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BACKGROUND: Indigenous knowledge and responses were implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic to protect health, showcasing how Indigenous communities participation in health systems could be a pathway to increase resilience to emergent hazards like climate change. This study aimed to inform efforts to enhance climate change resilience in a health context by: (1) examining if and how adaptation to climate change is taking place within health systems in the Peruvian Amazon, (2) understanding how Indigenous communities and leaders' responses to climatic hazards are being articulated within the official health system and (3) to provide recommendations to increase the climate change resilience of Amazon health systems. METHODS: This study was conducted among two Peruvian Amazon healthcare networks in Junin and Loreto regions. A mixed methodology design was performed using a cross-sectional survey (13 healthcare facilities), semistructured interviews (27 official health system participants and 17 Indigenous participants) and two in-person workshops to validate and select key priorities (32 participants). We used a climate-resilient health system framework linked to the WHO health systems building blocks. RESULTS: Indigenous and official health systems in the Peruvian Amazon are adapting to climate change. Indigenous responses included the use of Indigenous knowledge on weather variability, vegetal medicine to manage health risks and networks to share food and resources. Official health responses included strategies for climate change and response platforms that acted mainly after the occurrence of climate hazards. Key pathways to articulate Indigenous and official health systems encompass incorporating Indigenous representations in climate and health governance, training the health work force, improving service delivery and access, strengthening the evidence to support Indigenous responses and increasing the budget for climate emergency responses. CONCLUSIONS: Key resilience pathways call for a broader paradigm shift in health systems that recognises Indigenous resilience as valuable for health adaptation, moves towards a more participatory health system and broadens the vision of health as a dimension inherently tied to the environment.
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Cambio Climático , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Transversales , Atención a la Salud , Servicios de Salud del Indígena , Indígenas Sudamericanos , Liderazgo , PerúRESUMEN
RESUMEN Objetivos. Evaluar las comorbilidades asociadas a la mortalidad en pacientes adultos hospitalizados por COVID-19 de diferentes grupos de edad en hospitales de Lima y Callao. Materiales y métodos. En este estudio de cohorte retrospectiva analizamos datos de pacientes adultos hospitalizados por COVID-19, notificados al Sistema Nacional de Vigilancia Epidemiológica del Ministerio de Salud de Perú de marzo a octubre del 2020. Se estimaron riesgos relativos con intervalos de confianza al 95% mediante modelos de regresión de Poisson con varianza robusta para evaluar las comorbilidades asociadas a la mortalidad por grupos de edad: jóvenes (18-29 años), adultos (30-59 años) y mayores (≥60 años). Resultados. Se incluyeron 2366 jóvenes, 23781 adultos y 25356 adultos mayores en el análisis. Los adultos mayores presentaron la mortalidad más alta (63,7%) en comparación con adultos (27,1%) y jóvenes (8,5%). Independientemente del grupo de edad, la presencia de enfermedad neurológica, enfermedad renal, enfermedad hepática y cáncer se asoció a un mayor riesgo de mortalidad. Adicionalmente, la enfermedad cardiovascular fue también un factor de riesgo en los jóvenes; la obesidad, la diabetes, la enfermedad cardiovascular, la enfermedad pulmonar crónica y la inmunodeficiencia en los adultos; y la obesidad y la enfermedad pulmonar crónica en los mayores. Conclusiones: Independientemente de los grupos de edad, los individuos con enfermedad neurológica crónica, enfermedad renal, enfermedad hepática y cáncer tendrían un alto riesgo de morir por la COVID-19.
