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Introduction: Obesity and gender play a critical role in shaping the outcomes of COVID-19 disease. These two factors have a dynamic relationship with each other, as well as other risk factors, which hinders interpretation of how they influence severity and disease progression. This work aimed to study differences in COVID-19 disease outcomes through analysis of risk profiles stratified by gender and obesity status. Methods: This study employed an unsupervised clustering analysis, using Mexico's national COVID-19 hospitalization dataset, which contains demographic information and health outcomes of patients hospitalized due to COVID-19. Patients were segmented into four groups by obesity and gender, with participants' attributes and clinical outcome data described for each. Then, Consensus and PAM clustering methods were used to identify distinct risk profiles based on underlying patient characteristics. Risk profile discovery was completed on 70% of records, with the remaining 30% available for validation. Results: Data from 88,536 hospitalized patients were analyzed. Obesity, regardless of gender, was linked with higher odds of hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, pneumonia, and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions. Men tended to have higher frequencies of ICU admissions and pneumonia and higher mortality rates than women. Within each of the four analysis groups (divided based on gender and obesity status), clustering analyses identified four to five distinct risk profiles. For example, among women with obesity, there were four profiles; those with a hypertensive profile were more likely to have pneumonia, and those with a diabetic profile were most likely to be admitted to the ICU. Conclusion: Our analysis emphasizes the complex interplay between obesity, gender, and health outcomes in COVID-19 hospitalizations. The identified risk profiles highlight the need for personalized treatment strategies for COVID-19 patients and can assist in planning for patterns of deterioration in future waves of SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission. This research underscores the importance of tackling obesity as a major public health concern, given its interplay with many other health conditions, including infectious diseases such as COVID-19.

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Background: Breast cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related fatalities among women worldwide. Conventional screening and risk prediction models primarily rely on demographic and patient clinical history to devise policies and estimate likelihood. However, recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, particularly deep learning (DL), have shown promise in the development of personalized risk models. These models leverage individual patient information obtained from medical imaging and associated reports. In this systematic review, we thoroughly investigated the existing literature on the application of DL to digital mammography, radiomics, genomics, and clinical information for breast cancer risk assessment. We critically analyzed these studies and discussed their findings, highlighting the promising prospects of DL techniques for breast cancer risk prediction. Additionally, we explored ongoing research initiatives and potential future applications of AI-driven approaches to further improve breast cancer risk prediction, thereby facilitating more effective screening and personalized risk management strategies. Objective and methods: This study presents a comprehensive overview of imaging and non-imaging features used in breast cancer risk prediction using traditional and AI models. The features reviewed in this study included imaging, radiomics, genomics, and clinical features. Furthermore, this survey systematically presented DL methods developed for breast cancer risk prediction, aiming to be useful for both beginners and advanced-level researchers. Results: A total of 600 articles were identified, 20 of which met the set criteria and were selected. Parallel benchmarking of DL models, along with natural language processing (NLP) applied to imaging and non-imaging features, could allow clinicians and researchers to gain greater awareness as they consider the clinical deployment or development of new models. This review provides a comprehensive guide for understanding the current status of breast cancer risk assessment using AI. Conclusion: This study offers investigators a different perspective on the use of AI for breast cancer risk prediction, incorporating numerous imaging and non-imaging features.

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OBJECTIVES: The data was collected for a cohort study to assess the capability of thermal videos in the detection of SARS-CoV-2. Using this data, a published study applied machine learning to analyze thermal image features for Covid-19 detection. DATA DESCRIPTION: The study recorded a set of measurements from 252 participants over 18 years of age requesting a SARS-CoV-2 PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test at the Hospital Zambrano-Hellion in Nuevo León, México. Data for PCR results, demographics, vital signs, food intake, activities and lifestyle factors, recently taken medications, respiratory and general symptoms, and a thermal video session where the volunteers performed a simple breath-hold in four different positions were collected. Vital signs recorded include axillary temperature, blood pressure, heart rate, and oxygen saturation. Each thermal video is split into 4 scenes, corresponding to front, back, left and right sides, and is available in MPEG-4 format to facilitate inclusion into pipelines for image processing. Raw JPEG images of the background between subjects are included to register variations in room temperatures.

