RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk factors for in-hospital death in diabetic patients undergoing isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study with 305 consecutive diabetic patients undergoing CABG in the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of our institution from April 2004 to April 2010. Univariate analysis for categorical variables was performed with the chi-square or Fisher's exact test, as appropriate. Potential risk factors with p <0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis, which was performed by backward logistic regression. Values of p <0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 61.44 years (± 9.81) and 65.6% (n=200) were male. The in-hospital mortality rate was 11.8% (n=36). The following independent risk factors for death were identified: on-pump CABG (OR 6.15, 95% CI 1.57 to 24.03, P=0.009) and low cardiac output in the postoperative period (OR 34.17, 95% CI 10.46 to 111.62, P <0.001). The use of internal thoracic artery (ITA) was an independent protective factor for death (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.093, P=0.038). CONCLUSION: This study identified the following independent risk factors for death after CABG: on-pump CABG and low cardiac output syndrome. The use of ITA was an independent protective factor.
Asunto(s)
Puente de Arteria Coronaria/mortalidad , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/cirugía , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Periodo Perioperatorio , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJETIVO: Investigar fatores de risco para óbito intra-hospitalar em diabéticos submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica isolada. MÉTODOS: Estudo retrospectivo de 305 pacientes. Foram avaliadas média de idade, taxa de mortalidade intra-hospitalar, uso de circulação extracorpórea, débito cardíaco no período pós-operatório e uso da artéria torácica interna. Análise univariada para variáveis categóricas foi executada com teste qui-quadrado de Pearson ou exato de Fisher, conforme apropriado. Potenciais fatores de risco com valor de P <0,05 na análise univariada foram incluídos na análise multivariada, que foi realizada por regressão logística backward. Valores de P <0,05 foram considerados estatisticamente significativos. RESULTADOS: A população estudada apresentou média de idade de 61,44 anos (±9,81), sendo 65,6% (n=200) do sexo masculino. A taxa de mortalidade intra-hospitalar foi de 11,8% (n=36). Os fatores de risco independentes para óbito mostraram: uso de circulação extracorpórea OR 6,15; IC 95% 1,57-24,03; P=0,009 e baixo débito cardíaco no período pós-operatório com OR 34,17; IC 95% 10,46-111,62; P<0,001. O uso de artéria torácica interna foi fator protetor independente para óbito com OR 0,27; IC 95% 0,08-0,093; P=0,038. CONCLUSÃO: Este estudo identificou como fatores de risco independentes para óbito após a operação o uso de circulação extracorpórea e síndrome de baixo débito cardíaco. O uso da artéria torácica inerna foi fator protetor independente.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk factors for in-hospital death in diabetic patients undergoing isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study with 305 consecutive diabetic patients undergoing CABG in the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of our institution from April 2004 to April 2010. Univariate analysis for categorical variables was performed with the chi-square or Fisher's exact test, as appropriate. Potential risk factors with p <0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis, which was performed by backward logistic regression. Values of p <0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 61.44 years (± 9.81) and 65.6% (n=200) were male. The in-hospital mortality rate was 11.8% (n=36). The following independent risk factors for death were identified: on-pump CABG (OR 6.15, 95% CI 1.57 to 24.03, P=0.009) and low cardiac output in the postoperative period (OR 34.17, 95% CI 10.46 to 111.62, P <0.001). The use of internal thoracic artery (ITA) was an independent protective factor for death (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.093, P=0.038). CONCLUSION: This study identified the following independent risk factors for death after CABG: on-pump CABG and low cardiac output syndrome. The use of ITA was an independent protective factor.
Asunto(s)
Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/mortalidad , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/cirugía , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Análisis Multivariante , Periodo Perioperatorio , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Finding predictors of blood transfusion may facilitate the most efficient approach for the use of blood bank services in coronary artery bypass grafting procedures. The aim of this retrospective study is to identify preoperative and intraoperative patient characteristics predicting the need for blood transfusion during or after CABG in our local cardiac surgical service. METHODS: 435 patients undergoing isolated first-time CABG were reviewed for their preoperative and intraoperative variables and analyzed postoperative data. Patients were 255 males and 180 females, with mean age 62.01 ± 10.13 years. Regression logistic analysis was used for identifying the strongest perioperative predictors of blood transfusion. RESULTS: Blood transfusion was used in 263 patients (60.5 percent). The mean number of transfused blood products units per patient was 2.27 ± 3.07 (0-23) units. The total number of transfused units of blood products was 983. Univariate analysis identified age >65 years, weight <70 Kg, body mass index <25 Kg/m2, hemoglobin <13mg/dL, hematocrit < 40 percent and ejection fraction <50 percent, use of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), not using an internal thoracic artery as a bypass, and multiple bypasses as significant predictors. The strongest predictors using multivariate analysis were hematocrit < 40 percent (OR 2.58; CI 1.62-4.15; P<0.001), CPB use (OR 2.00; CI 1.27-3.17; P=0.003) and multiple bypasses (OR 2.31; CI 1.31-4.08; P=0.036). CONCLUSIONS: The identification of these risk factors leads to better identification of patients with a grater probability of using blood, allocation blood bank resources and cost-effectiveness use of blood products.
