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1.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 24(1): 235, 2024 Aug 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39192291

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a predictor of serious infectious complications, organ failure, and death in patients with severe polytrauma and is one of the reasons for delaying early total surgical treatment. To determine the risk of SIRS within 24 h after hospitalization, we developed six machine learning models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using retrospective data about the patient, the nature of the injury, the results of general and standard biochemical blood tests, and coagulation tests, six models were developed: decision tree, random forest, logistic regression, support vector and gradient boosting classifiers, logistic regressor, and neural network. The effectiveness of the models was assessed through internal and external validation. RESULTS: Among the 439 selected patients with severe polytrauma in 230 (52.4%), SIRS was diagnosed within the first 24 h of hospitalization. The SIRS group was more strongly associated with class II bleeding (39.5% vs. 60.5%; OR 1.81 [95% CI: 1.23-2.65]; P = 0.0023), long-term vasopressor use (68.4% vs. 31.6%; OR 5.51 [95% CI: 2.37-5.23]; P < 0.0001), risk of acute coagulopathy (67.8% vs. 32.2%; OR 2.4 [95% CI: 1.55-3.77]; P < 0.0001), and greater risk of pneumonia (59.5% vs. 40.5%; OR 1.74 [95% CI: 1.19-2.54]; P = 0.0042), longer ICU length of stay (5 ± 6.3 vs. 2.7 ± 4.3 days; P < 0.0001) and mortality rate (64.5% vs. 35.5%; OR 10.87 [95% CI: 6.3-19.89]; P = 0.0391). Of all the models, the random forest classifier showed the best predictive ability in the internal (AUROC 0.89; 95% CI: 0.83-0.96) and external validation (AUROC 0.83; 95% CI: 0.75-0.91) datasets. CONCLUSIONS: The developed model made it possible to accurately predict the risk of developing SIRS in the early period after injury, allowing clinical specialists to predict patient management tactics and calculate medication and staffing needs for the patient. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 3. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was retrospectively registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database of the National Library of Medicine (NCT06323096).


Asunto(s)
Aprendizaje Automático , Traumatismo Múltiple , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos
2.
World J Orthop ; 15(3): 238-246, 2024 Mar 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38596187

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hallux valgus (HV) is a common foot deformity that manifests with increasing age, especially in women. The associated foot pain causes impaired gait and decreases quality of life. Moderate and severe HV is a deformity that is characterized by the involvement of lesser rays and requires complex surgical treatment. In this study, we attempted to develop a procedure for this condition. AIM: To analyse the treatment results of patients who underwent simultaneous surgical correction of all parts of a static forefoot deformity. METHODS: We conducted a prospective clinical trial between 2016 and 2021 in which 30 feet with moderate or severe HV associated with Tailor's bunion and metatarsalgia were surgically treated via a new method involving surgical correction of all associated problems. This method included a modified Lapidus procedure, M2M3 tarsometatarsal arthrodesis, intermetatarsal fusion of the M4 and M5 bases, and the use of an original external fixation apparatus to enhance correction power. Preoperative, postoperative, and final follow-up radiographic data and American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) scores were compared, and P values < 0.05 were considered to indicate statistical significance. RESULTS: The study included 28 females (93.3%) and 2 males feet (6.7%), 20 (66.7%) of whom had a moderate degree of HV and 10 (33.3%) of whom had severe deformity. M2 and M3 metatarsalgia was observed in 21 feet, and 9 feet experienced pain only at M2. The mean follow-up duration was 11 months. All patients had good correction of the HV angle [preoperative median, 36.5 degrees, interquartile range (IQR): 30-45; postoperative median, 10 degrees, IQR: 8.8-10; follow-up median, 11.5 degrees, IQR: 10-14; P < 0.01]. At follow-up, metatarsalgia was resolved in most patients (30 vs 5). There was a clinically negligible decrease in the corrected angles at the final follow-up, and the overall AOFAS score was significantly better (median, 65 points, IQR: 53.8-70; vs 80 points, IQR: 75-85; P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The developed method showed good sustainability of correction power in a small sample of patients at the one-year follow-up. Randomized clinical trials with larger samples, as well as long-term outcome assessments, are needed in the future.

