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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 21580, 2024 09 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39284886

RESUMEN

In this paper, we have provided more insights on the relationship between under five morbidity in Nigeria and some background characteristics using a Poisson regression model and the most recent 2018 NDHS data on Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI), diarrhoea and fever. Some of our results are that children 36-47 months old have the highest risk of ARI [OR = 1.45; CI (1.31,1.60)] while children less than 6 months old have the lowest risk of ARI [OR = 0.14; CI (0.11,0.17)]. The prevalence of diarrhoea is generally high among children under 48-59 months old but highest among children 6-11 months old [OR = 4.34; CI (3.69,5.09)]. Compared to children 48-59 months old, children in all other age categories except 24-34 months old have a high risk of fever [OR = 0.95; CI (0.73,1.24)]. ARI is more prevalent among female children [OR = 8.88; CI (8.02,9.82)] while diarrhoea [OR = 21.75; (19.10,24.76)] and fever [OR = 4.78; CI (4.31,5.32)] are more prevalent among male children. Children in urban areas are more likely to suffer ARI [OR = 9.49; CI (8.31,10.85)] while children in rural areas are more likely to suffer both diarrhoea [OR = 21.75; CI (19.10,24.76)] and fever [OR = 4.90; CI (4.26,5.63)]. Children in the South-South have the highest risk of ARI [OR = 4.03; CI (3.65,4.454)] while children in the North Central have the lowest risk of ARI [OR = 1.55; CI (1.38,1.74)] and highest risk of diarrhoea [OR = 3.34; CI (2.30,5.11)]. Children in the Northeast have the highest risk of fever [OR = 1.30; CI (1.14,1.48)]. In the Northcentral region, Kogi state has the highest prevalence of fever [OR = 2.27; CI (1.62,3.17)], while Benue state has the lowest [OR = 0.35; CI (0.20,0.60)]. Children in Abuja state face similar risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.84; CI (0.55,1.27)], with the risk of diarrhoea in Abuja being comparable to that in Plateau state [OR = 1.57; CI (0.92,2.70)]. Nasarawa state records the highest incidence of diarrhoea in the Northcentral [OR = 5.12; CI (3.03,8.65)], whereas Kogi state reports the lowest [OR = 0.29; CI (0.16,0.53)]. In the Northeast, Borno state has the highest rate of fever [OR = 3.28; CI (2.80,3.84)], and Bauchi state the lowest [OR = 0.38; CI (0.29,0.50)]. In Adamawa state, the risks of fever and diarrhoea are nearly equivalent [OR = 1.17; CI (0.97,1.41)], and the risk of fever there is similar to that in Taraba state [OR = 0.92; CI (0.75,1.12)]. Diarrhoea is most prevalent in Yobe state [OR = 3.17; CI (2.37,4.23)] and least prevalent in Borno state [OR = 0.26; CI (0.20,0.33)]. In the Northwest, the risk of fever is similarly high in Zamfara and Kebbi states [OR = 1.04; CI (0.93,1.17)], with Kastina state showing the lowest risk [OR = 0.39; CI (0.34,0.46)]. Children in Zamfara state experience notably different risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.07; CI (0.05,0.10)]. Kaduna state reports the highest incidence of diarrhoea [OR = 21.88; CI (15.54,30.82)], while Kano state has the lowest [OR = 2.50; CI (1.73,3.63)]. In the Southeast, Imo state leads in fever incidence [OR = 8.20; CI (5.61,11.98)], while Anambra state has the lowest [OR = 0.40; CI (0.21,0.78)]. In Abia state, the risk of fever is comparable to that in Enugu state [OR = 1.03; CI (0.63,1.71)], but the risks of fever and diarrhoea in Abia differ significantly [OR = 2.67; CI (1.75,4.06)]. Abia state also has the highest diarrhoea rate in the Southeast [OR = 2.67; CI (1.75,4.06)], with Ebonyi state having the lowest [OR = 0.05; CI (0.03,0.09)]. In the South-South region, Bayelsa and Edo states have similar risks of fever [OR = 1.28; CI (0.84,1.95)], with Akwa Ibom state reporting the highest fever rate [OR = 4.62; CI (3.27,6.52)] and Delta state the lowest [OR = 0.08; CI (0.02,0.25)]. Children in Bayelsa state face distinctly different risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.56; CI (0.34,0.95)]. Rivers state shows the highest incidence of diarrhoea in the South-South [OR = 10.50; CI (4.78,23.06)], while Akwa Ibom state has the lowest [OR = 0.30; CI (0.15,0.57)]. In the Southwest, Lagos and Osun states have similar risks of fever [OR = 1.00; CI (0.59,1.69)], with Ogun state experiencing the highest incidence [OR = 3.47; CI (2.28,5.28)] and Oyo state the lowest [OR = 0.18; CI (0.07,0.46)]. In Lagos state, the risks of fever and diarrhoea are comparable [OR = 0.96; CI (0.57,1.64)], and the risk of diarrhoea is similar to those in Ekiti, Ogun, and Ondo states. Oyo state has the highest diarrhoea rate in the Southwest [OR = 10.99; CI (3.81,31.67)], with Ogun state reporting the lowest [OR = 0.77; CI (0.42,1.42)]. Children of mothers with more than secondary education are significantly less likely to suffer ARI [OR = 0.35; CI (0.29,0.42)], whereas children of mothers without any education run a higher risk of diarrhoea [OR = 2.12; CI (1.89,2.38)] and fever [OR = 2.61; CI (2.34,2.91)]. Our analysis also indicated that household wealth quintile is a significant determinant of morbidity. The results in this paper could help the government and non-governmental agencies to focus and target intervention programs for ARI, diarrhoea and fever on the most vulnerable and risky under five groups and populations in Nigeria.


