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Aging is a complex, multifactorial, and inevitable process, which begins before birth and continues throughout the life. Multimorbidity prevailing among the geriatric population is an important health challenge for most of the developing countries. To examine the effect of gender and increasing age on the survival of the geriatric population suffering from multimorbidity. A cross-sectional study was conducted among the geriatric population of the Jammu district, J and K, using multistage sampling procedure, and the analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method and survival analysis using software IBM SPSS version 24.0. Our study included 1150 study subjects, of whom 610 (53%) were males and 540 (47%) were females, respectively. It was indicated that the probability for the survival of the study population suffering from morbidity belonging to 60-64 years was higher than the survival of the geriatric population belonging to other age-groups or we can say that survival probability of the geriatric population suffering from morbidities decreases with the increase in age. Also, it was reported that probability for the survival of the female geriatric population suffering from morbidity was slightly higher than the survival of the male geriatric population. Gender had no significant effect on survival of the geriatric population suffering from morbidities, whereas baseline age had a significant effect on the survival of the geriatric population suffering from morbidities as their survival probability decreases with the increase in age.

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Introduction: blood centres are often faced with the problem of donor lapsing resulting in loss of donors from the already strained donor pool. In Zimbabwe, 70% of the donated blood comes from younger donors aged 40 years and below, who at the same time, have high attrition rates. This study seeks to apply the concept of survival analysis in analysing blood donor lapsing rates. Methods: in analysing the donor lapsing and retention rates, data on 450 first-time blood donors at the National Blood Service Zimbabwe, in Harare´s blood bank for the period 2014 to 2017 was extracted from the donors´ database. The Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) and Kaplan-Meier methods were applied in the analysis. Donor demographic characteristics suspected of having effect on donor lapsing and retention were identified and analysed. Results: the study findings show that 56.9% of the donors had lapsed by the end of the four-year study period. Results from the multiple Cox PH model indicate that donor age had a significant effect on blood donor retention time (p = 0.000918 < 0.05). The hazard ratio (HR) = 0.615 with 95% CI: (0.461; 0.820) shows that the relatively older donors had a lower hazard (38.5% lower) of lapsing compared to the hazard for younger donors. The effect of gender, blood donor group and donation time interval on donor retention and attrition were not statistically significant. Male donors had HR = 1.03; 95% CI (0.537; 1.99) with (p = 0.922 > 0.05) and donors with a 4-month interval between donations had HR = 1.31; 95% CI (0.667; 2.59) with (p = 0.430 > 0.05). Conclusion: the study confirmed the problem of donor attrition faced by blood centres. The age of the donor had a significant effect on the retention time of blood donors before lapsing. The older the blood donor, the lower the risk of lapsing. The Zimbabwe National Blood Service (NBSZ) Blood Centre authorities should have a critical mass of individuals above 40 years as potential blood donors because of their reliability in blood donation according to the study findings.

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Bancos de Sangre , Donantes de Sangre , Humanos , Zimbabwe , Donantes de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Bancos de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de Supervivencia , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Adolescente

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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: There is limited information on combination of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) and systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (Ad-HCC). We aim to compare the efficacy and safety of HAIC plus camrelizumab (a PD-1 inhibitor) and apatinib (an VEGFR-2 inhibitor) versus camrelizumab and apatinib for Ad-HCC. METHODS: From April 2019 to October 2022, 416 patients with Ad-HCC who received either HAIC plus camrelizumab and apatinib (TRIPLET protocol, n = 207) or camrelizumab and apatinib (C-A protocol, n = 209) were reviewed retrospectively. The propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce selective bias. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test. Cox regression analyses of independent prognostic factors were evaluated. RESULTS: After PSM 1:1, 109 patients were assigned to two groups. The median OS of not reached in the TRIPLET group was significantly longer than that of 19.9 months in the C-A group (p < 0.001), while in the TRIPLET group, the median PFS of 11.5 months was significantly longer than that of 9.6 months in the C-A group (p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses showed that the factors significantly affected the OS were CTP grade, tumor number > 3, and TRIPLET treatment (p < 0.001). Grade 3/4 adverse events occurred at a rate of 82.1% vs. 71.3% in TRIPLET and C-A groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: The TRIPLET protocol has promising survival benefits in the management of patients with Ad-HCC, with acceptable safety. TRAIL REGISTRATION: The study has been retrospectively registered at Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ( https://www.chictr.org.cn/ , ChiCTR2300075828).