ABSTRACT Objectives. To evaluate comorbidities associated with mortality in adult patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 in hospitals in Lima and Callao. Materials and methods. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from adult patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance System of the Peruvian Ministry of Health from March to October 2020. We estimated relative risks with 95% confidence intervals using Poisson regression models with robust variance to assess comorbidities associated with mortality by age group: young adults (18-29 years), adults (30-59 years) and older adults (≥60 years). Results. We included 2366 young adults, 23,781 adults and 25,356 older adults. Older adults had the highest mortality (63.7%) compared to adults (27.1%) and young adults (8.5%). Regardless of age group, the presence of neurological disease, renal disease, liver disease, and cancer was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Additionally, cardiovascular disease was also a risk factor in young adults; obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic lung disease, and immunodeficiency in adults; and obesity and chronic lung disease in the elderly. Conclusions. Regardless of age groups, individuals with chronic neurologic disease, renal disease, liver disease, and cancer were at high risk of death from COVID-19.
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Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mortalidad , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Grupos de EdadAsunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Incidencia , Perú/epidemiología , Indígenas SudamericanosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Peru has suffered an increase of Guillain Barre Syndrome incidence since 2015, being the biggest outbreak during 2019. We aimed to describe the clinical features, outcomes, and factors associated with mortality among cases reported in the 2019 outbreak. METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of data from the National Surveillance of Guillain Barre Syndrome of the National Center for Control Disease and Prevention of Peru. We included all cases that met the Brighton criteria, level 1 to level 3. We used multivariable logistic regression to determinate factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: Overall, 772 cases were analyzed (58.7% male; mean age, 41.7 ± 20.3). 86.0% of cases aged over 30 years. 71.4% had a respiratory or gastrointestinal infection in the last 4 weeks. Case fatality rate was 4.3% and 32.2% of survivors reported sequelae. Axonal subtypes were identified in 75.6% of cases with an available nerve conduction study (38.7%). Age and impaired function of cranial nerves were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The 2019 outbreak of Guillain Barre syndrome in Peru was an unprecedented event that affected several regions of the country. Axonal damage was more frequent than demyelinating involvement, which is compatible with findings pointing to Campylobacter jejuni as the triggering agent. The case fatality rate was similar to that reported previously in Peru and other countries, but the high frequency of sequelae is striking.
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Síndrome de Guillain-Barré , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Perú/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Brotes de EnfermedadesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES.: Motivation for the study. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the mortality rate from this disease was higher in adults and the elderly. Therefore, it is important to identify the factors that were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in adults, by age group. Main findings. Chronic neurological disease, kidney disease, liver disease, and cancer increased the risk of dying from COVID-19 in the three age groups we analyzed, which were made up of hospitalized patients from Lima and Callao. The risk of mortality associated with comorbidities was higher in patients aged 18 to 29. Implications. This study helps to identify the groups of patients with the highest risk of death from COVID-19, according to age group and type of comorbidity. . To evaluate comorbidities associated with mortality in adult patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 in hospitals in Lima and Callao. MATERIALS AND METHODS.: In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from adult patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance System of the Peruvian Ministry of Health from March to October 2020. We estimated relative risks with 95% confidence intervals using Poisson regression models with robust variance to assess comorbidities associated with mortality by age group: young adults (18-29 years), adults (30-59 years) and older adults (≥60 years). RESULTS.: We included 2366 young adults, 23,781 adults and 25,356 older adults. Older adults had the highest mortality (63.7%) compared to adults (27.1%) and young adults (8.5%). Regardless of age group, the presence of neurological disease, renal disease, liver disease, and cancer was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Additionally, cardiovascular disease was also a risk factor in young adults; obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic lung disease, and immunodeficiency in adults; and obesity and chronic lung disease in the elderly. CONCLUSIONS.: Regardless of age groups, individuals with chronic neurologic disease, renal disease, liver disease, and cancer were at high risk of death from COVID-19.
