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3.
Thromb Res ; 239: 109040, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38795561

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hughes-Stovin syndrome (HSS) is a rare systemic vasculitis with widespread venous/arterial thrombosis and pulmonary vasculitis. Distinguishing between pulmonary embolism (PE) and in-situ thrombosis in the early stages of HSS is challenging. The aim of the study is to compare clinical, laboratory, and computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) characteristics in patients diagnosed with PE versus those with HSS. METHODS: This retrospective study included 40 HSS patients with complete CTPA studies available, previously published by the HSS study group, and 50 patients diagnosed with PE from a single center. Demographics, clinical and laboratory findings, vascular thrombotic events, were compared between both groups. The CTPA findings were reviewed, with emphasis on the distribution, adherence to the mural wall, pulmonary infarction, ground glass opacification, and intra-alveolar hemorrhage. Pulmonary artery aneurysms (PAAs) in HSS were assessed and classified. RESULTS: The mean age of HSS patients was 35 ± 12.3 years, in PE 58.4 ± 17 (p < 0.0001). Among PE 39(78 %) had co-morbidities, among HSS none. In contrast to PE, in HSS both major venous and arterial thrombotic events are seen.. Various patterns of PAAs were observed in the HSS group, which were entirely absent in PE. Parenchymal hemorrhage was also more frequent in HSS compared to PE (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Major vascular thrombosis with arterial aneurysms formation are characteristic of HSS. PE typically appear loosely-adherent and mobile whereas "in-situ thrombosis" seen in HSS is tightly-adherent to the mural wall. Mural wall enhancement and PAAs are distinctive pulmonary findings in HSS. The latter findings have significant therapeutic ramifications.


Asunto(s)
Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Embolia Pulmonar , Humanos , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada/métodos , Vasculitis/diagnóstico por imagen , Vasculitis/complicaciones , Anciano , Arteria Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteria Pulmonar/patología
4.
Medicina (B Aires) ; 84(1): 19-28, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38271929

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 vaccine became an effective instrument to prevent severe SARS-CoV-2 infections. However, 5% of vaccinated patients will have moderate or severe disease. OBJECTIVE: to compare mortality and days between the symptom onset to the peak disease severity, in vaccinated vs. unvaccinated COVID-19 hospitalized patients. METHODS: Retrospective observational study in 36 hospitals in Argentina. COVID-19 adults admitted to general wards between January 1, 2021, and May 31, 2022 were included. Days between symptoms onset to peak of severity were compared between vaccinated vs. unvaccinated patients with Cox regression, adjusted by Propensity Score Matching (PSM). Results in patients with one and two doses were also compared. RESULTS: A total of 3663 patients were included (3001 [81.9%] unvaccinated and 662 [18%] vaccinated). Time from symptom onset to peak severity was 7 days (IQR 4-12) vs. 7 days (IQR 4-11) in unvaccinated and vaccinated. In crude Cox regression analysis and matched population, no significant differences were observed. Regarding mortality, a Risk Ratio (RR) of 1.51 (IC95% 1.29-1.77) was observed in vaccinated patients, but in the PSM cohort, the RR was 0.73 (IC95% 0.60-0.88). RR in patients with one COVID-19 vaccine dose in PSM adjusted population was 0.7 (IC95% 0.45-1.03), and with two doses 0.6 (IC95% 0.46-0.79). DISCUSSION: The time elapsed between the onset of COVID-19 symptoms to the highest severity was similar in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. However, hospitalized vaccinated patients had a lower risk of mortality than unvaccinated patients.


