risk population needs special measures for screening and care programs.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Estado Prediabético , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Irán/epidemiología , Adulto , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidad , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , Factores de Riesgo

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: An increased risk of diabetes mellitus (DM) after COVID-19 has been reported in the United States, Europe, and Asia. The burden of COVID-related DM has yet to be described in Africa, where the overall risk of DM has been increasing rapidly. Our objective was to compare the prevalence of pre-DM and DM in Nigerian individuals with a history of COVID-19 to individuals without known COVID-19 infection. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study with 256 individuals with a past medical history of COVID-19 with no history of pre-DM or DM and 256 individuals without a history of COVID-19 or pre-DM/DM. Participants were categorized as pre-DM (fasting capillary glucose 100-125 mg/dL) or DM (fasting capillary glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL). We employed univariate and multivariable logistic regression to identify key predictors and adjust for confounders related to hyperglycaemia risk factors. Additionally, we used multinomial logistic regression to analyze the relationship between COVID-19 history and diabetes status, distinguishing between normal, pre-diabetic, and diabetic glucose levels. All models were adjusted for age, gender, hypertension, physical activity, central adiposity, and family history of DM. RESULTS: Compared to the control group, those with a history of COVID-19 had a similar median age (38 vs. 40 years, p = 0.84), had a higher proportion of men (63% vs. 49%), and had a lower prevalence of central adiposity (waist: hip ratio ≥ 0.90 for males and WHR ≥ 0.85 for females) (48% vs. 56.3%, p = 0.06). Of the 256 with a history of COVID-19, 44 (17%) required in-patient care. The median (interquartile range) time interval between COVID-19 diagnosis and the glycaemic assessment was 19 (IQR: 14, 24) months. Pre-DM prevalence was 27% in the post-COVID-19 group and 4% in the control group, whereas the prevalence of DM was 7% in the post-COVID-19 group and 2% in the control group. After multivariable adjustment, the odds of pre-DM were 8.12 (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.98, 16.58; p < 0.001) higher, and the odds of DM were 3.97 (95% CI: 1.16, 13.63) higher in those with a history of COVID-19 compared to controls. In the adjusted multinomial logistic regression analysis, individuals with a history of COVID-19 exhibited significantly elevated risks for pre-diabetes (RRR = 7.55, 95% CI: 3.76-15.17) and diabetes (RRR = 3.44, 95% CI: 1.01-11.71) compared to those without COVID-19. CONCLUSION: Previous COVID-19 was found to be a risk factor for prevalent pre-diabetes and diabetes mellitus in Nigeria. More intensive screening for DM in those with a history of COVID-19 should be considered.

Asunto(s)

COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Nigeria/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Prevalencia , SARS-CoV-2

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Prevalence of prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes are different in rural and urban dwellings, with varying driving factors. This study aimed to determine the differences in risk factors of prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes among Yoruba speaking adult dwellers in selected rural and urban communities in Nigeria using haemoglobin A1c. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in five selected states in Southwestern Nigeria. Using a multistage sampling technique, 2,537 participants with no prior diagnosis of prediabetes or diabetes mellitus (DM) were enrolled and their glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) determined. Descriptive statistics, univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis was used to determine the prevalence and risk factors of prediabetes and diabetes at 5% level of significance. RESULTS: Increased age, sex, family history of diabetes, being married, participants' history of hypertension, cardiovascular disease and Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) or delivery of big babies, BMI, systolic and diastolic blood pressure were significantly associated with prediabetes and diabetes in both urban and rural areas. However, adjusted odds ratio showed that family history of diabetes (2.14, 95% CI: 1.26-3.61 versus 1.36, 95% CI: 1.00-1.85) and past GDM among women (2.67, 95% CI: 0.62, 11.39 versus 1.32, 95% CI: 0.61, 2.89) clearly predict dysglycaemia in the rural compared to urban participants, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Family history of diabetes and past GDM disproportionately predict dysglycaemia in rural compared to urban participants. Periodic screening for dysglycaemia and public health education, especially in child-bearing women, are necessary measures to reduce the burden of dysglycaemia in Nigeria.

