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In the study of biological networks, one of the major challenges is to understand the relationships between network structure and dynamics. In this paper, we model in vitro cortical neuronal cultures as stochastic dynamical systems and apply a method that reconstructs directed networks from dynamics [Ching and Tam, Phys. Rev. E 95, 010301(R) (2017)2470-004510.1103/PhysRevE.95.010301] to reveal directed effective connectivity, namely, the directed links and synaptic weights, of the neuronal cultures from voltage measurements recorded by a multielectrode array. The effective connectivity so obtained reproduces several features of cortical regions in rats and monkeys and has similar network properties as the synaptic network of the nematode Caenorhabditis elegans, whose entire nervous system has been mapped out. The distribution of the incoming degree is bimodal and the distributions of the average incoming and outgoing synaptic strength are non-Gaussian with long tails. The effective connectivity captures different information from the commonly studied functional connectivity, estimated using statistical correlation between spiking activities. The average synaptic strengths of excitatory incoming and outgoing links are found to increase with the spiking activity in the estimated effective connectivity but not in the functional connectivity estimated using the same sets of voltage measurements. These results thus demonstrate that the reconstructed effective connectivity can capture the general properties of synaptic connections and better reveal relationships between network structure and dynamics.

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It is well known that cells can generate endogenous forces onto the extracellular matrix, but to what extent the mechanical properties of the matrix influences these endogenous cellular forces remains unclear. We therefore sought to quantify the influence of matrix rigidity on cell-matrix interactions by inducing cross-links using increasing concentrations of genipin (0.01-1 mM) or by blocking cross-link formation using beta-aminopropionitrile (BAPN) in engineered human tendon tissue constructs. The cell-matrix mechanics of the tendon constructs were evaluated as cell-generated tissue re-tensioning and stress-relaxation responses using a novel custom-made force monitor, which can apply and detect tensional forces in real-time in addition to mechanical failure testing. Genipin treatment had no influence on the biochemical profile (hydroxyproline, glycosaminoglycan and DNA content) of the constructs and cell viability was comparable between genipin-treated and control constructs, except at the highest genipin concentration. Endogenous re-tension after unloading was significantly decreased with increasing genipin concentrations compared to controls. Mechanical failure testing of tendon constructs showed increased (56%) peak stress at the highest genipin concentration but decreased (72%) with BAPN treatment when compared to controls. Tendon construct stiffness increased with high genipin concentrations (0.1 and 1 mM) and decreased by 70% in BAPN-treated constructs, relative to the controls. These data demonstrate that human tendon fibroblasts regulate their force exertion inversely proportional to increased cross-link capacity but did so independently of matrix stiffness. Overall, these findings support the notion of an interaction between cell force generation and cross-linking, and thus a role for this interplay in mechanical homeostasis of the tissue.

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Chronic systemic lipopolysaccharide-induced inflammation can cause obesity. In animal experiments, lactobacilli have been shown to inhibit obesity by modifying the gut microbiota, controlling inflammation and influencing the associated gene expression. A previous study found that high-fat-diet-induced (HFD) obesity was suppressed by lactobacilli ingestion in rats via the inhibition of parasympathetic nerve activity. This study explored the combined use of lactobacilli ingestion and ultrasound (US) to control body weight and body fat deposition in HFD mice over an 8-week experimental period. Male C57BL/6J mice received an HFD during treatment and were randomly divided into four groups: (i) control group (H), (ii) lactobacilli alone (HB), (iii) US alone (HU) and (iv) lactobacilli combined with US (HUB). The US was targeted at the inguinal portion of the epididymal fat pad on the right side. At the 8th week, body weight had decreased significantly in the HUB group (15.56 ± 1.18%, mean ± SD) group compared with the HU (26.63 ± 0.96%) and H (32.62 ± 5.03%) groups (p < 0.05). High-resolution microcomputed tomography (micro-CT) scans revealed that the reduction in total body fat volume was significantly greater in the HUB group (69%) than in the other two experimental groups (HB, 52%; HU, 37%; p < 0.05). The reductions in the thickness of the subcutaneous epididymal fat pads were significantly greater in the HUB group (final thickness: 340 ± 7 µm) than in the H (final thickness: 1150 ± 21 µm), HB (final thickness: 1060 ± 18 µm) and HU (final thickness: 370 ± 5 µm) groups (all p < 0.05). Combination therapy with lactobacilli and US appears to enhance the reduction in body weight, total and local body fat deposition, adipocyte size and plasma lipid levels over an 8-week period over that achieved with lactobacilli or US alone in HFD mice. These results indicate that US treatment alone can reduce hyperlipidemia in HFD mice.