OBJETIVOS: Encontrar preditores de hemotransfusão pode facilitar a abordagem mais eficiente para utilização de serviços de banco de sangue em CRM. O objetivo deste estudo é identificar as características dos pacientes pré- e intraoperatórios que predizem necessidade de hemotransfusão durante ou após a revascularização miocárdica. MÉTODOS: 435 pacientes submetidos à CRM isolada pela primeira vez, foram revisados para suas variáveis pré e intra-operatórias e analisados os dados pós-operatórios. Foram 255 homens e 180 mulheres, com idade média 62,01 ± 10,13 anos. Análise de regressão logística foi utilizada para identificar os preditores perioperatórios de hemotransfusão. RESULTADOS: A hemotransfusão foi executada em 263 pacientes (60,5 por cento). O número médio de unidades de hemoderivados por paciente foi de 2,27 ± 3,07 (0-23) unidades. O número total de unidades de hemoderivados foi de 983. A análise univariada identificou idade> 65 anos, peso <70 kg, IMC <25 kg/m2, hemoglobina < 13 mg/dl, hematócrito < 40 por cento e fração de ejeção <50 por cento, uso de circulação extracorpórea (CEC), não usar a artéria torácica interna como bypass, e múltiplos bypasses como preditores significativos. Os preditores mais fortes por meio de análise multivariada foram hematócrito < 40 por cento (OR 2,58; IC 1,62-4,15; P<0,001), o uso da CEC (OR 2,00; IC 1,27-3,17; P=0,003) e múltiplos bypasses (OR 2,31; IC 1,31-4,08; P=0,036). CONCLUSÕES: A identificação desses fatores de risco leva a uma melhor identificação de pacientes com uma probabilidade maior de usar sangue, melhor alocação dos recursos do banco de sangue e o uso custo-efetivo dos hemoderivados.
Asunto(s)
Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pérdida de Sangre Quirúrgica/prevención & control , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Transfusión de Eritrocitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Puente Cardiopulmonar , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/métodos , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Hematócrito , Cuidados Intraoperatorios , Cuidados Preoperatorios , Valores de ReferenciaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Mediastinitis is a serious complication of median sternotomy and is associated to significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for mediastinitis in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), without the use of bilateral internal thoracic artery (ITA), at the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. METHODS: A retrospective study of 500 consecutive patients operated on between May 2007 and April 2010. Ten preoperative variables, seven intraoperative variables and seven postoperative variables possibly involved in the development of postoperative mediastinitis were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: The incidence of mediastinitis was 5.6% (n=28), with a lethality rate of 32.1% (n=9). In multivariate analysis using logistic regression, five variables remained as independent risk factors: obesity (OR 2.60, 95% CI 1.11 to 6.68), diabetes (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.18 to 6.65), smoking (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.12 to 4.67), use of pedicled internal thoracic artery (OR 5.17, 95% CI 1.45 to 18.42) and on-pump CABG (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.14 to 5.85). CONCLUSION: This study identified the following independent risk factors for mediastinitis after CABG: obesity, diabetes, smoking, use of pedicled ITA and on-pump CABG.