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BACKGROUND: Graft loss increases the risk of patient death after simultaneous pancreas-kidney (SPK) transplantation. The relative risk of each graft failure is complex due to the influence of several competing events. METHODS: This retrospective, single-center study compared 4-year patient survival according to the graft status using Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Competing Risk Analysis (CRA). Patient survival was also assessed according to five eras (Era 1: 2001-2003; Era 2: 2004-2006; Era 3: 2007-2009; Era 4: 2010-2012; Era 5: 2012-2015). RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2015, 432 SPK transplants were performed. Using KM, patient survival was 86.5% for patients without graft loss (n = 333), 93.4% for patients with pancreas graft loss (n = 46), 43.7% for patients with kidney graft loss (n = 16), and 25.4% for patients with pancreas and kidney graft loss (n = 37). Patient survival was underestimated using KM versus CRA methods in patients with pancreas and kidney graft losses (25.4% vs. 36.2%), respectively. Induction with lymphocyte depleting antibodies was associated with 81% reduced risk (HR.19, 95% CI.38-.98, p = .0048), while delayed kidney function (HR 2.94, 95% CI 1.09-7.95, p = .033) and surgical complications (HR 2.94, 95% CI 1.22-7.08, p = .016) were associated with higher risk of death. Four-year patient survival increased from Era 1 to Era 5 (79% vs. 87.9%, p = .047). CONCLUSION: In this cohort of patients, kidney graft loss, with or without pancreas graft loss, was associated with higher mortality after SPK transplantation. Compared to CRA, the KM model underestimated survival only among patients with pancreas and kidney graft losses. Patient survival increased over time.

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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Trasplante de Riñón , Trasplante de Páncreas , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Trasplante de Páncreas/métodos , Medición de Riesgo , Páncreas , Supervivencia de Injerto

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Background Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers and a leading cause of death worldwide. Most cases of gastric cancer are diagnosed at an advanced stage when no definitive treatment is available leading to an overall declined survival rate. In this study, we aimed to investigate the survival rate of gastric cancer patients admitted to our tertiary care center and determined the relationship between sociodemographic and clinicopathological characteristics with mortality. Methodology Gastric cancer patients treated between January 2019 and December 2020 were included in this retrospective study. The clinicopathological and demographic data of 275 gastric cancer patients were analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival of gastric cancer patients. The Kaplan-Meier log-rank test was used to calculate the difference. Results The mean survival of gastric cancer patients was 20.10 months (95% confidence interval = 19.20-21.03). Deaths were higher among stage III (42.6%) and stage IV (36.1%) patients compared to stage I (1.6%) and stage II (19.7%) patients. Mortality was significantly higher (70.5%) in patients without surgery. Conclusions The mean survival in our study setting is lower and is associated with the pathological stage of the disease, surgical intervention, and patients presenting with other gastrointestinal symptoms. A lower survival rate can be attributed to late diagnosis.

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Immunosuppressive therapy is complex and challenging to do correctly due to on-target and off-target side effects. However, it is vital to successful allotransplantation. In this article, we analyzed the critical classes of immunosuppressants used in renal transplantation, highlighting the mechanisms of action and typical clinical applications used to develop predictive models for the diagnosis of various diseases, including the prediction of survival after kidney transplantation. In patients, the authors used a dataset with two immunosuppressants (tacrolimus and cyclosporin). The primary task was investigating critical risk factors associated with early transplant rejection. For this, the censored Kaplan-Meier survival estimation method was used. Our study shows a pairwise correlation between taking and not using a particular immunosuppressant. Therefore, the correct choice of immunosuppressive drugs is necessary to improve the prognosis of transplant survival.

Asunto(s)

Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Inmunosupresores/uso terapéutico , Ciclosporina/uso terapéutico , Tacrolimus/uso terapéutico , Terapia de Inmunosupresión , Rechazo de Injerto/tratamiento farmacológico

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Cancer has affected around eighteen million people all over the world in 2018. In Portugal, cancer was diagnosed in sixty thousand individuals during 2018, being the second leading cause of death (one in every four deaths). Following the European Directive 2011/24/EU, the Portuguese Health System has been recognizing oncology Reference Centres (RCs), which are focused on delivering best-in-class treatment for cancer patients. This paper performs a survival analysis of cancer patients in Portugal, having hospital episodes with discharge date after the official recognition, in 2016, of the first RCs for hepatobiliary, pancreatic, sarcomas and oesophageal cancer. The aim is to assess the impact of RCs on the survival probability of these patients. For each cancer type, survival curves are estimated using the Kaplan-Meier methodology, and hazard ratios are estimated for different covariates, using multivariate Extended Cox models. The results obtained support the implementation and encourage the further extension of the RC model for oncology in Portugal, as cancer patients treated in an oncology RC, overall, have a better survival probability when compared to patients who had no episode in an RC. These results are clearer for hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer, but also visible for sarcomas and oesophageal cancer.