Asunto(s)
Diarrea , Fiebre , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Nigeria/epidemiología , Preescolar , Masculino , Lactante , Femenino , Diarrea/epidemiología , Fiebre/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Distribución de Poisson , Morbilidad , Factores de Riesgo , Prevalencia , Recién Nacido , Medición de Riesgo
2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 927, 2024 Sep 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39244566

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In sub-Saharan African countries, preventable and manageable diseases such as diarrhea and acute respiratory infections still claim the lives of children. Hence, this study aims to estimate the rate of change in the log expected number of days a child suffers from Diarrhea (NOD) and flu/common cold (NOF) among children aged 6 to 11 months at the baseline of the study. METHODOLOGY: This study used secondary data which exhibit a longitudinal and multilevel structure. Based on the results of exploratory analysis, a multilevel zero-inflated Poisson regression model with a rate of change in the log expected NOD and NOF described by a quadratic trend was proposed to efficiently analyze both outcomes accounting for correlation between observations and individuals through random effects. Furthermore, residual plots were used to assess the goodness of fit of the model. RESULTS: Considering subject and cluster-specific random effects, the results revealed a quadratic trend in the rate of change of the log expected NOD. Initially, low dose iron Micronutrient Powder (MNP) users exhibited a higher rate of change compared to non-users, but this trend reversed over time. Similarly, the log expected NOF decreased for children who used MNP and exclusively breastfed for six months, in comparison to their counterparts. In addition, the odds of not having flu decreased with each two-week increment for MNP users, as compared to non-MNP users. Furthermore, an increase in NOD resulted in an increase in the log expected NOF. Region and exclusive breastfeeding also have a significant relationships with both NOD and NOF. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study underscore the importance of commencing analysis of data generated from a study with exploratory analysis. The study highlights the critical role of promoting EBF for the first six months and supporting children with additional food after six months to reduce the burden of infectious diseases.


Asunto(s)
Diarrea , Humanos , Etiopía/epidemiología , Lactante , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Femenino , Diarrea/epidemiología , Distribución de Poisson , Resfriado Común/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Modelos Estadísticos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología
3.
Health Sci Rep ; 7(8): e70007, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39170887

RESUMEN

Background and Aims: Blood, vital for transporting nutrients and maintaining balance, comprises red blood cells, white blood cells, and platelets, each pivotal. Imbalances lead to issues-low red cells cause fatigue (anemia), high white cells hint at infection, low counts raise infection risks. Using trendy statistical approaches, investigating the complex link between platelet counts and numerous blood components. Our investigation, leveraging count regression approaches, revealed deep insights into the interaction between platelet counts and other important hematological markers. Methods: A cross-sectional study utilized data from 3120 individuals, including both male and female participants, who visited these hospitals between June 16, 2022 and December 17, 2022, to assess their blood samples through testing by using convenience non-parametric sampling framework. Platelet count was taken into account as a measure of outcome in this research. This specific study region was chosen for its easy accessibility, which helped the seamless execution of the data-gathering technique. Count regression, negative binomial regression, and quasi-Poisson regression techniques have been employed for examining relationship of the data sets. Results: Three different count regression models were utilized to assess the proper association between the response and the relevant covariates and we found negative binomial count regression model (Akaike information criterion = 76.55, Bayesian information criterion = 76.59, and deviance = 3.14) was providing comparatively better performance than others. Based on the chosen model we found white blood cell, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and eosinophils are significant but neutrophil, monocyte, and lymphocyte are not significant. We have also gone through proper model adequacy checking for our selected model and we found enough evidence to justify our model. Conclusion: From the result, we found insightful remarks into the mechanisms involved in platelet production and regulation, which can aid in developing increased effective treatments and interventions to maintain optimal platelet levels and prevent health problems related to abnormal platelet counts.