OBJETIVOS.: Motivation for the study. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the mortality rate from this disease was higher in adults and the elderly. Therefore, it is important to identify the factors that were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in adults, by age group. Main findings. Chronic neurological disease, kidney disease, liver disease, and cancer increased the risk of dying from COVID-19 in the three age groups we analyzed, which were made up of hospitalized patients from Lima and Callao. The risk of mortality associated with comorbidities was higher in patients aged 18 to 29. Implications. This study helps to identify the groups of patients with the highest risk of death from COVID-19, according to age group and type of comorbidity. . Evaluar las comorbilidades asociadas a la mortalidad en pacientes adultos hospitalizados por COVID-19 de diferentes grupos de edad en hospitales de Lima y Callao. MATERIALES Y MÉTODOS.: En este estudio de cohorte retrospectiva analizamos datos de pacientes adultos hospitalizados por COVID-19, notificados al Sistema Nacional de Vigilancia Epidemiológica del Ministerio de Salud de Perú de marzo a octubre del 2020. Se estimaron riesgos relativos con intervalos de confianza al 95% mediante modelos de regresión de Poisson con varianza robusta para evaluar las comorbilidades asociadas a la mortalidad por grupos de edad: jóvenes (18-29 años), adultos (30-59 años) y mayores (≥60 años). RESULTADOS.: Se incluyeron 2366 jóvenes, 23781 adultos y 25356 adultos mayores en el análisis. Los adultos mayores presentaron la mortalidad más alta (63,7%) en comparación con adultos (27,1%) y jóvenes (8,5%). Independientemente del grupo de edad, la presencia de enfermedad neurológica, enfermedad renal, enfermedad hepática y cáncer se asoció a un mayor riesgo de mortalidad. Adicionalmente, la enfermedad cardiovascular fue también un factor de riesgo en los jóvenes; la obesidad, la diabetes, la enfermedad cardiovascular, la enfermedad pulmonar crónica y la inmunodeficiencia en los adultos; y la obesidad y la enfermedad pulmonar crónica en los mayores. CONCLUSIONES: Independientemente de los grupos de edad, los individuos con enfermedad neurológica crónica, enfermedad renal, enfermedad hepática y cáncer tendrían un alto riesgo de morir por la COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hepatopatías , Neoplasias , Anciano , Adulto Joven , Humanos , Niño , COVID-19/epidemiología , Perú/epidemiología , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Comorbilidad , Factores de Riesgo , Obesidad/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica , Hepatopatías/epidemiología , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The use of contraceptive methods in Peru has remarkably increased in recent decades. Nevertheless, despite the completeness and accessibility of family planning methods, modern contraceptive methods utilization in Peru remains below the South American average. Thus, this study aimed to elucidate the factors associated with modern contraceptive use, as well as the presence of inequalities and the spatial distribution in Peruvian women aged 15-49 years in 2019. METHODS: A secondary data analysis was conducted using information from the 2019 Peruvian Demographic and Health Survey. We performed descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis, and Poisson multiple regression. Inequalities were estimated through concentration curves and Erreygers' normalized concentration index. Spatial analysis included choropleth map, Global Moran's I, Kriging interpolation and Getis-Ord-Gi* statistic. RESULTS: The prevalence of modern contraceptive use was 39.3% among Peruvian women of reproductive age. Modern contraceptive use was directly associated with youth (aPR 1.39), women having their first sexual intercourse before the age of 18 (aPR 1.41), and being married but not together (aPR 1.87). In addition, speaking Quechua or Aymara (aPR 0.87) and having no children (aPR 0.59) were inversely associated with utilization of modern contraceptives. We found the presence of inequalities in the use of contraceptive methods (pro-rich distribution), although the magnitude was low. Spatial analysis unveiled the presence of a clustered distribution pattern (Moran's Index = 0,009); however, there was inter-departmental and intra-departmental heterogeneity in the predicted prevalence of the use of modern contraceptives. In addition, significant hot and cold spots were found in Peru. CONCLUSION: Two out of five Peruvian women of reproductive age used modern contraceptives. It was associated with younger women's age, younger age at first sexual intercourse, being married or cohabitant, among others. No substantial inequality was found in modern contraceptive use. The prevalence was heterogeneous at the intra- and inter-departmental level. Those departments located in the south, south-east, and north-east had the lowest prevalence. Therefore, nonfinancial barriers must be tackled through multi- and cross-sectoral efforts and continue to universally provide modern contraceptives.
