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Bull Math Biol ; 81(11): 4366-4411, 2019 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31286347

RESUMEN

We analyze an epidemiological model to evaluate the effectiveness of multiple means of control in malaria-endemic areas. The mathematical model consists of a system of several ordinary differential equations and is based on a multi-compartment representation of the system. The model takes into account the multiple resting-questing stages undergone by adult female mosquitoes during the period in which they function as disease vectors. We compute the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and show that if [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (GAS) on the nonnegative orthant. If [Formula: see text], the system admits a unique endemic equilibrium (EE) that is GAS. We perform a sensitivity analysis of the dependence of [Formula: see text] and the EE on parameters related to control measures, such as killing effectiveness and bite prevention. Finally, we discuss the implications for a comprehensive, cost-effective strategy for malaria control.


Asunto(s)
Malaria/prevención & control , Modelos Biológicos , Control de Mosquitos/métodos , Mosquitos Vectores , Animales , Anopheles/parasitología , Número Básico de Reproducción/estadística & datos numéricos , Simulación por Computador , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Interacciones Huésped-Parásitos , Humanos , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/transmisión , Conceptos Matemáticos , Control de Mosquitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Mosquitos Vectores/parasitología
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