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Identification of germline mutation in patients with apparently sporadic pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas is crucial. Clinical indicators, which include young age, bilateral or multifocal, extra-adrenal, malignant, or recurrent tumors, predict the likelihood of harboring germline mutation in Caucasian subjects. However, data on the prevalence of germline mutation, as well as the applicability of these clinical indicators in Chinese, are lacking. We conducted a cross-sectional study at a single endocrine tertiary referral center in Hong Kong. Subjects with pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas were evaluated for the presence of germline mutations involving 10 susceptibility genes, which included NF1, RET, VHL, SDHA, SDHB, SDHC, SDHD, TMEM 127, MAX, and FH genes. Clinical indicators were assessed for their association with the presence of germline mutations. Germline mutations, 2 being novel, were found in 24.4% of the 41 Chinese subjects recruited and 11.4% among those with apparently sporadic presentation. The increasing number of the afore-mentioned clinical indicators significantly correlated with the likelihood of harboring germline mutation in one of the 10 susceptibility genes. (r=0.757, p=0.026). The presence of 2 or more clinical indicators should prompt genetic testing for germline mutations in Chinese subjects. In conclusion, our study confirmed that a significant proportion of Chinese subjects with apparently sporadic pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma harbored germline mutations and these clinical indicators identified from Caucasians series were also applicable in Chinese subjects. This information will be of clinical relevance in the design of appropriate genetic screening strategies in Chinese populations.

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AIMS: To investigate the usefulness of the additional measurement of HbA1c , compared with performing only the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), in identifying participants at increased cardiometabolic risk, in an urban Chinese population. METHODS: All participants from the fourth visit of the population-based Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factors Prevalence Study, without known diabetes, were included. All had their glycaemic status assessed by OGTT and HbA1c , according to American Diabetic Association 2010 criteria. RESULTS: Based on OGTT criteria alone, 3.5% of the study cohort (N = 1300) had diabetes and 19.2% had prediabetes. Based on HbA1c criteria only, 6.2% had diabetes and 61.2% had prediabetes. The measurement of HbA1c , in addition to the OGTT, increased the proportion of participants with diabetes to 7.8% and with prediabetes to 65.3%. Subjects with prediabetes having raised HbA1c but normal glycaemia (N = 600) had waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR), Gutt Index and Framingham 10-year cardiovascular risk scores intermediate between those with both normal HbA1c and glycaemia (N = 350), and those with impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance (N = 249; all P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The measurement of HbA1c in our population, in addition to the OGTT, results in the detection of a large number of participants with prediabetes having raised HbA1c but normal glycaemia who have a cardiometabolic risk profile intermediate between impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance and normal participants, and would benefit from early lifestyle intervention.

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BACKGROUND: Elevated fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels have been suggested, from cross-sectional studies, as an indicator of subclinical diabetic nephropathy. We investigated whether serum FGF21 was predictive of the development of diabetic nephropathy. METHOD: Baseline serum FGF21 levels were measured in 1136 Chinese type 2 diabetic subjects recruited from the Hong Kong West Diabetes Registry. The role of serum FGF21 in predicting decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over a median follow-up of 4 years was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: At baseline, serum FGF21 levels increased progressively with eGFR category (P for trend <.001). Among 1071 subjects with baseline eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m(2), serum FGF21 levels were significantly higher in those with eGFR decline during follow-up (n = 171) than those without decline (n = 900) (P < .001). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, baseline serum FGF21 was independently associated with eGFR decline (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.43; P = .036), even after adjustment for baseline eGFR. In a subgroup of 559 subjects with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and normoalbuminuria, serum FGF21 level remained an independent predictor of eGFR decline (hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.06-1.76; P = .016). Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) suggested that the inclusion of baseline serum FGF21 significantly improved the prediction of eGFR decline (IDI, 1%; 95% CI, 0.1-3.0; P = .013) in this subgroup, but not in the initial cohort involving all subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum FGF21 levels may be a useful biomarker for predicting kidney disease progression, especially in the early stages of diabetic nephropathy.

