RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The Multi-Ethnic New Zealand Study of Acute Coronary Syndromes (MENZACS) was established to investigate the drivers of secondary events after first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including addressing inequitable outcomes by ethnicity. Herein, the first clinical outcomes and prognostic modelling approach are reported. METHODS: First, in 28 176 New Zealanders with first-time ACS from a national registry, a clinical summary score for predicting 1-year death/cardiovascular readmission was created using Cox regression of 20 clinical variables. This score was then calculated in the 2015 participant MENZACS study to represent clinical risk. In MENZACS, Cox regression was used to assess N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) as a prognostic marker for death/cardiovascular readmission in four models, adjusting for (1) age and sex; (2) age, sex, ethnicity; (3) clinical summary score; (4) clinical summary score and ethnicity. RESULTS: Of the 2015 MENZACS participants (mean age 61 years, 79% male, 73% European, 14% Maori, 5% Pacific people), 2003 were alive at discharge. Of the 2003, 416 (20.8%) experienced all-cause death/cardiovascular readmission over a median of 3.5 years. In a simple model, age, male sex, Maori ethnicity and NT-proBNP levels were significant predictors of outcome. After adjustment for the clinical summary score, which includes age and sex, NT-proBNP and ethnicity were no longer statistically significant: log2(NT-proBNP) hazard ratio (HR) 1.03, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.98 to 1.08, p=0.305; Maori ethnicity HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.62, p=0.084. CONCLUSIONS: In 2015 patients with first-time ACS, recurrent events were common (20.8%). Increasing NT-proBNP levels and Maori ethnicity were predictors of death/cardiovascular readmission, but not after adjustment for the 20 clinical risk factors represented by the clinical summary score. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12615000676516.
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Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Pronóstico , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/terapia , Biomarcadores , Pueblo Maorí , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de RiesgoRESUMEN
AIMS: Using a comprehensive large prospective regional ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) system database, we evaluated the prevalence, clinical and angiographic characteristics, and outcomes in patients with ischemic symptoms and new or presumed new left bundle branch block (LBBB). We then tested a new hierarchical diagnosis and triage algorithm to identify more accurately new LBBB patients with an acute culprit lesion. METHODS AND RESULTS: From March 2003 to June 2013, 3903 consecutive STEMI patients were treated using the Minneapolis Heart Institute regional STEMI protocol including 131 patients (3.3%) with new LBBB. These patients had fewer culprit arteries (54.2% vs. 86.4%; P<0.001), were older, more commonly women, with a lower ejection fraction, and more frequently presented with cardiac arrest or heart failure than those without new LBBB. At 1 year follow-up, all-cause mortality accounting for baseline differences was higher in patients with new LBBB (hazard ratio 1.73, 95% confidence interval 1.17-2.58; P=0.007). The new algorithm yielded high sensitivity (97%) and negative predictive value (94%) for identification of a culprit lesion. Using the definition of new LBBB with either hemodynamically unstable features or Sgarbossa concordance criteria on electrocardiogram (ECG), 45% of new LBBB patients would have been treated as 'STEMI equivalent'. CONCLUSION: Patients with acute ischemic symptoms and new LBBB represent a high-risk population with unique clinical challenges. If validated in an independent dataset, the new algorithm may improve the diagnostic accuracy regarding reperfusion therapy for new LBBB patients.
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Algoritmos , Bloqueo de Rama/etiología , Angiografía Coronaria/métodos , Electrocardiografía , Sistema de Registros , Infarto del Miocardio con Elevación del ST/complicaciones , Triaje/métodos , Anciano , Bloqueo de Rama/diagnóstico , Bloqueo de Rama/epidemiología , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Minnesota/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Infarto del Miocardio con Elevación del ST/diagnóstico , Infarto del Miocardio con Elevación del ST/mortalidad , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias , Factores de Tiempo , Wisconsin/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The modified Sgarbossa criteria were proposed in a derivation study to be superior to the original criteria for diagnosing acute coronary occlusion (ACO) in left bundle branch block (LBBB). The new rule replaces the third criterion (5 mm of excessively discordant ST elevation [STE]) with a proportion (at least 1 mm STE and STE/S wave ≤-0.25). We sought to validate the modified criteria. METHODS: This retrospective case-control study was performed by chart review in 2 tertiary care center emergency departments (EDs) and 1 regional referral center. A billing database was used at 1 site to identify all ED patients with LBBB and ischemic symptoms between May 2009 and June 2012. In addition, all 3 sites identified LBBB ACO patients who underwent emergent catheterization. We measured QRS amplitude and J-point deviation in all leads, blinded to outcomes. Acute coronary occlusion was determined by angiographic findings and cardiac biomarker levels, which were collected blinded to electrocardiograms. Diagnostic statistics of each rule were calculated and compared using McNemar's test. RESULTS: Our consecutive cohort search identified 258 patients: 9 had ACO, and 249 were controls. Among the 3 sites, an additional 36 cases of ACO were identified, for a total of 45 ACO cases and 249 controls. The modified criteria were significantly more sensitive than the original weighted criteria (80% vs 49%, P < .001) and unweighted criteria (80% vs 56%, P < .001). Specificity of the modified criteria was not statistically different from the original weighted criteria (99% vs 100%, P = .5) but was significantly greater than the original unweighted criteria (99% vs 94%, P = .004). CONCLUSIONS: The modified Sgarbossa criteria were superior to the original criteria for identifying ACO in LBBB.