4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 2285, 2024 Aug 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39174971

RESUMEN

Recent research has established existence of a correlation between women's education and fertility, suggesting that they share similar risk factors. However, in many studies, the two variables were analysed separately, which could bias the conclusions by undermining the apparent correlations of such paired outcomes. In this article, the univariate and bivariate Poisson regression models were applied to nationally representative sample of 24,562 women from the 2015-16 Malawi demographic and health survey to examine the risk factors of women's education levels and fertility. The R software version 4.1.2 was used for the analyses. The results showed that estimates from the bivariate Poisson model were consistent with those obtained from the separate univariate Poisson models. The sizes of estimates of coefficients, their standard errors, p-values, and directions were comparable in both bivariate and univariate Poisson models. Using either the univariate or bivariate Poisson model, it was found that the age of a woman at first sexual experience, her current age, household wealth index, and contraceptive usage were significantly associated with both the woman's schooling and fertility. The study further revealed that ethnicity, religion, and region of residence impacted education level only and not fertility. Similarly, marital status and occupation impacted fertility only and not education. The study also found that higher education levels were linked to a lower number of children, with a strong negative correlation of -0.62 between the two variables. The study recommends using bivariate Poisson regression for analysing paired count response data, when there is an apparent covariance between the outcome variables. The results suggest that efforts by policymakers to achieve the desired women's sexual and reproductive health in sub-Saharan Africa should be intertwined with improving women's and girls' education attainment in the region.


Asunto(s)
Escolaridad , Humanos , Malaui , Femenino , Adulto , Distribución de Poisson , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fertilidad , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Análisis de Regresión
5.
Behav Res Methods ; 2024 Aug 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39187739

RESUMEN

In psychology and the social sciences, researchers often model count outcome variables accounting for latent predictors and their interactions. Even though neglecting measurement error in such count regression models (e.g., Poisson or negative binomial regression) can have unfavorable consequences like attenuation bias, such analyses are often carried out in the generalized linear model (GLM) framework using fallible covariates such as sum scores. An alternative is count regression models based on structural equation modeling, which allow to specify latent covariates and thereby account for measurement error. However, the issue of how and when to include interactions between latent covariates or between latent and manifest covariates is rarely discussed for count regression models. In this paper, we present a latent variable count regression model (LV-CRM) allowing for latent covariates as well as interactions among both latent and manifest covariates. We conducted three simulation studies, investigating the estimation accuracy of the LV-CRM and comparing it to GLM-based count regression models. Interestingly, we found that even in scenarios with high reliabilities, the regression coefficients from a GLM-based model can be severely biased. In contrast, even for moderate sample sizes, the LV-CRM provided virtually unbiased regression coefficients. Additionally, statistical inferences yielded mixed results for the GLM-based models (i.e., low coverage rates, but acceptable empirical detection rates), but were generally acceptable using the LV-CRM. We provide an applied example from clinical psychology illustrating how the LV-CRM framework can be used to model count regressions with latent interactions.

6.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 12(8)2024 Aug 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39204014