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CONTEXTE ET OBJECTIFS: La prévalence du prédiabète et du diabète non diagnostiqué diffère entre les zones rurales et urbaines, avec des facteurs déterminants variés. Cette étude visait à déterminer les différences dans les facteurs de risque du prédiabète et du diabète non diagnostiqué chez les adultes yoruba-parlants vivant dans des communautés rurales et urbaines sélectionnées au Nigeria, en utilisant l'hémoglobine A1c. MÉTHODES: Une étude transversale a été menée dans cinq États sélectionnés du sud-ouest du Nigeria. Utilisant une échantillonnage en plusieurs étapes, 2 537 participants sans diagnostic antérieur de prédiabète ou de diabète sucré (DS) ont été recrutés et leur hémoglobine glyquée (HbA1c) déterminée. Des statistiques descriptives, ainsi que des analyses de régression logistique univariée et multivariée, ont été utilisées pour déterminer la prévalence et les facteurs de risque du prédiabète et du diabète à un seuil de signification de 5 %. RÉSULTATS: L'augmentation de l'âge, le sexe, les antécédents familiaux de diabète, le mariage, les antécédents d'hypertension, de maladie cardiovasculaire et de diabète gestationnel (DG) ou l'accouchement de gros bébés, l'IMC, la pression artérielle systolique et diastolique étaient significativement associés au prédiabète et au diabète dans les zones urbaines et rurales. Cependant, les odds ratio ajustés ont montré que les antécédents familiaux de diabète (2,14, IC à 95 % : 1,26-3,61 contre 1,36, IC à 95 % : 1,00-1,85) et les antécédents de DG chez les femmes (2,67, IC à 95 %: 0,62, 11,39 contre 1,32, IC à 95 % : 0,61, 2,89) prédisent clairement la dysglycémie en milieu rural par rapport aux participants urbains, respectivement. CONCLUSIONS: Les antécédents familiaux de diabète et les antécédents de DG prédisent de manière disproportionnée la dysglycémie en milieu rural par rapport au milieu urbain. Un dépistage périodique de la dysglycémie et une éducation sanitaire, en particulier chez les femmes en âge de procréer, sont des mesures nécessaires pour réduire le fardeau de la dysglycémie au Nigeria. MOTS-CLÉS: Prédiabète, diabète non diagnostiqué, Facteurs de risque, Rural-urbain, Différences, Basé sur l'hémoglobine glyquée, Nigeria.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus , Hemoglobina Glucada , Estado Prediabético , Población Rural , Población Urbana , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Nigeria/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Transversales , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hemoglobina Glucada/análisis , Prevalencia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Adulto Joven , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Anciano

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM), prediabetes, and insulin resistance are highly prevalent in patients with ischemic stroke (IS). DM is associated with higher risk for poor outcomes after IS. OBJECTIVE: Investigate the risk of recurrent vascular events and mortality associated with impaired glucose metabolism compared to normoglycemia in patients with IS and transient ischemic attack (TIA). METHODS: Systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library on 21st March 2024 and via citation searching. Studies that comprised IS or TIA patients and exposures of impaired glucose metabolism were eligible. Study Quality Assessment Tool was used for risk of bias assessment. Covariate adjusted outcomes were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES: Recurrent stroke, cardiac events, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality and composite of vascular outcomes. RESULTS: Of 10,974 identified studies 159 were eligible. 67% had low risk of bias. DM was associated with an increased risk for composite events (pooled HR (pHR) including 445,808 patients: 1.58, 95% CI 1.34-1.85, I2 = 88%), recurrent stroke (pHR including 1.161.527 patients: 1.42 (1.29-1.56, I2 = 92%), cardiac events (pHR including 443,863 patients: 1.55, 1.50-1.61, I2 = 0%), and all-cause mortality (pHR including 1.031.472 patients: 1.56, 1.34-1.82, I2 = 99%). Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk for composite events (pHR including 8,262 patients: 1.50, 1.15-1.96, I2 = 0%) and recurrent stroke (pHR including 10,429 patients: 1.50, 1.18-1.91, I2 = 0), however, not with mortality (pHR including 9,378 patients, 1.82, 0.73-4.57, I2 = 78%). Insulin resistance was associated with recurrent stroke (pHR including 21,363 patients: 1.56, 1.19-2.05, I2 = 55%), but not with mortality (pHR including 21,363 patients: 1.31, 0.66-2.59, I2 = 85%). DISCUSSION: DM is associated with a 56% increased relative risk of death after IS and TIA. Risk estimates regarding recurrent events are similarly high between prediabetes and DM, indicating high cardiovascular risk burden already in precursor stages of DM. There was a high heterogeneity across most outcomes.

