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1.
Int J Biometeorol ; 2024 Aug 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39103651

RESUMEN

Temperature-related mortality is the leading cause of weather-related deaths in the United States. Herein, we explore the effect of air masses (AMs) - a relatively novel and holistic measure of environmental conditions - on human mortality across 61 cities in the United States. Geographic and seasonal differences in the effects of each AM on deseasonalized and detrended anomalous lagged mortality are examined using simple descriptive statistics, one-way analyses of variance, relative risks of excess mortality, and regression-based artificial neural network (ANN) models. Results show that AMs are significantly related to anomalous mortality in most US cities, and in most seasons. Of note, two of the three cool AMs (Cool and Dry-Cool) each show a strong, but delayed mortality response in all seasons, with peak mortality 2 to 4 days after they occur, with the Dry-Cool AM having nearly a 15% increased risk of excess mortality. Humid-Warm (HW) air masses are associated with increases in deaths in all seasons 0 to 1 days after they occur. In most seasons, these near-term mortality increases are offset by reduced mortality for 1-2 weeks afterwards; however, in summer, no such reduction is noted. The Warm and Dry-Warm AMs show slightly longer periods of increased mortality, albeit slightly less intensely as compared with HW, but with a similar lag structure by season. Meanwhile, the most seasonally consistent results are with transitional weather, whereby passing cold fronts are associated with a significant decrease in mortality 1 day after they occur, while warm fronts are associated with significant increases in mortality at that same lag time. Finally, ANN modeling reveals that AM-mortality relationships gleaned from a combined meta-analysis can actually lead to more skillful modeling of these relationships than models trained on some individual cities, especially in the cities where such relationships might be masked due to low average daily mortality.

2.
Int J Biometeorol ; 68(8): 1603-1614, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684525

RESUMEN

There is an urgent need for strategies to reduce the negative impacts of a warming climate on human health. Cooling urban neighborhoods by planting trees and vegetation and increasing albedo of roofs, pavements, and walls can mitigate urban heat. We used synoptic climatology to examine how different tree cover and albedo scenarios would affect heat-related morbidity in Los Angeles, CA, USA, as measured by emergency room (ER) visits. We classified daily meteorological data for historical summer heat events into discrete air mass types. We analyzed those classifications against historical ER visit data to determine both heat-related and excess morbidity. We used the Weather Research and Forecasting model to examine the impacts of varied tree cover and albedo scenarios on meteorological outcomes and used these results with standardized morbidity data algorithms to estimate potential reductions in ER visits. We tested three urban modification scenarios of low, medium, and high increases of tree cover and albedo and compared these against baseline conditions. We found that avoiding 25% to 50% of ER visits during heat events would be a common outcome if the urban environment had more tree cover and higher albedo, with the greatest benefits occurring under heat events that are moderate and those that are particularly hot and dry. We conducted these analyses at the county level and compared results to a heat-vulnerable, working-class Los Angeles community with a high concentration of people of color, and found that reductions in the rate of ER visits would be even greater at the community level compared to the county.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Calor , Árboles , Los Angeles , Humanos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Teóricos
3.
Int J Biometeorol ; 68(1): 109-123, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37987810

RESUMEN

As studies begin to have more success uncovering the relationships between atmospheric conditions and pain, weather-based pain forecasting becomes more of a reality. In this study, a survey was used to determine if people living with migraines and/or other pain-related conditions are receptive to weather-based pain forecasts. Moreover, we wished to identify whether these forecasts actually impact the decision-making of those who use them. Survey respondents were generally eager to use these novel forecasts. Furthermore, when provided with different scenarios involving weather-based pain forecasts, the respondents' actions were altered. When a hypothetical forecast indicated that the weather was conducive to migraines or other types of pain, many indicated that they would likely take preventative measures (e.g., medication). Additionally, respondents were less likely to continue with a planned activity, regardless of length, as forecast severity increased. The results from this survey highlight the importance of developing and improving weather-based pain forecasting.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones , Trastornos Migrañosos , Humanos , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Clima , Predicción
4.
Sci Total Environ ; 912: 169011, 2024 Feb 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38040382