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BACKGROUND: Recent advancements in computing power and state-of-the-art algorithms have helped in more accessible and accurate diagnosis of numerous diseases. In addition, the development of de novo areas in imaging science, such as radiomics and radiogenomics, have been adding more to personalize healthcare to stratify patients better. These techniques associate imaging phenotypes with the related disease genes. Various imaging modalities have been used for years to diagnose breast cancer. Nonetheless, digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT), a state-of-the-art technique, has produced promising results comparatively. DBT, a 3D mammography, is replacing conventional 2D mammography rapidly. This technological advancement is key to AI algorithms for accurately interpreting medical images. OBJECTIVE AND METHODS: This paper presents a comprehensive review of deep learning (DL), radiomics and radiogenomics in breast image analysis. This review focuses on DBT, its extracted synthetic mammography (SM), and full-field digital mammography (FFDM). Furthermore, this survey provides systematic knowledge about DL, radiomics, and radiogenomics for beginners and advanced-level researchers. RESULTS: A total of 500 articles were identified, with 30 studies included as the set criteria. Parallel benchmarking of radiomics, radiogenomics, and DL models applied to the DBT images could allow clinicians and researchers alike to have greater awareness as they consider clinical deployment or development of new models. This review provides a comprehensive guide to understanding the current state of early breast cancer detection using DBT images. CONCLUSION: Using this survey, investigators with various backgrounds can easily seek interdisciplinary science and new DL, radiomics, and radiogenomics directions towards DBT.

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Training deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) presents challenges in terms of memory requirements and computational resources, often resulting in issues such as model overfitting and lack of generalization. These challenges can only be mitigated by using an excessive number of training images. However, medical image datasets commonly suffer from data scarcity due to the complexities involved in their acquisition, preparation, and curation. To address this issue, we propose a compact and hybrid machine learning architecture based on the Morphological and Convolutional Neural Network (MCNN), followed by a Random Forest classifier. Unlike deep CNN architectures, the MCNN was specifically designed to achieve effective performance with medical image datasets limited to a few hundred samples. It incorporates various morphological operations into a single layer and uses independent neural networks to extract information from each signal channel. The final classification is obtained by utilizing a Random Forest classifier on the outputs of the last neural network layer. We compare the classification performance of our proposed method with three popular deep CNN architectures (ResNet-18, ShuffleNet-V2, and MobileNet-V2) using two training approaches: full training and transfer learning. The evaluation was conducted on two distinct medical image datasets: the ISIC dataset for melanoma classification and the ORIGA dataset for glaucoma classification. Results demonstrate that the MCNN method exhibits reliable performance in melanoma classification, achieving an AUC of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.97), outperforming the popular CNN architectures. For the glaucoma dataset, the MCNN achieved an AUC of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.53 to 0.74), which was similar to the performance of the popular CNN architectures. This study contributes to the understanding of mathematical morphology in shallow neural networks for medical image classification and highlights the potential of hybrid architectures in effectively learning from medical image datasets that are limited by a small number of case samples.

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Introduction: Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) has revealed measurable changes in the brains of patients with persistent post-concussive syndrome (PCS). Because of inconsistent results in univariate DTI metrics among patients with mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI), there is currently no single objective and reliable MRI index for clinical decision-making in patients with PCS. Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of a newly developed PCS Index (PCSI) derived from machine learning of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data to classify and differentiate subjects with mTBI and PCS history from those without a history of mTBI. Materials and methods: Data were retrospectively extracted from 139 patients aged between 18 and 60 years with PCS who underwent MRI examinations at 2 weeks to 1-year post-mTBI, as well as from 336 subjects without a history of head trauma. The performance of the PCS Index was assessed by comparing 69 patients with a clinical diagnosis of PCS with 264 control subjects. The PCSI values for patients with PCS were compared based on the mechanism of injury, time interval from injury to MRI examination, sex, history of prior concussion, loss of consciousness, and reported symptoms. Results: Injured patients had a mean PCSI value of 0.57, compared to the control group, which had a mean PCSI value of 0.12 (p = 8.42e-23) with accuracy of 88%, sensitivity of 64%, and specificity of 95%, respectively. No statistically significant differences were found in the PCSI values when comparing the mechanism of injury, sex, or loss of consciousness. Conclusion: The PCSI for individuals aged between 18 and 60 years was able to accurately identify patients with post-concussive injuries from 2 weeks to 1-year post-mTBI and differentiate them from the controls. The results of this study suggest that multiparametric MRI-based PCSI has great potential as an objective clinical tool to support the diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up care of patients with post-concussive syndrome. Further research is required to investigate the replicability of this method using other types of clinical MRI scanners.