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Obesity causes dysfunction of adipose tissue, with resultant chronic inflammation and adverse interplay of various adipokines, sex steroids and endocrine hormones. All these drive tumourigenesis and explain the epidemiological link between obesity and cancer. Over the past decade, the associations among obesity, adipokines and cancer have been increasingly recognized. Adipokines and their respective signalling pathways have drawn much research attention in the field of oncology and cancer therapeutics. This review will discuss the recent advances in the understanding of the association of several adipokines with common obesity-related cancers and the clinical therapeutic implications.

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OBJECTIVE: Circulating adiponectin levels have been shown to be associated with a risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, its primary role in protecting against the development of CHD remains controversial due to conflicting observations in prospective studies. To gain further insight into the primary role of adiponectin, our major objective was to investigate the relationship between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the adiponectin gene (ADIPOQ) and incident CHD in a population-based cohort with no CHD at baseline. DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a 16-year longitudinal study in 2196 subjects from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study (CRISPS). During 33 862 person-years of follow-up, 184 subjects developed CHD (cumulative incidence rate=5.4 per 1000 person-years). Nine ADIPOQ SNPs with potential functional relevance or shown to be associated with adiponectin levels and/or CHD were genotyped. RESULTS: Among the nine ADIPOQ SNPs, +276G>T (rs1501299) was independently associated with incident CHD in men but not in women, even after adjustments for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (Padjusted=5.5×10(-3) to 0.023; hazard ratio=1.39-1.54). Furthermore, there was a significant association of the T allele of +276G>T with a lower adiponectin level (P=0.027; ß (95% CI)=-0.05 (-0.10, -0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that +276G>T may be an independent predictor of CHD development. Our findings suggest that low adiponectin levels, as may be influenced by +276G>T, confer a higher risk of CHD, in keeping with a role of hypoadiponectinaemia in the development of CHD in the general population.

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UNLABELLED: A rapid identification of Salmonella, one of the most common foodborne pathogens worldwide, in clinical patients can enable better rational managements and prevent further outbreaks. The traditional immunochromatography using antibody-gold nanoparticles (Ab-AuNPs), such as the home pregnancy test, has been used for the Salmonella detection. In this study, we developed a new and rapid method using DNA probe-AuNPs for the detection of 16s ribosomal DNA of Salmonella. To evaluate the proposed method in clinical specimens, we performed a clinical test by identifying 159 stool samples on Hektoen agar containing black or crystalloid colonies using the method and the VITEK 2 system for confirmation. Eighty of the isolates were correctly identified as Salmonella to achieve 100% sensitivity. Seventy-five samples were correctly identified as non-Salmonella spp., but four were incorrectly identified as Salmonella. The specificity was 94·93%. The assay time is about 30 min after the DNA purification. The time-consuming and labour-intense biochemical tests can be replaced. We demonstrated that this assay is a rapid, convenient and cost-effective tool for Salmonella identification of clinical faecal samples, which is worth for further promotion and clinical use. This is the first application of using 16s ribosomal DNA probe-Au-NPs and immunochromatography on clinical samples. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: This is the first application of using 16s ribosomal DNA probe-gold nanoparticles and immunochromatography method on clinical samples with sensitivity 100% and specificity 94·93%. The assay time is about 30 min after the DNA purification. We find this assay a rapid, convenient, sensitive and inexpensive tool for Salmonella identification of clinical faecal samples, which is worth further promotion and clinical use and can replace the traditional time-consuming and labour-intense biochemical tests. The potential benefit of this approach is to develop a rapid point-of-care test that provides results while the patient is still at the doctors' office.

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AIM: To examine the efficacy, safety and tolerability of rivoglitazone, a novel thiazolidinedione (TZD), and explore its effects on glucose and lipid control compared to placebo and pioglitazone in Chinese type 2 diabetic patients who are treatment naÏve or treated with a single oral blood glucose-lowering drug. METHODS: This was a double-blind, randomized, placebo- and active-controlled study. A total of 287 Chinese type 2 diabetic patients with suboptimal glycaemic control (defined as HbA1c ≥6.5 to <10% and fasting plasma glucose ≥7 to ≤15 mmol/l) were enrolled. One hundred and seventy-four eligible patients were randomized into one of the five treatment arms for 12 weeks: placebo, pioglitazone 30 mg daily, rivoglitazone of dose 0.5, 1.0 or 1.5 mg daily. In a full set analysis, we used analysis of covariance to compare the primary endpoint defined as change in HbA1c from baseline to week 12/last observation carried forward in the rivoglitazone group at each dose level with the placebo group. RESULTS: Changes in HbA1c were -0.11% in the 0.5-mg group; -0.22% in the 1-mg group and -0.17% in the 1.5-mg rivoglitazone group; -0.06% in the 30-mg pioglitazone group and 0.61% in the placebo group. Compared to placebo, changes were significant in all active treatment groups (all p < 0.05). Increase in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and decrease in triglyceride were observed in the rivoglitazone 1 and 1.5 mg groups, respectively, compared to placebo from baseline to week 12 (p < 0.05). Drug-related oedema was reported in eight patients (7.7%) in all rivoglitazone groups compared to six patients (16.2%) in the pioglitazone group and one patient (3.0%) in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Rivoglitazone is an efficacious, safe and well-tolerated TZD which improved glycaemic control in Chinese type 2 diabetic patients up to 3 months.