3.
Heliyon ; 9(11): e21065, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37964844

RESUMEN

Background: In January 2022 Kazakhstan experienced unprecedented nationwide protests that quickly turned to violent riots. Although the number of individuals affected physically by the disturbances were cited, the emotional toll of the events remains undetermined. The aim of this study was to evaluate the comparative rates of acute stress reactions in Kazakhstan in the aftermath of the unrests. Methods: A cross-sectional, population-based online survey was conducted one month after the start of the disturbances. The study questionnaire were completed anonymously and included the Primary Care PTSD Screen for DSM-5 (PC-PTSD-5) and the General Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), as well as socio-demographic and event exposure information. Results: Of the 7021 people who initially agreed to participate, 6510 were able to complete the full survey. For a cut-off of ≥3 on the PC-PTSD-5, 14.8 % of the study participants exhibited symptoms. With a cut-off of ≥4, this percentage reduced to 4.6 %. Participants from Almaty city and Almaty region who experienced the most extensive disturbances showed a doubled prevalence compared to the national level (30.0 % for a cut-off of ≥3, and 10.1 % for a cut-off of ≥4). At the national level, the prevalence of anxiety symptoms, defined as a score of ≥10 on the GAD-7, stood at 10.9 %. This prevalence decreased to 4.2 % when considering a cut-off of ≥15. Conclusion: Health authorities of riot-affected areas ought to be aware of the population level mental health impact of the civil conflict and consider provision of targeted interventions to mitigate the long-term consequence of these lifespan disorders, while also seeking for the peaceful resolution of the ensuing conflicts.

4.
Healthcare (Basel) ; 11(5)2023 Mar 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36900763

RESUMEN

Drunk driving is an important risk factor significantly contributing to traffic accidents and their associated lethality. This meta-analysis of observational studies aims to provide the estimates of drunk driving prevalence in non-lethally injured motor vehicle drivers in relation to the world region, blood alcohol concentration (BAC), and quality of the primary study. A systematic search for observational studies that examined the prevalence of drunk driving in injured drivers was performed, and 17 studies comprising 232,198 drivers were included in the pooled analysis. The pooled prevalence of drunk driving in injured drivers was found to be 16.6% (95% CI: 12.8-20.3%; I2 = 99.87%, p < 0.001). In addition, the prevalence of alcohol use ranged from 5.5% (95% CI: 0.8-10.1%) in the Middle East, North Africa, and Greater Arabia region to 30.6% (95% CI: 24.6-36.5%) in the Asia region. As for the subgroups with different thresholds of BAC, the maximum value of 34.4% (95% CI: 28.5-40.3%) was found for a dose of 0.3 g/L. The prevalence of alcohol use reported by high-quality studies was 15.7% (95% CI: 11.1-20.3%), compared to 17.7% (95% CI: 11.3-24.2%) reported by studies of moderate quality. These findings could inform law enforcement efforts to promote road safety.

5.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 27(28): 34808-34822, 2020 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32638305

RESUMEN

Concerns on health effects from uranium (U) mining still represent a major issue of debate. Any typology of active job in U mines is associated with exposure to U and its decay products, such as radon (Rn), thorium (Th), and radium (Ra) and its decay products with alpha-emission and gamma radiation. Health effects in U miners have been investigated in several cohort studies in the USA, Canada, Germany, the Czech Republic, and France. While public opinion is particularly addressed to pay attention to the safety of nuclear facilities, health hazard associated with mining is poorly debated. According to the many findings from cohort studies, the most significant positive dose-response relationship was found between occupational U exposure and lung cancer. Other types of tumors associated with occupational U exposure are leukemia and lymphoid cancers. Furthermore, it was found increased but not statistically significant death risk in U miners due to cancers in the liver, stomach, and kidneys. So far, there has not been found a significant association between U exposure and increased cardiovascular mortality in U miners. This review tries to address the current state of the art of these studies.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Enfermedades Profesionales , Exposición Profesional , Radón , Uranio , Canadá , República Checa , Francia , Alemania , Humanos
6.
J Trace Elem Med Biol ; 56: 31-37, 2019 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31442951