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PURPOSE: Multiomics cancer subtyping is becoming increasingly popular for directing state-of-the-art therapeutics. However, these methods have never been systematically assessed for their ability to capture cancer prognosis for identified subtypes, which is essential to effectively treat patients. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, The Cancer Genome Atlas, and Pan-Cancer Atlas for multiomics cancer subtyping studies from 2010 through 2019. Studies comprising at least 50 patients and examining survival were included. Pooled Cox and logistic mixed-effects models were used to compare the ability of multiomics subtyping methods to identify clinically prognostic subtypes, and a structural equation model was used to examine causal paths underlying subtyping method and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 31 studies comprising 10,848 unique patients across 32 cancers were analyzed. Latent-variable subtyping was significantly associated with overall survival (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.16-6.83; P = .023) and vital status (1 year adjusted odds ratio, 4.71; 95% CI, 1.34-16.49; P = .015; 5 year adjusted odds ratio, 7.69; 95% CI, 1.83-32.29; P = .005); latent-variable-identified subtypes had greater associations with mortality across models (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.01-1.42; P = .050). Our structural equation model confirmed the path from subtyping method through multiomics subtype (߈ = 0.66; P = .048) on survival (߈ = 0.37; P = .008). CONCLUSION: Multiomics methods have different abilities to define clinically prognostic cancer subtypes, which should be considered before administration of personalized therapy; preliminary evidence suggests that latent-variable methods better identify clinically prognostic biomarkers and subtypes.

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BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is an irreversible, progressive brain disorder that slowly destroys memory and thinking skills. The ability to correctly predict the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease in its earliest stages can help physicians make more informed clinical decisions on therapy plans. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine whether the unsupervised discovering of latent classes of subjects with Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) may be useful in finding different prodromal AD stages and/or subjects with a low MCI to AD conversion risk. METHODS: Total 18 features relevant to the MCI to AD conversion process led to the identification of 681 subjects with early MCI. Subjects were divided into training (70%) and validation (30%) sets. Subjects from the training set were analyzed using consensus clustering, and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) were used to describe the latent classes. The discovered GMM predicted the latent class of the validation set. Finally, descriptive statistics, rates of conversion, and Odds Ratios (OR) were computed for each discovered class. RESULTS: Through consensus clustering, we discovered three different clusters among MCI subjects. The three clusters were associated with low-risk (OR = 0.12, 95%CI = 0.04 to 0.3|), medium-risk (OR = 1.33, 95%CI = 0.75 to 2.37), and high-risk (OR = 3.02, 95%CI = 1.64 to 5.57) of converting from MCI to AD, with the high-risk and low-risk groups highly contrasting. Hence, prodromal AD subjects were present in only two clusters. CONCLUSION: We successfully discovered three different latent classes among MCI subjects with varied risks of MCI-to-AD conversion through consensus clustering. Two of the discovered classes may represent two different prodromal presentations of Alzheimer´s disease.

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COVID-19 is a viral infection that affects people differently, where the majority of cases develop mild symptoms, some people require hospitalization, and unfortunately, a small number of patients perish. Hence, identifying risk factors is critical for physicians to make treatment decisions. The purpose of this article is to determine whether unsupervised analysis of risk factors in positive and negative COVID-19 subjects can aid in the identification of a set of reliable and clinically relevant risk profiles. Positive and negative patients hospitalized were randomly selected from the Mexican Open Registry between March and May 2020. Thirteen risk factors, three distinct outcomes, and COVID-19 test results were used to categorize registry patients. As a result, the dataset was reported via 6144 different risk profiles for each age group. The unsupervised learning method is proposed in this study to discover the most prevalent risk profiles. The data was partitioned into discovery (70%) and validation (30%) sets. The discovery set was analyzed using the partition around medoids (PAM) method, and the stable set of risk profiles was estimated using robust consensus clustering. The PAM models' reliability was validated by predicting the risk profile of subjects from the validation set and patients admitted in November 2020. In the validation set, the clinical relevance of the risk profiles was evaluated by determining the prevalence of three patient outcomes: pneumonia diagnosis, ICU admission, or death. Six positive and five negative COVID-19 risk profiles were identified, with significant statistical differences between them. As a result, PAM clustering with consensus mapping is a viable method for discovering unsupervised risk profiles in subjects with severe respiratory health problems.

