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1.
Med Vet Entomol ; 2024 Sep 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39294555

RESUMEN

Tityus serrulatus Lutz & Mello (Scorpiones: Buthidae) is a scorpion endemic to Brazil adapted to synanthropic life, colonising and proliferating in the most populous urban areas in the country. Here, we evaluated its activity pattern in an urban cemetery in the municipality of Americana, state of São Paulo, Brazil. Additionally, we tested the effects of species reproduction and climatic seasons on the activity pattern. The Saudade Municipal Cemetery was sampled between 17:00 and 22:00 h during 455 nights from April 2006 to December 2013. The circular mean and the peak of activity were quantified for the total number of specimens, and for specimens with and without broods. Activity patterns were inferred using a rosette diagram. Circular analysis of variance was used to investigate if activity patterns changed across climatic seasons (wet and dry seasons). A total of 25,969 records (467 specimens with broods) were obtained in the field. The circular mean varied between 19:44 and 19:48 h, and the peak of activity occurred between 18:00 and 20:00 h for all groups. Peaks of activity differed from that recorded under laboratory conditions (between 21:00 and 23:00 h). Activity patterns did not differ for specimens with broods, suggesting that the reproductive condition does not alter the species activity pattern. The activity pattern differed between wet and dry seasons for all specimens and specimens without broods, but differences were small and probably biologically irrelevant, probably because the species tolerates a wide variation in abiotic conditions. Deepening the knowledge of the behaviour activity of T. serrulatus can have practical applications for health surveillance agencies, aiming to increase the effectiveness of scorpion control in urban areas.


Tityus serrulatus Lutz & Mello (Scorpiones: Buthidae) é um escorpião endêmico do Brasil adaptado à vida sinantrópica, colonizando e proliferando nas áreas urbanas mais populosas do país. Aqui avaliamos seu padrão de atividade em um cemitério urbano no município de Americana, estado de São Paulo, Brasil. Adicionalmente, testamos os efeitos da reprodução da espécie e das estações climáticas sobre o padrão de atividade. O Cemitério Municipal da Saudade foi amostrado entre 17:00 h e 22:00 h durante 455 noites, de abril de 2006 a dezembro de 2013. A média circular e o pico de atividade foram quantificados para o número total de espécimes, espécimes com e sem ninhadas. Os padrões de atividade foram inferidos usando um diagrama de roseta. Análises de variância circular foram utilizadas para investigar se os padrões de atividade mudavam com as estações climáticas (estações chuvosa e seca). Um total de 25.969 registros (467 espécimes com ninhadas) foram obtidos em campo. A média circular variou entre 19:44 h e 19:48 h e o pico de atividade ocorreu entre 18:00 h e 20:00 h para todos os grupos. Os picos de atividade diferiram dos registados em condições de laboratório (entre 21:00 h e 23:00 h). Os padrões de atividade não diferiram para os espécimes com ninhadas, sugerindo que a condição reprodutiva não altera o padrão de atividade da espécie. O padrão de atividade diferiu entre as estações chuvosa e seca para todos os espécimes e os espécimes sem ninhadas, mas as diferenças foram pequenas e provavelmente biologicamente irrelevantes, provavelmente porque a espécie tolera uma grande variação nas condições abióticas. Preencher lacunas sobre o comportamento de T. serrulatus pode ter aplicações práticas para órgãos de vigilância sanitária, visando aumentar a eficácia do controle de escorpiões em áreas urbanas.