RESUMEN

School vaccination programs are crucial for achieving high immunisation coverage among adolescents, but substantial disparities exist across schools and regions. This ecological study aimed to determine associations between school characteristics and vaccination coverage for diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (dTpa) and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines among year 7 students in southeastern Sydney. An analysis of data from 70 mainstream schools participating in the 2019 South Eastern Sydney Local Health District School Vaccination Program utilised quasi-Poisson regression models to assess associations between vaccination coverage and school attendance, socio-educational status, Aboriginal enrolments, language background other than English (LBOTE), school sector (government, Catholic, or independent), and coeducation status. Median school coverage was 88% for dTpa, 88% for HPV-girls, and 86% for HPV-boys, with interquartile ranges of 82-93%, 84-92%, and 78-91%, respectively. Higher school attendance was associated with increased dTpa vaccination coverage (PR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.27). Single-sex schools showed higher HPV vaccination coverage compared to coeducational schools for both girls (PR 2.24, 95% CI 2.04-2.46) and boys (PR 1.89, 95% CI 1.72-2.08). No significant associations were found for ICSEA, Aboriginal enrolments, LBOTE, or school sector. School attendance and coeducational status significantly influenced vaccination coverage, with differential impacts on dTpa and HPV vaccines. These findings highlight the need for targeted strategies to address disparities in school-based vaccination programs. Research using qualitative methods could be useful to understand the beliefs and attitudes contributing to these disparities in vaccine uptake so that programs can be tailored to maximise participation.

7.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e55403, 2024 Aug 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39163110

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In China, mitral valve regurgitation (MR) is the most common cardiovascular valve disease. However, patients in China typically experience a high incidence of this condition, coupled with a low level of health knowledge and a relatively low rate of surgical treatment. TikTok hosts a vast amount of content related to diseases and health knowledge, providing viewers with access to relevant information. However, there has been no investigation or evaluation of the quality of videos specifically addressing MR. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the quality of videos about MR on TikTok in China. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on the Chinese version of TikTok on September 9, 2023. The top 100 videos on MR were included and evaluated using quantitative scoring tools such as the modified DISCERN (mDISCERN), the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) benchmark criteria, the Global Quality Score (GQS), and the Patient Education Materials Assessment Tool for Audio-Visual Content (PEMAT-A/V). Correlation and stepwise regression analyses were performed to examine the relationships between video quality and various characteristics. RESULTS: We obtained 88 valid video files, of which most (n=81, 92%) were uploaded by certified physicians, primarily cardiac surgeons, and cardiologists. News agencies/organizations and physicians had higher GQS scores compared with individuals (news agencies/organizations vs individuals, P=.001; physicians vs individuals, P=.03). Additionally, news agencies/organizations had higher PEMAT understandability scores than individuals (P=.01). Videos focused on disease knowledge scored higher in GQS (P<.001), PEMAT understandability (P<.001), and PEMAT actionability (P<.001) compared with videos covering surgical cases. PEMAT actionability scores were higher for outpatient cases compared with surgical cases (P<.001). Additionally, videos focused on surgical techniques had lower PEMAT actionability scores than those about disease knowledge (P=.04). The strongest correlations observed were between thumbs up and comments (r=0.92, P<.001), thumbs up and favorites (r=0.89, P<.001), thumbs up and shares (r=0.87, P<.001), comments and favorites (r=0.81, P<.001), comments and shares (r=0.87, P<.001), and favorites and shares (r=0.83, P<.001). Stepwise regression analysis identified "length (P<.001)," "content (P<.001)," and "physicians (P=.004)" as significant predictors of GQS. The final model (model 3) explained 50.1% of the variance in GQSs. The predictive equation for GQS is as follows: GQS = 3.230 - 0.294 × content - 0.274 × physicians + 0.005 × length. This model was statistically significant (P=.004) and showed no issues with multicollinearity or autocorrelation. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals that while most MR-related videos on TikTok were uploaded by certified physicians, ensuring professional and scientific content, the overall quality scores were suboptimal. Despite the educational value of these videos, the guidance provided was often insufficient. The predictive equation for GQS developed from our analysis offers valuable insights but should be applied with caution beyond the study context. It suggests that creators should focus on improving both the content and presentation of their videos to enhance the quality of health information shared on social media.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/fisiopatología , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/cirugía , China , Grabación en Video , Educación del Paciente como Asunto/métodos , Educación del Paciente como Asunto/normas , Fuentes de Información
8.
Infect Dis Ther ; 13(9): 1949-1962, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39004648