Asunto(s)

Glucemia , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Recurrencia , Humanos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/mortalidad , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Glucemia/metabolismo , Pronóstico , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidad , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/mortalidad , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estado Prediabético/mortalidad , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Resistencia a la Insulina

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Glucose metabolic disorder is associated with the risk of heart failure (HF). Adiposity is a comorbidity that is inextricably linked with abnormal glucose metabolism in older individuals. However, the effect of adiposity on the association between glucose metabolic disorder and HF risk, and the underlying mechanism remain unclear. METHODS: A total of 13,251 participants aged ≥ 60 years from a cohort study were categorized into euglycemia, prediabetes, uncontrolled diabetes, and well-controlled diabetes. Adiposity was assessed using body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and visceral fat area (VFA). Adiposity-associated metabolic activities were evaluated using adiponectin-to-leptin ratio (ALR), homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and triglyceride-glucose index (TyG). The first occurrence of HF served as the outcome during the follow-up period. RESULTS: A total of 1,138 participants developed HF over the course of an average follow-up period of 10.9 years. The rate of incident HF occurrence was higher in prediabetes, uncontrolled diabetes, and well-controlled diabetes participants compared to that in euglycemia participants. However, the high rates were significantly attenuated by BMI, VFA, and WHR. For WHR in particular, the hazard ratio for incident HF was 1.18 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.35, Padj.=0.017) in prediabetes, 1.59 (95% CI: 1.34, 1.90, Padj.<0.001) in uncontrolled diabetes, and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.43, Padj.=0.466) in well-controlled diabetes. The population attributable risk percentage for central obesity classified by WHR for incident HF was 30.3% in euglycemia, 50.0% in prediabetes, 48.5% in uncontrolled diabetes, and 54.4% in well-controlled diabetes. Adiposity measures, especially WHR, showed a significant interaction with glucose metabolic disorder in incident HF (all Padj.<0.001). ALR was negatively associated and HOMA-IR and TyG were positively associated with BMI, WHR, VFA, and incident HF (all Padj.<0.05). ALR, HOMA-IR, and TyG mediated the associations for BMI, WHR and VFA with incident HF (all Padj.<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Adiposity attenuated the association of glucose metabolic disorder with incident HF. The results also showed that WHR may be an appropriate indicator for evaluating adiposity in older individuals. Adiposity-associated metabolic activities may have a bridging role in the process of adiposity attenuating the association between glucose metabolic disorder and incident HF. TRIAL REGISTRATION: retrospectively registered number: ChiCTR-EOC-17,013,598.

Asunto(s)

Adiposidad , Biomarcadores , Glucemia , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/sangre , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/fisiopatología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Glucemia/metabolismo , Medición de Riesgo , Incidencia , Factores de Riesgo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Factores de Edad , Índice de Masa Corporal , Resistencia a la Insulina , Relación Cintura-Cadera , Obesidad/epidemiología , Obesidad/diagnóstico , Obesidad/sangre , Obesidad/fisiopatología , Adiponectina/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/sangre , Pronóstico , Grasa Intraabdominal/fisiopatología , Grasa Intraabdominal/metabolismo , Leptina

