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1.
Int J Geogr Inf Sci ; 31(7): 1381-1402, 2017 Jul 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28553155

RESUMEN

Recent availability of geo-localized data capturing individual human activity together with the statistical data on international migration opened up unprecedented opportunities for a study on global mobility. In this paper, we consider it from the perspective of a multi-layer complex network, built using a combination of three datasets: Twitter, Flickr and official migration data. Those datasets provide different, but equally important insights on the global mobility - while the first two highlight short-term visits of people from one country to another, the last one - migration - shows the long-term mobility perspective, when people relocate for good. The main purpose of the paper is to emphasize importance of this multi-layer approach capturing both aspects of human mobility at the same time. On the one hand, we show that although the general properties of different layers of the global mobility network are similar, there are important quantitative differences among them. On the other hand, we demonstrate that consideration of mobility from a multi-layer perspective can reveal important global spatial patterns in a way more consistent with those observed in other available relevant sources of international connections, in comparison to the spatial structure inferred from each network layer taken separately.

2.
PLoS One ; 12(1): e0170907, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28135289

RESUMEN

We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the prediction of human mobility that leverages large datasets of sequences to improve prediction accuracy, in particular for users with a short and non-repetitive data history such as tourists in a foreign country. The algorithm compensates for the difficulty of predicting the next location when there is limited evidence of past behavior by leveraging the availability of sequences of other users in the same system that provide redundant records of typical behavioral patterns. We test the method on a dataset of 10 million roaming mobile phone users in a European country. The average prediction accuracy is significantly higher than that of individual sequence prediction algorithms, primarily constant order Markov models derived from the user's own data, that have been shown to achieve high accuracy in previous studies of human mobility. The proposed algorithm is generally applicable to improve any sequential prediction when there is a sufficiently rich and diverse dataset of sequences.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Migración Humana , Teléfono Celular , Bases de Datos como Asunto , Humanos
3.
PLoS One ; 11(2): e0146291, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26849218

RESUMEN

Scientific studies of society increasingly rely on digital traces produced by various aspects of human activity. In this paper, we exploit a relatively unexplored source of data-anonymized records of bank card transactions collected in Spain by a big European bank, and propose a new classification scheme of cities based on the economic behavior of their residents. First, we study how individual spending behavior is qualitatively and quantitatively affected by various factors such as customer's age, gender, and size of his/her home city. We show that, similar to other socioeconomic urban quantities, individual spending activity exhibits a statistically significant superlinear scaling with city size. With respect to the general trends, we quantify the distinctive signature of each city in terms of residents' spending behavior, independently from the effects of scale and demographic heterogeneity. Based on the comparison of city signatures, we build a novel classification of cities across Spain in three categories. That classification exhibits a substantial stability over different city definitions and connects with a meaningful socioeconomic interpretation. Furthermore, it corresponds with the ability of cities to attract foreign visitors, which is a particularly remarkable finding given that the classification was based exclusively on the behavioral patterns of city residents. This highlights the far-reaching applicability of the presented classification approach and its ability to discover patterns that go beyond the quantities directly involved in it.


Asunto(s)
Conducta , Ciudades , Economía , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores Socioeconómicos , España , Población Urbana , Adulto Joven
4.
PLoS One ; 10(3): e0121848, 2015.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25811780

RESUMEN

Crime is an ubiquitous part of society. The way people express their concerns about crimes has been of particular interest to the scientific community. Over time, the numbers and kinds of available communication channels have increased. Today, social media services, such Twitter, present a convenient way to express opinions and concerns about crimes. The main objective of this study is to explore people's perception of homicides, specifically, how the characteristics and proximity of the event affect the public's concern about it. The analysis explores Twitter messages that refer to homicides that occurred in London in 2012. In particular, the dependence of tweeting propensity on the proximity, in space and time, of a crime incident and of people being concerned about that particular incident are examined. Furthermore, the crime characteristics of the homicides are analysed using logistic regression analysis. The results show that the proximity of the Twitter users' estimated home locations to the homicides' locations impacts on whether the associated crime news is spread or not and how quickly. More than half of the homicide related tweets are sent within the first week and the majority of them are sent within a month of the incident's occurrence. Certain crime characteristics, including the presence of a knife, a young victim, a British victim, or a homicide committed by a gang are predictors of the crime-tweets posting frequency.


Asunto(s)
Homicidio , Opinión Pública , Medios de Comunicación Sociales , Crimen , Humanos , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Londres , Modelos Teóricos , Análisis Espacial , Factores de Tiempo
5.
Appl Geogr ; 52: 57-66, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25843991

RESUMEN

Public media such as TV or newspapers, paired with crime statistics from the authority, raise awareness of crimes within society. However, in today's digital society, other sources rapidly gain importance as well. The Internet and social networks act heavily as information distribution platforms. Therefore, this paper aims at exploring the influence of the social Web service Twitter as an information distribution platform for crime news. In order to detect messages with crime-related contents, the Links Correspondence Method (LCM) is introduced, which gathers and investigates Twitter messages related to crime articles via associated Web links. Detected crime tweets are analysed in regard to the distance between the location of an incident and the location of associated tweets, as well as regards demographic aspects of the corresponding crime news. The results show that there exists a spatial dependency regarding the activity space of a user (and the crime-related tweets of this user) and the actual location of the crime incident. Furthermore, the demographic analysis indicates that the type of a crime as well as the gender of the victim has great influence on whether the crime incident is spread via Twitter or not.

6.
Cartogr Geogr Inf Sci ; 41(3): 260-271, 2014 May 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27019645

RESUMEN

Pervasive presence of location-sharing services made it possible for researchers to gain an unprecedented access to the direct records of human activity in space and time. This article analyses geo-located Twitter messages in order to uncover global patterns of human mobility. Based on a dataset of almost a billion tweets recorded in 2012, we estimate the volume of international travelers by country of residence. Mobility profiles of different nations were examined based on such characteristics as mobility rate, radius of gyration, diversity of destinations, and inflow-outflow balance. Temporal patterns disclose the universally valid seasons of increased international mobility and the particular character of international travels of different nations. Our analysis of the community structure of the Twitter mobility network reveals spatially cohesive regions that follow the regional division of the world. We validate our result using global tourism statistics and mobility models provided by other authors and argue that Twitter is exceptionally useful for understanding and quantifying global mobility patterns.

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