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The remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of RF circuits is an important tool for circuit reliability. Data-driven-based approaches do not require knowledge of the failure mechanism and reduce the dependence on knowledge of complex circuits, and thus can effectively realize RUL prediction. This manuscript proposes a novel RUL prediction method based on a gated recurrent unit-convolutional neural network (GRU-CNN). Firstly, the data are normalized to improve the efficiency of the algorithm; secondly, the degradation of the circuit is evaluated using the hybrid health score based on the Euclidean and Manhattan distances; then, the life cycle of the RF circuits is segmented based on the hybrid health scores; and finally, an RUL prediction is carried out for the circuits at each stage using the GRU-CNN model. The results show that the RMSE of the GRU-CNN model in the normal operation stage is only 3/5 of that of the GRU and CNN models, while the prediction uncertainty is minimized.

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Bearings are the most commonly used components in rotating machines and the ability to diagnose their faults and predict their remaining useful life (RUL) is critical for system maintenance. This paper proposes a smart system combined with a regression model to predict the RUL of bearings. The method converts the azimuth signal through low-pass filtering (LPF) and a chaotic mapping system, and uses Euclidean feature values (EFVs) to extract features in order to construct useful health indicators (HIs). In fault detection, the iterative cumulative moving average (ICMA) is used to smooth the HIs, and the Euclidean norm is used to find the time-to-start prediction (TSP). In terms of prediction, this paper uses a self-selective regression model to select the most suitable regression model to predict the RUL of the bearing. The dataset provided by the Center for Intelligent Maintenance Systems (IMS) is applied for performance evaluation; in comparison with previous research, better prediction results can be achieved by applying the proposed smart assessment system. The proposed system is also applied to the PRONOSTIA (also called FEMTO-ST) bearing dataset in this paper, demonstrating that acceptable prediction performance can be obtained.

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This paper presents a generic framework for fault prognosis using autoencoder-based deep learning methods. The proposed approach relies upon a semi-supervised extrapolation of autoencoder reconstruction errors, which can deal with the unbalanced proportion between faulty and non-faulty data in an industrial context to improve systems' safety and reliability. In contrast to supervised methods, the approach requires less manual data labeling and can find previously unknown patterns in data. The technique focuses on detecting and isolating possible measurement divergences and tracking their growth to signalize a fault's occurrence while individually evaluating each monitored variable to provide fault detection and prognosis. Additionally, the paper also provides an appropriate set of metrics to measure the accuracy of the models, which is a common disadvantage of unsupervised methods due to the lack of predefined answers during training. Computational results using the Commercial Modular Aero Propulsion System Simulation (CMAPSS) monitoring data show the effectiveness of the proposed framework.

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To reduce the economic losses caused by bearing failures and prevent safety accidents, it is necessary to develop an effective method to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of the rolling bearing. However, the degradation inside the bearing is difficult to monitor in real-time. Meanwhile, external uncertainties significantly impact bearing degradation. Therefore, this paper proposes a new bearing RUL prediction method based on long-short term memory (LSTM) with uncertainty quantification. First, a fusion metric related to runtime (or degradation) is proposed to reflect the latent degradation process. Then, an improved dropout method based on nonparametric kernel density is developed to improve estimation accuracy of RUL. The PHM2012 dataset is adopted to verify the proposed method, and comparison results illustrate that the proposed prediction model can accurately obtain the point estimation and probability distribution of the bearing RUL.

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Bearing is one of the critical components in rotating equipment. Therefore, accurate estimation of the remaining useful life (RUL) of bearings plays a vital role in reducing the costly unplanned maintenance and increasing the reliability of machines. This paper proposes a method for bearing prognostics that uses iteratively updated degradation regression models to capture the degradation trend in bearing's health indicator (HI), and the models are utilized to predict the degradation trajectory of HI and to estimate the RUL of bearings. The importance of determining the time to start prediction by elbow point is explained, which is often overlooked in prognostics. To improve the prognostic performance, an adaptive approach for elbow point detection is designed based on the gradient change of HIs, and a new smooth approach is applied to reduce spurious fluctuations in degradation trajectory. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated on two publicly available data sets, i.e., IMS and FEMTO bearing prognostics data set, and its prognostic performance is compared with that of three state-of-the-art methods. The obtained results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively detect elbow point and determine the time to start prediction, and can calibrate the degradation regression model dynamically according to the evolving degradation trend in the HI, which validates its superior prognostic performance.

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In this work, a novel approach, termed GNN-tCNN, is presented for the construction and training of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) models. The method exploits Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and deals with the problem of efficiently learning from time series with non-equidistant observations, which may span multiple temporal scales. The efficacy of the method is demonstrated on a simulated stochastic degradation dataset and on a real-world accelerated life testing dataset for ball-bearings. The proposed method learns a model that describes the evolution of the system implicitly rather than at the raw observation level and is based on message-passing neural networks, which encode the irregularly sampled causal structure. The proposed approach is compared to a recurrent network with a temporal convolutional feature extractor head (LSTM-tCNN), which forms a viable alternative for the problem considered. Finally, by taking advantage of recent advances in the computation of reparametrization gradients for learning probability distributions, a simple, yet efficient, technique is employed for representing prediction uncertainty as a gamma distribution over RUL predictions.

