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China's lowland rural rivers are facing severe eutrophication problems due to excessive phosphorus (P) from anthropogenic activities. However, quantifying P dynamics in a lowland rural river is challenging due to its complex interaction with surrounding areas. A P dynamic model (River-P) was specifically designed for lowland rural rivers to address this challenge. This model was coupled with the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) and the Phosphorus Dynamic Model for lowland Polder systems (PDP) to characterize P dynamics under the impact of dredging in a lowland rural river. Based on a two-year (2020-2021) dataset from a representative lowland rural river in the Lake Taihu Basin, China, the coupled model was calibrated and achieved a model performance (R2>0.59, RMSE<0.04 mg/L) for total P (TP) concentrations. Our research in the study river revealed that (1) the time scale for the effectiveness of sediment dredging for P control was ∼300 days, with an increase in P retention capacity by 74.8 kg/year and a decrease in TP concentrations of 23% after dredging. (2) Dredging significantly reduced P release from sediment by 98%, while increased P resuspension and settling capacities by 16% and 46%, respectively. (3) The sediment-water interface (SWI) plays a critical role in P transfer within the river, as resuspension accounts for 16% of TP imports, and settling accounts for 47% of TP exports. Given the large P retention capacity of lowland rural rivers, drainage ditches and ponds with macrophytes are promising approaches to enhance P retention capacity. Our study provides valuable insights for local environmental departments, allowing a comprehensive understanding of P dynamics in lowland rural rivers. This enable the evaluation of the efficacy of sediment dredging in P control and the implementation of corresponding P control measures.

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Commodity futures are an important hedging tool in material trade, and by accurately predicting prices, countries and firms are able to make informed production and consumption decisions. This paper introduces a novel machine learning ensemble method that combines decomposition algorithms and physical optimization algorithms to predict commodity futures prices. First, the VMD(Variational mode decomposition) is optimized by the RIME algorithm (Rime optimization algorithm) to obtain the optimal modal decomposition results, and the trend and seasonal terms are predicted using the ELM (Extreme Learning Machines) and FA (Fourier Attention) models, respectively, and the results are finally synthesized. The results show that the MAPE(mean absolute percentage error) of one-step, three-step, and six-step methods for predicting crude oil prices are 0.48%, 0.66%, and 0.75%, respectively, and the MAPE of soybean prediction results are 0.22%, 0.27%, and 0.37%, respectively. The empirical results and ablation experiments show that it outperforms other benchmark models in terms of both horizontal and directional accuracy. Notably, it outperforms in predicting soybean futures prices, which demonstrates the ability of our model to better capture the characteristics of both the time and frequency domains of the series, to take sufficient consideration of the series characteristics, and to ensure robustness.

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As facial modification technology advances rapidly, it poses a challenge to methods used to detect fake faces. The advent of deep learning and AI-based technologies has led to the creation of counterfeit photographs that are more difficult to discern apart from real ones. Existing Deep fake detection systems excel at spotting fake content with low visual quality and are easily recognized by visual artifacts. The study employed a unique active forensic strategy Compact Ensemble-based discriminators architecture using Deep Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CED-DCGAN), for identifying real-time deep fakes in video conferencing. DCGAN focuses on video-deep fake detection on features since technologies for creating convincing fakes are improving rapidly. As a first step towards recognizing DCGAN-generated images, split real-time video images into frames containing essential elements and then use that bandwidth to train an ensemble-based discriminator as a classifier. Spectra anomalies are produced by up-sampling processes, standard procedures in GAN systems for making large amounts of fake data films. The Compact Ensemble discriminator (CED) concentrates on the most distinguishing feature between the natural and synthetic images, giving the generators a robust training signal. As empirical results on publicly available datasets show, the suggested algorithms outperform state-of-the-art methods and the proposed CED-DCGAN technique successfully detects high-fidelity deep fakes in video conferencing and generalizes well when comparing with other techniques. Python tool is used for implementing this proposed study and the accuracy obtained for proposed work is 98.23 %.