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) is a surrogate index to estimate insulin sensitivity. The aim of this study was to examine the association between METS-IR and regression to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes. METHODS: A total of 15,415 Chinese adults with prediabetes defined by their fasting blood glucose were included in this retrospective study. The association between METS-IR and regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. A Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function was performed to explore the nonlinear association between METS-IR and regression to normoglycemia. Kaplan-Meier curves was used to describe the probability of regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes. RESULTS: In multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, the increase in METS-IR was independently associated with a reduced probability of regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes (all p < 0.01 in models 1-3). A nonlinear association between METS-IR and the probability of regression to normoglycemia was observed, with an inflection point of 49.3. The hazard ratio on the left side of the inflection point was 0.965 (95% CI 0.953-0.976). Subgroup analyses demonstrated the robustness of our findings. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated a negative and nonlinear association between METS-IR and regression to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes. When METS-IR is below 49.3, reducing METS-IR could significantly increase the probability of regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes.

Asunto(s)

Glucemia , Resistencia a la Insulina , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/metabolismo , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Glucemia/metabolismo , Glucemia/análisis , China/epidemiología , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Anciano , Pueblo Asiatico , Pueblos del Este de Asia

RESUMEN

AIMS: To evaluate the external validity of Finnish diabetes risk score (FINDRISC) and Latin American FINDRISC (LAFINDRISC) for undiagnosed dysglycemia in hospital health care workers. METHODS: We carried out a cross-sectional study on health workers without a prior history of diabetes mellitus (DM). Undiagnosed dysglycemia (prediabetes or diabetes mellitus) was defined using fasting glucose and two-hour oral glucose tolerance test. LAFINDRISC is an adapted version of FINDRISC with different waist circumference cut-off points. We calculated the area under the receptor operational characteristic curve (AUROC) and explored the best cut-off point. RESULTS: We included 549 participants in the analysis. The frequency of undiagnosed dysglycemia was 17.8%. The AUROC of LAFINDRISC and FINDRISC were 71.5% and 69.2%; p = 0.007, respectively. The optimal cut-off for undiagnosed dysglycemiaaccording to Index Youden was ≥ 11 in LAFINDRISC (Sensitivity: 78.6%; Specificity: 51.7%) and ≥12 in FINDRISC (Sensitivity: 70.4%; Specificity: 53.9%). CONCLUSION: The discriminative capacity of both questionnaires is good for the diagnosis of dysglycemia in the healthcare personnel of the María Auxiliadora hospital. The LAFINDRISC presented a small statistical difference, nontheless clinically similar, since there was no difference by age or sex. Further studies in the general population are required to validate these results.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus , Tamizaje Masivo , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Perú/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/sangre , Personal de Salud , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Glucemia/análisis , Factores de Riesgo , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología

RESUMEN

Prediabetes and related complications constitute significant public health burdens globally. As an indicator closely associated with abnormal glucose metabolism and atherosclerosis, the utility of Pulse Pressure Index (PPI) as a prediabetes risk marker has not been explored. We performed a retrospective cohort analysis to investigate this putative association between PPI and prediabetes hazard. Our analysis encompassed 183,517 Chinese adults ≥ 20 years registered within the Rich Healthcare Group 2010-2016. PPI was defined as (systolic blood pressure - diastolic blood pressure)/systolic blood pressure. The relationship between PPI and prediabetes risk was assessed via Cox proportional hazards regression modeling. Non-linearity evaluations applied cubic spline fitting approaches alongside smooth curve analysis. Inflection points of PPI concerning prediabetes hazard were determined using two-piecewise Cox models. During a median follow-up of 3 years (2.17-3.96 years), new-onset prediabetes was documented in 20,607 patients (11.23%). Multivariate regression analysis showed that PPI was an independent risk factor for prediabetes, and the risk of prediabetes increased by 0.6% for every 1% increase in PPI (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.006, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.004-1.008, P < 0.001). This association was non-significant for PPI ≤ 37.41% yet exhibited a sharp upsurge when PPI surpassed 37.41% (HR: 1.013, 95% CI 1.005-1.021, P = 0.0029). Our analysis unveils a positive, non-linear association between PPI and future prediabetes risk. Within defined PPI ranges, this relationship is negligible but dramatically elevates beyond identified thresholds.

