RESUMEN
Traffic accident statistics have shown the necessity of risk assessment when driving in the dynamic traffic environment. If the risk associated with different traffic elements (i.e., road, environment and vehicles) could be evaluated accurately, potential accidents could be significantly avoided or mitigated. This paper proposes a driving risk assessment model that can quantitatively evaluate the driving risk associated with intelligent vehicles via the coupled analysis of different traffic elements. First, we present a concept of the internal field and external field for establishing the driving risk coupling model, through employing the internal field to define the risk range of driver's perspective and the external field to calculate the risk coefficients of those traffic elements. Then, the relative risk coefficients are computed by incorporating both naturalistic driving study (NDS) and driver attitude questionnaire (DAQ) using a multinomial logit model. Specifically, we perform a large-scale naturalistic driving study to investigate the objective driving risks. Typical driver behavior parameters, such as velocity, time headway, and acceleration, are analyzed. Besides, a self-reported survey of 364 drivers is conducted to subjectively evaluate the potential risks that drivers may face in various situations. Finally, validation of the model is conducted by comparing the accuracy with the typical risk assessment index, i.e., TTC and THW. Results demonstrate that the proposed approach is effective in evaluating the comprehensive driving risks by quantifying the influence factors of driving risks in dynamic environments.
Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Conducción de Automóvil/psicología , Medición de Riesgo/normas , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Conducción de Automóvil/estadística & datos numéricos , Entorno Construido , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Sistemas Hombre-Máquina , Persona de Mediana Edad , Autoinforme , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
This study examined directly the impact of various factors associated with driving on 'A-class' roads in the United Kingdom (specifically length of platoon, proportion of heavy goods vehicles (HGVs), speed and opportunities for overtaking) on self-reported frustration and overtaking intentions. The impact of situational variables (being under time pressure, and time behind a slower moving platoon) were also examined, as was the association between frustration and self-reported overtaking intentions. 183 members of the public from the areas around Perth and Inverness, Scotland took part in the study. Participants viewed simulated 'driver's viewpoint' clips representing all the combinations of the experimental variables (except time pressure, which was a between-groups variable, and time behind platoon, which was examined separately in four specific clips). After each clip, participants responded on a paper questionnaire as to the level of frustration they would feel for a given clip, and the likelihood that at some point during the clip they would have attempted an overtake manoeuvre. The findings show that the links between traffic variables such as speed and platoon length, and behaviourally-relevant variables such as frustration and overtaking intentions, are not simple. Although there are broad and predictable effects of speed and platoon length (lower speeds and longer platoons leading to greater frustration) these are mediated by other variables, and it is not always the case that more frustration leads to more intention to overtake. Analysis of driver attitudes identified three clusters (low, medium and high risk drivers) and suggests that higher risk drivers' levels of frustration are more affected by situational changes than those of lower risk drivers.