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although ambient heat exposure is linked with diabetes mortality, the impacts of heat exposure on diabetes-related hospitalizations remain controversial. Previous research did not examine the timing of heat-diabetes associations and relation with comorbidities/risk factors. OBJECTIVE: We examined the association between heat exposure and diabetes-related hospitalizations in the transitional and summer months and identified populations vulnerable to heat. METHODS: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study. Data on diabetes hospital admissions (primary diagnosis of type 1 and type 2 diabetes, 2013-2020) were collected by the New York State (NYS) Department of Health under the state legislative mandate. We treated temperature and air pollutants as continuous variables and defined the heat exposure as per interquartile range (IQR, a measure between the 25th and 75th percentiles) increase of daily mean temperature. Conditional logistic regressions were performed to quantify the heat-diabetes associations after controlling for air pollutants and time variant variables. Multiplicative-scale interactions between heat and demographics/comorbidities/risk factors on diabetes hospitalizations were investigated. RESULTS: Each IQR increase in temperature was associated with significantly increased risks for diabetes admissions that occurred immediately and lasted for an entire week during multi-day lags in the transitional month of May (ranges of excess risk: 3.1 %-4.8 %) but not in the summer (June-August) (ranges of excess risk: -0.3 %-1.3 %). The significant increases in the excess risk of diabetes were also found among diabetes patients with complications of neuronopathy (excess risk: 27.7 %) and hypoglycemia (excess risk: 19.1 %). Furthermore, the modification effects on the heat-diabetes association were significantly stronger in females, Medicaid enrollees, non-compliant patients, and individuals with comorbidities of atherosclerotic heart disease and old myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: Ambient heat exposure significantly increased the burden of hospital admissions for diabetes in transitional rather than summer months indicating the importance of exposure timing. Vulnerability to heat varied by demographics and heart comorbidity.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Femenino , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Estudios Cruzados , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Hospitalización , Calor , Material Particulado/análisis , Masculino
5.
Environ Res ; 239(Pt 2): 117359, 2023 Dec 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37863163

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Climate change is projected to result in increased heat events and decreased cold events. This will substantially impact human health, particularly when compounded with demographic change. This study employed the Spatial Synoptic Classification (SSC) to categorize daily weather into one of seven types. Here we estimated future mortality due to extremely hot and cold weather types under different climate change scenarios for one southern (Stockholm) and one northern (Jämtland) Swedish region. METHODS: Time-series Poisson regression with distributed lags was used to assess the relationship between extremely hot and cold weather events and daily deaths in the population above 65 years, with cumulative effects (6 days in summer, 28 days in winter), 1991 to 2014. A global climate model (MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR) and two climate change scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) were used to project the occurrence of hot and cold days from 2031 to 2070. Place-specific projected mortality was calculated to derive attributable numbers and attributable fractions (AF) of heat- and cold-related deaths. RESULTS: In Stockholm, for the RCP 4.5 scenario, the mean number of annual deaths attributed to heat increased from 48.7 (CI 32.2-64.2; AF = 0.68%) in 2031-2040 to 90.2 (56.7-120.5; AF = 0.97%) in 2061-2070, respectively. For RCP 8.5, heat-related deaths increased more drastically from 52.1 (33.6-69.7; AF = 0.72%) to 126.4 (68.7-175.8; AF = 1.36%) between the first and the last decade. Cold-related deaths slightly increased over the projected period in both scenarios. In Jämtland, projections showed a small decrease in cold-related deaths but no change in heat-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In rural northern region of Sweden, a decrease of cold-related deaths represents the dominant trend. In urban southern locations, on the other hand, an increase of heat-related mortality is to be expected. With an increasing elderly population, heat-related mortality will outweigh cold-related mortality at least under the RCP 8.5 scenario, requiring societal adaptation measures.