Asunto(s)
Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Mediastinitis/etiología , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Mediastinitis/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Periodo Perioperatorio/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Mediastinitis is a serious complication of median sternotomy and is associated to significant morbidity and mortality. Diabetes is a feared risk factor for mediastinitis and viewed with caution by cardiovascular surgeons. OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for mediastinitis in diabetics undergoing CABG surgery with use of unilateral ITA in the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. METHODS: Retrospective study of 157 diabetics operated between May 2007 and April 2010. Nine preoperative variables, five intraoperative variables and seven postoperative variables possibly involved in the development of postoperative mediastinitis were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied. RESULTS: The incidence of mediastinitis was 7% (n=11), with a lethality rate of 36.1% (n=4). Variables associated with increased risk of mediastinitis were: use of pedicled ITA (OR 8.25, 95% CI 2.03 to 66.10, P=0.016), postoperative renal complications (OR 5.10, 95% CI 1.03 to 25.62, P=0.049) and re-operation (OR 7.45, 95% CI 1.24 to 42.17, P=0.023). In multivariate analysis using backward logistic regression, only one variable remained as independent risk factor: use of pedicled ITA (OR 7.64, 95% CI 1.95 to 61.6, P=0.048), in comparison to skeletonized ITA. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that diabetics should be considered for strategies to minimize risk of infection. In diabetics that undergo unilateral ITA, the problem seems to be related to how ITA is harvested. Diabetics should always be considered for use of skeletonized ITA.
Asunto(s)
Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Complicaciones de la Diabetes , Arterias Mamarias/trasplante , Mediastinitis/etiología , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Mediastinitis is a serious complication of median sternotomy and is associated to significant morbidity and mortality. Diabetes is a feared risk factor for mediastinitis and viewed with caution by cardiovascular surgeons. OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for mediastinitis in diabetics undergoing CABG surgery with use of unilateral ITA in the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. METHODS: Retrospective study of 157 diabetics operated between May 2007 and April 2010. Nine preoperative variables, five intraoperative variables and seven postoperative variables possibly involved in the development of postoperative mediastinitis were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied. RESULTS: The incidence of mediastinitis was 7 percent (n=11), with a lethality rate of 36.1 percent (n=4). Variables associated with increased risk of mediastinitis were: use of pedicled ITA (OR 8.25, 95 percent CI 2.03 to 66.10, P=0.016), postoperative renal complications (OR 5.10, 95 percent CI 1.03 to 25.62, P=0.049) and re-operation (OR 7.45, 95 percent CI 1.24 to 42.17, P=0.023). In multivariate analysis using backward logistic regression, only one variable remained as independent risk factor: use of pedicled ITA (OR 7.64, 95 percent CI 1.95 to 61.6, P=0.048), in comparison to skeletonized ITA. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that diabetics should be considered for strategies to minimize risk of infection. In diabetics that undergo unilateral ITA, the problem seems to be related to how ITA is harvested. Diabetics should always be considered for use of skeletonized ITA.
INTRODUÇÃO: Mediastinite é uma complicação séria da esternotomia mediana e está associada a significativa morbidade e mortalidade. Diabetes é um temido fator de risco para mediastinite, visto com cautela pelos cirurgiões cardiovasculares. OBJETIVO: Identificar fatores de risco para mediastinite em diabéticos submetidos à CRM com uso unilateral da ATI na Divisão de Cirurgia Cardiovascular do Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. MÉTODOS: Estudo retrospectivo de 157 pacientes diabéticos operados entre maio de 2007 e abril de 2010. Nove variáveis pré-operatórias, cinco variáveis intraoperatórias e sete variáveis pós-operatórias possivelmente envolvidas no desenvolvimento de mediastinite foram avaliadas. Análises univariada e multivariada por regressão logística foram aplicadas. RESULTADOS: A incidência de mediastinite foi de 7 por cento (n=11), com taxa de letalidade de 36,1 por cento (n=4). Variáveis associadas com maior risco de mediastinite foram: uso de ATI pediculada (OR 8,25, IC 95 por cento 2,03-66,10, P=0,016), complicações renais (OR 5,10, IC 95 por cento 1,03-25,62, P = 0,049) e reoperação (OR 7,45, IC 95 por cento 1,24-42,17, P=0,023). Na análise multivariada por regressão logística, apenas uma variável permaneceu como fator independente de risco: uso ATI pediculada (OR 7,64, IC 95 por cento 1,95-61,6, P = 0,048), em comparação à ATI esqueletizada. CONCLUSÕES: Sugerimos que diabéticos devem ser considerados para estratégias de minimização do risco de infecção. Nos diabéticos que recebem ATI unilateral, o problema parece estar relacionado à forma como a ATI é dissecada. Diabéticos devem sempre ser considerados para utilização da ATI esqueletizada.
