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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 20412, 2024 Sep 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39223178

RESUMEN

A comprehensive approach is essential in India's ongoing battle against air pollution, combining technological advancements, regulatory reinforcement, and widespread societal engagement. Bridging technological gaps involves deploying sophisticated pollution control technologies and addressing the rural-urban disparity through innovative solutions. The review found that integrating Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI&ML) in air quality forecasting demonstrates promising results with a remarkable model efficiency. In this study, initially, we compute the PM2.5 concentration over India using a surface mass concentration of 5 key aerosols such as black carbon (BC), dust (DU), organic carbon (OC), sea salt (SS) and sulphates (SU), respectively. The study identifies several regions highly vulnerable to PM2.5 pollution due to specific sources. The Indo-Gangetic Plains are notably impacted by high concentrations of BC, OC, and SU resulting from anthropogenic activities. Western India experiences higher DU concentrations due to its proximity to the Sahara Desert. Additionally, certain areas in northeast India show significant contributions of OC from biogenic activities. Moreover, an AI&ML model based on convolutional autoencoder architecture underwent rigorous training, testing, and validation to forecast PM2.5 concentrations across India. The results reveal its exceptional precision in PM2.5 prediction, as demonstrated by model evaluation metrics, including a Structural Similarity Index exceeding 0.60, Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio ranging from 28-30 dB and Mean Square Error below 10 µg/m3. However, regulatory challenges persist, necessitating robust frameworks and consistent enforcement mechanisms, as evidenced by the complexities in predicting PM2.5 concentrations. Implementing tailored regional pollution control strategies, integrating AI&ML technologies, strengthening regulatory frameworks, promoting sustainable practices, and encouraging international collaboration are essential policy measures to mitigate air pollution in India.

2.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39136917

RESUMEN

This study focuses on understanding how aerosols are transported over long distances, especially during extreme events. Leveraging the integrated vapour transport (IVT) based atmospheric river (AR) algorithm to integrated aerosol transport (IAT) to detect the aerosol atmospheric rivers (AARs) for key aerosol species such as black carbon (BC), organic carbon (OC), dust (DU), sea salt (SS), and sulphate (SU). The present study also assesses the occurrence, intensity, and societal impacts of AARs globally during 2015-2022 on a spatiotemporal resolution of 1.5° × 1.5° and 6 h, respectively. The detection algorithm found a total number of 128,261 AARs found globally for key aerosol species. However, the availability of BC, OC, and SU AARs is most common and intense in densely populated areas like the Indus-Brahmaputra-Ganga (IBG) plains (~ 15-20 AAR days/year), Eastern China (~ 25-40 AAR days/year), and Japan (~ 20-30 AAR days/year), where human activities including agriculture burning contribute to their formation. DU AARs, on the other hand, are more prevalent in Northern Africa (~ 15 AAR days/year), the Gulf (~ 5-10 AAR days/year), the USA, and the Amazon rainforests. SS AARs share similar characteristics with atmospheric rivers and are more intense in higher latitudes and over the oceans (~ 30-40 AAR days/year). The study also validates its findings by analysing recent extreme events involving BC and DU worldwide. The potential applications of specific AARs could assist us in identifying the causes of snow darkening, reducing snow cover area, and accelerating melting rate. Moreover, AARs could aid in quantifying the health risks associated with severe air pollution.

3.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(6): 557, 2024 May 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38764082

RESUMEN

It is vital to keep an eye on changes in climatic extremes because they set the stage for current and potential future climate, which usually have a reasonable adverse impact on ecosystems and society. The present study examines the variability and trends in precipitation and temperature across seasons in the Kinnaur district, offering valuable insights into the complex dynamics of the Himalayan climate. Using Climatic Research Unit gridded Time Series (CRU TS) datasets from 1951 to 2021, the study analyzes the data to produce 28 climate indices based on India Meteorological Department (IMD) convention indices and Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). Although there may be considerable variation in climate indices in terms of absolute values within different products, there is consensus in both long-term trends and inter-annual variability. Analysis shows that even within a small area, there is variability in the magnitude and direction of historic temperature trends. Initially, the data were subjected to rigorous quality control procedures, which involved identifying anomalies. Statistical analysis like trend analysis, employing Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimator, reveal significant (p < 0.05) increase in consecutive dry days (CDD) at 0.03 days/year and decrease in consecutive wet days (CWD) at 0.02 days/year. Notably, the frequency of heavy precipitation occurrences showed an increasing trend. Changes in precipitation in the Western Himalaya are driven by a complex interplay of orographic effects, monsoonal dynamics, atmospheric circulation patterns, climate change, and localized factors such as topography, atmospheric circulation patterns, moisture sources, land-sea temperature contrasts, and anthropogenic influences. Moreover, in case of temperature indices, there is significant increasing trend observed. Temperature indices indicate a significant annual increase in warm nights (TN90p) at 0.06%/year and warm days (TX90p) at 0.11%/year. Extreme temperature events have been trending upward, with monthly daily maximum temperature (TXx) increasing by 1.5 °C yearly. This study enhances our comprehension of the global warming phenomenon and underscores the importance of acknowledging alterations in the water cycle and their repercussions on hydrologic resources, agriculture, and livelihoods in the cold desert of the northwestern Indian Himalaya.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Monitoreo del Ambiente , India , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Estaciones del Año , Lluvia , Temperatura , Clima
4.
J Environ Manage ; 351: 119675, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38048709