Asunto(s)
Calor Extremo , Anciano , Humanos , Calor Extremo/efectos adversos , Suecia/epidemiología , Frío , Calor , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Cambio Climático , Mortalidad
6.
Int J Biometeorol ; 67(6): 1153, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37043069
7.
Sports Health ; 15(3): 342-348, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35466817

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The posterior scapular muscles eccentrically contract to disperse the high forces observed in the deceleration phase of pitching. Muscular adaptations often occur following chronic eccentric loading, however, no study has evaluated the adaptations of the posterior scapular muscles with regard to throwing and their relationship with humeral retroversion (HR) in professional pitchers. HYPOTHESIS: Significant chronic adaptations in muscle thickness (MT) and strength of the trapezius and rhomboids would be observed in healthy professional baseball pitchers, and there would be a significant relationship between humeral adaptations (ie, HR) and posterior scapular muscle adaptations (ie, strength and MT). STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional; Level 3. METHODS: A total of 28 healthy male professional baseball pitchers (age, 22 ± 2 years; mass, 95 ± 17 kg; height, 190 ± 7 cm) were included in the study. Bilateral isometric muscle strength of the upper trapezius (UT), middle trapezius, lower trapezius (LT), and rhomboids was measured during a maximum voluntary isometric contraction. Diagnostic ultrasound images of the UT, middle trapezius, LT, rhomboid major, and rhomboid minor muscles were collected bilaterally to measure MT. HR was also quantified bilaterally with ultrasound. Paired sample t tests were used to compare dominant and nondominant strength and MT. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to assess the relationship between HR, isometric strength, and MT. RESULTS: A significantly increased MT of the LT was found on the dominant arm compared with the nondominant arm (5.4 ± 1.1 mm vs 4.4 ± 1.5 mm; P = 0.00). The Pearson correlation coefficient demonstrated a significant weak negative relationship between HR and rhomboid major MT (P = 0.03; R = -0.36), and a significant weak negative correlation between HR and middle trapezius isometric strength (P = 0.03; R = -0.37). CONCLUSION: LT thickness was greater in the throwing arm compared with the nonthrowing arm of pitchers, suggesting a positive adaptation of the LT. Interestingly, there was a weak negative relationship between HR and both rhomboid major MT and middle trapezius isometric strength. This negative relationship suggests that since increased HR leads to decreased internal rotation range of motion during deceleration, the scapula may be forced into anterior tilt and protraction, which can place excessive eccentric load on the rhomboid major and middle trapezius.


Asunto(s)
Béisbol , Articulación del Hombro , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Béisbol/fisiología , Estudios Transversales , Escápula/fisiología , Músculo Esquelético/fisiología , Rango del Movimiento Articular/fisiología , Articulación del Hombro/fisiología
8.
Environ Res ; 215(Pt 1): 114217, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36041539

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Maternal exposure to weather-related extreme heat events (EHEs) has been associated with congenital heart defects (CHDs) in offspring. Certain medications may affect an individual's physiologic responses to EHEs. We evaluated whether thermoregulation-related medications modified associations between maternal EHE exposure and CHDs. METHODS: We linked geocoded residence data from the U.S. National Birth Defects Prevention Study, a population-based case-control study, to summertime EHE exposures. An EHE was defined using the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperature (EHE90) for each of six climate regions during postconceptional weeks 3-8. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between EHE90 and the risk of CHDs were estimated by strata of maternal thermoregulation-related medication use and climate region. Interaction effects were evaluated on multiplicative and additive scales. RESULTS: Over 45% of participants reported thermoregulation-related medication use during the critical period of cardiogenesis. Overall, these medications did not significantly modify the association between EHEs and CHDs. Still, medications that alter central thermoregulation increased aORs (95% CI) of EHE90 from 0.73 (0.41, 1.30) among non-users to 5.09 (1.20, 21.67) among users in the Southwest region, U.S. This effect modification was statistically significant on the multiplicative (P = 0.03) and additive scales, with an interaction contrast ratio (95% CI) of 1.64 (0.26, 3.02). CONCLUSION: No significant interaction was found for the maternal use of thermoregulation-related medications with EHEs on CHDs in general, while medications altering central thermoregulation significantly modified the association between EHEs and CHDs in Southwest U.S. This finding deserves further research.