2.
Arch Acad Emerg Med ; 12(1): e66, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39290761

RESUMEN

Introduction: In infectious diseases, there are essential indices used to describe the disease state. In this study, we estimated the basic reproduction number, R0, peak level, doubling time, and daily growth rate of COVID-19. Methods: This ecological study was conducted in 5 provinces of Iran. The daily numbers of new COVID-19 cases from January 17 to February 8, 2020 were used to determine the basic reproduction number (R0), peak date, doubling time, and daily growth rates in all five provinces. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to estimate epidemiological parameters. Result: The highest and lowest number of deaths were observed in Hamedan (657 deaths) and Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (54 deaths) provinces, respectively. The doubling time of confirmed cases in Kermanshah and Hamedan ranged widely from 18.59 days (95% confidence interval (CI): 17.38, 20) to 76.66 days (95% CI: 56.36, 119.78). In addition, the highest daily growth rates of confirmed cases were observed in Kermanshah (0.037, 95% CI: 0.034, 0.039) and Sistan and Baluchestan (0.032, 95% CI: 0.030, 0.034) provinces. Conclusion: In light of our findings, it is imperative to tailor containment strategies to the unique epidemiological profiles of each region in order to effectively mitigate the spread and impact of COVID-19. The wide variation in doubling times underscores the importance of flexibility in public health responses. By adapting measures to local conditions, we can better address the evolving dynamics of the pandemic and safeguard the well-being of communities.

3.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e58704, 2024 Sep 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39288377

RESUMEN

The purpose of syndromic surveillance is to provide early warning of public health incidents, real-time situational awareness during incidents and emergencies, and reassurance of the lack of impact on the population, particularly during mass gatherings. The United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA) currently coordinates a real-time syndromic surveillance service that encompasses 6 national syndromic surveillance systems reporting on daily health care usage across England. Each working day, UKHSA analyzes syndromic data from over 200,000 daily patient encounters with the National Health Service, monitoring over 140 unique syndromic indicators, risk assessing over 50 daily statistical exceedances, and taking and recommending public health action on these daily. This English syndromic surveillance service had its origins as a small exploratory pilot in a single region of England in 1999 involving a new pilot telehealth service, initially reporting only on "cold or flu" calls. This pilot showed the value of syndromic surveillance in England, providing advanced warning of the start of seasonal influenza activity over existing laboratory-based surveillance systems. Since this initial pilot, a program of real-time syndromic surveillance has evolved from the single-system, -region, -indicator pilot (using manual data transfer methods) to an all-hazard, multisystem, automated national service. The suite of systems now monitors a wide range of syndromes, from acute respiratory illness to diarrhea to cardiac conditions, and is widely used in routine public health surveillance and for monitoring seasonal respiratory disease and incidents such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we describe the 25-year evolution of the English syndromic surveillance system, focusing on the expansion and improvements in data sources and data management, the technological and digital enablers, and novel methods of data analytics and visualization.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Inglaterra/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Proyectos Piloto
4.
medRxiv ; 2024 Aug 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39228743

RESUMEN

Genomic epidemiology offers important insight into the transmission and evolution of respiratory viruses. We used metagenomic sequencing from negative SARS-CoV-2 antigen tests to identify a wide range of respiratory viruses and generate full genome sequences, offering a streamlined mechanism for broad respiratory virus genomic surveillance.

5.
Can Commun Dis Rep ; 50(9): 326-334, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39262454

RESUMEN

Background: Hepatitis A is a disease of public health significance that typically causes acute, self-limiting infection. Understanding the risk factors and demographics associated with individual infections and outbreaks can guide public health communication and interventions. Objective: To assess the number of hepatitis A cases and outbreaks in Ontario from January 1, 2015, to November 22, 2022, and to identify common risk factors associated with sporadic and outbreak-associated infections in Ontario. Methods: Confirmed and probable hepatitis A cases reported between January 1, 2015, and November 22, 2022, were extracted from the Ontario electronic reporting system. Descriptive analyses were used to summarize and compare risk factors reported by sporadic and outbreak-associated hepatitis A cases. Annual rates of infection for individual public health units were calculated using annual population estimates for Ontario health regions. Results: During the study period, 938 cases of hepatitis A were reported in Ontario (an average annual rate of 0.9 cases per 100,000 population), with 31.3% (n=294) of cases linked to one of 18 unique outbreaks of hepatitis A. Four of 13 local outbreaks were associated with elementary school settings. Reported risk factors differed between sporadic cases (predominantly travel-related) and cases linked to known outbreaks (anal-oral contact, illicit drug use, diapering/assisting in toileting, close contact with a case). Rates of sporadic infection differed across public health units in Ontario over the study period. Conclusion: Public health interventions that aim to increase awareness of hepatitis A risk factors and increase vaccine uptake among those at increased risk of exposure could help to reduce the incidence of both locally acquired and travel-related sporadic infections and outbreaks.

