RESUMEN

Blue-green infrastructure (BGI) plays a crucial role in regulating urban carbon cycles. Nonetheless, the spatiotemporal effect of BGI on carbon emissions has not received extensive attention. This study used the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region as the study area and quantified the landscape patterns of BGI. Using a spatiotemporal geographically weighted regression model, we analyzed the impact of evolving spatiotemporal characteristics of BGI on carbon emissions. Additionally, we constructed a spatiotemporal weight matrix using the Moran index ratio to examine the spillover effects of BGI among different regions. Our results show that the aggregation effect of carbon emissions in the YRD region is gradually increasing while BGI has a dynamic impact on carbon emissions. In terms of spatial and temporal spillovers, under the influence of economic connections between regions, patch fragmentation and distance exert a persistent positive influence on carbon emissions, while shape complexity has a negative impact, with area and layout characteristics showing no significant effects. However, area and patch distance have a persistent positive influence on carbon emissions in adjacent areas, while shape complexity exhibits a negative impact. Therefore, optimizing urban BGI through a regional synergistic governance system is important to promote low-carbon urban development.

Asunto(s)

Carbono , Ríos , Ciclo del Carbono , Regresión Espacial , China , Desarrollo Económico

RESUMEN

Land use change affects the terrestrial carbon cycle, a crucial factor in attaining energy conservation and emission reduction under climate change. This study constructs panel data for thirteen Hangzhou districts and municipalities from 2000 to 2020. Using the spatial Durbin model, it analyzes the spatial spillover effect of land use change on carbon emissions. The results show that the spatial distribution of carbon emissions in Hangzhou continues to increase with positive spatial autocorrelation, and the spatial distribution shows "high-high" and "low-low" clustering. The expansion of construction land is the main reason for the increase in carbon emissions, and the inhibitory effect of water area on carbon emissions is more potent than woodland. The area of cultivated land and construction land has a positive spillover effect on carbon emissions, while the woodland area has a negative spillover effect on carbon emissions. To promote urban low-carbon development, maximizing the spatial spillover effect of land use and establishing a collaborative governance system between districts and counties is crucial.