Asunto(s)

Neoplasias Esofágicas , Sarcoma , Humanos , Portugal , Análisis de Supervivencia , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales

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AIMS: Patients with femoral neck fractures (FNFs) treated with total hip arthroplasty (THA) have an almost ten-fold increased risk of dislocation compared to patients undergoing elective THA. The surgical approach influences the risk of dislocation. To date, the influence of differing head sizes and dual-mobility components (DMCs) on the risk of dislocation has not been well studied. METHODS: In an observational cohort study on 8,031 FNF patients with THA between January 2005 and December 2014, Swedish Arthroplasty Register data were linked with the National Patient Register, recording the total dislocation rates at one year and revision rates at three years after surgery. The cumulative incidence of events was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox multivariable regression models were fitted to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of dislocation, revision, or mortality, stratified by surgical approach. RESULTS: The cumulative dislocation rate at one year was 8.3% (95% CI 7.3 to 9.3) for patients operated on using the posterior approach and 2.7% (95% CI 2.2 to 3.2) when using the direct lateral approach. In the posterior approach group, use of DMC was associated with reduced adjusted risk of dislocation compared to 32 mm heads (HR 0.21 (95% CI 0.07 to 0.68); p = 0.009). This risk was increased with head sizes < 32 mm (HR 1.47 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.98); p = 0.010). Neither DMC nor different head sizes influenced the risk of revision following the posterior approach. Neither articulation was associated with a statistically significantly reduced adjusted risk of dislocation in patients where the direct lateral approach was performed, although this risk was estimated to be HR 0.14 (95% CI 0.02 to 1.02; p = 0.053) after the use of DMC. DMC inserted through a direct lateral approach was associated with a reduced risk of revision for any reason versus THA with 32 mm heads (HR 0.36 (95% CI 0.13 to 0.99); p = 0.047). CONCLUSION: When using a posterior approach for THA in FNF patients, DMC reduces the risk of dislocation, while a non-significant risk reduction is seen for DMC after use of the direct lateral approach. The direct lateral approach is protective against dislocation and is also associated with a lower rate of revision at three years, compared to the posterior approach. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(7):844-851.

Asunto(s)

Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Cadera , Luxación de la Cadera , Fracturas de Cadera , Prótesis de Cadera , Luxaciones Articulares , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Cadera/métodos , Luxación de la Cadera/epidemiología , Luxación de la Cadera/etiología , Luxación de la Cadera/cirugía , Fracturas de Cadera/complicaciones , Prótesis de Cadera/efectos adversos , Humanos , Luxaciones Articulares/cirugía , Diseño de Prótesis , Falla de Prótesis , Sistema de Registros , Reoperación/métodos

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BACKGROUND: Survival analyses are heavily used to analyze data in which the time to event is of interest. The purpose of this paper is to introduce some fundamental concepts for survival analyses in medical studies. METHODS: We comprehensively review current survival methodologies, such as the nonparametric Kaplan-Meier method used to estimate survival probability, the log-rank test, one of the most popular tests for comparing survival curves, and the Cox proportional hazard model, which is used for building the relationship between survival time and specific risk factors. More advanced methods, such as time-dependent receiver operating characteristic, restricted mean survival time, and time-dependent covariates are also introduced. RESULTS: This tutorial is aimed toward covering the basics of survival analysis. We used a neurosurgical case series of surgically treated brain metastases from non-small cell lung cancer patients as an example. The survival time was defined from the date of craniotomy to the date of patient death. CONCLUSIONS: This work is an attempt to encourage more investigators/medical practitioners to use survival analyses appropriately in medical research. We highlight some statistical issues, make recommendations, and provide more advanced survival modeling in this aspect.