Introducción: A pesar de la eficacia de la vacuna contra el COVID-19 el 5% de los pacientes vacunados presentaran una enfermedad moderada o grave. El objetivo del presente estudio fue comparar los días entre el inicio de los síntomas y la gravedad máxima de la enfermedad, en pacientes con COVID-19 vacunados vs. no vacunados. Métodos: Estudio observacional retrospectivo en 36 hospitales de Argentina. Se incluyeron adultos con COVID-19 hospitalizados entre el 1/01/2021 y 31/5/2022. Se recolectaron datos demográficos, comorbilidades y progresión clínica de la enfermedad. Se compararon los días entre el inicio de los síntomas y el pico de gravedad entre vacunados y no vacunados mediante regresión de Cox, ajustada por emparejamiento por Propensity Score Matching (PSM). En un análisis de subgrupos, se compararon los resultados en pacientes con una y dos dosis de vacuna. Resultados: Se incluyeron 3663 pacientes (3001 [81.9%] no vacunados y 662 [18%] vacunados). El tiempo transcurrido desde el inicio de los síntomas hasta el pico de gravedad fue de 7 días (IQR 4 - 12) en no vacunados, y de 7 días (IQR 4-11) en vacunados. Tanto en el análisis de regresión de Cox crudo como en el ajustado, no se observaron diferencias significativas entre ambos grupos (HR ajustado 1.08 [IC 95% 0.82-1.4; p = 0.56]). En cuanto a la mortalidad, el Riesgo Relativo (RR) fue 1.51 (IC95% 1.29-1.77) en los pacientes vacunados, pero en la cohorte ajustada por Propensity Score, el RR fue de 0.73 (IC95% 0.60-0.88). El RR en el grupo con una dosis de vacuna COVID-19 en el análisis PSM fue 0.7 (IC95% 0.45-1.03), y con dos dosis 0.6 (IC95% 0.46-0.79). Discusión: El tiempo entre el inicio de los síntomas de COVID-19 y el pico de severidad fue igual en vacunados y no vacunados. Sin embargo, los pacientes vacunados hospitalizados presentaron menor mortalidad tras el ajuste por confundidores.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Sistema de Registros , Vacunación
5.
Medicina (B.Aires) ; 84(1): 19-28, 2024. graf
Artículo en Inglés | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1558447

RESUMEN

Abstract Introduction : The COVID-19 vaccine became an effec tive instrument to prevent severe SARS-CoV-2 infections. However, 5% of vaccinated patients will have moderate or severe disease. Objective: to compare mortality and days between the symptom onset to the peak disease severity, in vaccinated vs. unvaccinated COVID-19 hos pitalized patients. Methods : Retrospective observational study in 36 hospitals in Argentina. COVID-19 adults admitted to general wards between January 1, 2021, and May 31, 2022 were included. Days between symptoms onset to peak of severity were compared between vaccinated vs. unvaccinated patients with Cox regression, adjusted by Propensity Score Matching (PSM). Results in patients with one and two doses were also compared. Results : A total of 3663 patients were included (3001 [81.9%] unvaccinated and 662 [18%] vaccinated). Time from symptom onset to peak severity was 7 days (IQR 4-12) vs. 7 days (IQR 4-11) in unvaccinated and vacci nated. In crude Cox regression analysis and matched population, no significant differences were observed. Regarding mortality, a Risk Ratio (RR) of 1.51 (IC95% 1.29-1.77) was observed in vaccinated patients, but in the PSM cohort, the RR was 0.73 (IC95% 0.60-0.88). RR in patients with one COVID-19 vaccine dose in PSM adjusted population was 0.7 (IC95% 0.45-1.03), and with two doses 0.6 (IC95% 0.46-0.79). Discussion : The time elapsed between the onset of COVID-19 symptoms to the highest severity was simi lar in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. However, hospitalized vaccinated patients had a lower risk of mortality than unvaccinated patients.