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Co-stimulatory molecules together with leukocyte adhesion molecules are important for T lymphocyte and leukocyte-mediated inflammatory responses. We investigated the soluble costimulatory molecules CD80, CD86, CD28, and CTLA-4 and soluble adhesion molecules in plasma of 94 type 2 diabetic patients with or without nephropathy (DN and NDN) and 20 healthy controls. Plasma concentration of sCTLA-4 was significantly lower, whereas sCD28 was significantly higher in DN patients than that in control subjects (all P < 0.05). sCD28 and sCD80 were found to be positively correlated with fasting urine albumin: creatinine ratio in DN patients but not in NDN patients. Elevated soluble adhesion molecule vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 and P-selectin could be related with the disease severity of DN (all P < 0.05). Therefore, the aberrant expression of soluble co-stimulatory molecules and adhesion molecules can be related to the activation of T cells and leukocytes in the progression of inflammation in diabetic nephropathy.

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Cytokine-induced inflammation is involved in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). We investigated plasma concentrations and ex vivo production of cytokines and chemokines, and intracellular signalling molecules, mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPK) in T helper (Th) cells and monocytes in 94 type 2 diabetic patients with or without nephropathy and 20 healthy controls. Plasma concentrations of inflammatory cytokines tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha, interleukin (IL)-6, IL-18 and chemokine CCL2 in patients with diabetic nephropathy (DN) were significantly higher than control subjects, while IL-10, CXCL8, CXCL9, CXCL10 and adiponectin concentrations of DN were significantly higher than patients without diabetic nephropathy (NDN) and control subjects (all P < 0.05). Plasma concentrations of TNF-alpha, IL-6, IL-10, IL-18, CCL2, CXCL8, CXCL9, CXCL10 and adiponectin exhibited significant positive correlation with urine albumin : creatinine ratio in DN patients. The percentage increases of ex vivo production of IL-6, CXCL8, CXCL10, CCL2 and CCL5 upon TNF-alpha activation were significantly higher in both NDN and DN patients than controls (all P < 0.05). The percentage increases in IL-18-induced phosphorylation of extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK) in Th cells of NDN and DN were significantly higher than controls (P < 0.05), while the percentage increase in TNF-alpha-induced phosphorylation of p38 MAPK in monocytes and IL-18-induced phosphorylation of p38 MAPK in Th cells and monocytes were significantly higher in NDN patients than controls. These results confirmed that the aberrant production of inflammatory cytokines and chemokines and differential activation of MAPK in different leucocytes are the underlying immunopathological mechanisms of type 2 DM patients with DN.

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Infant formulas are often heat sterilized in hospitals where water contamination or nosocomial infection is a concern, but there are few studies of the effect of high heat on the nutritional value of infant formula. In particular, the effect of heat sterilization on free amino acid (FAA) concentrations is seldom discussed. In view of the importance of these nutrients for infant growth, we investigated the FAA concentrations of infant formula after heat sterilization. Powdered infant formulas were reconstituted with hot water (80 degrees C) in glass bottles and placed in an autoclave for 5 min at 105 degrees C and 5600 kg/m2 of pressure. Additional samples of formula were prepared by conventional methods to serve as controls. After autoclaving, we measured the FAA concentrations with ion exchange chromatography. The results were compared with those obtained after conventional preparation. We found a 19.5% lower amount of total protein after autoclaving compared with conventional preparation. Concentrations of total FAA were significantly lower after autoclaving (696.5 +/- 101.4 vs 899.4 +/- 152.2 micromol/l, P = 0.01). The concentrations of individual amino acids were also lower in autoclaved infant formulas, with differences ranging from -4.1 to 71.5% (mean 22.6%). Concentrations of certain amino acids were more than 30% lower, such as valine (71.5%), citrulline (61.1%), glutamine (60.6%), ethanolamine (54%), and lysine (39.2%). Both essential and nonessential amino acids were similarly affected by autoclaving, 28.17 and 27.13%, respectively, lower than in controls (P = 0.37). The concentration of ammonia was significantly higher after autoclaving (645.2 +/- 76.2 vs 393.2 +/-140.7 micromol/l, P = 0.0003). However, the urea level was significantly lower after autoclaving than after conventional preparation (1110.8 +/- 162.7 vs 1426.5 +/- 209.5 micromol/l, P = 0.0004). The accumulation of ammonia may reflect degradation of protein and amino acids. Autoclaving clearly results in decreased concentrations of FAA in infant formula. The increased concentration of ammonia after autoclaving is of concern if it leads to deleterious effects.