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Adult respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden is underestimated due to non-specific symptoms, limited standard-of-care and delayed testing, reduced diagnostic test sensitivity-particularly when using single diagnostic specimen-when compared to children, and variable test sensitivity based on the upper airway specimen source. We estimated RSV-attributable hospitalization incidence among adults aged ≥ 18 years in Ontario, Canada, using a retrospective time-series model-based approach. METHODS: The Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences data repository provided weekly numbers of hospitalizations (from 2013 to 2019) for respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory disorders. The number of hospitalizations attributable to RSV was estimated using a quasi-Poisson regression model that considered probable overdispersion and was based on periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity. As proxies for viral activity, weekly counts of RSV and influenza hospitalizations in children under 2 years and adults aged 60 years and over, respectively, were employed. Models were stratified by age and risk group. RESULTS: In patients ≥ 60 years, RSV-attributable incidence rates were high for cardiorespiratory hospitalizations (range [mean] in 2013-2019: 186-246 [215] per 100,000 person-years, 3‒4% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations), and subgroups including respiratory hospitalizations (144-192 [167] per 100,000 person-years, 5‒7% of all respiratory hospitalizations) and cardiovascular hospitalizations (95-126 [110] per 100,000 person-years, 2‒3% of all cardiovascular hospitalizations). RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization incidence increased with age, from 14-18 [17] hospitalizations per 100,000 person-years (18-49 years) to 317-411 [362] per 100,000 person-years (≥ 75 years). CONCLUSIONS: Estimated RSV-attributable respiratory hospitalization incidence among people ≥ 60 years in Ontario, Canada, is comparable to other incidence estimates from high-income countries, including model-based and pooled prospective estimates. Recently introduced RSV vaccines could have a substantial public health impact.

9.
Environ Epidemiol ; 8(4): e320, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39027089

RESUMEN

Background: Precipitation could affect the transmission of diarrheal diseases. The diverse precipitation patterns across different climates might influence the degree of diarrheal risk from precipitation. This study determined the associations between precipitation and diarrheal mortality in tropical, temperate, and arid climate regions. Methods: Daily counts of diarrheal mortality and 28-day cumulative precipitation from 1997 to 2019 were analyzed across 29 locations in eight middle-income countries (Argentina, Brazil, Costa Rica, India, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, and Thailand). A two-stage approach was employed: the first stage is conditional Poisson regression models for each location, and the second stage is meta-analysis for pooling location-specific coefficients by climate zone. Results: In tropical climates, higher precipitation increases the risk of diarrheal mortality. Under extremely wet conditions (95th percentile of 28-day cumulative precipitation), diarrheal mortality increased by 17.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.4%, 25.7%) compared with minimum-risk precipitation. For temperate and arid climates, diarrheal mortality increases in both dry and wet conditions. In extremely dry conditions (fifth percentile of 28-day cumulative precipitation), diarrheal mortality risk increases by 3.8% (95% CI = 1.2%, 6.5%) for temperate and 5.5% (95% CI = 1.0%, 10.2%) for arid climates. Similarly, under extremely wet conditions, diarrheal mortality risk increases by 2.5% (95% CI = -0.1%, 5.1%) for temperate and 4.1% (95% CI = 1.1%, 7.3%) for arid climates. Conclusions: Associations between precipitation and diarrheal mortality exhibit variations across different climate zones. It is crucial to consider climate-specific variations when generating global projections of future precipitation-related diarrheal mortality.

10.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jul 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38973755

RESUMEN

Epidemiologic studies frequently use risk ratios to quantify associations between exposures and binary outcomes. When the data are physically stored at multiple data partners, it can be challenging to perform individual-level analysis if data cannot be pooled centrally due to privacy constraints. Existing methods either require multiple file transfers between each data partner and an analysis center (e.g., distributed regression) or only provide approximate estimation of the risk ratio (e.g., meta-analysis). Here we develop a practical method that requires a single transfer of eight summary-level quantities from each data partner. Our approach leverages an existing risk-set method and software originally developed for Cox regression. Sharing only summary-level information, the proposed method provides risk ratio estimates and confidence intervals identical to those that would be provided - if individual-level data were pooled - by the modified Poisson regression. We justify the method theoretically, confirm its performance using simulated data, and implement it in a distributed analysis of COVID-19 data from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System.

11.
Methods Mol Biol ; 2827: 15-34, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38985260

RESUMEN

Statistics and experimental design are important tools for plant cell and tissue culture researchers and should be used when planning and conducting experiments as well as during the analysis and interpretation of experimental results. The chapter provides basic concepts important to the statistical analysis of data obtained from plant tissue culture experiments and illustrates the application of common statistical procedures to analyze binomial, count, and continuous data for experiments with different treatment factors as well as identifying trends of dosage treatment factors.


