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3.
Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol ; 284: 131-135, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36989688

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether a prognosis-tailored triage of ART for couples with idiopathic infertility by using the Hunault prognostic model can decrease the cost of treatment without compromising the chance of live birth. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective study conducted in an Australian fertility clinic. Couples seeking infertility consultation who were subsequently found to have idiopathic infertility after evaluation were included. We compared the costs per conception leading to live birth of the prognosis-tailored strategy with the immediate ART strategy, which generally reflects the current practice in Australian fertility clinics, over a 24-month period. In the prognosis-tailored strategy, for each couple, the prognosis for natural conception was assessed using the well-established Hunault model. Total cost of treatments were calculated as the sum of typical out-of-pocket and Australian Medicare cost (Australian national insurance scheme). RESULTS: We studied 261 couples. In the prognosis-tailored strategy, the total cost was $2,766,781 and the live birth rate was 63.9%. In contrast, the immediate ART strategy yielded a live birth rate of 64.4% with a total cost of $3,176,845. Implementing the prognosis-tailored strategy using the Hunault model saved $410,064 in total and $1,571 per couple. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $341,720 per live birth. CONCLUSION: In couples with idiopathic infertility, assessment of prognosis for natural conception using the Hunault model and delaying ART for 12 months in couples with favourable prognoses can considerably reduce costs without significantly compromising live birth rates.


Asunto(s)
Infertilidad , Triaje , Anciano , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Estudios Retrospectivos , Australia , Programas Nacionales de Salud , Infertilidad/terapia , Pronóstico , Fertilización , Nacimiento Vivo , Tecnología , Índice de Embarazo , Fertilización In Vitro
4.
Hum Fertil (Camb) ; 26(1): 97-106, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34348064

RESUMEN

Previous studies have demonstrated hysterosalpingography (HSG) in general, and specifically with an oil-soluble contrast medium, directly increases pregnancy rates. Decision modelling was performed to compare fertility management using three HSG diagnostic strategies: (i) water-soluble contrast medium (WSCM)-HSG; (ii) Lipiodol® Ultra Fluid (LUF)-HSG; and (iii) No HSG, for women aged ≤39 years with unexplained infertility. Four reimbursement scenarios were modelled to reflect the various funding arrangements across the regions of the United Kingdom. Compared with WSCM-HSG, the live birth rates after 24 months increased by 3.4% with LUF-HSG and decreased by 2.7% with no HSG. From a patient perspective, fertility management with LUF-HSG is the most cost-effective strategy with cost-savings ranging from £299 to £857 per patient depending on the funding arrangement for IVF. From an NHS perspective, fertility management with LUF-HSG is cost-effective when 2 or more IVF cycles are NHS-funded. If none of the IVF cycles are NHS-funded, fertility management with LUF-HSG can be considered cost-effective if society is willing to pay £8,353 for an additional live birth. The findings from this analysis suggest that fertility management with WSCM-HSG is cost-effective compared to no HSG and LUF-HSG is the most cost-effective with increased live birth rates after 24 months.


Asunto(s)
Histerosalpingografía , Infertilidad Femenina , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Infertilidad Femenina/diagnóstico por imagen , Infertilidad Femenina/terapia , Medios de Contraste , Fertilidad
5.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy ; 21(2): 315-325, 2023 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36494574

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Ambient Intelligent Geriatric Management (AmbIGeM) system combines wearable sensors with artificial intelligence to trigger alerts to hospital staff before a fall. A clinical trial found no effect across a heterogenous population, but reported a reduction in the injurious falls rate in a post hoc analysis of patients on Geriatric Evaluation Management Unit (GEMU) wards. Cost-effectiveness and Value of Information (VoI) analyses of the AmbIGeM system in GEMU wards was undertaken. METHODS: An Australian health-care system perspective and 5-year time horizon were used for the cost-effectiveness analysis. Implementation costs, inpatient costs and falls data were collected. Injurious falls were defined as causing bruising, laceration, fracture, loss of consciousness, or if the patient reported persistent pain. To compare costs and outcomes, generalised linear regression models were used to adjust for baseline differences between the intervention and usual care groups. Bootstrapping was used to represent uncertainty. For the VoI analysis, 10,000 different sample sizes with randomly sampled values ranging from 1 to 50,000 were tested to estimate the optimal sample size of a new trial that maximised the Expected Net Benefits of Sampling. RESULTS: An adjusted 0.036 fewer injurious falls (adjusted rate ratio of 0.56) and AUD$4554 lower costs were seen in the intervention group. However, uncertainty that the intervention is cost effective for the prevention of an injurious fall was present at all monetary values of this effectiveness outcome. A new trial with a sample of 4376 patients was estimated to maximise the Expected Net Benefit of Sampling, generating a net benefit of AUD$186,632 at a benefit-to-cost ratio of 1.1. CONCLUSIONS: The benefits to cost ratio suggests that a new trial of the AmbIGeM system in GEMU wards may not be high-value compared to other potential trials, and that the system should be implemented. However, a broader analysis of options for preventing falls in GEMU is required to fully inform decision making. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (ACTRN 12617000981325).


