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1.
Sensors (Basel) ; 23(14)2023 Jul 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37514774

RESUMEN

This study presents an architectural framework for the blockchain-based usage-based insurance (UBI) policy auction mechanism in the internet of vehicles (IoV) applications. The main objective of this study is to analyze and design the specific blockchain architecture and management considerations for the UBI environment. An auction mechanism is developed for the UBI blockchain platform to enhance consumer trust. The study identifies correlations between driving behaviors and associated risks to determine a driver's score. A decentralized bidding algorithm is proposed and implemented on a blockchain platform using elliptic curve cryptography and first-price sealed-bid auctions. Additionally, the model incorporates intelligent contract functionality to prevent unauthorized modifications and ensure that insurance prices align with the prevailing market value. An experimental study evaluates the system's efficacy by expanding the participant pool in the bidding process to identify the winning bidder and is investigated under scenarios where varying numbers of insurance companies submit bids. The experimental results demonstrate that as the number of insurance companies increases exponentially, the temporal overhead incurred by the system exhibits only marginal growth. Moreover, the allocation of bids is accomplished within a significantly abbreviated timeframe. These findings provide evidence that supports the efficiency of the proposed algorithm.

2.
Accid Anal Prev ; 184: 106997, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36854225

RESUMEN

Usage-based insurance has allowed insurers to dynamically tailor insurance premiums by understanding when and how safe policyholders drive. However, telematics information can also be used to understand the driving contexts experienced by the driver within each trip (e.g., road types, weather, traffic). Since different combinations of these conditions affect exposure to accidents, this understanding introduces predictive opportunities in driving risk assessment. This paper investigates the relationships between driving context combinations and risk using a naturalistic driving dataset of 77,859 km. In particular, XGBoost and Random Forests are used to determine the predictive significance of driving contexts for near-misses, speeding and distraction events. Moreover, the most important contextual factors in predicting these risky events are identified and ranked through Shapley Additive Explanations. The results show that the driving context has significant power in predicting driving risk. Speed limit, weather temperature, wind speed, traffic conditions and road slope appear in the top ten most relevant features for most risky events. Analysing contextual feature variations and their influence on risky events showed that low-speed limits increase the predicted frequency of speeding and phone unlocking events, whereas high-speed limits decrease harsh accelerations. Low temperatures decrease the expected frequency of harsh manoeuvres, and precipitations increase harsh acceleration, harsh braking, and distraction events. Furthermore, road slope, intersections and pavement quality are the most critical factors among road layout attributes. The methodology presented in this study aims to support road safety stakeholders and insurers by providing insights to study the contextual risk factors that influence road accident frequency and driving risk.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Conducción de Automóvil , Humanos , Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Inteligencia Artificial , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo
3.
Accid Anal Prev ; 168: 106619, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35202940

RESUMEN

Increasingly, drivers are choosing to buy usage-based automobile insurance (UBI). Manage-how-you-drive (MHYD) insurance, a new type of UBI, incorporates active safety management to monitor driver behavior and issue warnings as needed. While researchers have introduced telematics data into automobile insurance pricing, the specific effect of in-vehicle active safety management on driver risk assessment has been neglected, especially for truck drivers, whose crashes have more serious consequences. This study uses telematics and in-vehicle monitoring features to examine the key factors underlying large commercial truck crashes, and quantifies the effect of these factors on crash risk. Data from 2,185 trucks in Shanghai, China, were collected for a total of 105,786 trips and 465,555 in-vehicle warnings to investigate three types of factors affecting risk: travel characteristics, driving behavior, and in-vehicle warnings. A zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression model was built, and a ZIP model without the warning variables as well as a basic Poisson model with warnings were considered for comparison. It was found that the ZIP model considering in-vehicle warning information performed significantly better than the other models. The standardized regression coefficient method was used to identify the most important variables. In-vehicle yawn and smoking warnings had significantly more association with the number of crashes than did the travel characteristics and driving behavior variables, though freeway distance traveled, average freeway speed, percentage of trips on sunny days, and percentage of trips at night also correlated significantly with crash risk. These results can provide a reference for UBI insurance professionals considering in-vehicle active safety management, as well as support freight companies in drafting appropriate working regulations.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Conducción de Automóvil , Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Automóviles , China , Humanos , Vehículos a Motor
4.
Entropy (Basel) ; 23(7)2021 06 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34209743