Asunto(s)
Cardiopatías Congénitas , Calor , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Cardiopatías Congénitas/epidemiología , Humanos , Exposición Materna , Factores de Riesgo
9.
Am J Sports Med ; 50(2): 341-346, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35019758

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The relationship between posterior capsule adaptations and soft tissue glenohumeral internal rotation deficit (GIRD) in healthy pitchers remains unclear. PURPOSE/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to identify if posterior capsule thickness (PCT) was associated with soft tissue GIRD in healthy pitchers. We hypothesized that there would be a positive relationship between soft tissue GIRD and PCT in the dominant arm, no relationship between soft tissue GIRD and PCT in the nondominant arm, and a strong positive relationship between soft tissue GIRD and the bilateral difference in PCT (posterior capsule hypertrophy [PCH]). STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study; Level of evidence, 3. METHODS: A total of 45 healthy collegiate and professional pitchers were included. Glenohumeral internal rotation and external rotation range of motion, humeral retroversion, and PCT were measured bilaterally. PCT was determined for unilateral posterior capsule measurements, and PCH of the throwing shoulder was calculated as the bilateral difference in PCT. Soft tissue GIRD was calculated as the sum of clinical GIRD and the bilateral difference in humeral retroversion. Pearson correlation coefficients were determined to evaluate the relationships between dominant arm PCT, nondominant arm PCT, and PCH and soft tissue GIRD. RESULTS: Pearson correlations showed that both dominant arm PCT (R = -0.13; P = .378) and nondominant arm PCT (R = 0.21; P = .165) were not related to soft tissue GIRD. However, Pearson correlations did show that the amount of PCH was moderately related to soft tissue GIRD (R = 0.40; P = .007). Therefore, as the posterior capsule hypertrophied, soft tissue GIRD moderately increased. CONCLUSION: Increased PCH was associated with an increase in soft tissue GIRD in healthy pitchers. If PCT measurements are feasible, clinicians should consider performing bilateral ultrasound assessments to isolate posterior capsule adaptations (ie, PCH). This will allow clinicians to identify pitchers with potentially maladaptive structural adaptations and optimize management strategies throughout the season to counteract them.


Asunto(s)
Béisbol , Articulación del Hombro , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Hipertrofia , Rango del Movimiento Articular , Articulación del Hombro/diagnóstico por imagen
10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36777309

RESUMEN

Background: Although power outage (PO) is one of the most important consequences of increasing weather extremes and the health impact of POs has been reported previously, studies on the neighborhood environment underlying the population vulnerability in such situations are limited. This study aimed to identify dominant neighborhood environmental predictors which modified the impact of POs on multiple health outcomes in New York State. Methods: We applied a two-stage approach. In the first stage, we used time series analysis to determine the impact of POs (versus non-PO periods) on multiple health outcomes in each power operating division in New York State, 2001-2013. In the second stage, we classified divisions as risk-elevated and non-elevated, then developed predictive models for the elevation status based on 36 neighborhood environmental factors using random forest and gradient boosted trees. Results: Consistent across different outcomes, we found predictors representing greater urbanization, particularly, the proportion of residents having access to public transportation (importance ranging from 4.9-15.6%), population density (3.3-16.1%), per capita income (2.3-10.7%), and the density of public infrastructure (0.8-8.5%), were associated with a higher possibility of risk elevation following power outages. Additionally, the percent of minority (-6.3-27.9%) and those with limited English (2.2-8.1%), the percent of sandy soil (6.5-11.8%), and average soil temperature (3.0-15.7%) were also dominant predictors for multiple outcomes. Spatial hotspots of vulnerability generally were located surrounding New York City and in the northwest, the pattern of which was consistent with socioeconomic status. Conclusion: Population vulnerability during power outages was dominated by neighborhood environmental factors representing greater urbanization.