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Maternal health risks can cause a range of complications for women during pregnancy. High blood pressure, abnormal glucose levels, depression, anxiety, and other maternal health conditions can all lead to pregnancy complications. Proper identification and monitoring of risk factors can assist to reduce pregnancy complications. The primary goal of this research is to use real-world datasets to identify and predict Maternal Health Risk (MHR) factors. As a result, we developed and implemented the Quad-Ensemble Machine Learning framework to predict Maternal Health Risk Classification (QEML-MHRC). The methodology used a vacxsriety of Machine Learning (ML) models, which then integrated with four ensemble ML techniques to improve prediction. The dataset collected from various maternity hospitals and clinics subjected to nineteen training and testing tests. According to the exploratory data analysis, the most significant risk factors for pregnant women include high blood pressure, low blood pressure, and high blood sugar levels. The study proposed a novel approach to dealing with high-risk factors linked to maternal health. Dealing with class-specific performance elaborated further to properly understand the distinction between high, low, and medium risks. All tests yielded outstanding results when predicting the amount of risk during pregnancy. In terms of class performance, the dataset associated with the "HR" class outperformed the others, predicting 90% correctly. GBT with ensemble stacking outperformed and demonstrated remarkable performance for all evaluation measure (0.86) across all classes in the dataset. The key success of the models used in this work is the ability to measure model performance using a class-wise distribution. The proposed approach can help medical experts assess maternal health risks, saving lives and preventing complications throughout pregnancy. The prediction approach presented in this study can detect high-risk pregnancies early on, allowing for timely intervention and treatment. This study's development and findings have the potential to raise public awareness of maternal health issues.

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Dry matter content (DMC), firmness and soluble solid content (SSC) are important indicators for assessing the quality attributes and determining the maturity of kiwifruit. However, traditional measurement methods are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and destructive to the kiwifruit, leading to resource wastage. In order to solve this problem, this study has tracked the flowering, fruiting, maturing and collecting processes of Ya'an red-heart kiwifruit, and has proposed a non-destructive method for kiwifruit quality attribute assessment and maturity identification that combines fluorescence hyperspectral imaging (FHSI) technology and chemometrics. Specifically, first of all, three different spectral data preprocessing methods were adopted, and PLSR was used to evaluate the quality attributes (DMC, firmness, and SSC) of kiwifruit. Next, the differences in accuracy of different models in discriminating kiwifruit maturity were compared, and an ensemble learning model based on LightGBM and GBDT models was constructed. The results indicate that the ensemble learning model outperforms single machine learning models. In addition, the application effects of the 'Convolutional Neural Network'-'Multilayer Perceptron' (CNN-MLP) model under different optimization algorithms were compared. To improve the robustness of the model, an improved whale optimization algorithm (IWOA) was introduced by modifying the acceleration factor. Overall, the IWOA-CNN-MLP model performs the best in discriminating the maturity of kiwifruit, with Accuracytest of 0.916 and Loss of 0.23. In addition, compared with the basic model, the accuracy of the integrated learning model SG-MSC-SEL was improved by about 12%-20 %. The research findings will provide new perspectives for the evaluation of kiwifruit quality and maturity discrimination using FHSI and chemometric methods, thereby promoting further research and applications in this field.

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The growing interest in Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction data across different industries underscores its potential use in comprehending weather patterns, extreme conditions, and important sectors such as agriculture and energy management. However, concerns about its accuracy have been raised. Furthermore, enhancing the precision of rainfall predictions remains challenging in S2S forecasts. This study enhanced the sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction skills for precipitation amount and occurrence over the East Asian region by employing deep learning-based post-processing techniques. We utilized a modified U-Net architecture that wraps all its convolutional layers with TimeDistributed layers as a deep learning model. For the training datasets, the precipitation prediction data of six S2S climate models and their multi-model ensemble (MME) were constructed, and the daily precipitation occurrence was obtained from the three thresholds values, 0 % of the daily precipitation for no-rain events, <33 % for light-rain, >67 % for heavy-rain. Based on the precipitation amount prediction skills of the six climate models, deep learning-based post-processing outperformed post-processing using multiple linear regression (MLR) in the lead times of weeks 2-4. The prediction accuracy of precipitation occurrence with MLR-based post-processing did not significantly improve, whereas deep learning-based post-processing enhanced the prediction accuracy in the total lead times, demonstrating superiority over MLR. We enhanced the prediction accuracy in forecasting the amount and occurrence of precipitation in individual climate models using deep learning-based post-processing.