RESUMEN

This study proposes a method for identifying and evaluating driving risk as a first step towards calculating premiums in the newly emerging context of usage-based insurance. Telematics data gathered by the Internet of Vehicles (IoV) contain a large number of near-miss events which can be regarded as an alternative for modeling claims or accidents for estimating a driving risk score for a particular vehicle and its driver. Poisson regression and negative binomial regression are applied to a summary data set of 182 vehicles with one record per vehicle and to a panel data set of daily vehicle data containing four near-miss events, i.e., counts of excess speed, high speed brake, harsh acceleration or deceleration and additional driving behavior parameters that do not result in accidents. Negative binomial regression (AICoverspeed = 997.0, BICoverspeed = 1022.7) is seen to perform better than Poisson regression (AICoverspeed = 7051.8, BICoverspeed = 7074.3). Vehicles are separately classified to five driving risk levels with a driving risk score computed from individual effects of the corresponding panel model. This study provides a research basis for actuarial insurance premium calculations, even if no accident information is available, and enables a precise supervision of dangerous driving behaviors based on driving risk scores.

5.
Accid Anal Prev ; 159: 106232, 2021 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34186470

RESUMEN

Mobile sensors are a useful data source with applications in several transportation fields. Though cost of collection, transmission, and storage has limited studies on driving data and safety, this can be overcome through usage-based insurance (UBI). In UBI programs, drivers are monitored, and their premiums are adjusted based on driver-level surrogate safety measures (SSMs) related to exposure and driving style. Contextual link-level SSMs (volume, speed, or density) could further improve discount calibration. This study quantifies relationships between contextual SSMs and crashes and includes the validation of previous results (correlations between SSMs and crashes and statistical models estimated using smartphone-collected data from Quebec City) and the comparison of three Canadian cities (using UBI data from Quebec City, Montreal, and Ottawa). Extracted SSMs were compared to large volumes of historical crash frequency data using Spearman's Rank Correlation Coefficient and then implemented into spatial Bayesian crash models. Results from the UBI data generally matched those from the previous study, with observed correlations mirroring previous results in direction (braking, congestion, and speed variation are positively associated with crash frequency while mean speed is negatively associated) while correlation strength was slightly higher. Furthermore, these results were consistent between cities. For the crash modelling, repeatability of previous results in Quebec City was moderately good for the UBI data. Importantly for large-scale implementation, models estimated using UBI data were largely consistent between cities. This work provides an important contribution to the existing literature, clearly demonstrating how contextual safety measures could be applied to benefit UBI practices.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Conducción de Automóvil , Teorema de Bayes , Canadá , Ciudades , Humanos , Almacenamiento y Recuperación de la Información , Modelos Estadísticos , Seguridad
6.
Sensors (Basel) ; 20(9)2020 May 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32397508

RESUMEN

With the major advances made in internet of vehicles (IoV) technology in recent years, usage-based insurance (UBI) products have emerged to meet market needs. Such products, however, critically depend on driving risk identification and driver classification. Here, ordinary least square and binary logistic regressions are used to calculate a driving risk score on short-term IoV data without accidents and claims. Specifically, the regression results reveal a positive relationship between driving speed, braking times, revolutions per minute and the position of the accelerator pedal. Different classes of risk drivers can thus be identified. This study stresses both the importance and feasibility of using sensor data for driving risk analysis and discusses the implications for traffic safety and motor insurance.