Asunto(s)
Células Vegetales , Técnicas de Cultivo de Tejidos , Técnicas de Cultivo de Tejidos/métodos , Técnicas de Cultivo de Célula/métodos , Interpretación Estadística de Datos
12.
Psychiatry Res ; 338: 115977, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823165

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The specific effects of adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) in adulthood and senectitude were less known. We aim to examine the relationship between early ACEs and overall health condition as well as specific dimensions in the middle-aged and elderly population. METHODS: In the 2019-2021 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Study, robust Poisson regression models were used to estimate the relationship between ACE exposure and current health status among adults aged 45 ≥ years. RESULTS: Of the 195,472 participants, 53.8 % were female and the mean age was 65.0 years. Compared to populations without ACE, ACE exposures were more significantly associated with depression (PR: 2.03, 95 %CI: 1.94-2.21), frequent mental health (PR: 1.85, 95 %CI: 1.74-1.97) and subject cognitive decline (PR: 1.99, 95 %CI:1.85-2.14) than with physical health (PR: 1.37, 95 %CI: 1.32-1.44), with dose-response patterns. The association with mental disorder was especially significant among the elderly population. CONCLUSION: Early ACEs are associated with adverse health outcomes that persist into later life, particularly mental disorders and cognitive decline. Poor mental health may indirectly influence associations with ACEs and cognitive decline as well as physical health. Our findings emphasize the importance of lifelong psychological screening and support for the ACE-exposed middle-aged and elderly population.


Asunto(s)
Experiencias Adversas de la Infancia , Disfunción Cognitiva , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Experiencias Adversas de la Infancia/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Disfunción Cognitiva/epidemiología , Depresión/epidemiología , Depresión/psicología , Sistema de Vigilancia de Factor de Riesgo Conductual , Salud Mental , Trastornos Mentales/epidemiología , Trastornos Mentales/psicología , Anciano de 80 o más Años
13.
Stat Methods Med Res ; 33(7): 1185-1196, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38780488

RESUMEN

Modified Poisson regression, which estimates the regression parameters in the log-binomial regression model using the Poisson quasi-likelihood estimating equation and robust variance, is a useful tool for estimating the adjusted risk and prevalence ratio in binary outcome analysis. Although several goodness-of-fit tests have been developed for other binary regressions, few goodness-of-fit tests are available for modified Poisson regression. In this study, we proposed several goodness-of-fit tests for modified Poisson regression, including the modified Hosmer-Lemeshow test with empirical variance, Tsiatis test, normalized Pearson chi-square tests with binomial variance and Poisson variance, and normalized residual sum of squares test. The original Hosmer-Lemeshow test and normalized Pearson chi-square test with binomial variance are inappropriate for the modified Poisson regression, which can produce a fitted value exceeding 1 owing to the unconstrained parameter space. A simulation study revealed that the normalized residual sum of squares test performed well regarding the type I error probability and the power for a wrong link function. We applied the proposed goodness-of-fit tests to the analysis of cross-sectional data of patients with cancer. We recommend the normalized residual sum of squares test as a goodness-of-fit test in the modified Poisson regression.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Distribución de Poisson , Humanos , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Transversales , Neoplasias , Funciones de Verosimilitud
14.
Stat Appl Genet Mol Biol ; 23(1)2024 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753402

RESUMEN

Somatic mutations in cancer can be viewed as a mixture distribution of several mutational signatures, which can be inferred using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF). Mutational signatures have previously been parametrized using either simple mono-nucleotide interaction models or general tri-nucleotide interaction models. We describe a flexible and novel framework for identifying biologically plausible parametrizations of mutational signatures, and in particular for estimating di-nucleotide interaction models. Our novel estimation procedure is based on the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and regression in the log-linear quasi-Poisson model. We show that di-nucleotide interaction signatures are statistically stable and sufficiently complex to fit the mutational patterns. Di-nucleotide interaction signatures often strike the right balance between appropriately fitting the data and avoiding over-fitting. They provide a better fit to data and are biologically more plausible than mono-nucleotide interaction signatures, and the parametrization is more stable than the parameter-rich tri-nucleotide interaction signatures. We illustrate our framework in a large simulation study where we compare to state of the art methods, and show results for three data sets of somatic mutation counts from patients with cancer in the breast, Liver and urinary tract.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Mutación , Neoplasias , Humanos , Neoplasias/genética , Modelos Genéticos , Simulación por Computador , Modelos Estadísticos
15.
Environ Res ; 255: 119179, 2024 Aug 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768882