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Purpose: To determine and characterize the radiomics features from structural MRI (MPRAGE) and Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) associated with the presence of mild traumatic brain injuries on student athletes with post-concussive syndrome (PCS). Material and Methods: 122 student athletes (65 M, 57 F), median (IQR) age 18.8 (15-20) years, with a mixed level of play and sports activities, with a known history of concussion and clinical PCS, and 27 (15 M, 12 F), median (IQR) age 20 (19, 21) years, concussion free athlete subjects were MRI imaged in a clinical MR machine. MPRAGE and DTI-FA and DTI-ADC images were used to extract radiomic features from white and gray matter regions within the entire brain (2 ROI) and the eight main lobes of the brain (16 ROI) for a total of 18 analyzed regions. Radiomic features were divided into five different data sets used to train and cross-validate five different filter-based Support Vector Machines. The top selected features of the top model were described. Furthermore, the test predictions of the top four models were ensembled into a single average prediction. The average prediction was evaluated for the association to the number of concussions and time from injury. Results: Ninety-one PCS subjects passed inclusion criteria (91 Cases, 27 controls). The average prediction of the top four models had a sensitivity of 0.80, 95% CI: [0.71, 0.88] and specificity of 0.74 95%CI [0.54, 0.89] for distinguishing subjects from controls. The white matter features were strongly associated with mTBI, while the whole-brain analysis of gray matter showed the worst association. The predictive index was significantly associated with the number of concussions (p < 0.0001) and associated with the time from injury (p < 0.01). Conclusion: MRI Radiomic features are associated with a history of mTBI and they were successfully used to build a predictive machine learning model for mTBI for subjects with PCS associated with a history of one or more concussions.

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Late-onset Alzheimer's Disease (LOAD) is the most common form of dementia in the elderly. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for LOAD have open new avenues to identify genetic causes and to provide diagnostic tools for early detection. Although several predictive models have been proposed using the few detected GWAS markers, there is still a need for improvement and identification of potential markers. Commonly, polygenic risk scores are being used for prediction. Nevertheless, other methods to generate predictive models have been suggested. In this research, we compared three machine learning methods that have been proved to construct powerful predictive models (genetic algorithms, LASSO, and step-wise) and propose the inclusion of markers from misclassified samples to improve overall prediction accuracy. Our results show that the addition of markers from an initial model plus the markers of the model fitted to misclassified samples improves the area under the receiving operative curve by around 5%, reaching ~0.84, which is highly competitive using only genetic information. The computational strategy used here can help to devise better methods to improve classification models for AD. Our results could have a positive impact on the early diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease.

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BACKGROUND: Late-Onset Alzheimer's Disease (LOAD) is a leading form of dementia. There is no effective cure for LOAD, leaving the treatment efforts to depend on preventive cognitive therapies, which stand to benefit from the timely estimation of the risk of developing the disease. Fortunately, a growing number of Machine Learning methods that are well positioned to address this challenge are becoming available. RESULTS: We conducted systematic comparisons of representative Machine Learning models for predicting LOAD from genetic variation data provided by the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort. Our experimental results demonstrate that the classification performance of the best models tested yielded ∼72% of area under the ROC curve. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning models are promising alternatives for estimating the genetic risk of LOAD. Systematic machine learning model selection also provides the opportunity to identify new genetic markers potentially associated with the disease.

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In breast cancer, well-known gene expression subtypes have been related to a specific clinical outcome. However, their impact on the breast tissue phenotype has been poorly studied. Here, we investigate the association of imaging data of tumors to gene expression signatures from 71 patients with breast cancer that underwent pre-treatment digital mammograms and tumor biopsies. From digital mammograms, a semi-automated radiogenomics analysis generated 1,078 features describing the shape, signal distribution, and texture of tumors along their contralateral image used as control. From tumor biopsy, we estimated the OncotypeDX and PAM50 recurrence scores using gene expression microarrays. Then, we used multivariate analysis under stringent cross-validation to train models predicting recurrence scores. Few univariate features reached Spearman correlation coefficients above 0.4. Nevertheless, multivariate analysis yielded significantly correlated models for both signatures (correlation of OncotypeDX = 0.49 ± 0.07 and PAM50 = 0.32 ± 0.10 in stringent cross-validation and OncotypeDX = 0.83 and PAM50 = 0.78 for a unique model). Equivalent models trained from the unaffected contralateral breast were not correlated suggesting that the image signatures were tumor-specific and that overfitting was not a considerable issue. We also noted that models were improved by combining clinical information (triple negative status and progesterone receptor). The models used mostly wavelets and fractal features suggesting their importance to capture tumor information. Our results suggest that molecular-based recurrence risk and breast cancer subtypes have observable radiographic phenotypes. To our knowledge, this is the first study associating mammographic information to gene expression recurrence signatures.