Asunto(s)
Accidentes por Caídas , Inteligencia Artificial , Humanos , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Australia , Accidentes por Caídas/prevención & control , Hospitales
6.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci ; 77(1): 155-163, 2022 01 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34153102

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Ambient Intelligent Geriatric Management (AmbIGeM) system augments best practice and involves a novel wearable sensor (accelerometer and gyroscope) worn by patients where the data captured by the sensor are interpreted by algorithms to trigger alerts on clinician handheld mobile devices when risk movements are detected. METHODS: A 3-cluster stepped-wedge pragmatic trial investigating the effect on the primary outcome of falls rate and secondary outcome of injurious fall and proportion of fallers. Three wards across 2 states were included. Patients aged ≥65 years were eligible. Patients requiring palliative care were excluded. The trial was registered with the Australia and New Zealand Clinical Trials registry, number 12617000981325. RESULTS: A total of 4924 older patients were admitted to the study wards with 1076 excluded and 3240 (1995 control, 1245 intervention) enrolled. The median proportion of study duration with valid readings per patient was 49% ((interquartile range [IQR] 25%-67%)). There was no significant difference between intervention and control relating to the falls rate (adjusted rate ratio = 1.41, 95% confidence interval [0.85, 2.34]; p = .192), proportion of fallers (odds ratio = 1.54, 95% confidence interval [0.91, 2.61]; p = .105), and injurious falls rate (adjusted rate ratio = 0.90, 95% confidence interval [0.38, 2.14]; p = .807). In a post hoc analysis, falls and injurious falls rate were reduced in the Geriatric Evaluation and Management Unit wards when the intervention period was compared to the control period. CONCLUSIONS: The AmbIGeM system did not reduce the rate of falls, rate of injurious falls, or proportion of fallers. There remains a case for further exploration and refinement of this technology given the post hoc analysis findings with the Geriatric Evaluation and Management Unit wards. Clinical Trials Registration Number: 12617000981325.


Asunto(s)
Hospitales , Dispositivos Electrónicos Vestibles , Anciano , Australia , Hospitalización , Humanos
7.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 69(11): 3142-3156, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34155634

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To examine individual, medication, system, and healthcare related predictors of hospitalization and emergency department (ED) presentation within 90 days of entering the aged care sector, and to create risk-profiles associated with these outcomes. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective population-based cohort study using data from the Registry of Senior Australians. PARTICIPANTS: Older people (aged 65 and older) with an aged care eligibility assessment in South Australia between January 1, 2013 and May 31, 2016 (N = 22,130). MEASUREMENTS: Primary outcomes were unplanned hospitalization and ED presentation within 90 days of assessment. Individual, medication, system, and healthcare related predictors of the outcomes at the time of assessment, within 90 days or 1-year prior. Fine-Gray models were used to calculate subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Harrell's C-index assessed predictive ability. RESULTS: Four thousand nine-hundred and six (22.2%) individuals were hospitalized and 5028 (22.7%) had an ED presentation within 90 days. Predictors of hospitalization included: being a man (hospitalization sHR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.26-1.42), ≥3 urgent after-hours attendances (hospitalization sHR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.06-1.39), increasing frailty index score (hospitalization sHR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.11-1.28), individuals using glucocorticoids (hospitalization sHR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.20), sulfonamides (hospitalization sHR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.27), trimethoprim antibiotics (hospitalization sHR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.29), unplanned hospitalizations 30 days prior (hospitalization sHR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.23), and ED presentations 1 year prior (hospitalization sHR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.10). Similar predictors and hazard estimates were also observed for ED presentations. The hospitalization models out-of-sample predictive ability (C-index = 0.653, 95% CI 0.635-0.670) and ED presentations (C-index = 0.647, 95% CI 0.630-0.663) were moderate. CONCLUSIONS: One in five individuals with aged care eligibility assessments had unplanned hospitalizations and/or ED presentation within 90 days with several predictors identified at the time of aged care eligibility assessment. This is an actionable period for targeting at-risk individuals to reduce hospitalizations.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación Geriátrica/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Cumplimiento de la Medicación/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Antibacterianos , Femenino , Glucocorticoides , Humanos , Masculino , Sistema de Registros , Instituciones Residenciales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Australia del Sur , Sulfonamidas , Factores de Tiempo
8.
Implement Sci Commun ; 2(1): 36, 2021 Apr 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33827707