Asunto(s)

Presión Sanguínea , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Anciano , Incidencia , China/epidemiología

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To perform a detailed characterisation of diabetes burden and pre-diabetes risk in a rural county with previously documented poor health outcomes in order to understand the local within-county distribution of diabetes in rural areas of America. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In 2021, we prospectively mailed health surveys to all households in Sullivan County, a rural county with the second-worst health outcomes of all counties in New York State. Our survey included questions on demographics, medical history and the American Diabetes Association's Pre-diabetes Risk Test. PRIMARY OUTCOME AND METHODS: Our primary outcome was an assessment of diabetes burden within this rural county. To help mitigate non-response bias in our survey, raking adjustments were performed across strata of age, sex, race/ethnicity and health insurance. We analysed diabetes prevalence by demographic characteristics and used geospatial analysis to assess for clustering of diagnosed diabetes cases. RESULTS: After applying raking procedures for the 4725 survey responses, our adjusted diagnosed diabetes prevalence for Sullivan County was 12.9% compared with the 2019 Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) estimate of 8.6%. In this rural area, diagnosed diabetes prevalence was notably higher among non-Hispanic Black (21%) and Hispanic (15%) residents compared with non-Hispanic White (12%) residents. 53% of respondents without a known history of pre-diabetes or diabetes scored as high risk for pre-diabetes. Nearest neighbour analyses revealed that hotspots of diagnosed diabetes were primarily located in the more densely populated areas of this rural county. CONCLUSIONS: Our mailed health survey to all residents in Sullivan County demonstrated higher diabetes prevalence compared with modelled BRFSS estimates that were based on small telephone samples. Our results suggest the need for better diabetes surveillance in rural communities, which may benefit from interventions specifically tailored for improving glycaemic control among rural residents.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Estado Prediabético , Población Rural , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , New York/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Adulto , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Prevalencia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven , Adolescente

RESUMEN

Prediabetes is an early phase before diabetes. Diabetes and dietary inflammation are two crucial factors that are strongly associated with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Dietary interventions slowed the progression of diabetes and CVD. However, the associations between CVDs and dietary inflammation in different stages of pathoglycaemia have not been investigated. To explore the effect of a proinflammatory diet on CVD incidence at different stages of diabetes, NHANES (2001-2018) data were collected and analysed. A total of 3137 CVD patients with a comparable non-CVD group (n = 3137) were enrolled after propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. These patients were subsequently categorized into three subgroups: those with diabetes (n = 3043), those with prediabetes (n = 1099) and those with normoglycemia (n = 2132). The DII (Dietary inflammatory index) is a risk factor for CVD, both in overall individuals and in each subgroup of population-based information. In diabetic individuals, the odds ratios (ORs) (95% CIs) of CVD incidence for the DII were 1.10 (1.05, 1.15) and 1.08 (1.03, 1.13) according to the crude and adjusted models, respectively. For individuals with prediabetes, the ORs (95% CIs) of CVD risk for DII were 1.05 (0.97, 1.14) and 1.11 (1.01, 1.22) according to the crude and adjusted models, respectively. After adjusting for population-based information and hypertension status, the DII appeared to have the highest OR for individuals with prediabetes, and no significant association was found between the DII score and CVD risk in the normoglycemia group. Moreover, the OR of CVD for DII in the uncontrolled diabetes group was 1.06 (0.98, 1.16)*. These results suggest that the DII is more closely associated with the risk of CVDs in prediabetic and diabetic populations, and we should pay more attention to diet control before a person develops diabetes to prevent CVD progression.