6.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e43173, 2024 Aug 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39171430

RESUMEN

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing implementation of control measures caused widespread societal disruption. These disruptions may also have affected community transmission and seasonal circulation patterns of endemic respiratory viruses. Objective: We aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19-related disruption on influenza-related emergency hospital admissions and deaths in Wales in the first 2 years of the pandemic. Methods: A descriptive analysis of influenza activity was conducted using anonymized pathology, hospitalization, and mortality data from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales. The annual incidence of emergency hospitalizations and deaths with influenza-specific diagnosis codes between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2021, was estimated. Case definitions of emergency hospitalization and death required laboratory confirmation with a polymerase chain reaction test. Trends of admissions and deaths were analyzed monthly and yearly. We conducted 2 sensitivity analyses by extending case definitions to include acute respiratory illnesses with a positive influenza test and by limiting admissions to those with influenza as the primary diagnosis. We also examined yearly influenza testing trends to understand changes in testing behavior during the pandemic. Results: We studied a population of 3,235,883 Welsh residents in 2020 with a median age of 42.5 (IQR 22.9-61.0) years. Influenza testing in Wales increased notably in the last 2 months of 2020, and particularly in 2021 to 39,720 per 100,000 people, compared to the prepandemic levels (1343 in 2019). The percentage of influenza admissions matched to an influenza polymerase chain reaction test increased from 74.8% (1890/2526) in 2019 to 85.2% (98/115) in 2021. However, admissions with a positive test per 100,000 population decreased from 17.0 in 2019 to 2.7 and 0.6 in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Similarly, deaths due to influenza with a positive influenza test per 100,000 population decreased from 0.4 in 2019 to 0.0 in 2020 and 2021. Sensitivity analyses showed similar patterns of decreasing influenza admissions and deaths in the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: Nonpharmaceutical interventions to control COVID-19 were associated with a substantial reduction in the transmission of the influenza virus, with associated substantial reductions in hospital cases and deaths observed. Beyond the pandemic context, consideration should be given to the role of nonpharmaceutical community-driven interventions to reduce the burden of influenza.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Hospitalización , Gripe Humana , Pandemias , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Gales/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Masculino , Adulto Joven , Femenino
8.
Vaccine ; 42(21): 126177, 2024 Aug 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39128198

RESUMEN

High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infections can progress to cervical cancer which is the fourth most common cancer in women globally. In Scotland, the incidence of cervical cancer has a strong socioeconomic deprivation gradient disproportionately affecting women from more deprived areas. An HPV vaccination programme was initiated in Scotland in 2008 targeting girls aged 12-13 years with a catch-up campaign running for the first three years for girls aged up to 18 years. The programme has evolved over the last 16 years with changes in the type of vaccine, dosing schedules and the extension of the programme to boys and gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men. Vaccine uptake in Scotland has historically been high but has gradually decreased over time and disparities exist in women from more deprived areas of Scotland. The ability to link national immunisation and screening databases in Scotland has allowed direct monitoring of the impact of the HPV vaccine on virological and histological outcomes. Analyses of this linked data have demonstrated real-world evidence of high vaccine effectiveness against HPV infection, cervical disease, and cervical cancer with evidence of herd immunity in unvaccinated women. Continued monitoring is crucial to assess the duration of protection, the impact of vaccine and dosing schedules changes and the emergence of potential type replacement. With the World Health Organisation's aim to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem by the next century addressing the inequalities in cervical cancer incidence will be crucial. This will require targeted interventions for women most at risk of cervical cancer to ensure elimination is achieved timely for all women in Scotland.