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Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/cirugía , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Factores de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia

RESUMEN

Objective: To explore the risk factors of pneumoconiosis patients' re-admission to provide a scientific basis for improving the treatment effect of pneumoconiosis, reducing the rate of re-admission, and reducing the burden of disease. Methods: In June 2020, The clinical data of 470 patients with pneumoconiosis who had hospitalization records from February 8, 2014, to February 8, 2020, in the Hunan Provincial Occupational Disease Prevention and Treatment Institute were retrospectively analyzed. The patients' general data and emotional state at the first admission were collected through questionnaires and telephone follow-ups. The entire group of patients completed at least one follow-up, with readmission as the end event. First, the Kaplan-Meier method was used for univariate analysis. The multivariate COX regression model analysis was performed on meaningful variables to explore the risk factors that affect the patient's re-admission. Results: A total of 470 patients with pneumoconiosis were included in this study, with an average age of 55.88 years (34-81 years old) and all the participants were male. During the first admission, the number of participants diagnosed as stage III pneumoconiosis, with complications of COPD, fatty liver, or severe pulmonary diffusion dysfunction was 215 (45.74%) , 179 (38.09%) , 51 (10.85%) , and 44 (9.36%) , respectively. Six patients (1.28%) have had suicidal tendencies almost every day since they became ill. A total of 345 patients (73.40%) were re-admitted to the hospital. Multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that compared with the suspected pneumoconiosis group, patients in the first, second, and third-stage pneumoconiosis groups had an increased risk of readmission (OR=2.43, 2.96, 2.35, P=0.000) . Compared with the age of 30-50 years old, 50-70 years old and ≥70 years old have an increased risk of readmission (OR=1.28, 2.32, P<0.05) . Patients with tricuspid regurgitation (OR=1.33, P<0.05) and elevated triglyceride level (>2.26 mmol/L) (OR=1.40, P<0.05) have increased risks of readmission. Compared with the normal group, patients with severe pulmonary diffusion dysfunction in pneumoconiosis have an increased risk of readmission (OR=1.96, P<0.05) . Compared with the normal group, pneumoconiosis patients in the suicidal group had an increased risk of re-admission to the hospital almost every day (OR=2.92, P<0.05) . Conclusion Age of onset, stage of pneumoconiosis, tricuspid regurgitation, high triglycerides, severe diffuse pulmonary dysfunction, and suicidal tendency are independent risk factors that affect the readmission of patients with pneumoconiosis. The management of chronic diseases and mental health of patients with pneumoconiosis should be strengthened to reduce the risk of readmission. Conclusion: Age of onset, stage of pneumoconiosis, tricuspid regurgitation, high triglycerides, severe diffuse pulmonary dysfunction, and suicidal tendency are independent risk factors that affect the readmission of patients with pneumoconiosis. The management of chronic diseases and the mental health of patients with pneumoconiosis should be strengthened to reduce the risk of readmission.

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Neumoconiosis , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Tricúspide , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Readmisión del Paciente , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neumoconiosis/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Triglicéridos

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We often encounter situations in which data from the TCGA that have been analyzed in papers we read or reviewed cannot be reproduced, even when TCGA datasets are used, especially in survival analyses. Therefore, we attempted to confirm the data source for TCGA survival analysis and found that several websites used to analyze the survival data of TCGA datasets inappropriately handle the survival data, causing differences in statistical analyses. This causes the misinterpretation of results because figures of survival analysis results in several papers are sometimes exactly as generated by these sites, and the results depend on only the tools provided by these sites. We would like to make this situation widely known and raise the problem for scientific soundness.

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Pronóstico , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Análisis de Supervivencia

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BACKGROUND: Osteoporotic hip fracture is a common general health problem with a significant impact on human life because it debilitates the patients and largely decreases their quality of life. Early prevention of fractures has become essential in recent decades. This can be achieved by evaluating the related risk factors, as a reference for further intervention. This is especially useful for the vulnerable patient group with comorbidities. Hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a major complication of liver cirrhosis, may increase the rate of falls and weaken the bone. This study evaluated the correlation between hepatic encephalopathy and osteoporotic hip fracture in the aged population using a national database. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database between 2000 and 2012. We included people who were older than 50 years with hepatic encephalopathy or other common chronic illnesses. Patients with and without hepatic encephalopathy were matched at a ratio of 1:4 for age, sex, and index year. The incidence and hazard ratios of osteoporotic hip fracture between the both cohorts were calculated using Cox proportional hazard regression models. RESULTS: The mean age of the enrolled patients was 66.5 years. The incidence ratio of osteoporotic hip fracture in the HE group was significantly higher than that in the non-HE group (68/2496 [2.7%] vs 98/9984 [0.98%]). Patients with HE were 2.15-times more likely to develop osteoporotic hip fractures than patients without HE in the whole group. The risk ratio was also significantly higher in female and older individuals. The results were also similar in the comorbidity subgroups of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, senile cataract, gastric ulcer, and depression. Alcohol-related illnesses seemed to not confound the results of this study. CONCLUSIONS: HE is significantly associated with an increased risk of osteoporotic hip fractures, and the significance is not affected by the comorbidities in people aged more than 50 years. The cumulative risk of fracture increases with age.