Asunto(s)

Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Dieta , Inflamación , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/complicaciones , Masculino , Femenino , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Inflamación/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Incidencia , Anciano , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The present study examined the ability of the body roundness index (BRI) to predict the incidence of diabetes and prediabetes among adults in the USA. METHOD: The study enrolled 11,980 adults aged ≥ 20 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Logistic regression served as the primary method for analyzing the relevant link between BRI and the incidence of diabetes and prediabetes, including univariate analysis, multivariate regression analysis, smooth curve fitting analysis, and subgroup analysis. What's more, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was applied to confirm the predictive values of BRI for diabetes and prediabetes. RESULTS: Each unit higher than BRI was associated with a 17% increased risk of diabetes and prediabetes after covariate adjustments (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07-1.27). Those with BRI in the high scores (Q4) possessed an increased likelihood of having diabetes and prediabetes than individuals in the reference group (OR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.29-2.58). A smooth curve fitting analysis revealed a non-linear trend. The results across all population subgroups were uniform to those of the total population. The ROC curve indicated that the BRI was the best predictor of diabetes and prediabetes among other anthropometric indices. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes and prediabetes occurrence rates and BRI have a positive and non-linear relationship in American adults. The BRI indices could function as predictive markers for diabetes and prediabetes.

Asunto(s)

Encuestas Nutricionales , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Curva ROC , Índice de Masa Corporal , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Modelos Logísticos

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies evaluating the association between prediabetes and depression have shown inconsistent results. Consequently, the aim of the systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate whether prediabetes is associated with depression in the general population. METHODS: Relevant observational studies were obtained by searching the Medline, Web of Science, and Embase databases. A random-effects model was utilized to pool the results by incorporating the influence of heterogeneity. Multiple subgroup analysis was performed to evaluate the influence of the study characteristics on the outcome. RESULTS: Sixteen large-scale cross-sectional studies involving 322,863 participants were included. Among the total participants, 82,154 (25.4%) had prediabetes. The pooled results showed that prediabetes was associated with a higher prevalence of depression in this population (odds ratio [OR]: 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05 to 1.28, p = 0.003; I2 = 58%). Subgroup analysis showed a stronger association between prediabetes and depression in younger subjects (<50 years old, OR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.50) than that in older subjects (≥50 years old, OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.10; p for subgroup difference = 0.03). Other study characteristics, such as the study country, sex of the participants, definition of prediabetes, methods for the detection of depression, and study quality score, did not seem to significantly affect the results (p for subgroup difference all > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Prediabetes may be associated with a slightly higher prevalence of depression in the general population, particularly in subjects aged <50 years old.

Asunto(s)

Depresión , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/psicología , Depresión/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Masculino , Estudios Transversales , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Oportunidad Relativa

RESUMEN

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and pre-diabetes (pre-DM) are significant health concerns in Pakistan. This systematic review and meta-analysis estimate the prevalence of T2DM and pre-DM, assessing regional, gender, and urban-rural differences. We searched PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane, and PakMediNet databases, identifying 3478 articles. After screening, 17 studies from 1995 to 2018 were included. The pooled prevalence of T2DM and pre-DM in Pakistan was found to be 10.0 % and 11.0 %, respectively. This equates to approximately 24 million individuals with T2DM and 26 million with pre-DM, totaling 50 million affected. Rural areas showed higher T2DM prevalence post-2000, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.25 (95 % CI: 0.73 to 2.14). Gender analysis revealed a slightly higher, though statistically insignificant, prevalence of T2DM in females and a significantly higher prevalence of pre-DM in males (OR: 0.79, 95 % CI: 0.63 to 0.98). Regionally, Punjab had the highest T2DM prevalence (16 %), followed by Baluchistan (15 %), Sindh (14 %), and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) (11 %). There is a substantial burden of T2DM and pre-DM in Pakistan, with significant regional and gender differences. Targeted interventions and resource allocation are needed to address the rising prevalence of diabetes, focusing on early detection and lifestyle modifications.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Pakistán/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos

RESUMEN

There is no evidence on the associations between persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the Chinese rural population. We aimed to investigate the individual and mixed effects of 22 POPs on the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and the joint effects of POPs and abnormal glucose metabolism as well as the modification effects of healthy lifestyle on these associations. A total of 2775 subjects, including 925 subjects with normal plasma glucose (NPG) and 925 subjects with prediabetes (PDM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), were enrolled from the Henan Rural Cohort Study. Logistic regression and quantile g-computation were performed to assess the individual and mixed effects of POPs on the risk of CKD. Joint effects of POPs and abnormal glucose metabolism status, as well as the modification effects of lifestyle on CKD were assessed. After 3-year follow-up, an increment of ln-o,p'-DDT was related to an elevated risk of CKD prevalence. Positive associations of p,p'-DDE and ß-BHC with CKD incidence were observed (P < 0.05). In addition, participants with high levels of ∑POPs were associated elevated incidence risk of CKD (OR: 1.217, 95%CI: 1.008-1.469). One quartile increase in POPs mixture was associated with the increased incidence of CKD among T2DM patients (P < 0.05). Further, a higher risk of CKD was observed among PDM and T2DM patients with high levels of o,p'-DDT, p,p'-DDE, ß-BHC, and ∑POPs than NPG subjects with low levels of pollutants. In addition, interactive effects of ∑POPs and lifestyle score on CKD incidence were found. Individual and mixed exposure to POPs increased the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and glucose metabolic status exacerbated the risk of CKD resulting from such exposures. Further, the modifying effects of lifestyle were observed, highlighting the importance of precision prevention for high-risk CKD population and healthy lifestyle intervention measures.

Asunto(s)

Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Estilo de Vida , Contaminantes Orgánicos Persistentes , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , China/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Incidencia , Adulto , Glucemia , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Glucosa/metabolismo , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the impact and predictive value of the Triglyceride Glucose Index (TyG) and the ratio of Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) in identifying the risk of diabetes progression in Chinese individuals with prediabetes. METHODS: This longitudinal study enrolled 15,012 prediabetic adults from the Rich Healthcare Group between 2010 and 2016. Diabetes was defined as self-reported diabetes or a fasting glucose level ≥ 7.0 mmol/L. The Cox proportional hazards models was utilized to assess the relationship between the two indices and the risk of developing diabetes. The predictive efficacy of the two markers was gauged by the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 2.87 years, 1,730 (11.5%) prediabetic participants developed diabetes. The adjusted hazard ratios for the top quartile of the TyG index and the TG/HDL-C ratio were 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.71-2.40) and 2.59 (95% CI: 2.20-3.05), respectively, compared to the lowest quartile. A significant trend of increasing diabetes risk with higher quartiles of both indices was observed. The AUC for the adjusted prediction model for prediabetes-to-diabetes transition was 0.726 for the TyG index and 0.710 for the TG/HDL-C ratio. The difference in AUCs was statistically significant (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The baseline TyG index or TG/HDL-C ratio was significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes in prediabetic individuals. The TyG index demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, underscoring its importance in preventing diabetes in prediabetic individuals.

Asunto(s)

Glucemia , HDL-Colesterol , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Estado Prediabético , Triglicéridos , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Biomarcadores/sangre , Glucemia/metabolismo , China/epidemiología , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Estudios Longitudinales , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Factores de Riesgo , Triglicéridos/sangre

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Prediabetes has been found to be associated with an elevated overall risk of cancer, which may be site-specific. we performed a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the correlation between prediabetes and the incidence of gastric cancer (GC). METHODS: A thorough review of the literature was conducted in the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases to identify pertinent observational studies with longitudinal follow-up. The random-effects model was employed to consolidate the data, taking into account the potential impact of heterogeneity. RESULTS: A total of 13 datasets from 8 prospective cohort studies were included. The prevalence of prediabetes was 9.6%. During the mean follow-up duration of 7.1 to 12.2 years, 33,135 patients were diagnosed with GC. According to the results of the pooled analysis, prediabetes was associated with a mildly higher incidence of GC over time (risk ratio: 1.07, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.13, P = .03; I2 = 44%). Subsequent subgroup analyses indicated that the relationship between prediabetes and the heightened risk of GC may not be substantially influenced by factors such as the country in which the study was conducted, the average age of participants, their gender, the definition of prediabetes used, the prevalence of prediabetes at the beginning of the study, the incidence of GC within the studied population, or the adjustment made for body mass index (P for subgroup difference all >.05). CONCLUSION: The presence of prediabetes may increase the risk of GC by a mild amount when compared with people with normoglycemia in community-derived adult populations.