Asunto(s)
Programas de Inmunización , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Vacunas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Adolescente , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Virus del Papiloma Humano/inmunología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/prevención & control , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/epidemiología , Vacunas contra Papillomavirus/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra Papillomavirus/inmunología , Escocia/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/prevención & control , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/virología , Vacunación/métodos , Eficacia de las Vacunas/estadística & datos numéricos
9.
Drug Alcohol Depend ; 263: 112420, 2024 Oct 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39208694

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) are lifelong conditions that can occur in a person with prenatal alcohol exposure. Although studies using intensive, in-person assessments of children in selected communities have found higher estimates of children with FASDs than studies of healthcare claims data, claims-based studies provide more current information about individuals with recognized FASDs from diverse populations. We estimated the proportion of children with administratively reported FASDs in two large healthcare claims databases. METHODS: We analyzed Merative™ MarketScan® commercial and Medicaid claims databases, that include nationwide data from employer-sponsored health plans and from Medicaid programs in 8-10 states, respectively. For each database, we estimated the proportion of children aged 0-17 years with administratively reported FASDs, identified by one inpatient or two outpatient codes for prenatal alcohol exposure or fetal alcohol syndrome during the entire seven-year period from 2015 to 2021 and during each year. RESULTS: During 2015-2021, 1.2 per 10,000 commercially-insured and 6.1 per 10,000 Medicaid-insured children had an administratively reported FASD; estimates varied by sex, geography, and other available demographics. Among commercially-insured children, 0.5 per 10,000 in 2015 and 0.6 per 10,000 children in 2021 had an administratively reported FASD; among Medicaid-insured, 1.2 per 10,000 in 2015 and 2.1 per 10,000 children in 2021 had an administratively reported FASD. CONCLUSIONS: Although an underestimate of the true population of children with FASDs, patterns in administratively reported FASDs by demographics were consistent with previous studies. Healthcare claims studies can provide timely, ongoing information about children with recognized FASDs to complement in-persons studies.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos del Espectro Alcohólico Fetal , Medicaid , Humanos , Trastornos del Espectro Alcohólico Fetal/epidemiología , Trastornos del Espectro Alcohólico Fetal/economía , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Femenino , Niño , Preescolar , Lactante , Adolescente , Masculino , Recién Nacido , Embarazo , Bases de Datos Factuales , Seguro de Salud
10.
Korean J Intern Med ; 39(5): 823-832, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39135523

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study aimed to assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic on nationally notifiable infectious diseases (NNIDs) in South Korea. METHODS: Long-term data on seven NNIDs from 2018 to 2021 were analyzed to identify trends and change points using a change point detection technique. The timings of the NPI implementations were compared to the identified change points to determine their association. RESULTS: Varicella, mumps, and scarlet fever showed a significant decrease in incidence following the implementation of NPIs during the COVID-19 pandemic. These diseases, which are primarily transmitted through respiratory droplets, demonstrated a clear response to NPIs. However, carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) showed an increasing trend unrelated to the timing of NPI implementation, suggesting the complex nature of controlling healthcare-associated infections. Hepatitis A, hepatitis C, and scrub typhus did not show significant changes associated with NPIs, likely due to their non-respiratory route of transmission. CONCLUSION: NPIs effectively controlled NNIDs, particularly those transmitted through respiratory infections. However, the impact varied depending on the disease. Understanding the effectiveness and limitations of NPIs is crucial for developing comprehensive public health strategies during infectious disease outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , República de Corea/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/diagnóstico , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , SARS-CoV-2 , Incidencia
11.
Artículo en Alemán | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39164131