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Repeated admission to hospital can be stressful for older people and their families and puts additional pressure on the health care system. While there is some evidence about strategies to better integrate care, improve older patients' experiences at transitions of care, and reduce preventable hospital readmissions, implementing these strategies at scale is challenging. This program of research comprises multiple, complementary research activities with an overall goal of improving the care for older people after discharge from hospital. The program leverages existing large datasets and an established collaborative network of clinicians, consumers, academics, and aged care providers. METHODS: The program of research will take place in South Australia focusing on people aged 65 and over. Three inter-linked research activities will be the following: (1) analyse existing registry data to profile individuals at high risk of emergency department encounters and hospital admissions; (2) evaluate the cost-effectiveness of existing 'out-of-hospital' programs provided within the state; and (3) implement a state-wide quality improvement collaborative to tackle key interventions likely to improve older people's care at points of transitions. The research is underpinned by an integrated approach to knowledge translation, actively engaging a broad range of stakeholders to optimise the relevance and sustainability of the changes that are introduced. DISCUSSION: This project highlights the uniqueness and potential value of bringing together key stakeholders and using a multi-faceted approach (risk profiling; evaluation framework; implementation and evaluation) for improving health services. The program aims to develop a practical and scalable solution to a challenging health service problem for frail older people and service providers.

9.
Reprod Biomed Online ; 42(1): 150-157, 2021 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33077355

RESUMEN

RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the long-term costs and effects of oil- versus water-based contrast in infertile women undergoing hysterosalpingography (HSG)? DESIGN: This economic evaluation of a long-term follow-up of a multicentre randomized controlled trial involved 1119 infertile women randomized to HSG with oil- (n = 557) or water-based contrast (n = 562) in the Netherlands. RESULTS: In the oil-based contrast group, 39.8% of women needed no other treatment, 34.6% underwent intrauterine insemination (IUI) and 25.6% had IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) in the 5 years following HSG. In the water-based contrast group, 35.0% of women had no other treatment, 34.2% had IUI and 30.8% had IVF/ICSI in the 5 years following HSG (P = 0.113). After 5 years of follow-up, HSG using oil-based contrast resulted in equivalent costs (mean cost difference -€144; 95% confidence interval [CI] -€579 to +€290; P = 0.515) for a 5% increase in the cumulative ongoing pregnancy rate compared with HSG using water-based contrast (80% compared with 75%, Relative Risk (RR) 1.07; 95% CI 1.00-1.14). Similarly, HSG with oil-based contrast resulted in equivalent costs (mean cost difference -€50; 95% CI -€576 to +€475; P = 0.850) for a 7.5% increase in the cumulative live birth rate compared with HSG with water-based contrast (74.8% compared with 67.3%, RR 1.11; 95% CI 1.03-1.20), making it the dominant strategy. Scenario analyses suggest that the oil-based contrast medium is the dominant strategy up to a price difference of €300. CONCLUSION: Over a 5-year follow-up, HSG with an oil-based contrast was associated with a 5% increase in ongoing pregnancy rate, a 7.5% increase in live birth rate and similar costs to HSG with water-based contrast.