RESUMEN

Exposure to particulate matter (PM) pollution is a significant health risk, driving the search for innovative metrics that more accurately reflect the potential harm to human health. Among these, oxidative potential (OP) has emerged as a promising health-based metric, yet its application and relevance across different environments remain to be further explored. This study, set in two high-altitude Bolivian cities, aims to identify the most significant sources of PM-induced oxidation in the lungs and assess the utility of OP in assessing PM health impacts. Utilizing two distinct assays, OPDTT and OPDCFH, we measured the OP of PM samples, while also examining the associations between PM mass, OP, and black carbon (BC) concentrations with hospital visits for acute respiratory infections (ARI) and pneumonia over a range of exposure lags (0-2 weeks) using a Poisson regression model adjusted for meteorological conditions. The analysis also leveraged Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) to link these health outcomes to specific PM sources, building on a prior source apportionment study utilizing the same dataset. Our findings highlight anthropogenic combustion, particularly from traffic and biomass burning, as the primary contributors to OP in these urban sites. Significant correlations were observed between both OPDTT and PM2.5 concentration exposure and ARI hospital visits, alongside a notable association with pneumonia cases and OPDTT levels. Furthermore, PMF analysis demonstrated a clear link between traffic-related pollution and increased hospital admissions for respiratory issues, affirming the health impact of these sources. These results underscore the potential of OPDTT as a valuable metric for assessing the health risks associated with acute PM exposure, showcasing its broader application in environmental health studies.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Altitud , Ciudades , Material Particulado , Material Particulado/análisis , Bolivia/epidemiología , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Adulto , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Oxidación-Reducción , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Neumonía/epidemiología , Neumonía/inducido químicamente , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Niño , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Preescolar
16.
MethodsX ; 12: 102736, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38779443

RESUMEN

The health profile of Southeast Sulawesi Province in 2021 shows that the prevalence of stunting is 11.69 %, wasting 5.89 % and underweight 7.67 %. This relatively high figure should be immediately reduced to zero because it greatly affects the quality of human resources. Cases of stunting, wasting and underweight are an iceberg phenomenon, especially in Southeast Sulawesi. Therefore, it is necessary to research the number of cases of stunting, wasting and underweight in Southeast Sulawesi using GWMPR. The research results show that there is a trivariate correlation between the number of cases of stunting, wasting and underweight. The GWMPR model provides better results in modeling the number of stunting, wasting and underweight cases than the MPR model. The models produced for each sub-district are different from each other based on the predictor variables that have a significant effect and the estimated parameter values ​​for each sub-district. The segmentation of the number of stunting cases consists of 21 regional groups with 10 significant predictor variables, while the number of wasting cases consists of 10 regional groups with 9 significant predictor variables, while the number of underweight cases consists of 37 regional groups with 11 significant predictor variables. Therefore, policies on stunting, wasting, and underweight should be based on local conditions. 3 important components of this study: 1. GWMPR is the development of GWPR model when there are 2 or more response variables that are correlated. 2. GWMPR is a spatial model that considers geography. 3. Application of GWMPR to the analysis of the number of stunting, wasting, and underweight in Southeast Sulawesi province.

17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38791828

RESUMEN

Melioidosis is an endemic infectious disease caused by Burkholderia pseudomallei bacteria, which contaminates soil and water. To better understand the environmental changes that have contributed to melioidosis outbreaks, this study used spatiotemporal analyses to clarify the distribution pattern of melioidosis and the relationship between melioidosis morbidity rate and local environmental indicators (land surface temperature, normalised difference vegetation index, normalised difference water index) and rainfall. A retrospective study was conducted from January 2013 to December 2022, covering data from 219 sub-districts in Northeast Thailand, with each exhibiting a varying morbidity rate of melioidosis on a monthly basis. Spatial autocorrelation was determined using local Moran's I, and the relationship between the melioidosis morbidity rate and the environmental indicators was evaluated using a geographically weighted Poisson regression. The results revealed clustered spatiotemporal patterns of melioidosis morbidity rate across sub-districts, with hotspots predominantly observed in the northern region. Furthermore, we observed a range of coefficients for the environmental indicators, varying from negative to positive, which provided insights into their relative contributions to melioidosis in each local area and month. These findings highlight the presence of spatial heterogeneity driven by environmental indicators and underscore the importance of public health offices implementing targeted monitoring and surveillance strategies for melioidosis in different locations.