Asunto(s)

Estado Prediabético , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Incidencia , Factores de Riesgo , Prevalencia , Masculino , Femenino

RESUMEN

Childhood obesity, with its metabolic complications, is a problem of public health. The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) has recommended glucose levels 1 h post oral glucose load (1h-PG) > 155-209 mg/dL as diagnostic for intermediate hyperglycemia (IH), while >209 mg/dL for type 2 diabetes (T2D). The aim of the study was to assess the occurrence of prediabetes, IH, and T2D in children and adolescents with simple obesity according to the criteria of American Diabetes Association (ADA) and of IDF, and the effect of COVID-19 pandemic on these disorders. Analysis included 263 children with simple obesity, screened either in prepandemic (PRE-113 cases) or post-pandemic period (POST-150 cases). All children underwent 2 h OGTT with measurements of glucose and insulin every 0.5 h, lipid profile, and other tests; indices if insulin resistance (IR): HOMA, QUICKI, Matsuda index, AUC (glu/ins) were calculated. The incidence of T2D, prediabetes, and IH was higher in POST with respect to PRE, with significant differences in the indices of IR, except for HOMA. Significant differences were observed in the assessed parameters of glucose metabolism among the groups with T2D, prediabetes, IH, and normal glucose tolerance (NGT), with some similarities between IH (based on 1h-PG) and prediabetes. Increased frequency of dysglycemia among children and adolescents with simple obesity is observed after COVID-19 pandemic. Metabolic profile of patients with IH at 1h-PG is "intermediate" between NGT and prediabetes.

Asunto(s)

Glucemia , COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Obesidad Infantil , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/sangre , COVID-19/complicaciones , Niño , Adolescente , Femenino , Masculino , Glucemia/metabolismo , Glucemia/análisis , Estado Prediabético/sangre , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Obesidad Infantil/complicaciones , Obesidad Infantil/sangre , Obesidad Infantil/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Hiperglucemia/sangre , Hiperglucemia/epidemiología , Resistencia a la Insulina , Pandemias

RESUMEN

Background and aims: The American Heart Association (AHA) recently introduced the Life's Essential 8 (LE8) to improve cardiovascular health (CVH). However, the association between LE8 and the risk of prediabetes or diabetes is not yet fully understood. Consequently, this study aims to assess the association between CVH, as evaluated by LE8, and the risk of prediabetes and diabetes. Methods and Results: This cross-sectional study encompassed 7,739 participants aged ≥20 years from the 2007-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). The CVH of participants was evaluated using the LE8, combining four health behaviors and three health factors. Glucose metabolic status categories included normal glucose metabolism, prediabetes including isolated impaired fasting glucose, isolated impaired glucose tolerance, both IFG and IGT, and diabetes. The associations between CVH and prediabetes and diabetes were analyzed using logistic regression, linear regression, restricted cubic splines, and subgroup analyses. Among 7,739 participants, 1,949 had iIFG, 1,165 were diagnosed with iIGT, 799 were IFG+IGT, and 537 were diagnosed with diabetes. After multivariable adjustments, CVH scores were inversely associated with prediabetes and diabetes, with the most robust inverse association observed between IFG+IGT and CVH across all prediabetes subgroups. Of all CVH components not directly in the causal pathway, body mass index (BMI) had the most robust associations with prediabetes and diabetes. Subgroup analyses indicated that the negative correlation between CVH and prediabetes was stronger among those with university or higher education. Conclusion: CVH, as defined by LE8, showed a significant negative association with prediabetes and diabetes.

Asunto(s)

American Heart Association , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Glucemia/metabolismo , Glucemia/análisis