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Excessive carbon dioxide ( CO 2 ) emissions pose a formidable challenge, driving global climate change and necessitating urgent attention. Striking a balance between curbing CO 2 emissions and fostering economic growth hinges upon the ability to reliably forecast CO 2 emissions. Such forecasts are indispensable for policymakers as they endeavor to make informed decisions and proactively implement mitigation measures. In this research, we introduce an innovative deep ensemble prediction model for CO 2 emissions. This model is constructed around four parallel Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks, complemented by a novel Multi-Layer Perception (MLP)-based ensemble framework, equipped with an outlier detection mechanism and an order-invariant ranking module. To enhance prediction accuracy and stability, a k-nearest neighbor (KNN)-based outlier detection module is employed to identify non-outliers and reasonable predictions for the ensemble models. Additionally, a novel feature ranking module is proposed to mitigate prediction fluctuations. The performance evaluation of our model is conducted using historical CO 2 emission data spanning from 1971 to 2021, encompassing six representative countries. Our findings demonstrate that the proposed methodology outperforms existing approaches across various evaluation metrics, offering considerably reduced prediction variances and greater stability. Moreover, long-term CO 2 emission predictions for the corresponding six countries have been provided, which might offer policymakers some basis for making decisions.

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BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrest (CA) is one of the leading causes of death among patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). Although many CA prediction models with high sensitivity have been developed to anticipate CA, their practical application has been challenging due to a lack of generalization and validation. Additionally, the heterogeneity among patients in different ICU subtypes has not been adequately addressed. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to propose a clinically interpretable ensemble approach for the timely and accurate prediction of CA within 24 hours, regardless of patient heterogeneity, including variations across different populations and ICU subtypes. Additionally, we conducted patient-independent evaluations to emphasize the model's generalization performance and analyzed interpretable results that can be readily adopted by clinicians in real-time. METHODS: Patients were retrospectively analyzed using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) and the eICU-Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). To address the problem of underperformance, we constructed our framework using feature sets based on vital signs, multiresolution statistical analysis, and the Gini index, with a 12-hour window to capture the unique characteristics of CA. We extracted 3 types of features from each database to compare the performance of CA prediction between high-risk patient groups from MIMIC-IV and patients without CA from eICU-CRD. After feature extraction, we developed a tabular network (TabNet) model using feature screening with cost-sensitive learning. To assess real-time CA prediction performance, we used 10-fold leave-one-patient-out cross-validation and a cross-data set method. We evaluated MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD across different cohort populations and subtypes of ICU within each database. Finally, external validation using the eICU-CRD and MIMIC-IV databases was conducted to assess the model's generalization ability. The decision mask of the proposed method was used to capture the interpretability of the model. RESULTS: The proposed method outperformed conventional approaches across different cohort populations in both MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD. Additionally, it achieved higher accuracy than baseline models for various ICU subtypes within both databases. The interpretable prediction results can enhance clinicians' understanding of CA prediction by serving as a statistical comparison between non-CA and CA groups. Next, we tested the eICU-CRD and MIMIC-IV data sets using models trained on MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD, respectively, to evaluate generalization ability. The results demonstrated superior performance compared with baseline models. CONCLUSIONS: Our novel framework for learning unique features provides stable predictive power across different ICU environments. Most of the interpretable global information reveals statistical differences between CA and non-CA groups, demonstrating its utility as an indicator for clinical decisions. Consequently, the proposed CA prediction system is a clinically validated algorithm that enables clinicians to intervene early based on CA prediction information and can be applied to clinical trials in digital health.

