RESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To study the diagnostic performance of the enhanced liver fibrosis score (ELF) for detecting different stages of fibrosis and its usefulness in detecting histologic response to vitamin E or metformin in children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who participated in the Vitamin E or Metformin for the Treatment Of NAFLD In Children (TONIC) trial. STUDY DESIGN: ELF was measured at baseline and weeks 24, 48, and 96 on sera from 166 TONIC participants. Associations between ELF with baseline and end of trial (EOT) fibrosis stages and other histologic features were assessed using χ2 tests and logistic regression models. RESULTS: ELF was significantly associated with severity of fibrosis at baseline and EOT. ELF areas under the curve for discriminating patients with clinically significant and advanced fibrosis were 0.70 (95% CI, 0.60-0.80) and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.69-0.89), respectively. A 1-unit decrease in ELF at EOT was associated with overall histologic improvement (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.11-3.14; P = .02), resolution of steatohepatitis (OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.09-3.25; P = .02), improvement in steatosis grade (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.06-2.82; P = .03), and hepatocellular ballooning (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.06-3.00; P = .03), but not with improvement in fibrosis stage (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.78-2.03; P = .34). CONCLUSIONS: ELF was associated with fibrosis stage in children who participated in TONIC. Although not associated with improvement in fibrosis, a decrease in ELF at EOT was associated with Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis resolution and improvement in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease histology. ELF may be a useful noninvasive test to monitor treatment response in children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.
Asunto(s)
Hipoglucemiantes/uso terapéutico , Cirrosis Hepática/patología , Metformina/uso terapéutico , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/tratamiento farmacológico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Vitamina E/uso terapéutico , Vitaminas/uso terapéutico , Adolescente , Área Bajo la Curva , Biopsia , Niño , Método Doble Ciego , Quimioterapia Combinada , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Hígado/patología , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/patología , Oportunidad Relativa , Curva ROC , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Optimistic expectations about prognosis by surrogate decision-makers in ICUs are common, but there are few data about the causes and clinical consequences. Our objective was to determine the causes of optimistic expectations about prognosis among surrogates and whether it is associated with more use of life support at the end of life. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter cohort study from 2009 to 2012. SETTING: Twelve ICUs from multiple regions of the United States. SUBJECTS: The surrogates and physicians of 275 incapacitated ICU patients at high risk of death. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Surrogates and physicians completed a validated instrument assessing their prognostic expectations for hospital survival. We determined the proportion of surrogates with optimistic expectations, defined as a prognostic estimate that was at least 20% more optimistic than the physician's, then determined how frequently this arose from surrogates miscomprehending the physicians' prognosis versus holding more hopeful beliefs compared with the physician. We used multivariable regression to examine whether optimistic expectations were associated with length of stay, stratified by survival status, and time to withdrawal of life support among nonsurvivors. Overall, 45% of surrogates (95% CI, 38-51%) held optimistic expectations about prognosis, which arose from a combination of misunderstanding the physician's prognostic expectations and from holding more hopeful beliefs compared with the physician. Optimistic expectations by surrogates were associated with significantly longer duration of ICU treatment among nonsurvivors before death (ß coefficient = 0.44; 95% CI, 0.05-0.83; p = 0.027), corresponding to a 56% longer ICU stay. This difference was associated with a significantly longer time to withdrawal of life support among dying patients whose surrogates had optimistic prognostic expectations compared with those who did not (ß coefficient = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.16-1.07; p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalent optimism about prognosis among surrogates in ICUs arises both from surrogates' miscomprehension of physicians' prognostications and from surrogates holding more hopeful beliefs. This optimism is associated with longer duration of life support at the end of life.