Resumen Introducción : A pesar de la eficacia de la vacuna contra el COVID-19 el 5% de los pacientes vacunados presentaran una enfermedad moderada o grave. El ob jetivo del presente estudio fue comparar los días entre el inicio de los síntomas y la gravedad máxima de la enfermedad, en pacientes con COVID-19 vacunados vs. no vacunados. Métodos : Estudio observacional retrospectivo en 36 hospitales de Argentina. Se incluyeron adultos con CO VID-19 hospitalizados entre el 1/01/2021 y 31/5/2022. Se recolectaron datos demográficos, comorbilidades y progresión clínica de la enfermedad. Se compararon los días entre el inicio de los síntomas y el pico de gravedad entre vacunados y no vacunados mediante regresión de Cox, ajustada por emparejamiento por Propensity Score Matching (PSM). En un análisis de subgrupos, se compararon los resultados en pacientes con una y dos dosis de vacuna. Resultados : Se incluyeron 3663 pacientes (3001 [81.9%] no vacunados y 662 [18%] vacunados). El tiempo transcurrido desde el inicio de los síntomas hasta el pico de gravedad fue de 7 días (IQR 4 - 12) en no vacunados, y de 7 días (IQR 4-11) en vacunados. Tanto en el análisis de regresión de Cox crudo como en el ajustado, no se observaron diferencias significativas entre ambos grupos (HR ajustado 1.08 [IC 95% 0.82-1.4; p = 0.56]). En cuanto a la mortalidad, el Riesgo Relativo (RR) fue 1.51 (IC95% 1.29-1.77) en los pacientes vacunados, pero en la cohorte ajustada por Propensity Score, el RR fue de 0.73 (IC95% 0.60-0.88). El RR en el grupo con una dosis de vacuna COVID-19 en el análisis PSM fue 0.7 (IC95% 0.45-1.03), y con dos dosis 0.6 (IC95% 0.46-0.79). Discusión : El tiempo entre el inicio de los síntomas de COVID-19 y el pico de severidad fue igual en vacu nados y no vacunados. Sin embargo, los pacientes va cunados hospitalizados presentaron menor mortalidad tras el ajuste por confundidores.

6.
Medicina (B Aires) ; 83(6): 1003-1006, 2023.
Artículo en Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38117723

RESUMEN

Plasminogen deficiency is a very rare multisystem entity that affects different tissues of the economy through the deposition of fibrin-rich pseudomembrane and determines a heterogeneous and diverse clinical presentation. It is transmitted in an autosomal recessive manner by mutations of the PLG gene on chromosome 6 and can be divided into hypoplasminogenemia or type I and dysplasminogenemia or type II, the latter not related to clinical pathology. Severe plasminogen deficiency has a prevalence of 1.6 individuals per million inhabitants and although it can be diagnosed in adulthood, the most severe symptoms are observed in infants and children. The most common form of onset is the so-called woody conjunctivitis, characterized by fibrin membranes that are deposited on the eyelids since childhood, causing exophytic lesions that affect vision. It can also affect other mucous membranes such as the gingival, respiratory, oropharyngeal, digestive and genital mucosa, among others. We present a rare case of severe plasminogen deficiency with conjunctivitis and woody cervicitis who was admitted with clinical acute abdominal symptoms, associated with a tumor mass due to pseudomembranous deposition in the ascending colon that simulated inflammatory bowel disease and resolved spontaneously.


La deficiencia de plasminógeno es una entidad multisistémica, muy infrecuente, que afecta diferentes tejidos de la economía mediante el depósito de pseudo membranas ricas en fibrina y que determina una presentación clínica heterogénea y diversa. Se transmite en forma autosómica recesiva por mutaciones del gen PLG del cromosoma 6 y se puede dividir en hipoplasminogenemia o tipo I y displasminogenemia o tipo II, esta última no relacionada con patología clínica. El déficit grave de plasminógeno tiene una prevalencia de 1.6 individuos por millón de habitantes y si bien puede diagnosticarse en edad adulta, los síntomas más graves se observan en lactantes y niños. La forma de inicio más común es la denominada conjuntivitis leñosa, caracterizada por membranas de fibrina que se depositan en los parpados desde la infancia, provocando lesiones exofíticas que afectan la visión. También puede afectar otras mucosas como la gingival, respiratoria, orofaríngea, digestiva y genital entre otros. Presentamos un raro caso de deficiencia grave de plasminógeno con conjuntivitis y cervicitis leñosa que ingresó con un cuadro de abdomen agudo clínico, asociado a una masa tumoral por depósito de pseudomembranas en el colon ascendente que simuló una enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal y que se resolvió espontáneamente.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos de las Proteínas de Coagulación , Conjuntivitis , Niño , Lactante , Femenino , Humanos , Plasminógeno/genética , Conjuntivitis/etiología , Trastornos de las Proteínas de Coagulación/complicaciones , Fibrina
7.
Medicina (B.Aires) ; 83(6): 1003-1006, dic. 2023. graf
Artículo en Español | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1558428