11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36777310

RESUMEN

Background and objectives: Diabetes is an increasing public health concern worldwide. The impact of extreme heat exposure on diabetes healthcare utilization such as diabetes-related hospital admissions and emergency department (ED) visits was understudied although extreme temperature exposure was linked with diabetes mortality. In addition, very few systematic reviews have been conducted in this field. This review aims to systematically evaluate the currently available evidence on the association between extreme ambient heat exposure and hospital admissions/ED visits for diabetes and the vulnerable population to heat extremes. Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted by using the keywords/terms "ambient temperature or heatwave or heat wave or extreme temperature or high temperature effect " and "diabetes morbidity or diabetes hospital admissions or diabetes emergency room visits " for available publications until August 2022. The heat exposure was categorized into four groups using difference definitions. The outcomes were diabetes-related hospital admissions/ED visits. A meta-analysis was performed to estimate the pooled effects of relative risk (RR)/odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each of the associations of interest. Results: Eighteen articles were selected from forty full-text, English written papers based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The overall pooled effect of excessive heat on diabetes, across all groups, was 1.045 (95% CI 1.024-1.066). The pooled effects for each exposure group were significant/borderline significant. Additionally, the pooled effect of the RR/OR was 1.100 (95% CI: 1.067-1.135) among adults aged 65 years or older. The most controlled confounders were air pollutants. The commonly listed limitation in those studies was misclassification of exposure. Conclusions: The body of evidence supports that ambient extreme heat exposure is associated with diabetes-related hospital admissions/ED visits. Additionally, adults 65 years of age or older with diabetes are vulnerable to heat extremes. Future studies should consider controlling for various biases and confounders.

12.
Environ Res ; 204(Pt C): 112304, 2022 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34743894

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures is associated with morbidity and mortality across the globe. Most of these studies assessing the effects of non-optimum temperatures on health and have been conducted in the developed world, whereas in India, the limited evidence on ambient temperature and health risks and has focused mostly on the effects of heat waves. Here we quantify short term association between all temperatures and mortality in urban Pune, India. METHODS: We applied a time series regression model to derive temperature-mortality associations based on daily mean temperature and all-cause mortality records of Pune city from year January 2004 to December 2012. We estimated high and low temperature-mortality relationships by using standard time series quasi-Poisson regression in conjunction with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). We calculated temperature attributable mortality fractions for total heat and total cold. FINDINGS: The analysis provides estimates of the total mortality burden attributable to ambient temperature. Overall, 6∙5% [95%CI 1.76-11∙43] of deaths registered in the observational period were attributed to non-optimal temperatures, cold effect was greater 5.72% [95%CI 0∙70-10∙06] than heat 0∙84% [0∙35-1∙34]. The gender stratified analysis revealed that the highest burden among men both for heat and cold. CONCLUSION: Non-optimal temperatures are associated with a substantial mortality burden. Our findings could benefit national, and local communities in developing preparedness and prevention strategies to reduce weather-related impacts immediately due to climate change.


Asunto(s)
Frío , Calor , Femenino , Humanos , India/epidemiología , Masculino , Mortalidad , Temperatura , Factores de Tiempo
13.
Sci Total Environ ; 808: 152150, 2022 Feb 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34864029

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Research suggests gestational exposure to particulate matter ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5) and extreme heat may independently increase risk of birth defects. We investigated whether duration of gestational extreme heat exposure modifies associations between PM2.5 exposure and specific congenital heart defects (CHDs). We also explored nonlinear exposure-outcome relationships. METHODS: We identified CHD case children (n = 2824) and non-malformed live-birth control children (n = 4033) from pregnancies ending between 1999 and 2007 in the National Birth Defects Prevention Study, a U.S. population-based multicenter case-control study. We assigned mothers 6-week averages of PM2.5 exposure during the cardiac critical period (postconceptional weeks 3-8) using the closest monitor within 50 km of maternal residence. We assigned a count of extreme heat days (EHDs, days above the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperature for year, season, and weather station) during this period using the closest weather station. Using generalized additive models, we explored logit-nonlinear exposure-outcome relationships, concluding logistic models were reasonable. We estimated joint effects of PM2.5 and EHDs on six CHDs using logistic regression models adjusted for mean dewpoint and maternal age, education, and race/ethnicity. We assessed multiplicative and additive effect modification. RESULTS: Conditional on the highest observed EHD count (15) and at least one critical period day during spring/summer, each 5 µg/m3 increase in average PM2.5 exposure was significantly associated with perimembranous ventricular septal defects (VSDpm; OR: 1.54 [95% CI: 1.01, 2.41]). High EHD counts (8+) in the same population were positively, but non-significantly, associated with both overall septal defects and VSDpm. Null or inverse associations were observed for lower EHD counts. Multiplicative and additive effect modification estimates were consistently positive in all septal models. CONCLUSIONS: Results provide limited evidence that duration of extreme heat exposure modifies the PM2.5-septal defects relationship. Future research with enhanced exposure assessment and modeling techniques could clarify these relationships.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Calor Extremo , Cardiopatías Congénitas , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Calor Extremo/efectos adversos , Femenino , Cardiopatías Congénitas/epidemiología , Humanos , Exposición Materna/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Embarazo
14.
Int J Biometeorol ; 66(3): 559-572, 2022 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34791526