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BACKGROUND: Diagnosing Alzheimer's disease (AD) in its earliest stages is important for therapeutic and support planning. Similarly, being able to predict who will convert from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD would have clinical implications. OBJECTIVES: The goals of this study were to identify features from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database associated with the conversion from MCI to AD, and to characterize the temporal evolution of that conversion. METHODS: We screened the publically available ADNI longitudinal database for subjects with MCI who have developed AD (cases: n=305), and subjects with MCI who have remained stable (controls: n=250). Analyses included 1,827 features from laboratory assays (n=12), quantitative MRI scans (n=1,423), PET studies (n=136), medical histories (n=72), and neuropsychological tests (n=184). Statistical longitudinal models identified features with significant differences in longitudinal behavior between cases and matched controls. A multiple-comparison adjusted log-rank test identified the capacity of the significant predictive features to predict early conversion. RESULTS: 411 features (22.5%) were found to be statistically different between cases and controls at the time of AD diagnosis; 385 features were statistically different at least 6 months prior to diagnosis, and 28 features distinguished early from late conversion, 20 of which were obtained from neuropsychological tests. In addition, 69 features (3.7%) had statistically significant changes prior to AD diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Our results characterized features associated with disease progression from MCI to AD, and, in addition, the log-rank test identified features which are associated with the risk of early conversion.

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This study aimed to determine the extent to which changes over 2.5 years in medial knee cartilage thickness and volume were predicted by: (1) Peak values of the knee adduction (KAM) and flexion moments; and (2) KAM impulse and loading frequency, representing cumulative load, after controlling for age, sex and body mass index (BMI). Adults with clinical knee osteoarthritis participated. At baseline and approximately 2.5 years follow-up, cartilage thickness and volume of the medial tibia and femur were segmented from magnetic resonance imaging scans. Gait kinematics and kinetics, and daily knee loading frequency were also collected at baseline. Multiple linear regressions predicted changes in cartilage morphology from baseline gait mechanics. Data were collected from 52 participants (41 women) [age 61.0 (6.9) y; BMI 28.5 (5.7) kg/m2 ] over 2.56 (0.51) years. There were significant KAM peak-by-BMI (p = 0.023) and KAM impulse-by-BMI (p = 0.034) interactions, which revealed that larger joint loads in those with higher BMIs were associated with greater loss of medial tibial cartilage volume. In conclusion, with adjustments for age, sex, and cartilage measurement at baseline, large magnitude KAM peak and KAM impulse each interacted with BMI to predict loss of cartilage volume of the medial tibia over 2.5 years among individuals with knee osteoarthritis. These data suggest that, in clinical knee osteoarthritis, exposure to large KAMs may be detrimental to cartilage in those with larger BMIs. © 2017 Orthopaedic Research Society. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Orthop Res 35:2476-2483, 2017.

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PURPOSE: To compare the acute effect of running and bicycling of an equivalent cumulative load on knee cartilage composition and morphometry in healthy young men. A secondary analysis investigated the relationship between activity history and the change in cartilage composition after activity. METHODS: In fifteen men (25.8±4.2 years), the vertical ground reaction force was measured to determine the cumulative load exposure of a 15-min run. The vertical pedal reaction force was recorded during bicycling to define the bicycling duration of an equivalent cumulative load. On separate visits that were spaced on average 17 days apart, participants completed these running and bicycling bouts. Mean cartilage transverse relaxation times (T2) were determined for cartilage on the tibia and weight-bearing femur before and after each exercise. T2 was measured using a multi-echo spin-echo sequence and 3T MRI. Cartilage of the weight bearing femur and tibia was segmented using a highly-automated segmentation algorithm. Activity history was captured using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire. RESULTS: The response of T2 to bicycling and running was different (p=0.019; mean T2: pre-running=34.27ms, pre-bicycling=32.93ms, post-running=31.82ms, post-bicycling=32.36ms). While bicycling produced no change (-1.7%, p=0.300), running shortened T2 (-7.1%, p<0.001). Greater activity history predicted smaller changes in tibial, but not femoral, T2. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in knee cartilage vary based on activity type, independent of total load exposure, in healthy young men. Smaller changes in T2 were observed after bicycling relative to running. Activity history was inversely related to tibial T2, suggesting cartilage conditioning.

