RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Brain metastasis (BM) in gastric cancer (GC) is underestimated, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) overexpression is a durable poor prognostic factor. We explored the relationship between the two and made a survival analysis. METHODS: HER2 expression and BM status were collected from GC patients who were diagnosed between December 2009 and May 2021. We collected GC patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 from the SEER database. The primary endpoint was survival from the diagnosis of BM. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine potential risk factors of BM at diagnosis in SEER database. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULT: There were 513 HER2-positive GC patients, including 16 (3.1%) with BM. Among 38 brain metastasis GC patients we collected, 16 (42.1%) patients were HER2 positive. We collected 34,199 GC patients from the SEER database and there were 260 (0.76%) patients with BM at diagnosis. GC patients that are male, white, of younger age, with primary lesions located in the proximal stomach or with distant lymph nodes, liver, bone, or lung metastasis are more likely to develop BM. The median overall survival time from diagnosis of BM was 12.73 months, and the survival time from brain metastasis of HER2-positive patients was numerically shorter, though the difference was not significant (5.30 months vs.16.13 months, P = 0.28.) CONCLUSION: The incidence of BM in patients with HER2-positive gastric cancer is 4.08 times higher than that in general patients. The median overall survival time from BM is shorter for HER2-positive patients.
Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Encefálicas , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Neoplasias Gástricas/patología , Receptor ErbB-2/metabolismo , Pronóstico , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with gastric cancer (GC) based on the levels of programmed death 1 ligand 1 (PDL1) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). METHODS: The nomogram was developed using data from a primary cohort of 247 patients who had been clinicopathologically diagnosed with GC, as well as a validation cohort of 63 patients. Furthermore, the nomogram divided the patients into three different risk groups for overall survival (OS)-the low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox hazard analyses were used to determine all of the factors included in the model. Decision curve analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that metastasis stage, clinical stage, and CEA and PDL1 levels were predictors for progress-free survival (PFS) and OS of patients with GC. Metastasis stage, clinical stage, and CEA and PDL1 levels were found to be independent risk factors for the PFS and OS of patients with GC in a multivariate analysis, and the nomogram was based on these factors. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.763 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.740-0.787]. The area under the concentration-time curve of the nomogram model was 0.81 (95% CI 0.780-0.900). According to the decision curve analysis and ROC curves, the nomogram model had a higher overall net efficiency in forecasting OS than clinical stage, CEA and PDL1 levels. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we proposed a novel nomogram that integrated PDL1 and CEA, and the proposed nomogram provided more accurate and useful prognostic predictions for patients with GC.