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Eastern and North-Eastern regions of Kazakhstan are considered to be environmentally disadvantaged due to industrial pollution and activity of the former Semipalatinsk Nuclear Test Site. Ferrous metallurgy is represented by the world's largest ferroalloy plant located in Aksu. In addition to a ferroalloy plant, Aksu is the home for the largest thermal power plant in Kazakhstan. OBJECTIVE: Biomonitoring of 31 hair and blood trace elements (Ag, Ba, Be, Bi, Cs, Co, Ce, Cr, Cu, Eu, Gd, Hf, In, La, Li, Mn, Mo, Nb, Nd, Pb, Sc, Sn, Tl, Th, U, V, W, Y, Yb, Zn, and Zr) in non-occupationally exposed population residing in polluted areas of East Kazakhstan and Pavlodar regions. METHODS: Five case groups, residing in the vicinity to the former Semipalatinsk Nuclear Test Site (Akzhar, Borodulikha, and Karaul) or in proximity to industrial plants (Aksu and Ust-Kamenogorsk) have been assessed vs. controls from a rural settlement in Kurchum. In total, 204 hair and blood samples were analyzed by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. RESULTS: The observed blood concentrations of trace elements were in agreement with earlier studies on residents of industrially polluted areas. Elevated levels of blood Ba, Mn, Pb, V, and Zn were detected in residents of Aksu and Ust-Kamenogorsk. The elemental composition of head hair was characterized by greater stability between the study sites. CONCLUSION: Residency near the former Semipalatinsk Test Site could be considered as safe, while the environmental status of industrial settlements appears to be rather adverse.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo Biológico , Contaminación Ambiental/análisis , Cabello/química , Exposición Profesional/análisis , Características de la Residencia , Oligoelementos/sangre , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Geografía , Humanos , Kazajstán , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
7.
J Orthop Surg (Hong Kong) ; 27(2): 2309499019859441, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31284828

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of developed minimally invasive operation such as the partial lateral facetectomy (PLFE) with patella thickness resection in patients with lateral patellofemoral (PF) osteoarthritis on short-term clinical and radiographic outcomes. METHODS: This is a prospective study of 27 knees in 27 patients (18 females and 9 males, mean aged at surgery 59.1-year old) whom a PLFE with patella thickness resection using developed minimally invasive method was performed. Data of preoperative and postoperative questionnaires, physical examinations, and radiographs were analyzed. The minimum follow-up was 12 months (mean, 24.1 months; range, 12-36 months). RESULTS: The subjective outcomes included the anterior pain relief assessed by scores using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index score (scores improved considerably by 2.34 points with respect to pain and by 1.63 points with respect to function), visual analog scale, and Knee Society Score (that improved in 78% of the knees). The majority of these patients experienced improvement in their PF symptoms. The PF index decreased considerably after surgery. The mean patellar width and thickness were decreased after surgery, maintaining a width/thickness ratio of 1.8:1.0 after surgery. CONCLUSION: PLFE with patella thickness resection aiming to decrease the high pressure in the lateral facet and improving congruence of the patella confirmed frequent pain relief. This surgical procedure is minimally invasive, relatively simple, and effective in selected patients and can be a valid early alternative to more complex operations. Level of Evidence: Level IV Therapeutic study.


Asunto(s)
Artroscopía/métodos , Articulación de la Rodilla/cirugía , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Mínimamente Invasivos/métodos , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/cirugía , Rótula/cirugía , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Articulación de la Rodilla/diagnóstico por imagen , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/diagnóstico , Rótula/diagnóstico por imagen , Periodo Posoperatorio , Estudios Prospectivos , Radiografía , Resultado del Tratamiento
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