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The prognosis of the remaining useful life (RUL) of turbofan engine provides an important basis for predictive maintenance and remanufacturing, and plays a major role in reducing failure rate and maintenance costs. The main problem of traditional methods based on the single neural network of shallow machine learning is the RUL prognosis based on single feature extraction, and the prediction accuracy is generally not high, a method for predicting RUL based on the combination of one-dimensional convolutional neural networks with full convolutional layer (1-FCLCNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed. In this method, LSTM and 1- FCLCNN are adopted to extract temporal and spatial features of FD001 andFD003 datasets generated by turbofan engine respectively. The fusion of these two kinds of features is for the input of the next convolutional neural networks (CNN) to obtain the target RUL. Compared with the currently popular RUL prediction models, the results show that the model proposed has higher prediction accuracy than other models in RUL prediction. The final evaluation index also shows the effectiveness and superiority of the model.

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An electronic fuze is a one-shot system that has a long storage life and high mission criticality. Fuzes are designed, developed, and tested for high reliability (over 99%) with a confidence level of more than 95%. The electronic circuit of a fuze is embedded in the fuze assembly, and thus is not visible. Go/NoGo fuze assembly mission critical testing does not provide prognostic information about electrical and electronic circuits and subtle causes of failure. Longer storage times and harsh conditions cause degradation at the component level. In order to calculate accrued damage due to storage and operational stresses, it is necessary to perform sample-based accelerated life testing after a certain time and estimate the remaining useful life of mission critical parts. Reliability studies of mechanical parts of such systems using nondestructive testing (NDT) have been performed, but a thorough investigation is missing with regards to the electronic parts. The objective of this study is to identify weak links and estimate the reliability and remaining useful life of electronic and detonating parts. Three critical components are identified in an electronic fuze circuit (1) a diode, (2) a capacitor, and (3) a squib or detonator. The accelerated test results reveal that after ten years of storage life, there is no significant degradation in active components while passive components need to be replaced. The squib has a remaining useful life (RUL) of more than ten years with reliability over 99%.

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Rolling element bearing is one of the critical components in rotating machines, and its running state determines machinery Remaining Useful Life (RUL). Estimating impending failure and predicting RUL of bearing is beneficial to schedule maintenance strategy and avoid abrupt shutdowns. This paper presents a novel method of RUL prediction of bearings, which can evaluate the degradation stage of bearings through dimensionless measurements and exploit the optimal RUL prediction through hybrid degradation tracing model in degradation stage. Two new measurements reflect the vibration intensity of bearings regarding normal vibration value. They can eliminate individual differences of bearings, improve sensitivity to the incipient defect of bearings, and reduce fluctuation. Moreover, they are helpful to detect the time to start prediction and set dimensionless failure threshold. SVM classifier is used to assess the degradation stage of bearing, which shows a high classification accuracy because of its excellent generalization ability and mathematical foundation. As input, the fitted measurements based on the generalized degradation model are used to train the SVM classifier. As output, five degradation stages are defined. However, actual measurements are used as inputs in the prediction process. According to the classification results, a hybrid degradation tracing model is utilized to exploit the optimal RUL prediction by tracking the degradation process of bearings. The proposed method is validated on the public IMS and PRONOSTIA bearing datasets, and its performance is compared with other methods on PRONOSTIA bearing datasets. The results show that the proposed approach is an effective way for RUL prediction of bearings within the prescribed error range. Given that the proposed measurements are dimensionless, this method can be applied under different operating conditions.

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Ultrasonic guided wave (UGW) is one of the most commonly used technologies for non-destructive evaluation (NDE) and structural health monitoring (SHM) of structural components. Because of its excellent long-range diagnostic capability, this method is effective in detecting cracks, material loss, and fatigue-based defects in isotropic and anisotropic structures. The shape and orientation of structural defects are critical parameters during the investigation of crack propagation, assessment of damage severity, and prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) of structures. These parameters become even more important in cases where the crack intensity is associated with the safety of men, environment, and material, such as ship's hull, aero-structures, rail tracks and subsea pipelines. This paper reviews the research literature on UGWs and their application in defect diagnosis and health monitoring of metallic structures. It has been observed that no significant research work has been convened to identify the shape and orientation of defects in plate-like structures. We also propose an experimental research work assisted by numerical simulations to investigate the response of UGWs upon interaction with cracks in different shapes and orientations. A framework for an empirical model may be considered to determine these structural flaws.

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Tool breakage causes losses of surface polishing and dimensional accuracy for machined part, or possible damage to a workpiece or machine. Tool Condition Monitoring (TCM) is considerably vital in the manufacturing industry. In this paper, an indirect TCM approach is introduced with a wireless triaxial accelerometer. The vibrations in the three vertical directions (x, y and z) are acquired during milling operations, and the raw signals are de-noised by wavelet analysis. These features of de-noised signals are extracted in the time, frequency and time-frequency domains. The key features are selected based on Pearson's Correlation Coefficient (PCC). The Neuro-Fuzzy Network (NFN) is adopted to predict the tool wear and Remaining Useful Life (RUL). In comparison with Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) and Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN), the results show that the NFN has the best performance in the prediction of tool wear and RUL.

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Quantum Neural Networks (QNN) models have attracted great attention since it innovates a new neural computing manner based on quantum entanglement. However, the existing QNN models are mainly based on the real quantum operations, and the potential of quantum entanglement is not fully exploited. In this paper, we proposes a novel quantum neuron model called Complex Quantum Neuron (CQN) that realizes a deep quantum entanglement. Also, a novel hybrid networks model Complex Rotation Quantum Dynamic Neural Networks (CRQDNN) is proposed based on Complex Quantum Neuron (CQN). CRQDNN is a three layer model with both CQN and classical neurons. An infinite impulse response (IIR) filter is embedded in the Networks model to enable the memory function to process time series inputs. The Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm is used for fast parameter learning. The networks model is developed to conduct time series predictions. Two application studies are done in this paper, including the chaotic time series prediction and electronic remaining useful life (RUL) prediction.

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