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SUMMARY: The association of genomic alterations to outcomes in cancer is affected by a problem of unbalanced groups generated by the low frequency of alterations. For this, an R package (VALORATE) that estimates the null distribution and the P -value of the log-rank based on a recent reformulation is presented. For a given number of alterations that define the size of survival groups, the log-rank density is estimated by a weighted sum of conditional distributions depending on a co-occurrence term of mutations and events. The estimations are accurately accelerated by sampling across co-occurrences allowing the analysis of large genomic datasets in few minutes. In conclusion, the proposed VALORATE R package is a valuable tool for survival analysis. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The R package is available in CRAN at https://cran.r-project.org and in http://bioinformatica.mty.itesm.mx/valorateR . CONTACT: vtrevino@itesm.mx. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

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Previous methods proposed for the detection of cancer driver mutations have been based on the estimation of background mutation rate, impact on protein function, or network influence. In this paper, we instead focus on those factors influencing patient survival. To this end, an approximation of the log-rank test has been systematically applied, even though it assumes a large and similar number of patients in both risk groups, which is violated in cancer genomics. Here, we propose VALORATE, a novel algorithm for the estimation of the null distribution for the log-rank, independent of the number of mutations. VALORATE is based on conditional distributions of the co-occurrences between events and mutations. The results, achieved through simulations, comparisons with other methods, analyses of TCGA and ICGC cancer datasets, and validations, suggest that VALORATE is accurate, fast, and can identify both known and novel gene mutations. Our proposal and results may have important implications in cancer biology, bioinformatics analyses, and ultimately precision medicine.

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BACKGROUND: Subchondral bone (SCB) undergoes changes in the shape of the articulating bone surfaces and is currently recognized as a key target in osteoarthritis (OA) treatment. The aim of this study was to present an automated system that determines the curvature of the SCB regions of the knee and to evaluate its cross-sectional and longitudinal scan-rescan precision METHODS: Six subjects with OA and six control subjects were selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) pilot study database. As per OAI protocol, these subjects underwent 3T MRI at baseline and every twelve months thereafter, including a 3D DESS WE sequence. We analyzed the baseline and twenty-four month images. Each subject was scanned twice at these visits, thus generating scan-rescan information. Images were segmented with an automated multi-atlas framework platform and then 3D renderings of the bone structure were created from the segmentations. Curvature maps were extracted from the 3D renderings and morphed into a reference atlas to determine precision, to generate population statistics, and to visualize cross-sectional and longitudinal curvature changes. RESULTS: The baseline scan-rescan root mean square error values ranged from 0.006mm(-1) to 0.013mm(-1), and from 0.007mm(-1) to 0.018mm(-1) for the SCB of the femur and the tibia, respectively. The standardized response of the mean of the longitudinal changes in curvature in these regions ranged from -0.09 to 0.02 and from -0.016 to 0.015, respectively. CONCLUSION: The fully automated system produces accurate and precise curvature maps of femoral and tibial SCB, and will provide a valuable tool for the analysis of the curvature changes of articulating bone surfaces during the course of knee OA.

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In this work, the potential of X-ray based multivariate prognostic models to predict the onset of chronic knee pain is presented. Using X-rays quantitative image assessments of joint-space-width (JSW) and paired semiquantitative central X-ray scores from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), a case-control study is presented. The pain assessments of the right knee at the baseline and the 60-month visits were used to screen for case/control subjects. Scores were analyzed at the time of pain incidence (T-0), the year prior incidence (T-1), and two years before pain incidence (T-2). Multivariate models were created by a cross validated elastic-net regularized generalized linear models feature selection tool. Univariate differences between cases and controls were reported by AUC, C-statistics, and ODDs ratios. Univariate analysis indicated that the medial osteophytes were significantly more prevalent in cases than controls: C-stat 0.62, 0.62, and 0.61, at T-0, T-1, and T-2, respectively. The multivariate JSW models significantly predicted pain: AUC = 0.695, 0.623, and 0.620, at T-0, T-1, and T-2, respectively. Semiquantitative multivariate models predicted paint with C-stat = 0.671, 0.648, and 0.645 at T-0, T-1, and T-2, respectively. Multivariate models derived from plain X-ray radiography assessments may be used to predict subjects that are at risk of developing knee pain.

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