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OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility of implementing a universal neonatal hearing screening programme using distortion product otoacoustic emission detection at a major teaching hospital in Hong Kong. DESIGN: Descriptive study and questionnaire. SETTING. Teaching hospital, Hong Kong. METHODS: A total of 1064 infants, together with their mothers, were successfully recruited for the study. The participation rate was 99.3%. A three-stage hearing screening protocol using distortion product otoacoustic emission detection was adopted. Each of the participating infants was screened on three separate occasions (day 1-4, day 5-14, and day 21-30 after birth), irrespective of the test results. A questionnaire was administered to 364 randomly selected mothers to determine whether as consumers of the hearing screening service, mothers would find screening desirable. RESULTS: Results of the screening demonstrated an incidence of permanent bilateral hearing loss (>or=40 dB in the better ear) of 0.28%. The results also showed that 3.5% of the screened infants were referred for subsequent diagnostic audiological assessment, including those suspected with unilateral as well as bilateral hearing loss. Data obtained were comparable to other reported results obtained using multi-stage screening protocols. Taking both the false positive rate and the default rate into consideration, the most appropriate time for screening in this hospital setting appeared to be around day 5 to 14 when infants returned to the hospital's day centre as out-patients for routine medical follow-up. Since this day centre service is not generally provided by all maternity hospitals in Hong Kong, an alternative time for screening would be around day 21 to 30 when infants could return as out-patients solely for the hearing test. The results of the questionnaire suggested that most mothers thought a neonatal hearing screening would be desirable (91.35%). The majority (81.70%) indicated a preference for screening either within a few days of birth at the maternity ward prior to discharge from the hospital, or between 5 and 30 days when returning to the hospital as an out-patient. CONCLUSION: It was concluded that a universal neonatal hearing screening programme could be readily implemented in a maternity hospital setting in Hong Kong.

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OBJECTIVE: A network of neonatal intensive care units in Pacific Rim countries was formed to compare infant risk factors, clinical practices, and outcomes for very low birthweight infants. METHODOLOGY: A multicentre, prospective study compared outcomes for infants born smaller than 1501 g or at less than 31 weeks gestation. RESULTS: Gestational age-specific survival and incidence of intracranial haemorrhage varied for infants born in these nurseries. We found differences in infant risk factors among the nurseries. There were also significant differences in the use of antenatal steroids, but similar rates for Caesarean section and surfactant treatment. The factor most predictive of neonatal death and severe intracranial abnormality was an elevated Clinical Risk Index for Babies (CRIB) score. Antenatal steroid treatment (>24 h prior to delivery) was associated with improved survival and decreased incidence of severe intracranial abnormalities. Antenatal steroid treatment for less than 24 h prior to delivery was not associated with improved survival. Caesarean delivery was associated with improved survival, but showed no benefit regarding the incidence of severe intracranial abnormality. CONCLUSIONS: Our Pacific Rim nursery network found differences in neonatal outcomes that correlated best with measures of neonatal risk at birth, antenatal steroid treatment, and Caesarean delivery. These data emphasize the importance of obstetric care to improve postnatal outcomes in premature infants, and highlight the usefulness of CRIB scores in these patients.