Asunto(s)

Encefalopatía Hepática , Fracturas de Cadera , Fracturas Osteoporóticas , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Encefalopatía Hepática/diagnóstico , Encefalopatía Hepática/epidemiología , Fracturas de Cadera/diagnóstico , Fracturas de Cadera/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/diagnóstico , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/epidemiología , Calidad de Vida , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo

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BACKGROUND: Liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) offers a chance of cure, although survival is often limited. The actual 3-year survival and its associated prognostic factors have not been reported. METHODS: A nationwide database of HCC patients with PVTT who underwent liver resection with 'curative' intent was analyzed. The clinicopathologic characteristics, the perioperative, and survival outcomes for the actual long-term survivors were compared with the non-long-term survivors (patients who died within 3 years of surgery). Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were performed to identify predictive factors associated with long-term survival outcomes. RESULTS: The study included 1590 patients with an actuarial 3-year survival of 16.6%, while the actual 3-year survival rate was 11.7%. There were 171 patients who survived for at least 3 years after surgery and 1290 who died within 3 years of surgery. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that total bilirubin > 17.1 µmol/l, AFP > 400 ng/ml, types of hepatectomy, extent of PVTT, intraoperative blood loss > 400 ml, tumor diameter > 5 cm, tumor encapsulation, R0 resection, liver cirrhosis, adjuvant TACE, postoperative early recurrence (< 1 year), and recurrence treatments were independent prognostic factors associated with actual long-term survival. CONCLUSION: One in nine HCC patients with PVTT reached the long-term survival milestone of 3 years after resection. Major hepatectomy, controlling intraoperative blood loss, R0 resection, adjuvant TACE, and 'curative' treatment for initial recurrence should be considered for patients to achieve better long-term survival outcomes.

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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatectomía , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Células Neoplásicas Circulantes/patología , Vena Porta/patología , Trombosis , Supervivientes de Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Hepatectomía/efectos adversos , Hepatectomía/métodos , Hepatectomía/mortalidad , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Efectos Adversos a Largo Plazo/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tasa de Supervivencia , Trombosis/etiología , Trombosis/cirugía

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The survival data and the survival analysis are the data and analysis methods used to study the probability of survival. The survival data consist of a period from the juncture of a start event to the juncture of the end event (occurrence event). The period is called the survival period or survival time. In this way, the method of analysing the survival time of subjects and appropriately summarizing the degree of survival is called survival analysis. To understand and analyse survival analysis methods, researchers must be aware of some concepts. Concepts to be aware of in the survival analysis include events, censored data, survival period, survival function, survival curve and so on. This review focuses on the terms and concepts used in the survival analysis. It will also cover the types of survival data that should be collected and prepared when using actual survival analysis method and how to prepare them.

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Métodos , Análisis de Supervivencia

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Objective: To analyze the heart rate changes and risk factors, as a result of high altitude. Methods: Retrospective analysis of echocardiographic data of plateau workers at a railway maintenance company from 2006 to 2013. The survival curve method was used to analyze the abnormal rate of the heart. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to analyze the influencing factors. Results: In the first occurrence of cardiac abnormalities, the main types of abnormalities were right atrium enlargement (53.47%) , right ventricle enlargement (17.36%) , and tricuspid regurgitation (16.67%) . Cox regression analysis showed that workplace altitude and first physical examination age are two influencing factors of cardiac abnormalities, and their relative risk was 1.661 and 1.039. At high altitudes (3 600~4 000 m) , nearly 40% of workers heart has not changed. But this adaptation does not observed in the ultra-high altitudes (≥4 000 m) . Conclusion: There are individual differences in human adaptability to high altitude. We should take more stringent measures of health care for older people and those who work at more than 4000m. And we should abide by the rotation system for railways that are suitable for the plateau.