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since the beginning of the corona pandemic in Germany in January 2020, day care centres (DCC) have faced the challenge of reliably detecting cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection as early and reliably as possible in order to avoid major outbreaks and closures. Conducting regular virological screening tests for asymptomatic DCC children and childcare workers requires a high level of acceptance among participants and should be as easy as possible to implement. The present study aimed to evaluate childcare workers' and parents' attitudes and experiences regarding the acceptance and feasibility of various screening methods. This assessment was conducted using additional qualitative interviews designed for home-based screening in the context of a screening study in DCCs. METHOD: From May to July 2021, childcare workers and parents of children in nine DCCs in Wuerzburg independently carried out screening tests for SARS-CoV-2 at home twice a week as part of the "Würzburg Child Care Study in the COVID-19 Pandemic 2.0". The participants were offered two self-sampling methods (mouth-rinsing fluid for pooled PCR tests and/or nasal rapid antigen self-tests). Before and after the 12-week test phase, telephone interviews were conducted with a selected sample of childcare workers and parents in order to ascertain initial attitudes and further experiences with the two self-sampling methods and their implementation. The interviews were fully transcribed for analysis and subjected to a qualitative content analysis according to Kuckartz. RESULTS: Of the 1,026 eligible participants, 591 individuals, including 139 childcare workers and the parents of 452 children, agreed to take part in the screening tests. A total of 49 interviews were conducted with a specifically selected sample (20 before the start of the test, 29 after the end of the test). In the qualitative content analysis, three overarching topics emerged: 'aspects of the test performance', 'aspects of the perception of safety' and 'aspects of the testing in children'. Regardless of the fact that the various test methods and test features were perceived very differently, conducting the tests at home was found to be feasible. DISCUSSION: The differentiated insights into the participants' perspectives provide valuable information about factors that influence the acceptance of self-testing. These should be taken into account before such a measure is introduced in DCCs if necessary. CONCLUSION: The assessment of test procedures is strongly influenced by individual preferences. Test concepts should be implemented with as little time and organisational effort as possible in order to promote willingness to participate. Clear study information and quick feedback on test results can enhance the sense of security among parents and childcare workers.

12.
Prev Med ; 186: 108095, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39122018

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Australia's National Bowel Cancer Screening Program (NBCSP) offers two-yearly screening to 50-74-year-olds for the prevention and early detection of colorectal cancer (CRC). Internationally, detailed reporting of participation across multiple screening rounds - also known as longitudinal adherence - is becoming more common, but remains limited in Australia. We described the longitudinal screening adherence of individuals by age and sex invited to the NBCSP at least once, and quantified longitudinal adherence among individuals who received four NBCSP invitations. METHODS: We obtained aggregate national data for individuals who received at least one NBCSP invitation between 1 August 2006 and 31 March 2022. We described screening adherence patterns including longitudinal adherence among individuals who received four invitations, and evaluated prior longitudinal adherence and adherence at most recent invitation as predictors of future participation. RESULTS: Over the study period, 8.5 million individuals were invited to screen in the NBCSP; 51.9% of these individuals screened at least once. Of the >2.5 million individuals who received four invitations, 23.3% consistently screened, 38.3% never screened, and 38.3% inconsistently screened. The longitudinal adherence at the fourth invitation round for individuals who previously returned none, one, two, or three of their previous three invitations was 9.5%, 37.4%, 70.1% and 88.8%, respectively. Both longitudinal adherence and adherence at the most recent invitation were significant predictors of future participation. CONCLUSION: Our study is the first detailed report of longitudinal adherence to the NBCSP in >2 screening rounds. These insights into long-term behaviours can inform planning for interventions to improve screening participation.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Tamizaje Masivo , Humanos , Australia , Femenino , Masculino , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Tamizaje Masivo/estadística & datos numéricos , Cooperación del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Longitudinales
13.
Transgend Health ; 9(3): 222-231, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39109260