Asunto(s)
Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Complicaciones de la Diabetes , Arterias Mamarias/trasplante , Mediastinitis/etiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Mediastinitis is a serious complication of median sternotomy and is associated to significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for mediastinitis in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), without the use of bilateral internal thoracic artery (ITA), at the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. METHODS: A retrospective study of 500 consecutive patients operated on between May 2007 and April 2010. Ten preoperative variables, seven intraoperative variables and seven postoperative variables possibly involved in the development of postoperative mediastinitis were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: The incidence of mediastinitis was 5.6% (n=28), with a lethality rate of 32.1% (n=9). In multivariate analysis using logistic regression, five variables remained as independent risk factors: obesity (OR 2.60, 95% CI 1.11 to 6.68), diabetes (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.18 to 6.65), smoking (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.12 to 4.67), use of pedicled internal thoracic artery (OR 5.17, 95% CI 1.45 to 18.42) and on-pump CABG (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.14 to 5.85). CONCLUSION: This study identified the following independent risk factors for mediastinitis after CABG: obesity, diabetes, smoking, use of pedicled ITA and on-pump CABG.
OBJETIVO: A mediastinite é uma complicação grave da esternotomia mediana, estando associada a significativa morbidade e mortalidade. O objetivo deste estudo é identificar fatores de risco para mediastinite em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica (CRM), sem o uso bilateral da artéria torácica interna (ATI), na Divisão de Cirurgia Cardiovascular do Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. MÉTODOS: Estudo retrospectivo compreendendo 500 pacientes consecutivos operados entre maio de 2007 e abril de 2010. Avaliaram-se 10 variáveis pré-operatórias, sete variáveis intraoperatórias e sete variáveis pós-operatórias possivelmente implicadas no desenvolvimento de mediastinite. Aplicaram-se análises univariada e multivariada por regressão logística. RESULTADOS: A incidência de mediastinite foi de 5,6% (n = 28), com taxa de letalidade de 32,1% (n = 9). Na análise multivariada por regressão logística, cinco variáveis permaneceram como fatores de risco independentes: obesidade (OR 2,60; IC 95% 1,1-6,68), diabetes (OR 2,71; IC 95% 1,18-6,65), tabagismo (OR 2,10; IC 95% 1,12-4,67), uso de ATI pediculada (OR 5,17; IC 95% 1,45-18,42) e CRM com circulação extracorpórea (OR 2,26, IC 95% 1,14-5,85). CONCLUSÕES: Este estudo identificou os seguintes fatores de risco independentes para mediastinite após CRM: obesidade, diabetes, tabagismo, uso de ATI pediculada e CRM com circulação extracorpórea.
Asunto(s)
Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Mediastinitis/etiología , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Mediastinitis/epidemiología , Periodo Perioperatorio/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Finding predictors of blood transfusion may facilitate the most efficient approach for the use of blood bank services in coronary artery bypass grafting procedures. The aim of this retrospective study is to identify preoperative and intraoperative patient characteristics predicting the need for blood transfusion during or after CABG in our local cardiac surgical service. METHODS: 435 patients undergoing isolated first-time CABG were reviewed for their preoperative and intraoperative variables and analyzed postoperative data. Patients were 255 males and 180 females, with mean age 62.01 ± 10.13 years. Regression logistic analysis was used for identifying the strongest perioperative predictors of blood transfusion. RESULTS: Blood transfusion was used in 263 patients (60.5%). The mean number of transfused blood products units per patient was 2.27 ± 3.07 (0-23) units. The total number of transfused units of blood products was 983. Univariate analysis identified age >65 years, weight <70 Kg, body mass index <25 Kg/m2, hemoglobin <13mg/dL, hematocrit < 40% and ejection fraction <50%, use of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), not using an internal thoracic artery as a bypass, and multiple bypasses as significant predictors. The strongest predictors using multivariate analysis were hematocrit < 40% (OR 2.58; CI 1.62-4.15; P<0.001), CPB use (OR 2.00; CI 1.27-3.17; P=0.003) and multiple bypasses (OR 2.31; CI 1.31-4.08; P=0.036). CONCLUSIONS: The identification of these risk factors leads to better identification of patients with a greater probability of using blood, allocation blood bank resources and cost-effectiveness use of blood products.