7.
Risk Anal ; 39(3): 662-672, 2019 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30566751

RESUMEN

Most automobile insurance databases contain a large number of policyholders with zero claims. This high frequency of zeros may reflect the fact that some insureds make little use of their vehicle, or that they do not wish to make a claim for small accidents in order to avoid an increase in their premium, but it might also be because of good driving. We analyze information on exposure to risk and driving habits using telematics data from a pay-as-you-drive sample of insureds. We include distance traveled per year as part of an offset in a zero-inflated Poisson model to predict the excess of zeros. We show the existence of a learning effect for large values of distance traveled, so that longer driving should result in higher premiums, but there should be a discount for drivers who accumulate longer distances over time due to the increased proportion of zero claims. We confirm that speed limit violations and driving in urban areas increase the expected number of accident claims. We discuss how telematics information can be used to design better insurance and to improve traffic safety.

8.
Accid Anal Prev ; 115: 79-88, 2018 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29549774

RESUMEN

Car insurance is quickly becoming a big data industry, with usage-based insurance (UBI) poised to potentially change the business of insurance. Telematics data, which are transmitted from wireless devices in car, are widely used in UBI to obtain individual-level travel and driving characteristics. While most existing studies have introduced telematics data into car insurance pricing, the telematics-related characteristics are directly obtained from the raw data. In this study, we propose to quantify drivers' familiarity with their driving routes and develop models to quantify drivers' accident risks using the telematics data. In addition, we build a latent class model to study the heterogeneity in travel and driving styles based on the telematics data, which has not been investigated in literature. Our main results include: (1) the improvement to the model fit is statistically significant by adding telematics-related characteristics; (2) drivers' familiarity with their driving trips is critical to identify high risk drivers, and the relationship between drivers' familiarity and accident risks is non-linear; (3) the drivers can be classified into two classes, where the first class is the low risk class with 0.54% of its drivers reporting accidents, and the second class is the high risk class with 20.66% of its drivers reporting accidents; and (4) for the low risk class, drivers with high probability of reporting accidents can be identified by travel-behavior-related characteristics, while for the high risk class, they can be identified by driving-behavior-related characteristics. The driver's familiarity will affect the probability of reporting accidents for both classes.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Conducción de Automóvil , Conducta , Seguro , Modelos Biológicos , Adulto , Beijing , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Reconocimiento en Psicología , Riesgo , Asunción de Riesgos
9.
Accid Anal Prev ; 75: 93-104, 2015 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25460096

RESUMEN

Pay-As-You-Drive (PAYD) insurance links an individual's driving behaviour to the insurance fee that they pay, making car insurance more actuarially accurate. The best known PAYD insurance format is purely mileage based and is estimated to reduce accidents by about 15% (Litman, 2011). However, these benefits could be further enhanced by incorporating a wider range of driving behaviours, such as lateral and longitudinal accelerations and speeding behaviour, thereby stimulating not only a safe but also an eco-friendly driving style. Currently, feedback on rewards and driver behaviour is mostly provided through a web-based interface, which is presented temporally separated from driving. However, providing immediate feedback within the vehicle itself could elicit more effect. To investigate this hypothesis, two groups of 20 participants drove with a behavioural based PAYD system in a driving simulator and were provided with either delayed feedback through a website, or immediate feedback through an in-car interface, allowing them to earn up to €6 extra. To be clear, every participant in the web group did actually view their feedback during the one week between sessions. Results indicate clear driving behaviour improvements for both PAYD groups as compared to baseline rides and an equal sized control group. After both PAYD groups had received feedback, the initial advantage of the in-car group was reduced substantially. Taken together with usability ratings and driving behaviours in specific situations these results show a moderate advantage of using immediate in-car feedback. However, the study also showed that under conditions of feedback certainty, the effectiveness of delayed feedback approaches that of immediate feedback as compared to a naïve control group.


Asunto(s)
Conducción de Automóvil , Retroalimentación Psicológica , Seguro , Aceleración , Accidentes de Tránsito , Adulto , Conducción de Automóvil/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta , Femenino , Humanos , Internet , Masculino , Recompensa , Adulto Joven
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