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Introduction: Deep learning (DL) has significantly advanced medical image classification. However, it often relies on transfer learning (TL) from models pretrained on large, generic non-medical image datasets like ImageNet. Conversely, medical images possess unique visual characteristics that such general models may not adequately capture. Methods: This study examines the effectiveness of modality-specific pretext learning strengthened by image denoising and deblurring in enhancing the classification of pediatric chest X-ray (CXR) images into those exhibiting no findings, i.e., normal lungs, or with cardiopulmonary disease manifestations. Specifically, we use a VGG-16-Sharp-U-Net architecture and leverage its encoder in conjunction with a classification head to distinguish normal from abnormal pediatric CXR findings. We benchmark this performance against the traditional TL approach, viz., the VGG-16 model pretrained only on ImageNet. Measures used for performance evaluation are balanced accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F-score, Matthew's Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Kappa statistic, and Youden's index. Results: Our findings reveal that models developed from CXR modality-specific pretext encoders substantially outperform the ImageNet-only pretrained model, viz., Baseline, and achieve significantly higher sensitivity (p < 0.05) with marked improvements in balanced accuracy, F-score, MCC, Kappa statistic, and Youden's index. A novel attention-based fuzzy ensemble of the pretext-learned models further improves performance across these metrics (Balanced accuracy: 0.6376; Sensitivity: 0.4991; F-score: 0.5102; MCC: 0.2783; Kappa: 0.2782, and Youden's index:0.2751), compared to Baseline (Balanced accuracy: 0.5654; Sensitivity: 0.1983; F-score: 0.2977; MCC: 0.1998; Kappa: 0.1599, and Youden's index:0.1327). Discussion: The superior results of CXR modality-specific pretext learning and their ensemble underscore its potential as a viable alternative to conventional ImageNet pretraining for medical image classification. Results from this study promote further exploration of medical modality-specific TL techniques in the development of DL models for various medical imaging applications.

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Cassava is a most important carbohydrate human food consumed in many African and Asian countries. Cassava leaf disease is the major issue which affects production. Automatic early cassava leaf disease detection through deep learning models and transfer learning models were used for multiclass classification with different approaches. Existing approaches deal with imbalanced dataset for predicting the classes. This research work develops an approach based on hybrid Ensemble - deep transfer model approach for early leaf disease detection. Data augmentation was applied to the raw data for balancing the dataset. Three distinct new hybrid models namely Ensemble(InceptionV3+DenseNet-BC-121-32 + Xception), Ensemble(ResNet50V2+DenseNet-BC-121-32), Ensemble(ResNet50V2+ResNet50) were developed. The proposed model shows high performance results. A broad comparison of the proposed model was performed with custom based Convolutional Neural Network and pre-trained models. Highest accuracy of 88.83% and 97.89% was obtained in ensemble based approach that combined InceptionV3, Xception, DenseNet-BC-121-32 for five class and two class classification respectively.

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Link prediction (LP) is a task for the identification of potential, missing and spurious links in complex networks. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks are important for understanding the underlying biological mechanisms of diseases. Many complex networks have been constructed using LP methods; however, there are a limited number of studies that focus on disease-related gene predictions and evaluate these genes using various evaluation criteria. The main objective of the study is to investigate the effect of a simple ensemble method in disease related gene predictions. Local similarity indices (LSIs) based disease related gene predictions were integrated by a simple ensemble decision method, simple majority voting (SMV), on the PPI network to detect accurate disease related genes. Human PPI network was utilized to discover potential disease related genes using four LSIs for the gene prediction. LSIs discovered potential links between disease related genes, which were obtained from OMIM database for gastric, colorectal, breast, prostate and lung cancers. LSIs based disease related genes were ranked due to their LSI scores in descending order for retrieving the top 10, 50 and 100 disease related genes. SMV integrated four LSIs based predictions to obtain SMV based the top 10, 50 and 100 disease related genes. The performance of LSIs based and SMV based genes were evaluated separately by employing overlap analyses, which were performed with GeneCard disease-gene relation dataset and Gene Ontology (GO) terms. The GO-terms were used for biological assessment for the inferred gene lists by LSIs and SMV on all cancer types. Adamic-Adar (AA), Resource Allocation Index (RAI), and SMV based gene lists are generally achieved good performance results on all cancers in both overlap analyses. SMV also outperformed on breast cancer data. The increment in the selection of the number of the top ranked disease related genes also enhanced the performance results of SMV.