Asunto(s)
Medios de Contraste/economía , Aceite Etiodizado/economía , Histerosalpingografía/economía , Ácido Yotalámico/análogos & derivados , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Histerosalpingografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Ácido Yotalámico/economía , Embarazo , Índice de Embarazo , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
10.
Fertil Steril ; 114(1): 155-162, 2020 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32553471

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of oil-based versus water-based contrast on pregnancy and live birth rates ≤5 years after hysterosalpingography (HSG) in infertile women. DESIGN: A 5-year follow-up study of a multicenter randomized trial. SETTING: Hospitals. PATIENT(S): Infertile women with an ovulatory cycle, 18-39 years of age, and having a low risk of tubal pathology. INTERVENTION(S): Use of oil-based versus water-based contrast during HSG. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Ongoing pregnancy, live births, time to ongoing pregnancy, second ongoing pregnancy. RESULT(S): A total of 1,119 women were randomly assigned to HSG with oil-based contrast (n = 557) or water-based contrast (n = 562). After 5 years, 444 of 555 women in the oil group (80.0%) and 419 of 559 women in the water group (75.0%) had an ongoing pregnancy (relative risk [RR] 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.14), and 415 of 555 women in the oil group (74.8%) and 376 of 559 women in the water group (67.3%) had live births (RR 1.11; 95% CI 1.03-1.20). In the oil group, 228 pregnancies (41.1%) were conceived naturally versus 194 (34.7%) pregnancies in the water group (RR 1.18; 95% CI 1.02-1.38). The time to ongoing pregnancy was significantly shorter in the oil group versus the water group (10.0 vs. 13.7 months; hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI 1.09-1.43). No difference was found in the occurrence of a second ongoing pregnancy. CONCLUSION(S): During a 5-year time frame, ongoing pregnancy and live birth rates are higher after tubal flushing with oil-based contrast during HSG compared with water-based contrast. More pregnancies are naturally conceived and time to ongoing pregnancy is shorter after HSG with oil-based contrast. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Netherlands Trial Register (NTR) 3270 and NTR6577(www.trialregister.nl).


Asunto(s)
Medios de Contraste/administración & dosificación , Fertilidad , Histerosalpingografía , Infertilidad Femenina/diagnóstico por imagen , Infertilidad Femenina/terapia , Irrigación Terapéutica , Adolescente , Adulto , Medios de Contraste/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Histerosalpingografía/efectos adversos , Infertilidad Femenina/fisiopatología , Nacimiento Vivo , Países Bajos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Embarazo , Índice de Embarazo , Técnicas Reproductivas Asistidas , Irrigación Terapéutica/efectos adversos , Factores de Tiempo , Tiempo para Quedar Embarazada , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
11.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 26(2): 582-601, 2020 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31490593

RESUMEN

RATIONALE, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To summarize relevant international scientific evidence on strategies aimed at facilitating or improving health care practitioners' adoption of shared decision making in elective surgery. The review evaluated the effectiveness of these strategies and described the characteristics of identified strategies. METHOD: A systematic search of the literature was conducted up to March 2019. The review included interventions that targeted patients, health care practitioners, or health systems/organizations. Main outcomes were measures of decision process and decision outcomes. Two independent reviewers conducted study selection, assessed methodological quality and extracted data. RESULTS: Fifteen randomized controlled trials, one pseudo-randomized controlled trial, and four quasi-experimental studies were included in this review. The heterogeneity of interventions and the variability of outcomes used to measure the impact of these interventions precluded meta-analysis. All of the interventions included an educational component regarding the medical condition of interest and available treatment options and a supportive component to encourage patients to ask questions and involve themselves in the decision making. Published evidence on shared decision-making interventions in elective surgery is most prevalent in the breast cancer/endocrine and urology specialties, with most studies targeting their shared decision-making interventions at the patient population. The use of multiple media components within an intervention including interactive video appeared to improve patient satisfaction with the shared decision-making process. CONCLUSIONS: The use of well-developed educational information provided through interactive multimedia, computer or DVD based, may enhance the decision-making process. The evidence suggests that such multimedia can be used prior to the surgical consultation, presenting medical and surgical information relevant to the upcoming consultation. A decision and communication aid also appears to be an effective method to support the surgeon in patient participation and involvement in the decision-making process.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones Conjunta , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Comunicación , Toma de Decisiones , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos , Humanos , Participación del Paciente , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
12.
BMJ Open ; 9(12): e033277, 2019 12 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31874889