RESUMEN

Bodily pain plagues populations across the globe. Past studies have discovered some links between synoptic weather types and different kinds of pain. These relationships are essential as they can aide in treatment and potentially prevention of pain. In this study, the role of geographical characteristics on the relationships between synoptic weather type and pain were looked at. North Carolina was separated into three geographic sections: Appalachian Mountains, Piedmont Plateau, and Coastal Plain. Over a 7-year period, synoptic weather types and emergency department (ED) visits for various kinds of pain (migraine, fibromyalgia, rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, and general back pain) were collected. Bootstrapped confidence intervals of the mean number of population-adjusted ED visit rates (per 100,000 persons), for the different synoptic weather types, were compared across the different geographic regions. In the plateau region, Moist Tropical and Moist Moderate weather types were often linked to the highest rates of ED visits, while Polar weather types were frequently associated with the fewest visits. The mountainous portion of the state displayed similar patterns between synoptic weather types and the different forms of pain, with migraine and fibromyalgia being the exceptions. Few statistically significant relationships were noted for the coastal region.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Geografía , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiología , Dolor
15.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 15(10): e0009761, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34606516

RESUMEN

Transmission of dengue virus is a complex process with interactions between virus, mosquitoes and humans, influenced by multiple factors simultaneously. Studies have examined the impact of climate or socio-ecological factors on dengue, or only analyzed the individual effects of each single factor on dengue transmission. However, little research has addressed the interactive effects by multiple factors on dengue incidence. This study uses the geographical detector method to investigate the interactive effect of climate and socio-ecological factors on dengue incidence from two perspectives: over a long-time series and during outbreak periods; and surmised on the possibility of dengue outbreaks in the future. Results suggest that the temperature plays a dominant role in the long-time series of dengue transmission, while socio-ecological factors have great explanatory power for dengue outbreaks. The interactive effect of any two factors is greater than the impact of single factor on dengue transmission, and the interactions of pairs of climate and socio-ecological factors have more significant impact on dengue. Increasing temperature and surge in travel could cause dengue outbreaks in the future. Based on these results, three recommendations are offered regarding the prevention of dengue outbreaks: mitigating the urban heat island effect, adjusting the time and frequency of vector control intervention, and providing targeted health education to travelers at the border points. This study hopes to provide meaningful clues and a scientific basis for policymakers regarding effective interventions against dengue transmission, even during outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Dengue/epidemiología , Ecosistema , Animales , China/epidemiología , Ciudades , Clima , Dengue/transmisión , Dengue/virología , Virus del Dengue/genética , Virus del Dengue/fisiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Ambiente , Calor , Humanos , Mosquitos Vectores/fisiología , Mosquitos Vectores/virología , Estaciones del Año
16.
Sci Total Environ ; 797: 149199, 2021 Nov 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34346383