RESUMEN

Purpose: Although transgender women (TGW) bear the highest HIV burden worldwide, routine surveillance of this group is rare. We aimed to evaluate the trends in health characteristics of Chinese TGW. Methods: Three cross-sectional studies using snowball sampling were conducted in 2014, 2017, and 2019, primarily in Shenyang, China. A questionnaire and voluntary HIV testing were used to obtain information on background characteristics, sexual behaviors, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) willingness, and HIV status. Results: There were 220 respondents in 2014, 198 in 2017, and 247 in 2019 (average age 31.1±7.6 to 33.5±9.6 years). HIV prevalence significantly decreased from 29.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 25.3-38.4%) in 2014 to 19.4% (95% CI: 14.7-24.9%) in 2019 (p<0.05). The proportion of participants reporting condomless anal intercourse (CAI) with any partner fluctuated from 30.8% (95% CI: 25.1-36.1%) to 53.0% (95% CI: 45.8-60.1%). The proportion of participants willing to use PrEP decreased from 86.4% (95% CI: 81.1-90.6%) in 2014 to 62.8% (95% CI: 56.4-68.8%) in 2019. Factors significantly associated with HIV infection were CAI with any partner (multivariate odds ratio [ORm]: 3.58, 95% CI: 1.55-8.29 in 2017; ORm: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.56-6.46 in 2019) and PrEP willingness (ORm: 0.26, 95% CI: 0.12-0.58 in 2017). Conclusion: HIV prevalence and associated risk factors remain substantial among Chinese TGW. There is an urgent need to strengthen HIV surveillance in this population, and develop trans-friendly and effective interventions to minimize HIV prevalence and transmission.

14.
Stud Health Technol Inform ; 316: 1889-1890, 2024 Aug 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39176860

RESUMEN

Our initiative aims to enhance the public health informatics infrastructure for surveillance of maternal and child health (MCH) using data captured from electronic health records (EHRs), public health information systems, and administrative health data. Our work includes development, validation, and application of linkage algorithms across records for mothers and children; integration of data across myriad sources; design of routine surveillance reports; and design of longitudinal studies to examine determinants and outcomes in MCH populations. Our work is conducted in partnership with governmental public health agencies, health care providers, academic institutions, and community-based organizations. Future work will build on the enhanced informatics infrastructure to draw from additional public health data sources and/or expand surveillance efforts to include prioritized MCH outcomes. We will further translate knowledge gained from surveillance into action, working with our partners to improve and sustain better MCH equitably in our population.


Asunto(s)
Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Niño , Femenino , Registro Médico Coordinado/métodos , Vigilancia en Salud Pública/métodos , Salud Infantil , Salud Materna , Estados Unidos
15.
Stud Health Technol Inform ; 316: 1916-1920, 2024 Aug 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39176866

RESUMEN

Effectively identifying deviations in real-world medical time-series data is a critical endeavor, essential for early surveillance of disease outbreaks. This paper demonstrates the integration of time-series anomaly detection techniques to develop surveillance systems for disease outbreaks. Utilizing data from Sweden's telephone counseling service (1177), we first illustrate the trends in physical and mental symptoms recorded as contact reasons, offering valuable insights for outbreak detection. Subsequently, an advanced anomaly detection technique is applied incrementally to these time-series symptoms as univariate and multivariate approaches to assess the effectiveness of a machine learning-based method on early detection of the COVID-19 outbreak.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Suecia/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , SARS-CoV-2 , Aprendizaje Automático no Supervisado
17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39186007

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This communication presents the results of defining a tribal health jurisdiction by a combination of tribal affiliation and case address. METHODS: Through a county-tribal partnership, GIS software and custom code were used to extract tribal data from county data by identifying reservation addresses in county extracts of COVID-19 case records from December 30, 2019, to December 31, 2022 (n = 374,653) and COVID-19 vaccination records from December 1, 2020, to April 18, 2023 (n = 2,355,058). RESULTS: The tool identified 1.91 times as many case records and 3.76 times as many vaccination records as filtering by tribal affiliation alone. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: This method of identifying communities by patient address, in combination with tribal affiliation and enrollment, can help tribal health jurisdictions attain equitable access to public health data, when done in partnership with a data sharing agreement. This methodology has potential applications for other populations underrepresented in public health and clinical research.