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Patients with comorbidities can be referred to a physician-led high-risk clinic for medical optimisation prior to elective surgery at the discretion of the surgical consultant, but the factors that influence this referral are not well understood. The aims of this study were to understand the factors that influence a surgeon's decision to refer a patient to the clinic, and how the clinic impacts on the management of complex patients. DESIGN: Qualitative study using theoretical thematic analysis to analyse transcribed semi-structured interviews. SETTING: Interviews were held in either the surgical consultant's private office or a quiet office/room in the hospital ward. PARTICIPANTS: Seven surgical consultants who were eligible to refer patients to the clinic. RESULTS: When discussing the factors that influence a referral to the clinic, all participants initially described the optimisation of comorbidities and would then discuss with examples the challenges with managing complex patients and communicating the risks involved with having surgery. When discussing the role of the clinic, two related subthemes were dominant and focused on the management of risk in complex patients. The participants valued the involvement of the clinic in the decision-making and communication of risks to the patient. CONCLUSIONS: The integration of the high-risk clinic in this study appears to offer additional value in supporting the decision-making process for the surgical team and patient beyond the clinical outcomes. The factors that influence a surgeon's decision to refer a patient to the clinic appear to be driven by the aim to manage the uncertainty and risk to the patient regarding surgery and it was seen as a strategy for managing difficult and complex cases.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina , Derivación y Consulta , Actitud del Personal de Salud , Femenino , Hospitales Especializados , Humanos , Masculino , Atención Perioperativa , Investigación Cualitativa , Medición de Riesgo , Cirujanos/psicología
14.
Heart ; 105(17): 1358-1363, 2019 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30936408

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to characterise hospitalisations due to atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with two other common cardiovascular conditions, myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF), in addition to the associated economic burden of these hospitalisations and contribution of AF-related procedures. METHODS: The primary outcome measure was the rate of increase of AF, MI and HF hospitalisations from 1993 to 2013. The rate of increase of AF-related procedures including cardioversion and ablation were also collected, in addition to direct costs associated with hospitalisations for each of these three conditions. RESULTS: AF hospitalisations increased 295% over the 21-year period to a total of 61 424 in 2013. In comparison, MI and HF hospitalisations increased by only 73% and 39%, respectively, over the same period. Considering population changes, there was an annual increase in AF hospitalisations of 5.2% (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.052; 95% CI 1.046 to 1.059; p<0.001). In contrast, there was a 2.2% increase per annum for MI (IRR 1.022; 95% CI 1.017 to 1.027; p<0.001) and negligible annual change for HF hospitalisations (IRR 1.000; 95% CI 0.997 to 1.002; p=0.78). Cardioversion and AF ablation increased by 10% and 26% annually, respectively. AF hospitalisation costs rose by 479% over the 21-year period, an increase that was more than double that of MI and HF. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of AF hospitalisations continues to rise unabated. AF has now surpassed both MI and HF hospitalisations and represents a growing cost burden. New models of healthcare delivery are required to stem this growing healthcare burden.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial/terapia , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Infarto del Miocardio/terapia , Admisión del Paciente/tendencias , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/tendencias , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/economía , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Australia/epidemiología , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/economía , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Costos de Hospital/tendencias , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Infarto del Miocardio/economía , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo
15.
Aust N Z J Obstet Gynaecol ; 59(2): 221-227, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29700811

