RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The ability to predict risk for poor outcomes in Crohn's disease [CD] would enable early treatment intensification. We aimed to identify children with CD with complications at baseline and throughout the study period who are at risk for surgery 2 years from diagnosis. METHODS: Newly diagnosed children with CD were enrolled into a prospective, multicentre inception cohort. Disease characteristics and serological markers were obtained at baseline and week 12 thereafter. Outcome data including disease activity, therapies, complications and need for surgery were collected until the end of 104 weeks. A chi-square automatic interaction detection [CHAID] algorithm was used to develop a prediction model for early surgery. RESULTS: Of 285 children enrolled, 31 [10.9%] required surgery within 2 years. Multivariate analysis identified stricturing disease at baseline (odds ratio [OR] 5.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.02-13.67 [p = 0.001]), and Paediatric Crohn's Disease Activity Index [PCDAI] >10 at week 12 (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10 [p = 0.005]) as key predictors for early surgery. CHAID demonstrated that absence of strictures at diagnosis [7.6%], corticosteroid-free remission at week 12 [4.1%] and early immunomodulator therapy [0.8%] were associated with the lowest risk of surgery, while stricturing disease at diagnosis [27.1%, p < 0.001] or elevated PCDAI at week 12 [16.7%, p = 0.014] had an increased risk of surgery at follow-up. Anti-OmpC status further stratified high-risk patients. DISCUSSION: A risk algorithm using clinical and serological variables at diagnosis and week 12 can categorize patients into high- and low-risk groups from diagnosis.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Crohn/complicaciones , Enfermedad de Crohn/cirugía , Adolescente , Algoritmos , Niño , Estudios de Cohortes , Enfermedad de Crohn/diagnóstico , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Selección de Paciente , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Exclusive enteral nutrition [EEN] and corticosteroids [CS] induce similar rates of remission in mild to moderate paediatric Crohn's disease [CD], but differ with regard to mucosal healing. Our goal was to evaluate if EEN at diagnosis was superior to CS for improving long-term outcomes. METHODS: We prospectively followed newly diagnosed children aged < 17 years, with mild to moderate CD at baseline, for 2 years in the GROWTH CD study. Patients were evaluated at baseline and at 8, 12, 78, and 104 weeks. Remission, relapses, complications [fibrostenotic disease, penetrating disease, and active perianal disease] and growth were recorded throughout the study. A propensity score analysis was performed. RESULTS: A total of 147 children [mean age 12.9 ± 3.2 years], treated by EEN [n = 60] or CS [n = 87] were included. New complications developed in 13.7% of CS [12/87] versus 11.6% of EEN [7/60], p = 0.29. Remission was achieved in 41/87 [47%] in CS and 38/60 [63%] EEN, p = 0.036. Median time to relapse did not differ [14.4 ± 1 months with CS, 16.05 ± 1.1 EEN, p = 0.28]. Mean height Z scores decreased from Week 0 to Week 78 with CS [-0.34 ± 1.1 to -0.51 ± 1.2, p = 0.01], but not with EEN [-0.32 ± 1.1 to -0.22 ± 0.9, p = 0.56]. In a propensity score analysis, EEN was superior to CS for inducing remission [p = 0.05] and trended to superiority for height Z score [p = 0.055]. CONCLUSIONS: Use of EEN was associated with higher remission rates and a trend toward better growth but with similar relapse and complication rates in new-onset mild to moderate paediatric CD.