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OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to identify association between self reported dental attendance patterns and family structure in the UK. DESIGN: A national study involving 666 women with dependent children. SETTING: Home interviews were undertaken exploring time and reason for last dental visit. In addition, numerous sociodemographic and service related characteristics were collected. RESULTS: Bivariate analysis identified that family structure was associated with respondents' self reported dental attendance patterns: marital status (p<0.01), number of children (p<0.05), and age of children (p<0.05). When the combined effects of age, family structure, income, educational attainment, working status, and service factors (difficulty obtaining a NHS dentist and time taken to get an appointment) on dental attendance were explored, family structure emerged as a very important predicator of service use. Notably, young (age 16-34) single mothers and those with more than two children were less likely to have attended the dentist within the past year for reasons other than a dental emergency compared with older (age 35 or more), mothers from a two parent family and those with one or two children. CONCLUSION: Family structure is associated with self reported dental attendance patterns. Young single mothers with more than two children may be failing to monitor their oral health appropriately.

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AIMS: The aim of this survey was to study patients' satisfaction with the dental service of a university in Hong Kong under a recently introduced item-based fee-paying system and reasons for non-attendance at the clinic; and to compare results of the present survey with that of a similar survey of the same dental service under a time-based fee-paying system in 1996. METHOD: A modified Dental Satisfaction Questionnaire was distributed to a random sample of students (n=194) in their lecture rooms and they were asked to complete the questionnaire on the spot. The same questionnaire was sent to a random sample of staff and their spouses (n=207) by mail. RESULTS: Dental Satisfaction Index (DSI) scores calculated from the returned questionnaires were 66 for students and 70 for staff and their spouses. Compared to the scores in 1996, there was no significant difference for that of the students (DSI=65 in 1996) but there was a significant improvement in that of the staff and their spouses (DSI=66 in 1996). Moreover, in the present survey, "busy/no time" and "no perceived dental problem" were the major reasons for non-attendance, in contrast to "long waiting time for an appointment" in the 1996 survey, were the major reasons for non-attendance. CONCLUSION: The recent attempts by the University Dental Clinic to shorten patient waiting time and the change in fee-paying system might have improved the patients' satisfaction with the service.

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OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether end-tidal carbon monoxide (CO) corrected for ambient CO (ETCOc), as a single measurement or in combination with serum total bilirubin (STB) measurements, can predict the development of hyperbilirubinemia during the first 7 days of life. METHODS: From 9 multinational clinical sites, 1370 neonates completed this cohort study from February 20, 1998, through February 22, 1999. Measurements of both ETCOc and STB were performed at 30 +/- 6 hours of life; STB also was measured at 96 +/- 12 hours and subsequently following a flow diagram based on a table of hours of age-specific STB. An infant was defined as hyperbilirubinemic if the hours of age-specific STB was greater than or equal to the 95th percentile as defined by the table at any time during the study. RESULTS: A total of 120 (8.8%) of the enrolled infants became hyperbilirubinemic. Mean STB in breastfed infants was 8.92 +/- 4.37 mg/dL at 96 hours versus 7.63 +/- 3.58 mg/dL in those fed formula only. The mean ETCOc at 30 +/- 6 hours for the total population was 1.48 +/- 0.49 ppm, whereas those of nonhyperbilirubinemic and hyperbilirubinemic infants were 1.45 +/- 0.47 ppm and 1.81 +/- 0.59 ppm, respectively. Seventy-six percent (92 of 120) of hyperbilirubinemic infants had ETCOc greater than the population mean. An ETCOc greater than the population mean at 30 +/- 6 hours yielded a 13.0% positive predictive value (PPV) and a 95.8% negative predictive value (NPV) for STB >/=95th percentile. When infants with STB >95th percentile at <36 hours of age were excluded, the STB at 30 +/- 6 hours yielded a 16.7% PPV and a 98.1% NPV for STB >75th percentile. The combination of these 2 measurements at 30 +/- 6 hours (either ETCOc more than the population mean or STB >75th percentile) had a 6.4% PPV with a 99.0% NPV. Conclusions. This prospective cohort study supports previous observations that measuring STB before discharge may provide some assistance in predicting an infant's risk for developing hyperbilirubinemia. The addition of an ETCOc measurement provides insight into the processes that contribute to the condition but does not materially improve the predictive ability of an hours of age-specific STB in this study population. The combination of STB and ETCOc as early as 30 +/- 6 hours may identify infants with increased bilirubin production (eg, hemolysis) or decreased elimination (conjugation defects) as well as infants who require early follow-up after discharge for jaundice or other clinical problems such as late anemia. Depending on the incidence of hyperbilirubinemia within an institution, the criteria for decision making should vary according to its unique population.

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