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BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the efficacy of various supervised longitudinal learning approaches, comparing traditional statistical models and machine learning algorithms for prediction with longitudinal data. The primary objectives were to evaluate the predictive performance of different supervised longitudinal learning methods for low birth weight (LBW) and very low birth weight (VLBW) based on prenatal ultrasound measurements. Additionally, the study sought to extract interpretable risk features for disease prediction. METHODS: The evaluation involved benchmarking the performance of longitudinal models against conventional machine learning methods. Classification accuracy for LBW and VLBW at birth, as well as prediction accuracy for birth weight using prenatal sonographic ultrasound measurements, were assessed. RESULTS: Among the learning approaches we investigated in this study, the longitudinal machine learning approach, specifically, the mixed effect random forest (MERF), delivered the overall best performance in predicting birthweights and classifying LBW/VLBW disease status. CONCLUSION: The MERF combined the power of advanced machine learning algorithms to accommodate the inherent within-individual dependence in the observed data, delivering satisfactory performance in predicting the birthweight and classifying LBW/VLBW disease status. The study emphasized the importance of incorporating previous ultrasound measurements and considering correlations between repeated measurements for accurate prediction. The interpretable trees algorithm used for risk feature extraction proved reliable and applicable to other learning algorithms. These findings underscored the potential of longitudinal learning methods in improving birth weight prediction and highlighted the relevance of consistent risk features in line with established literature.

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The miniature fiber Raman spectroscopy detection technology can reflect the properties of biomolecules through spectral characteristics and has the advantages of noninvasiveness, real-time, safety, label-free operation, and potential for early cancer diagnosis. This technology holds promise for developing portable, low-cost, intraoperative tumor detection instruments. Glioma is one of the most common malignant tumors of the central nervous system with rapid growth and a short disease course. However, the considerable heterogeneity of the glioma sample leads to substantial intraclass variance in collected spectra, coupled with the miniature Raman spectrometer's low signal-to-noise ratio. These factors diminish the accuracy of the brain glioma recognition model. To address this issue, a glioma identification method based on digital multimodal spectra integrated with deep learning features fusion (DMS-DLFF) using the miniature Raman spectrometer is proposed. Different from existing multimodal tumor detection methods employing multiple spectral instruments, DMS-DLFF enhances tumor identification accuracy without increasing hardware costs. The method mathematically decomposes the original spectra to Raman and fluorescence spectra, so as to augment the biospectral information. Then, the deep learning method is used to extract the feature information of the two kinds of spectra, respectively, and the digital multimodal spectral fusion is realized at the feature level. Moreover, a two-layer pattern recognition model is constructed based on the ensemble strategy, amalgamating the strengths of diverse classifiers. Meanwhile, the bagging strategy is introduced to improve support vector machine algorithms, one of the basic classifiers. Compared with traditional methodologies, DMS-DLFF operates at both the feature level and decision level, employing high-information-density feature vectors to train ensemble classification models for increasing overall recognition accuracy. This study collected 260 Raman spectra of glioma and 151 Raman spectra of normal brain tissue. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 91.9%, 96.7%, and 80.8%, respectively. The proposed method outperforms traditional algorithms in brain glioma detection, which helps doctors formulate precise surgical plans and thereby improve patient prognosis.

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This study aimed to identify sex-specific imaging biomarkers for Parkinson's disease (PD) based on multiple MRI morphological features by using machine learning methods. Participants were categorized into female and male subgroups, and various structural morphological features were extracted. An ensemble Lasso (EnLasso) method was employed to identify a stable optimal feature subset for each sex-based subgroup. Eight typical classifiers were adopted to construct classification models for PD and HC, respectively, to validate whether models specific to sex subgroups could bolster the precision of PD identification. Finally, statistical analysis and correlation tests were carried out on significant brain region features to identify potential sex-specific imaging biomarkers. The best model (MLP) based on the female subgroup and male subgroup achieved average classification accuracy of 92.83% and 92.11%, respectively, which were better than that of the model based on the overall samples (86.88%) and the overall model incorporating gender factor (87.52%). In addition, the most discriminative feature of PD among males was the lh 6r (FD), but among females, it was the lh PreS (GI). The findings indicate that the sex-specific PD diagnosis model yields a significantly higher classification performance compared to previous models that included all participants. Additionally, the male subgroup exhibited a greater number of brain region changes than the female subgroup, suggesting sex-specific differences in PD risk markers. This study underscore the importance of stratifying data by sex and offer insights into sex-specific variations in PD phenotypes, which could aid in the development of precise and personalized diagnostic approaches in the early stages of the disease.