Asunto(s)
Comunicación , Toma de Decisiones , Optimismo , Médicos/psicología , Apoderado/psicología , APACHE , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Relaciones Profesional-Familia , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Análisis de Supervivencia , Estados Unidos , Privación de Tratamiento/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: One in 5 patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are transferred between hospitals. However, current hospital performance measures based on AMI mortality exclude these patients from the evaluation of referral hospitals. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between risk-standardized mortality for transferred and nontransferred patients at referral hospitals. RESEARCH DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: Fee-for-service Medicare claims from 2011 for patients hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of AMI, at hospitals admitting at least 15 patients in transfer. MEASURES: Hospital-specific risk-standardized 30-day mortality rates (RSMRs) for 2 groups of patients: those admitted through transfer from another hospital, and those natively admitted without a preceding or subsequent interhospital transfer. RESULTS: There were 304 hospitals admitting at least 15 patients in transfer. These hospitals cared for 77,711 natively admitted patients (median, 254; interquartile range, 162-321), and 11,829 patients admitted in transfer (median, 26; interquartile range, 19-46). Risk-standardized mortality rates were higher for natively admitted patients than for those admitted in transfer (mean, 11.5%±1.2% vs. 7.2%±1.1%). There was weak correlation between hospital performance as assessed by RSMR for patients natively admitted versus those admitted in transfer (Pearson r=0.24, P<0.001); when performance was arrayed by quartile, 102 hospitals (33.6%) differed at least 2 quartiles of performance across the 2 patient groups. CONCLUSIONS: For Medicare patients with AMI, hospital-specific RSMRs for natively admitted patients are only weakly associated with RSMRs for patients transferred in from another hospital. Current AMI performance metrics may fail to provide guidance about hospital quality for transferred patients.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Infarto del Miocardio/mortalidad , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Transferencia de Pacientes/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Infarto del Miocardio/terapia , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Intensive care unit (ICU) telemedicine is an increasingly common strategy for improving the outcome of critical care, but its overall impact is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of ICU telemedicine in a national sample of hospitals and quantify variation in effectiveness across hospitals. RESEARCH DESIGN: We performed a multicenter retrospective case-control study using 2001-2010 Medicare claims data linked to a national survey identifying US hospitals adopting ICU telemedicine. We matched each adopting hospital (cases) to up to 3 nonadopting hospitals (controls) based on size, case-mix, and geographic proximity during the year of adoption. Using ICU admissions from 2 years before and after the adoption date, we compared outcomes between case and control hospitals using a difference-in-differences approach. RESULTS: A total of 132 adopting case hospitals were matched to 389 similar nonadopting control hospitals. The preadoption and postadoption unadjusted 90-day mortality was similar in both case hospitals (24.0% vs. 24.3%, P=0.07) and control hospitals (23.5% vs. 23.7%, P<0.01). In the difference-in-differences analysis, ICU telemedicine adoption was associated with a small relative reduction in 90-day mortality (ratio of odds ratios=0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.98; P<0.001). However, there was wide variation in the ICU telemedicine effect across individual hospitals (median ratio of odds ratios=1.01; interquartile range, 0.85-1.12; range, 0.45-2.54). Only 16 case hospitals (12.2%) experienced statistically significant mortality reductions postadoption. Hospitals with a significant mortality reduction were more likely to have large annual admission volumes (P<0.001) and be located in urban areas (P=0.04) compared with other hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Although ICU telemedicine adoption resulted in a small relative overall mortality reduction, there was heterogeneity in effect across adopting hospitals, with large-volume urban hospitals experiencing the greatest mortality reductions.
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Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Telemedicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Comorbilidad , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Femenino , Hospitales de Alto Volumen/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Características de la Residencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
Dynamic estimates of mean systemic pressure based on a Guytonian analog model (Pmsa) appear accurate under baseline conditions but may not remain so during septic shock because blood volume distribution and resistances between arterial and venous beds may change. Thus, we examined the effect of acute endotoxemia on the ability of Pmsa, estimated from steady-state cardiac output, right atrial pressure, and mean arterial pressure, to reflect our previously validated instantaneous venous return measure of mean systemic pressure (Pmsi), derived from beat-to-beat measures of right ventricular stroke volume and right atrial pressure during positive pressure ventilation. We studied 6 splenectomized pentobarbital-anesthetized close chested dogs. Right ventricular stroke volume was measured by a pulmonary arterial electromagnetic flow probe. Instantaneous venous return measure of mean systemic pressure and Pmsa were calculated during volume loading and removal (±100-mL bolus increments×5) both before (control) and 30 minutes after endotoxin infusion (endo). Cardiac output increased (2628±905 vs 3560±539 mL/min; P<.05) and mean arterial pressure decreased (107±16 vs 56±12 mm Hg; P<.01) during endo. Changes in Pmsi and Pmsa correlated during both control and endo (r2=0.7) with minimal bias by Bland-Altman analysis (mean difference±95% confidence interval, 0.47±5.04 mm Hg). We conclude that changes in Pmsa accurately tracts Pmsi under both control and endo.