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is little work in assessing the impact of storm events combined with power outage (PO). In this study, we evaluated the individual and synergistic impacts of wind events and PO on overall and subtypes of injuries in New York State (NYS) and by demographics. METHODS: The emergency department (ED) visit data were obtained from the NYS Department of Health from November-April 2005-2013 to identify injury cases, length of stay and care costs. Wind event was defined according to high wind, strong wind or thunderstorm wind defined by NOAA. PO occurrence was defined when PO coverage exceeded the 50th percentile of its distribution. By comparing non-event days, we used distributed lag nonlinear models to evaluate the impacts of wind events, PO, and their combined effect on injuries during the cold season over a 0-3-day lag period, while controlling for time-varying confounders. The differences in critical care indicators between event and non-event days were also evaluated. RESULTS: Overall injuries ED visits (16,628,812) significantly increased during the wind events (highest Risk Ratio (RR): 1.05; 95% CI: 1.02-1.08), and were highest when wind events cooccurred with PO (highest RR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.10-1.18), but not during PO alone (RR: 1.00; 95%CI: 0.96-1.04). The increase was also observed with all subgroups through Day 2 after the event. Greater risks exist for older adults (≥65 years) and those on Medicaid. After the joint occurrences of wind events and PO, average visits are 0.2 days longer, and cost 13% more, compared to no wind/no PO days. CONCLUSION: There is a significant increase in ED visits, length of stay and cost of injuries during wind events, especially when they coupled with PO and especially among older cases and Medicaid holders. Our findings may be used for planning disaster preparedness and recovery efforts.


Asunto(s)
Planificación en Desastres , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , New York/epidemiología , Estaciones del Año , Estados Unidos , Viento
17.
Environ Res ; 196: 110924, 2021 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33689823

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: While most prior research has focused on extreme heat, few assessed the immediate health effects of winter storms and associated power outages (PO), although severe storms have become more frequent. This study evaluates the joint and independent health effects of winter storms and PO, snow versus ice-storm, effects by time window (peak timing, winter/transitional months) and the impacts on critical care indicators including numbers of comorbidity, procedure, length of stay and cost. METHODS: We use distributed lag nonlinear models to assess the impacts of winter storm/PO on hospitalizations due to cardiovascular, lower respiratory diseases (LRD), respiratory infections, food/water-borne diseases (FWBD) and injuries in New York State on 0-6 lag days following storm/PO compared with non-storm/non-PO periods (references), while controlling for time-varying factors and PM2.5. The storm-related hospitalizations are described by time window. We also calculate changes in critical care indicators between the storm/PO and control periods. RESULTS: We found the joint effects of storm/PO are the strongest (risk ratios (RR) range: 1.01-1.90), followed by that of storm alone (1.02-1.39), but not during PO alone. Ice storms have stronger impacts (RRs: 1.04-3.15) than snowstorms (RRs: 1.03-2.21). The storm/PO-health associations, which occur immediately, and some last a whole week, are stronger in FWBD, October/November, and peak between 3:00-8:00 p.m. Comorbidity and medical costs significantly increase after storm/PO. CONCLUSION: Winter storms increase multiple diseases, comorbidity and medical costs, especially when accompanied by PO or ice storms. Early warnings and prevention may be critical in the transitional months and afternoon rush hours.


Asunto(s)
Tormentas Ciclónicas , Nieve , Hospitalización , Humanos , New York , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Estaciones del Año
18.
Am J Sports Med ; 49(4): 892-898, 2021 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33591811