Asunto(s)

Altitud , Cardiopatías/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedades Profesionales/diagnóstico por imagen , Vías Férreas , Ecocardiografía Doppler en Color , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos

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PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to provide some useful insights into the treatments, outcomes, and prognostic factors of patients with breast cancer spine metastases (BCSM). METHODS: We report a retrospective case series analyzing 87 patients with BCSM who underwent surgical interventions. Independent prognostic factors for SMFS and OS were extracted using univariate and multivariate analyses, the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: The mean time between primary diagnoses and spinal metastases was 46.8 (median 41, range 0-147 months) months. The analysis showed that lymph node metastasis (p = 0.043, HR 10.498, 95%CI 1.074-102.588) and estrogen receptor (ER) status (p = 0.004, HR 0.368, 95%CI 0.189-0.721) can significantly affect SMFS. Furthermore, visceral metastasis (p = 0.042, HR 2.383, 95%CI 1.032-5.501), multiple metastases (p = 0.035, HR 2.538, 95%CI 1.066-6.048) and post-op chemotherapy (p = 0.003, HR 0.312, 95%CI 0.144-0.675) have significant effects on OS. Lastly, patients identified as Luminal A subtype have longer OS. CONCLUSIONS: Lymph node metastases and ER status are independent risk factors in predicting BCSM. Moreover, visceral metastasis, multiple metastases of the spine and post-op chemotherapy are independent prognostic factors. Luminal subtypes have higher rate, but late onset of spine metastases and prolonged survival.

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Length of time is a variable often encountered during data analysis. Survival analysis provides simple, intuitive results concerning time-to-event for events of interest, which are not confined to death. This review introduces methods of analyzing time-to-event. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression modeling method are described with examples of hypothetical data.

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Length of time is a variable often encountered during data analysis. Survival analysis provides simple, intuitive results concerning time-to-event for events of interest, which are not confined to death. This review introduces methods of analyzing time-to-event. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression modeling method are described with examples of hypothetical data.

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Métodos , Tamaño de la Muestra , Estadística como Asunto , Análisis de Supervivencia

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Objective@#To analyze the heart rate changes and risk factors, as a result of high altitude.@*Methods@#Retrospective analysis of echocardiographic data of plateau workers at a railway maintenance company from 2006 to 2013. The survival curve method was used to analyze the abnormal rate of the heart. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to analyze the influencing factors.@*Results@#In the first occurrence of cardiac abnormalities, the main types of abnormalities were right atrium enlargement (53.47%) , right ventricle enlargement (17.36%) , and tricuspid regurgitation (16.67%) . Cox regression analysis showed that workplace altitude and first physical examination age are two influencing factors of cardiac abnormalities, and their relative risk was 1.661 and 1.039. At high altitudes (3 600~4 000 m) , nearly 40% of workers heart has not changed. But this adaptation does not observed in the ultra-high altitudes (≥4 000 m) .@*Conclusion@#There are individual differences in human adaptability to high altitude. We should take more stringent measures of health care for older people and those who work at more than 4000m. And we should abide by the rotation system for railways that are suitable for the plateau.

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This paper presents the ecotoxicological assessment and environmental risk evaluation of complex pesticide mixtures occurring in freshwater ecosystems in southern Sweden. The evaluation is based on exposure data collected between 2002 and 2013 by the Swedish pesticide monitoring program and includes 1308 individual samples, detecting mixtures of up to 53 pesticides (modal=8). Pesticide mixture risks were evaluated using three different scenarios for non-detects (best-case, worst-case and using the Kaplan-Meier method). The risk of each scenario was analyzed using Swedish Water Quality Objectives (WQO) and trophic-level specific environmental thresholds. Using the Kaplan-Meier method the environmental risk of 73% of the samples exceeded acceptable levels, based on an assessment using Concentration-Addition and WQOs for the individual pesticides. Algae were the most sensitive organism group. However, analytical detection limits, especially for insecticides, were insufficient to analyze concentrations at or near their WQO's. Thus, the risk of the analyzed pesticide mixtures to crustaceans and fish is systematically underestimated. Treating non-detects as being present at their individual limit of detection increased the estimated risk by a factor 100 or more, compared to the best-case or the Kaplan-Meier scenario. Pesticide mixture risks are often driven by only 1-3 compounds. However, the risk-drivers (i.e., individual pesticides explaining the largest share of potential effects) differ substantially between sites and samples, and 83 of the 141 monitored pesticides need to be included in the assessment to account for 95% of the risk at all sites and years. Single-substance oriented risk mitigation measures that would ensure that each individual pesticide is present at a maximum of 95% of its individual WQO, would also reduce the mixture risk, but only from a median risk quotient of 2.1 to a median risk quotient of 1.8. Also, acceptable total risk levels would still be exceeded in more than 70% of the samples.

Asunto(s)

Monitoreo del Ambiente , Plaguicidas/análisis , Ríos/química , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis , Animales , Crustáceos , Peces , Medición de Riesgo , Suecia