Asunto(s)
Melioidosis , Melioidosis/epidemiología , Tailandia/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Burkholderia pseudomallei/aislamiento & purificación , Tecnología de Sensores Remotos , Morbilidad , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Lluvia
18.
Viruses ; 16(5)2024 05 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38793633

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: HIV case finding is an essential component for ending AIDS, but there is limited evidence on the effectiveness of such a strategy in the pediatric population. We sought to determine HIV positivity rates among children according to entry points in Cameroon. METHODS: A facility-based survey was conducted from January 2015 to December 2019 among mother-child couples at various entry points of health facilities in six regions of Cameroon. A questionnaire was administered to parents/guardians. Children were tested by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Positivity rates were compared between entry points. Associations were quantified using the unadjusted positivity ratio (PR) for univariate analyses and the adjusted positivity ratio (aPR) for multiple Poisson regression analyses with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). p-values < 0.05 were considered significant. RESULTS: Overall, 24,097 children were enrolled. Among them, 75.91% were tested through the HIV prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) program, followed by outpatient (13.27%) and immunization (6.27%) services. In total, PMTCT, immunization, and outpatient services accounted for 95.39% of children. The overall positivity was 5.71%, with significant differences (p < 0.001) between entry points. Univariate analysis showed that inpatient service (PR = 1.45; 95% CI: [1.08, 1.94]; p = 0.014), infant welfare (PR = 0.43; 95% CI: [0.28, 0.66]; p < 0.001), immunization (PR = 0.56; 95% CI: [0.45, 0.70]; p < 0.001), and PMTCT (PR = 0.41; 95% CI: [0.37, 0.46]; p < 0.001) were associated with HIV transmission. After adjusting for other covariates, only PMTCT was associated with transmission (aPR = 0.66; 95% CI: [0.51, 0.86]; p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: While PMTCT accounts for most tested children, high HIV positivity rates were found among children presenting at inpatient, nutrition, and outpatient services and HIV care units. Thus, systematic HIV testing should be proposed for all sick children presenting at the hospital who have escaped the PMTCT cascade.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Instituciones de Salud , Transmisión Vertical de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Humanos , Camerún/epidemiología , Transmisión Vertical de Enfermedad Infecciosa/prevención & control , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/virología , Femenino , Lactante , Masculino , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Embarazo , Preescolar , Recién Nacido , Adulto , Países en Desarrollo , Madres
19.
Biometrics ; 80(2)2024 Mar 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38771658

RESUMEN

Limitations of using the traditional Cox's hazard ratio for summarizing the magnitude of the treatment effect on time-to-event outcomes have been widely discussed, and alternative measures that do not have such limitations are gaining attention. One of the alternative methods recently proposed, in a simple 2-sample comparison setting, uses the average hazard with survival weight (AH), which can be interpreted as the general censoring-free person-time incidence rate on a given time window. In this paper, we propose a new regression analysis approach for the AH with a truncation time τ. We investigate 3 versions of AH regression analysis, assuming (1) independent censoring, (2) group-specific censoring, and (3) covariate-dependent censoring. The proposed AH regression methods are closely related to robust Poisson regression. While the new approach needs to require a truncation time τ explicitly, it can be more robust than Poisson regression in the presence of censoring. With the AH regression approach, one can summarize the between-group treatment difference in both absolute difference and relative terms, adjusting for covariates that are associated with the outcome. This property will increase the likelihood that the treatment effect magnitude is correctly interpreted. The AH regression approach can be a useful alternative to the traditional Cox's hazard ratio approach for estimating and reporting the magnitude of the treatment effect on time-to-event outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Humanos , Análisis de Regresión , Análisis de Supervivencia , Simulación por Computador , Distribución de Poisson , Biometría/métodos , Modelos Estadísticos
20.
J Hum Kinet ; 92: 161-179, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38736591

RESUMEN

The home advantage (HA) is a robust phenomenon in soccer whereby the home team wins more games and scores more goals than the away team. Similarly, away disadvantage (AD) means that an away team loses more games or scores less goals than the home team. This study examines the HA and AD values of teams in the UEFA-Champions League, covering the seasons from 2003/2004 to 2021/2022, a total of 2,344 matches. Controlling for team ability differences, the study revealed significant variations in HA, ranging from 32.1% to 79.5%, while AD values ranged from 45.1% to 71.9%. The study further found that HA remained consistent for teams across both the group and knockout stages, while AD varied between these stages. Furthermore, the results suggest that, for certain teams, HA is predominantly manifested against weaker opponents, and the impact of opponent strength on HA and AD is limited.

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