RESUMEN

Aerosol Atmospheric Rivers (AARs) are elongated and narrow regions that carry high concentrations of aerosols (tiny particles suspended in the atmosphere) across large distances, exerting effects on both air quality and human health (Chakraborty et al., 2021, 2022). Monitoring and modeling these aerosols present distinct challenges due to their dynamic nature and complex interactions within the atmosphere. In this context, the present study detects and predicts the AARs using MERRA-2 reanalysis datasets with their seasonal climatology of key aerosol species, including Black Carbon (BC), Dust (DU), Organic Carbon (OC), Sea Salt (SS), and Sulphates (SU). The study employs an innovative Integrated Aerosol Transport (IAT) based AAR algorithm from 2015 to 2022. A total count of 44,020 BC AARs, 13,280 DU AARs, 21,599 OC AARs, 17,925 SS AARs, and 31,437 SU AARs were detected globally. The seasonal climatology of BC and OC AARs intensifies in areas such as the Amazon rainforest and Congo during AMJJAS (April-September) due to forest fires. Similarly, DU AARs are more frequent in regions near the Saharan desert, primarily around the equator during AMJJAS. SS AARs tend to predominate over the oceans, while SU AARs are predominantly found in the northern hemisphere, primarily due to higher anthropogenic emissions. Furthermore, convolutional autoencoder-based models were developed for key aerosol species, strengthening predictive accuracy by effectively capturing complex data relationships and delivering precise predictions for the last 5-time frames. During validation, the model evaluation parameters for image prediction such as the Structural Similarity Index ranged from 0.86 to 0.94, Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio fluctuated between 1.14 and 42.25 dB, Root Mean Square Error varied from 2.39 to 296.4 mg/(m-sec), and Mean Square Error fell within the range of 1.55-17.22 mg/(m-sec). These collectively reflect image closeness, quality, dissimilarity, and accuracy in AAR prediction. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of advanced machine and deep learning models in predicting AARs, offering the potential for advanced forecasting and enhancing resilience in high-aerosol concentration regions.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Aerosoles/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Carbono/análisis , Polvo/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Estaciones del Año , Hollín
5.
Water Sci Technol ; 88(11): 2873-2888, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38096075

RESUMEN

The water quality of Himalayan rivers has declined due to human activities, untreated effluent discharge, and poor sewage and drainage systems. The current study aimed to assess the water quality of these rivers using multivariate statistical analysis throughout four seasons. The analyses of 44 surface water samples taken during the monsoon, winter, spring, and summer seasons are well within the ranges acceptable for drinking and domestic use after the sedimentation. The suspended soils and turbidity are highly correlated and affect the water quality index (WQI). The WQI of headwater streams is good during low water flow seasons and poor during high water flow seasons. This is due to the number of melting glaciers and suspended solids/turbidity. Principal component analysis shows that in all the seasons, human activities such as road-cutting projects across the river and natural causes such as intense rainfall and melting of moraine-filled glaciers both impact the WQI. The findings of this study provide important information for future research and policy decisions aimed at improving the water quality of the Himalayan rivers.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo del Ambiente , Ríos , Calidad del Agua , Cubierta de Hielo , Estaciones del Año , Nieve , Himalayas
6.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(11): 1313, 2023 Oct 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37831219

RESUMEN

Understanding the dynamics of temperature trends is vital for assessing the impacts of climate change on a regional scale. In this context, the present study focuses on Madhya Pradesh state in Central Indian region to explore the spatial-temporal distribution patterns of temperature changes from 1951 to 2021. Gridded temperature data obtained from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) in 1° × 1° across the state are utilised to analyse long-term trends and variations in temperature. The Mann-Kendall (MK) test and Sen's slope (SS) estimator were used to detect the trends, and Pettitt's test was utilised for change point detection. The analysis reveals significant warming trends in Madhya Pradesh during the study period during specific time frames. The temperature variables, such as the annual mean temperature (Tmean), maximum temperature (Tmax), and minimum temperature (Tmin), consistently increase, with the most pronounced warming observed during winter. The trend analysis reveals that the rate of warming has increased in the past few years, particularly since the 1990s. However, Pettitt's test points out significant changes in the temperature, with Tmean rising from 25.46 °C in 1951-2004 to 25.78 °C in 2005-2021 (+0.33 °C), Tmax shifting from 45.77 °C in 1951-2010 to 46.24 °C in 2011-2021 (+0.47°C), and Tmin increasing from 2.65 °C in 1951-1999 to 3.19 °C in 2000-2021 (+0.46 °C). These results, along with spatial-temporal distribution maps, shed important light on the alterations and variations in monthly Tmean, Tmax, and Tmin across the area, underlining the dynamic character of climate change and highlighting the demand for methods for adaptation and mitigation.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Temperatura , Estaciones del Año , Análisis Espacio-Temporal
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