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since caesarean sections (CSs) before 39+0  weeks gestation are associated with higher rates of neonatal respiratory morbidity, it is recommended to delay elective CSs until 39+0  weeks. However, this bears the risk of earlier spontaneous labour resulting in unplanned CSs, which has workforce and resource implications, specifically in smaller obstetric units. AIM: To assess, in a policy of elective CSs from 39+0  weeks onward, the number of unplanned CSs to prevent one neonate with respiratory complications, as compared to early elective CS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a decision analysis comparing early term elective CS at 37+0-6 or 38+0-6  weeks to elective prelabour CS, without strict medical indication, at 39+0-6  weeks, with earlier unplanned CS, in women with uncomplicated singleton pregnancies. We used literature data to calculate the number of unplanned CSs necessary to prevent one neonate with respiratory morbidity. RESULTS: Planning all elective CSs at 39+0-6  weeks required 10.9 unplanned CSs to prevent one neonate with respiratory morbidity, compared to planning all elective CSs at 38+0-6  weeks. Compared to planning all elective CSs at 37+0-6  weeks we needed to perform 3.3 unplanned CSs to prevent one neonate with respiratory morbidity. CONCLUSION: In a policy of planning all elective pre-labour CSs from 39+0  weeks of gestation onward, between three and 11 unplanned CSs have to be performed to prevent one neonate with respiratory morbidity. Therefore, in our opinion, fear of early term labour and workforce disutility is no argument for scheduling elective CSs <39+0  weeks.


Asunto(s)
Cesárea , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria del Recién Nacido/prevención & control , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Árboles de Decisión , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Selección de Paciente , Embarazo , Factores de Tiempo
16.
Reprod Biomed Online ; 37(5): 555-563, 2018 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30361048

RESUMEN

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does delaying IVF for 6 months in couples with unexplained infertility, compared with immediate IVF treatment, decrease the cost of IVF without compromising success rates? DESIGN: Decision modelling was used to evaluate the cost and outcomes of immediate IVF versus delayed IVF for a cohort of women aged <40 years suffering unexplained infertility. Australian data and costs were used in the analysis. For different age groups, three scenarios were tested where 10%, 50% and 90% of couples with unexplained infertility delayed IVF for 6 months if they had a good prognosis for natural conception. The study included a total of 8781 couples aged <40 years, diagnosed with unexplained infertility and who had IVF in 2013. RESULTS: The studied couples underwent 27,648 fresh and frozen embryo transfers, for an estimated total cost of $141 million. Potential out-of-pocket cost savings if 90% of couples delayed IVF ranged from $4.7 to $12.2 million, with Medicare cost savings of up to $15.1 million. The impact on the total pregnancy and live birth rates after 18 months was minimal. CONCLUSIONS: In couples with unexplained infertility and a good prognosis for natural conception, delaying IVF for 6 months could substantially decrease out-of-pocket costs without compromising pregnancy and live birth rates over an 18-month period.


Asunto(s)
Costos y Análisis de Costo , Fertilización In Vitro/economía , Infertilidad/economía , Adulto , Costo de Enfermedad , Transferencia de Embrión/economía , Femenino , Fertilización In Vitro/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Teóricos , Embarazo , Índice de Embarazo , Factores de Tiempo
17.
Hum Reprod ; 33(10): 1907-1914, 2018 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30239784