RESUMEN

Resumen La deficiencia de plasminógeno es una entidad multisistémica, muy infrecuente, que afecta diferentes tejidos de la economía mediante el depósito de pseu do membranas ricas en fibrina y que determina una presentación clínica heterogénea y diversa. Se trans mite en forma autosómica recesiva por mutaciones del gen PLG del cromosoma 6 y se puede dividir en hipoplasminogenemia o tipo I y displasminogenemia o tipo II, esta última no relacionada con patología clínica. El déficit grave de plasminógeno tiene una prevalencia de 1.6 individuos por millón de habitan tes y si bien puede diagnosticarse en edad adulta, los síntomas más graves se observan en lactantes y ni ños. La forma de inicio más común es la denominada conjuntivitis leñosa, caracterizada por membranas de fibrina que se depositan en los parpados desde la infancia, provocando lesiones exofíticas que afectan la visión. También puede afectar otras mucosas como la gingival, respiratoria, orofaríngea, digestiva y genital entre otros. Presentamos un raro caso de deficiencia grave de plasminógeno con conjuntivitis y cervicitis leñosa que ingresó con un cuadro de abdomen agudo clínico, asociado a una masa tumoral por depósito de pseudomembranas en el colon ascendente que simu ló una enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal y que se resolvió espontáneamente.


Abstract Plasminogen deficiency is a very rare multisystem entity that affects different tissues of the economy through the de position of fibrin-rich pseudomembrane and determines a heterogeneous and diverse clinical presentation. It is trans mitted in an autosomal recessive manner by mutations of the PLG gene on chromosome 6 and can be divided into hypoplasminogenemia or type I and dysplasminogenemia or type II, the latter not related to clinical pathology. Severe plasminogen deficiency has a prevalence of 1.6 individuals per million inhabitants and although it can be diagnosed in adulthood, the most severe symptoms are observed in infants and children. The most common form of onset is the so-called woody conjunctivitis, characterized by fibrin membranes that are deposited on the eyelids since child hood, causing exophytic lesions that affect vision. It can also affect other mucous membranes such as the gingival, respiratory, oropharyngeal, digestive and genital mucosa, among others. We present a rare case of severe plasminogen deficiency with conjunctivitis and woody cervicitis who was admitted with clinical acute abdominal symptoms, associated with a tumor mass due to pseudomembranous deposition in the ascending colon that simulated inflam matory bowel disease and resolved spontaneously.

9.
Rev. otorrinolaringol. cir. cabeza cuello ; 83(4): 367-376, dic. 2023. ilus, graf
Artículo en Español | LILACS | ID: biblio-1560351

RESUMEN

Introducción: El hiatus glótico longitudinal es un signo descrito en la práctica clínica a partir de las fibrolaringoscopias de pacientes con patologías laríngeas. Objetivo: Describir la prevalencia de patologías laríngeas orgánicas y funcionales mediante videolaringoestroboscopia, y evaluar la frecuencia de hiatus longitudinal y su asociación con patología orgánica en pacientes adultos disfónicos. Material y Método: Se realizó un estudio retrospectivo y descriptivo durante 2018-2019 en un hospital de alta complejidad. Se incluyeron las videolaringoestroboscopia de pacientes mayores de 14 años que consultaron por disfonía. Las patologías laríngeas se categorizaron en orgánicas o funcionales. La asociación entre patología orgánica y el hiatus longitudinal se analizó mediante un análisis multivariado ajustado por confundidores. Resultados: Se incluyeron 310 pacientes de los cuales se analizaron 269. La media de edad fue 43,9 ± 7,09 años y el porcentaje de sexo femenino 65,8% (n: 177). La prevalencia de disfonía orgánica fue del 84,01% y de disfonía funcional, del 13,38%. La prevalencia de hiatus longitudinal fue del 23,79% (n: 64). Se observó una asociación, estadísticamente significativa entre la presencia de hiatus longitudinal y la presencia de patología orgánica con OR de12,64 (1,60-99,42; p: 0,01) ajustada por edad, sexo, tabaquismo y antigüedad de la disfonía. Conclusión: La prevalencia de patologías laríngeas orgánicas es mayor a la de funcionales y el hiatus longitudinal se asocia a patología orgánica ajustada por confundidores.