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IMPORTANCE: Convolutional neural networks (CNN) have shown performance equal to trained dermatologists in differentiating benign from malignant skin lesions. To improve clinicians' management decisions, additional classifications into diagnostic categories might be helpful. METHODS: A convenience sample of 100 pigmented/non-pigmented skin lesions was used for a cross-sectional two-level reader study including 96 dermatologists (level I: dermoscopy only; level II: clinical close-up images, dermoscopy, and textual information). Dermoscopic images were classified by a binary CNN trained to differentiate melanocytic from non-melanocytic lesions (FotoFinder Systems, Bad Birnbach, Germany). Primary endpoint was the accuracy of the CNN's classification in comparison with dermatologists reviewing level-II information. Secondary endpoints included dermatologists' accuracies according to their level of experience and the CNN's area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROC). RESULTS: The CNN revealed an accuracy and ROC AUC with corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI) of 91.0 % (83.8 % to 95.2 %) and 0.981 (0.962 to 1). In level I, dermatologists showed a mean accuracy of 83.7 % (82.5 % to 84.8 %). With level II information, the accuracy improved to 87.8 % (86.7 % to 88.9 %; p < 0.001). When comparing accuracies of CNN and dermatologists in level II, the CNN's accuracy was higher (91.0 % versus 87.8 %, p < 0.001). For experts with level II information results were on par with the CNN (91.0 % versus 90.4 %, p = 0.368). CONCLUSIONS: The tested CNN accurately differentiated melanocytic from non-melanocytic skin lesions and outperformed dermatologists. The CNN may support clinicians and could be used in an ensemble approach combined with other CNN models.

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5-formylcytidine (f5C) is a unique post-transcriptional RNA modification found in mRNA and tRNA at the wobble site, playing a crucial role in mitochondrial protein synthesis and potentially contributing to the regulation of translation. Recent studies have unveiled that the f5C modifications may drive mitochondrial mRNA translation to power cancer metastasis. Accurate identification of f5C sites is essential for further unraveling their molecular functions and regulatory mechanisms, but there are currently no computational methods available for predicting their locations. In this study, we introduce an innovative ensemble approach, successfully enabling the computational recognition of Saccharomyces cerevisiae f5C. We conducted a comprehensive model selection process that involved multiple basic machine learning and deep learning algorithms such as recurrent neural networks, convolutional neural networks and Transformer-based models. Initially trained only on sequence information, these individual models achieved an AUROC ranging from 0.7104 to 0.7492. Through the integration of 32 novel domain-derived genomic features, the performance of individual models has significantly improved to an AUROC between 0.7309 and 0.8076. To further enhance accuracy and robustness, we then constructed the ensembles of these individual models with different combinations. The best performance attained by our ensemble models reached an AUROC of 0.8391. Shapley additive explanations were conducted to explain the significant contributions of genomic features, providing insights into the putative distribution of f5C across various topological regions and potentially paving the way for revealing their functional relevance within distinct genomic contexts. A freely accessible web server that allows real-time analysis of user-uploaded sites can be accessed at: www.rnamd.org/Resf5C-Pred.

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Background: More muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) patients are now eligible for bladder-preserving therapy (BPT), underscoring the need for precision medicine. This study aimed to identify prognostic predictors and construct a predictive model among MIBC patients who undergo BPT. Methods: Data relating to MIBC patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2016. Eleven features were included to establish multiple models. The predictive effectiveness was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to explain the impact of features on the predicted targets. Results: The ROC showed that Catboost and Random Forest (RF) obtained better predictive discrimination in both 3- and 5-year models [test set area under curves (AUC) =0.80 and 0.83, respectively]. Furthermore, Catboost showed better performance in calibration plots, DCA and CIC. SHAP analysis indicated that age, M stage, tumor size, chemotherapy, T stage and gender were the most important features in the model for predicting the 3-year cancer-specific survival (CSS). In contrast, M stage, age, tumor size and gender as well as the N and T stages were the most important features for predicting the 5-year CSS. Conclusions: The Catboost model exhibits the highest predictive performance and clinical utility, potentially aiding clinicians in making optimal individualized decisions for MIBC patients with BPT.