RESUMEN

STUDY QUESTION: Is a freeze-only strategy more cost-effective from a patient perspective than fresh embryo transfer (ET) after one completed In Vitro Fertilization/ Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection (IVF/ICSI) cycle in women without polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS)? SUMMARY ANSWER: There is a low probability of the freeze-only strategy being cost-effective over the fresh ET strategy for non-PCOS women undergoing IVF/ICSI. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Conventionally, IVF embryos are transferred in the same cycle in which oocytes are collected, while any remaining embryos are frozen and stored. We recently evaluated the effectiveness of a freeze-only strategy compared with a fresh ET strategy in a randomized controlled trial (RCT). There was no difference in live birth rate between the two strategies. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) was performed alongside the RCT to compare a freeze-only strategy with a fresh ET strategy in non-PCOS women undergoing IVF/ICSI. The effectiveness measure for the CEA was the live birth rate. Data on the IVF procedure, pregnancy outcomes and complications were collected from chart review; additional information was obtained using patient questionnaires, by telephone. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: For all patients, we measured the direct medical costs relating to treatment (cryopreservation, pregnancy follow-up, delivery), direct non-medical costs (travel, accommodation) and indirect costs (income lost). The direct cost data were calculated from resources obtained from patient records and prices were applied based on a micro-costing approach. Indirect costs were calculated based on responses to the questionnaire. Patients were followed until all embryos obtained from a single controlled ovarian hyperstimulation cycle were used or a live birth was achieved. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was based on the incremental cost per couple and the incremental live birth rate of the freeze-only strategy compared with the fresh ET strategy. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) and a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC) were also performed. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Between June 2015 and April 2016, 782 couples were randomized to a freeze-only (n = 391) or a fresh ET strategy (n = 391). Baseline characteristics including mean age, Body Mass Index (BMI), anti-Mullerian hormone, total dose of Follicle Stimulating Hormone (FSH), number of oocytes obtained, good quality Day 3 embryos, fertility outcomes and treatment complications were comparable between the two groups. The live birth rate (48.6% vs. 47.3%, respectively; risk ratio, 1.03; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 0.89, 1.19; P = 0.78) and the average cost per couple (3906 vs. 3512 EUR, respectively; absolute difference 393.6, 95% CI, -76.2, 863.5; P = 0.1) were similar in the freeze-only group versus fresh ET. Corresponding costs per live birth were 8037 EUR versus 7425 EUR in the freeze-only versus fresh ET group, respectively. The incremental cost for the freeze-only strategy compared with fresh ET was 30 997 EUR per 1% additional live birth rate. The direct non-medical costs and indirect costs of infertility treatment strategies represented ~45-52% of the total cost. PSA shows that the 95% CI of ICERs was -263 901 to 286 681 EUR. Out of 1000 simulations, 44% resulted in negative ICERs, including 13.0% of simulations in which the freeze-only strategy was dominant (more effective and less costly than fresh ET), and 31% of simulations in which the fresh embryo strategy was dominant. In the other 560 simulations with positive ICERs, the 95% CI of ICERs ranged from 2155 to 471 578 EUR. The CEAC shows that at a willingness to pay threshold of 300 000 EUR, the probability of the freeze-only strategy being cost-effective over the fresh ET strategy would be 58%. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Data were collected from a single private IVF center study in Vietnam where there is no public or insurance funding of IVF. Unit costs obtained might not be representative of other settings. Data obtained from secondary sources (medical records, financial and activity reports) could lack authenticity, and recall bias may have influenced questionnaire responses on which direct costs were based. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: In non-PCOS women undergoing IVF/ICSI, the results suggested that the freeze-only strategy was not cost-effective compared with fresh ET from a patient perspective. These findings indicate that other factors could be more important in deciding whether to use a freeze-only versus fresh ET strategy in this patient group. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was funded by My Duc Hospital; no external funding was received. Ben Willem J. Mol is supported by an NHMRC Practioner Fellowship (GNT 1082548) and reports consultancy for Merck, ObsEva and Guerbet. Robert J. Norman has shares in an IVF company and has received support from Merck and Ferring. All other authors have no conflicts of interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Not applicable.


Asunto(s)
Criopreservación/economía , Transferencia de Embrión/métodos , Fertilización In Vitro/economía , Tasa de Natalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Transferencia de Embrión/economía , Femenino , Humanos , Síndrome del Ovario Poliquístico , Embarazo , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Vietnam
18.
Fertil Steril ; 110(4): 754-760, 2018 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30196973

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost effectiveness of the use of oil-based versus water-based contrast in infertile women undergoing hysterosalpingography (HSG). DESIGN: Economic evaluation alongside a multicenter randomized trial. SETTING: Hospitals. PATIENT(S): Infertile women with an ovulatory cycle, 18-39 years of age, low risk of tubal pathology. INTERVENTION(S): Use of oil-based versus water-based contrast during HSG. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Costs per additional ongoing pregnancy and per live birth within 6 months of randomization, incremental cost-effective ratios (ICERs). RESULT(S): A total of 1,119 women were randomized to HSG (oil-based contrast, n = 557; water-based contrast, n = 562). After HSG, most women had no additional treatment; a minority had IUI or IVF. In the oil group, 39.7% women had an ongoing pregnancy within 6 months of randomization versus 29.1% women in the water group. There was a 10.7% increase in the live birth rate in the oil group. For ongoing pregnancy, the mean costs per couple were US$2,014 in the oil group and US$1,144 in the water group, with a corresponding ICER of US$8,198 per additional ongoing pregnancy. For live birth, the mean costs per couple were US$11,532 in the oil group and US$8,310 in the water group, with a corresponding ICER of US$30,112 per additional live birth. CONCLUSION(S): Hysterosalpingography with oil-based contrast results in higher 6-month ongoing pregnancy and live birth rate. If society is willing to pay US$8,198 for an additional ongoing pregnancy, HSG with oil-based contrast is a cost-effective strategy compared with HSG with water-based contrast for infertile, ovulatory women at low risk for tubal pathology. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Dutch Trial Register, NTR 6577 (www.trialregister.nl).