Introduction: Spindle-shaped glottic chink is a sign described in clinical practice from fibrolaryngoscopy of patients with laryngeal pathologies. Aim: to describe the prevalence of organic and functional laryngeal pathologies by videolaringostroboscopy, and to evaluate the frequency of spindle-shaped glottic chink and its association with organic pathology in dysphonic adult patients. Material and Method: A retrospective and descriptive study was conducted during 2018-2019 in a high complexity hospital. Patient's videostroboscopy older than 14 years old who consulted for dysphonia were included. Laryngeal pathologies were categorized into organic or functional diseases. The association between organic pathology and spindle-shaped glottic chink was analyzed using a multivariate analysis adjusted for confounders. Results: 310 patients were included of whom 269 patients were analyzed. The mean age was 43.9 ± 7.09 years and the percentage of female sex was 65.8 % (n: 177). The prevalence of organic dysphonia was 84.01% and of functional dysphonia, 13.38%. The prevalence of spindle-shaped glottic chink was 23.79% (n:64) (18.67-28.91%). A statistically significant association was observed between the presence of spindle-shaped glottic chink and the presence of organic pathology with OR of 12.64 (1.60- 99.42; p: 0.01) adjusted for age, sex, smoking status and history of dysphonia. Conclusion: The prevalence of organic laryngeal pathology is higher than functional and spindle-shaped glottic chink is associated with organic pathology adjusted for confounders.


Asunto(s)
Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Adolescente , Adulto , Enfermedades de la Laringe/epidemiología , Disfonía/epidemiología , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Enfermedades de la Laringe/diagnóstico , Epidemiología Descriptiva , Prevalencia , Distribución por Sexo , Distribución por Edad , Disfonía/diagnóstico , Laringoscopía/métodos
11.
Sarcoidosis Vasc Diffuse Lung Dis ; 40(3): e2023026, 2023 Sep 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37712377

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIM:  Pulmonary artery aneurysms (PAAs) are the most well-defined type of pulmonary vascular complication in Behçet's disease (BD).The aim of this study is to analyze which CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) signs are associated with serious morbidity and mortality. METHODS: The study included 42 BD patients with pulmonary vascular complications. All patients' medical records were reviewed retrospectively in terms of demographics, disease characteristics, laboratory investigations, pulmonary manifestations, arterial and/or venous thrombosis and CTPA vascular and parenchymal findings. RESULTS: Deep venous thrombosis was observed in 31(73.8%) patients, arterial thrombosis in 13(31%), peripheral arterial aneurysms in 12(286%), haemoptysis in 38 (90.5%), and fatal haemoptysis in 8(19 %) patients. CTPA revealed: in situ thrombosis in 14(33.3%) patients, true stable PAAs in 13(31), true unstable PAAs in 11(26.2%), stable pulmonary artery pseudoaneurysms (PAPs) in 7(16.7%), unstable PAPs in 17(40.5%), the latter were associated with perianeurysmal leaking in 26(61.9%) and bronchial indentation in 19(45.2%).In regression analysis, fatal outcomes were associated with age in years (p=0.035), arterial thrombosis (p=0.025), peripheral arterial aneurysms (p=0.010), intracardiac thrombosis (p=0.026) and positively associated with haemoptysis severity (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Peripheral arterial thrombosis and/or aneurysms, intracardiac thrombosis and haemoptysis severity are predictor of fatal outcomes in BD pulmonary vasculitis. PAPs with perianeurysmal alveolar haemorrhage and/or bronchial indentation are serious CTPA signs that require prompt identification and aggressive treatment. PAPs are a more serious aneurysmal pattern than true PAAs because they are a contained rupture of a PA branch in the context of pulmonary vasculitis.

12.
Rev. Asoc. Méd. Argent ; 136(3): 31-38, sept. 2023.
Artículo en Español | LILACS | ID: biblio-1553365

RESUMEN

La viruela fue una de las enfermedades epidémicas más temidas desde la antigüedad debido a su alta mortalidad y a las secuelas que dejaba en aquellos que lograban sobrevivir. En el presente trabajo se abordará el ingreso de esta enfermedad en nuestro continente, así como su manifestación a través de epidemias, brotes y focos endémicos. Al mismo tiempo se verá qué reacciones provocó dentro del ámbito médico durante los años del Virreinato del Río de la Plata. Se analizarán los problemas que surgieron con el uso de la vacuna importada, así como el hallazgo de nuestra vacuna local, finalizando con los comienzos de la organización de los servicios de vacunación obligatoria. (AU)