18.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(9): 1755-1762, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39173666

RESUMEN

Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are emerging as notable causative agents of opportunistic infections. To examine clinical significance, species distribution, and temporal trends of NTM in Denmark, we performed a nationwide register-based study of all unique persons with NTM isolated in the country during 1991-2022. We categorized patients as having definite disease, possible disease, or isolation by using a previously validated method. The incidence of pulmonary NTM increased throughout the study period, in contrast to earlier findings. Mycobacterium malmoense, M. kansasii, M. szulgai, and M. avium complex were the most clinically significant species based on microbiologic findings; M. avium dominated in incidence. This study shows the need for surveillance for an emerging infection that is not notifiable in most countries, provides evidence to support clinical decision-making, and highlights the importance of not considering NTM as a single entity.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Mycobacterium no Tuberculosas , Micobacterias no Tuberculosas , Humanos , Relevancia Clínica , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Historia del Siglo XX , Historia del Siglo XXI , Incidencia , Infecciones por Mycobacterium no Tuberculosas/epidemiología , Infecciones por Mycobacterium no Tuberculosas/microbiología , Micobacterias no Tuberculosas/aislamiento & purificación , Micobacterias no Tuberculosas/clasificación , Sistema de Registros
19.
Euro Surveill ; 29(35)2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39212059

RESUMEN

IntroductionRespiratory sentinel surveillance systems leveraging computerised medical records (CMR) use phenotyping algorithms to identify cases of interest, such as acute respiratory infection (ARI). The Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) is the English primary care-based sentinel surveillance network.AimThis study describes and validates the RSC's new ARI phenotyping algorithm.MethodsWe developed the phenotyping algorithm using a framework aligned with international interoperability standards. We validated our algorithm by comparing ARI events identified during the 2022/23 influenza season in England through use of both old and new algorithms. We compared clinical codes commonly used for recording ARI.ResultsThe new algorithm identified an additional 860,039 cases and excluded 52,258, resulting in a net increase of 807,781 cases (33.84%) of ARI compared to the old algorithm, with totals of 3,194,224 cases versus 2,386,443 cases. Of the 860,039 newly identified cases, the majority (63.7%) were due to identification of symptom codes suggestive of an ARI diagnosis not detected by the old algorithm. The 52,258 cases incorrectly identified by the old algorithm were due to inadvertent identification of chronic, recurrent, non-infectious and other non-ARI disease.ConclusionWe developed a new ARI phenotyping algorithm that more accurately identifies cases of ARI from the CMR. This will benefit public health by providing more accurate surveillance reports to public health authorities. This new algorithm can serve as a blueprint for other CMR-based surveillance systems wishing to develop similar phenotyping algorithms.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Fenotipo , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Vigilancia de Guardia , Humanos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Enfermedad Aguda , Sistemas de Registros Médicos Computarizados , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Atención Primaria de Salud , Registros Electrónicos de Salud
20.
Euro Surveill ; 29(33)2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39149824

RESUMEN

Wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) has become a widespread method to monitor transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and other human pathogens in Europe. We conducted a survey about WBS systems' objectives, approaches, representativeness and usefulness in 10 invited European countries in 2023, i.e. Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Norway. All countries completed the study questionnaire about their SARS-CoV-2 WBS systems, and shared information about WBS of other pathogens as deemed relevant. SARS-CoV-2 WBS systems primarily monitored national and subnational trends (population coverage: 25-99%), and a majority (8/10) also tracked variant distribution. Nine of 10 countries reported that their SARS-CoV-2 WBS systems were representative of their population and all countries remarked that the findings were valuable for public health decision-making. Results were shared with relevant public health authorities and published via dedicated websites and/or dashboards. WBS systems of other pathogens were mostly in the early stages, with some countries implementing pilots. Notable exceptions were the well-established poliovirus surveillance systems in Finland, Italy and the Netherlands. This study brings understanding the diverse landscape of WBS in Europe, offering insights for future developments and collaborations. Furthermore, it highlights the need for further integration of WBS into other European surveillance systems.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Aguas Residuales , Humanos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Aguas Residuales/virología , Pandemias , Monitoreo Epidemiológico Basado en Aguas Residuales , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Betacoronavirus
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