Asunto(s)
Medios de Contraste/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Aceite Etiodizado/economía , Histerosalpingografía/economía , Infertilidad Femenina/economía , Ácido Yotalámico/análogos & derivados , Adolescente , Adulto , Medios de Contraste/administración & dosificación , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/métodos , Aceite Etiodizado/administración & dosificación , Femenino , Humanos , Histerosalpingografía/métodos , Infertilidad Femenina/diagnóstico por imagen , Infertilidad Femenina/terapia , Ácido Yotalámico/administración & dosificación , Ácido Yotalámico/economía , Embarazo , Índice de Embarazo/tendencias , Agua/administración & dosificación , Adulto Joven
19.
BMJ Open ; 7(12): e018632, 2017 Dec 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29203506

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Clinics have been established to provide preoperative medical consultations, and enable the anaesthetist and surgeon to deliver the best surgical outcome for patients. However, there is uncertainty regarding the effect of such clinics on surgical, in-hospital and long-term outcomes. A systematic review of the literature was conducted to determine the effectiveness of preoperative medical consultations by internal medicine physicians for patients listed for elective surgery. DESIGN: Systematic searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, PubMed, Current Contents and the NHS Centre for Reviews and Dissemination were conducted up to 30 April 2017. SETTING: Elective surgery. STUDY SELECTION: Randomised controlled trials and non-randomised comparative studies conducted in adults. OUTCOME MEASURES: Length of hospital stay, perioperative morbidity and mortality, costs and quality of life. RESULTS: The one randomised trial reported that preadmission preoperative assessment was more effective than the option of an inpatient medical assessment in reducing the frequency of unnecessary admissions with significantly fewer surgical cancellations following admission for surgery. A small reduction in length of stay in patients was also observed. The three non-randomised studies reported increased lengths of stay, costs and postoperative complications in patients who received preoperative assessment. The timing and delivery of the preoperative medical consultation in the intervention group differed across the included studies. CONCLUSION: Further research is required to inform the design and implementation of coordinated involvement of physicians and surgeons in the provision of care for high-risk surgical patients. A standardised approach to perioperative decision-making processes should be developed with a clear protocol or guideline for the assessment and management of surgical patients.


Asunto(s)
Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos , Medicina Interna , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Cuidados Preoperatorios , Derivación y Consulta/normas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Humanos , Medicina Interna/normas , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Cuidados Preoperatorios/normas , Calidad de Vida , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
20.
Med J Aust ; 207(7): 289-293, 2017 Sep 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28954615

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To compare the health and economic impacts of implementing efficacious treatment interventions with maintaining standard practice in maternal and perinatal health care. DESIGN AND SETTING: We identified randomised clinical trials (RCTs) in the Perinatal Society of Australia and New Zealand trials database that commenced recruitment during 2008 and had completed recruitment by 2015. Data from clinical trial registries and publications were collated to calculate the potential cost savings achievable by implementing efficacious treatment interventions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Projected net cost savings over 5 years. RESULTS: Twenty-three eligible RCTs covering a range of behavioural and clinical interventions were identified, of which six reported interventions superior to standard practice (four trials) or placebo (two). The outcomes (but not the costs) of 17 trials were excluded from analysis (no difference between intervention and comparator groups in seven trials, recruitment problems in six, findings not yet published in four). The total funding amount for the 23 trials was $20.3 million; the potential cost savings over 5 years if the findings of the six trials reporting superior interventions were implemented was estimated to be $26.3 million if 10% of the eligible populations received the effective interventions, and $262.8 million with 100% implementation. CONCLUSIONS: Our retrospective analysis highlights the value of research in perinatal care and the importance of implementing positive findings for realising its value. Future trials in maternal and perinatal health care may provide significant returns on investment by informing clinical practice, improving patient outcomes and reducing health care costs.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Atención Perinatal/economía , Atención Prenatal/economía , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/economía , Australia , Femenino , Humanos , Nueva Zelanda , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos
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