Smallpox was one of the most feared epidemic diseases since ancient times due to its high mortality and the sequelae caused in those that managed to survive. In the present work, the introduction of this disease into our continent will be addressed as well as its manifestation through epidemics, outbreaks, and endemic foci. At the same time, the reactions this disease caused inside the medical field during the years of the Viceroyalty of the Río de la Plata will be observed. The problems that arose from the usage of the imported vaccine and the discovery of our local vaccine will be analyzed, and it will finish with the beginnings of the organization of the mandatory vaccination services. (AU)


Asunto(s)
Historia del Siglo XVI , Historia del Siglo XVII , Historia del Siglo XVIII , Viruela/historia , Viruela/epidemiología , Vacuna contra Viruela/historia , Américas , Viruela/prevención & control , Vacunación Masiva/organización & administración , Brotes de Enfermedades/historia , Vacunación/historia , Epidemias/historia
19.
Am J Med ; 135(10): e404, 2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36180181
20.
Elife ; 112022 05 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35579324

RESUMEN

New SARS-CoV-2 variants, breakthrough infections, waning immunity, and sub-optimal vaccination rates account for surges of hospitalizations and deaths. There is an urgent need for clinically valuable and generalizable triage tools assisting the allocation of hospital resources, particularly in resource-limited countries. We developed and validate CODOP, a machine learning-based tool for predicting the clinical outcome of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. CODOP was trained, tested and validated with six cohorts encompassing 29223 COVID-19 patients from more than 150 hospitals in Spain, the USA and Latin America during 2020-22. CODOP uses 12 clinical parameters commonly measured at hospital admission for reaching high discriminative ability up to 9 days before clinical resolution (AUROC: 0·90-0·96), it is well calibrated, and it enables an effective dynamic risk stratification during hospitalization. Furthermore, CODOP maintains its predictive ability independently of the virus variant and the vaccination status. To reckon with the fluctuating pressure levels in hospitals during the pandemic, we offer two online CODOP calculators, suited for undertriage or overtriage scenarios, validated with a cohort of patients from 42 hospitals in three Latin American countries (78-100% sensitivity and 89-97% specificity). The performance of CODOP in heterogeneous and geographically disperse patient cohorts and the easiness of use strongly suggest its clinical utility, particularly in resource-limited countries.


While COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives, new variants, waxing immunity, unequal rollout and relaxation of mitigation strategies mean that the pandemic will keep on sending shockwaves across healthcare systems. In this context, it is crucial to equip clinicians with tools to triage COVID-19 patients and forecast who will experience the worst forms of the disease. Prediction models based on artificial intelligence could help in this effort, but the task is not straightforward. Indeed, the pandemic is defined by ever-changing factors which artificial intelligence needs to cope with. To be useful in the clinic, a prediction model should make accurate prediction regardless of hospital location, viral variants or vaccination and immunity statuses. It should also be able to adapt its output to the level of resources available in a hospital at any given time. Finally, these tools need to seamlessly integrate into clinical workflows to not burden clinicians. In response, Klén et al. built CODOP, a freely available prediction algorithm that calculates the death risk of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (https://gomezvarelalab.em.mpg.de/codop/). This model was designed based on biochemical data from routine blood analyses of COVID-19 patients. Crucially, the dataset included 30,000 individuals from 150 hospitals in Spain, the United States, Honduras, Bolivia and Argentina, sampled between March 2020 and February 2022 and carrying most of the main COVID-19 variants (from the original Wuhan version to Omicron). CODOP can predict the death or survival of hospitalized patients with high accuracy up to nine days before the clinical outcome occurs. These forecasting abilities are preserved independently of vaccination status or viral variant. The next step is to tailor the model to the current pandemic situation, which features increasing numbers of infected people as well as accumulating immune protection in the overall population. Further development will refine CODOP so that the algorithm can detect who will need hospitalisation in the next 24 hours, and who will need admission in intensive care in the next two days. Equipping primary care settings and hospitals with these tools will help to restore previous standards of health care during the upcoming waves of infections, particularly in countries with limited resources.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Hospitalización , Hospitales , Humanos , Aprendizaje Automático , Estudios Retrospectivos
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