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Because of the large forces and high frequency of throwing, the upper extremity experiences repetitive stresses that lead to acute and chronic adaptations. While the importance of pennation angle and muscle thickness as predictors of muscle force production has been shown in other populations and other joints, there has been little research done that examines these variables in the shoulders of baseball players. PURPOSE: (1) To examine the chronic effect pitching has on the rotator cuff muscle architecture (pennation angle and muscle thickness) in healthy professional baseball pitchers, and (2) to examine the correlation between muscle architecture and clinical measures of strength and range of motion (ROM). STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study; Level of evidence, 3. METHODS: Twenty-eight healthy professional pitchers were recruited during the 2019 spring training. Internal rotation (IR) and external rotation (ER) strength were measured with a handheld dynamometer and IR and ER ROM were measured with an inclinometer. A diagnostic ultrasound machine was utilized to capture images of humeral retroversion, as well as the pennation angle and muscle thickness of the infraspinatus and teres minor muscles. ImageJ software was used to quantify the pennation angle and muscle thickness. RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the dominant and nondominant arms for ER or IR strength. Also, no pennation angle and muscle thickness differences were found between the dominant and nondominant arms. A weak positive relationship between infraspinatus muscle thickness (superficial and total) and ER strength (P = .016, R = 0.287 and P = .009, R = 0.316) and a moderate negative relationship between soft tissue glenohumeral internal rotation deficit (GIRD) and the bilateral difference of the teres minor deep pennation angle (R = -0.477, P = .008) were observed. No other significant relationships were noted. CONCLUSION: Our results are contrary to current literature as we expected to see a stronger dominant arm, with a larger pennation angle and greater muscle thickness. Interestingly, we found that ER strength was positively related to only the thickness of the infraspinatus muscle, and that soft tissue GIRD was positively related to only the side-to-side adaptation of the pennation angle within the deep portion of the teres minor. This suggests that when posterior shoulder tightness occurs, specifically the architecture of the teres minor muscle is involved. However, the organization to which these players belonged has a very extensive training protocol throughout the year that emphasizes bilateral training during a large majority of the exercises. Therefore, the results may not be generalizable to all professional players.


Asunto(s)
Béisbol , Articulación del Hombro , Adaptación Fisiológica , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Rango del Movimiento Articular , Rotación , Manguito de los Rotadores/diagnóstico por imagen
19.
Environ Res ; 193: 110535, 2021 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33271141

RESUMEN

Considering that several meteorological variables can contribute to weather vulnerability, the estimation of their synergetic effects on health is particularly useful. The spatial synoptic classification (SSC) has been used in biometeorological applications to estimate the effect of the entire suite of weather conditions on human morbidity and mortality. In this study, we assessed the relationships between extremely hot and dry (dry tropical plus, DT+) and hot and moist (moist tropical plus, MT+) weather types in summer and extremely cold and dry (dry polar plus, DP+) and cold and moist (moist polar, MP+) weather types in winter and cardiovascular and respiratory hospitalizations by age and sex. Time-series quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lags was used to assess the relationship between oppressive weather types and daily hospitalizations over 14 subsequent days in the extended summer (May to August) and 28 subsequent days during the extended winter (November to March) over 24 years in 4 Swedish locations from 1991 to 2014. In summer, exposure to hot weather types appeared to reduce cardiovascular hospitalizations while increased the risk of hospitalizations for respiratory diseases, mainly related to MT+. In winter, the effect of cold weather on both cause-specific hospitalizations was small; however, MP+ was related to a delayed increase in cardiovascular hospitalizations, whilst MP+ and DP + increased the risk of hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases. This study provides useful information for the staff of hospitals and elderly care centers who can help to implement protective measures for patients and residents. Also, our results could be helpful for vulnerable people who can adopt protective measures to reduce health risks.


Asunto(s)
Frío , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Anciano , Hospitalización , Calor , Humanos , Estaciones del Año , Suecia/epidemiología
20.
Int J Biometeorol ; 64(11): 1815-1823, 2020 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32770403

RESUMEN

Many people around the world are impacted by some form of bodily pain. Outside factors, such as weather, are thought to help trigger pain, especially in those who have pain-related conditions. When it comes to human health and comfort, understanding the potential external factors that aide in triggering pain is essential. Identifying such factors makes prevention and treatment of pain more feasible. This study focused on how those who suffer from various pain-related conditions (fibromyalgia, rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, and general back pain) are impacted by different synoptic weather types (i.e., air masses). Synoptic weather types and emergency department (ED) visits for pain in select central North Carolina counties were collected over a seven-year period to determine a potential relationship. Bootstrapped confidence intervals revealed that moist tropical weather types resulted in the highest number of ED visits for each of the conditions examined, while moist polar weather types often resulted in the fewest. The barometric pressure changes associated with transitional weather types, which are often associated with fronts, did not have any significant relationships with pain.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Presión Atmosférica , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiología , Dolor
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