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Forecasting financial markets is a complex task that requires addressing various challenges, such as market complexity, data heterogeneity, the need for rapid response and constant changes in conditions, to gain a competitive advantage. To effectively address these challenges, it is necessary to constantly improve existing and develop new methods of intelligent forecasting, which will improve the accuracy of forecasts, reduce risks and increase the productivity of financial decision-making processes. In this article, we study and analyse forecasting methods in financial markets, such as support vector regression (SVR), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM) and extreme gradient boosting algorithm (XG-Boost). Based on this analysis, we propose an ensemble forecasting procedure that integrates LSTM and ARIMA models. Due to the careful combination of these models, our approach yields better results than individual methods. For example, our model demonstrates a significant 15% improvement in root mean square error (RMSE) and a slight improvement in coefficient of determination compared with LSTM. Furthermore, simulation results obtained on three real-world datasets and evaluated using the RMSE criterion confirm the superiority of our proposed method over alternative methods such as LSTMs, transformer models and optimized deep recurrent neural networks with long short-term memory for financial market forecasting. Furthermore, our approach creates the prerequisites for parallelizing both models, thus providing an opportunity to accelerate forecasting results in future research.

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Geographical distribution and diversity patterns of bird species are influenced by climate change. The Rouget's rail (Rougetius rougetii) is a ground-dwelling endemic bird species distributed in Ethiopia and Eritrea. It is a near-threatened species menaced by habitat loss, one of the main causes of population declines for bird species. The increasing effects of climate change may further threaten the species' survival. So far, the spatial distribution of this species is not fully documented. With this study, we develop current potential suitable habitat and predict the future habitat shift of R. rougetii based on environmental data such as bioclimatic variables, population density, vegetation cover, and elevation using 10 algorithms. We evaluated the importance of environmental factors in shaping the bird's distribution and how it shifts under climate change scenarios. We used 182 records of R. rougetii from Ethiopia and nine bioclimatic, population density, vegetation cover, and elevation variables to run the 10 model algorithms. Among 10 algorithms, eight were selected for ensembling models according to their predictive abilities. The current suitable habitats for R. rougetii were predicted to cover an area of about 82,000 km2 despite being highly fragmented. The model suggested that temperature seasonality (bio4), elevation, and mean daily air temperatures of the driest quarter (bio9) contributed the most to delimiting suitable areas for this species. R. rougetii is sensitive to climate change associated with elevation, which leads shrinking distribution of suitable areas. The projected spatial and temporal pattern of habitat loss of R. rougetii suggests the importance of climate change mitigation and implementing long-term conservation and management strategies for this threatened endemic bird species.

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Physiotherapy plays a crucial role in the rehabilitation of damaged or defective organs due to injuries or illnesses, often requiring long-term supervision by a physiotherapist in clinical settings or at home. AI-based support systems have been developed to enhance the precision and effectiveness of physiotherapy, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. These systems, which include game-based or tele-rehabilitation monitoring using camera-based optical systems like Vicon and Microsoft Kinect, face challenges such as privacy concerns, occlusion, and sensitivity to environmental light. Non-optical sensor alternatives, such as Inertial Movement Units (IMUs), Wi-Fi, ultrasound sensors, and ultrawide band (UWB) radar, have emerged to address these issues. Although IMUs are portable and cost-effective, they suffer from disadvantages like drift over time, limited range, and susceptibility to magnetic interference. In this study, a single UWB radar was utilized to recognize five therapeutic exercises related to the upper limb, performed by 34 male volunteers in a real environment. A novel feature fusion approach was developed to extract distinguishing features for these exercises. Various machine learning methods were applied, with the EnsembleRRGraBoost ensemble method achieving the highest recognition accuracy of 99.45%. The performance of the EnsembleRRGraBoost model was further validated using five-fold cross-validation, maintaining its high accuracy.

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