Asunto(s)
Pérdida de Sangre Quirúrgica/prevención & control , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/efectos adversos , Transfusión de Eritrocitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Puente Cardiopulmonar/estadística & datos numéricos , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/métodos , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Femenino , Hematócrito , Humanos , Cuidados Intraoperatorios , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cuidados Preoperatorios , Valores de ReferenciaRESUMEN
OBJETIVOS: O objetivo desse estudo foi avaliar a aplicabilidade do EuroSCORE em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica na Divisão de Cirurgia Cardiovascular do Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. MÉTODOS: Estudo retrospectivo envolvendo 500 pacientes operados entre maio de 2007 a abril de 2010. Os registros continham todas as informações utilizadas para calcular o EuroSCORE. O desfecho de interesse foi óbito. Análises univariada e multivariada por regressão logística backward foram aplicadas para verificar associação entre cada variável do EuroSCORE e ocorrência de óbito. Foram calculadas medidas de sensibilidade, especificidade, valor preditivo positivo e valor preditivo negativo. O poder de concordância do EuroSCORE entre mortalidade prevista e observada foi mensurado por meio do índice Kappa. A acurácia do modelo foi avaliada por meio da curva ROC (receiver operating characteristic). RESULTADOS: A ocorrência de morte foi de 13 por cento (n=65). Na análise multivariada, nove fatores permaneceram como preditores independentes de morte: doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica, creatinina >2,3mg/dL, endocardite ativa, estado crítico no pré-operatório, angina instável, fração de ejeção de 30 por cento-50 por cento, infarto agudo do miocárdio <90 dias, cirurgia de emergência e cirurgia adicional. O escore obteve sensibilidade de 88,4 por cento, especificidade de 79,3 por cento, valor preditivo positivo de 40,7 por cento, valor preditivo negativo de 97,7 por cento e 80,6 por cento de concordância. A acurácia mensurada pela área sob a curva ROC foi de 0,892 (IC 95 por cento 0,862-0,922). CONCLUSÕES: O EuroSCORE mostrou-se um índice simples e objetivo, revelando-se um discriminador satisfatório de evolução pós-operatória em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica em nossa instituição.
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to evaluate the applicability of EuroSCORE in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery at the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pernambuco Cardiologic Emergency Medical Services - PROCAPE. METHODS: A retrospective study involving 500 patients operated between May 2007 and April 2010. The registers contained all the information used to calculate the EuroSCORE. The outcome of interest was death. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis by backward logistic regression were applied to assess the association between each variable in the EuroSCORE and deaths. The following parameters were calculated: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. The power of concordance between the predicted mortality by the EuroSCORE and the observed mortality was measured using the Kappa coefficient. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve. RESULTS: The incidence of death was 13 percent. In multivariate analysis, nine variables remained independent predictors of death: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, creatinine >2,3mg/dL, active endocarditis, preoperative critical state, unstable angina, ejection fraction 30 percent to 50 percent, acute myocardial infarction < 90 days, emergency surgery and additional surgery. The score had a sensitivity of 88.4 percent, specificity of 79.3 percent, positive predictive value of 40.7 percent, negative predictive value of 97.7 percent and 80.6 percent concordance. The accuracy measured by the area under the ROC curve was 0.892 (95 percent CI 0.862-0.922). CONCLUSIONS: The EuroSCORE proved to be a simple and objective index, revealing a satisfactory discriminator of postoperative evolution in patients undergoing CABG surgery at our institution.
Asunto(s)
Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/mortalidad , Brasil , Servicio de Cardiología en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Urgencias Médicas , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Periodo Posoperatorio , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Medición de Riesgo/normasRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to evaluate the applicability of EuroSCORE in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery at the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pernambuco Cardiologic Emergency Medical Services--PROCAPE. METHODS: A retrospective study involving 500 patients operated between May 2007 and April 2010. The registers contained all the information used to calculate the EuroSCORE. The outcome of interest was death. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis by backward logistic regression were applied to assess the association between each variable in the EuroSCORE and deaths. The following parameters were calculated: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. The power of concordance between the predicted mortality by the EuroSCORE and the observed mortality was measured using the Kappa coefficient. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve. RESULTS: The incidence of death was 13%. In multivariate analysis, nine variables remained independent predictors of death: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, creatinine >2,3mg/dL, active endocarditis, preoperative critical state, unstable angina, ejection fraction 30% to 50%, acute myocardial infarction < 90 days, emergency surgery and additional surgery. The score had a sensitivity of 88.4%, specificity of 79.3%, positive predictive value of 40.7%, negative predictive value of 97.7% and 80.6% concordance. The accuracy measured by the area under the ROC curve was 0.892 (95% CI 0.862-0.922). CONCLUSIONS: The EuroSCORE proved to be a simple and objective index, revealing a satisfactory discriminator of postoperative evolution in patients undergoing CABG surgery at our institution.