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Anticoncepción , Servicios de Planificación Familiar , Adolescente , Femenino , Humanos , Perú , Estudios Transversales , Conducta Anticonceptiva , AnticonceptivosRESUMEN
Background: This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of maternal deaths associated with COVID-19 registered in a collaborative Latin-American multi-country database. Methods: This was an observational study implemented from March 1st 2020 to November 29th 2021 in eight Latin American countries. Information was based on the Perinatal Information System from the Latin American Center for Perinatology, Women and Reproductive Health. We summarized categorical variables as frequencies and percentages and continuous variables into median with interquartile ranges. Findings: We identified a total of 447 deaths. The median maternal age was 31 years. 86·4% of women were infected antepartum, with most of the cases (60·3%) detected in the third trimester of pregnancy. The most frequent symptoms at first consultation and admission were dyspnea (73·0%), fever (69·0%), and cough (59·0%). Organ dysfunction was reported in 90·4% of women during admission. A total of 64·8% women were admitted to critical care for a median length of eight days. In most cases, the death occurred during the puerperium, with a median of seven days between delivery and death. Preterm delivery was the most common perinatal complication (76·9%) and 59·9% were low birth weight. Interpretation: This study describes the characteristics of maternal deaths in a comprehensive multi-country database in Latin America during the COVID-19 pandemic. Barriers faced by Latin American pregnant women to access intensive care services when required were also revealed. Decision-makers should strengthen severity awareness, and referral strategies to avoid potential delays. Funding: Latin American Center for Perinatology, Women and Reproductive Health.
Antecedentes: Este estudio tuvo el objetivo de describir las características clínicas de las muertes maternas asociadas a COVID-19 registradas en una base de datos latinoamericana multipaís. Métodos: Se implementó un estudio observacional descriptivo en el que participaron ochos países Latinoamericanos desde el 1ero de marzo 2020 al 29 de noviembre 2021. La información se obtuvo del Sistema Informático Perinatal del Centro Latino Americano de Perinatología, Salud de la Mujer y Reproductiva. Presentamos las variables categóricas como frecuencias y porcentajes y las variables continuas en medianas con rangos inter cuartiles. Resultados: Identificamos un total de 447 muertes. La mediana de edad materna fue de 31 años. 86·4% de las mujeres se infectaron ante del parto, siendo la mayoría de los casos detectados en el tercer trimestre del embarazo (60·3%). Los síntomas más frecuentes en la primera consulta y la admisión fueron disnea (73·0%), fiebre (69·0%), y tos (59·0%). Se reportaron disfunciones orgánicas en 90·4% de las mujeres durante la admisión. Un total de 64·8% de las mujeres fueron ingresadas a cuidados críticos por una mediana de ocho días de estadía. En la mayoría de los casos la muerte ocurrió durante el puerperio, con una media de siete días entre el parto y su ocurrencia. El parto prematuro fue la complicación perinatal más frecuente (76·9%) y 59·9% tuvo bajo peso al nacer. Interpretación: Este estudio describe las características de las muertes maternas durante la pandemia por COVID-19 a partir de una base colaborativa multipaís. Se observaron barreras para el acceso a cuidados intensivos. Los tomadores de decisión deberían trabajar en el fortalecimiento de la conciencia de gravedad, y en estrategias de referencia para evitar potenciales demoras. Financiamiento: Centro Latino Americano de Perinatología, Salud de la Mujer y Reproductiva.
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BACKGROUND: Few studies have described the clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 from ethnic minority groups. Our objective was to evaluate the mortality and incidence rates, clinical characteristics and factors associated with mortality in cases with COVID-19 belonging to the Amazonian indigenous ethnic group in Peru. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study including all cases from COVID-19 among Peruvian people identified as Amazonian indigenous from 07 March to 31 October 2020. We calculated the standardized mortality and incidence ratios using the indirect age-adjusted method to determine the differences between Amazonian Indigenous and the general population. In addition, we used multivariable logistic regression to determine the risk factors for death. RESULTS: A total of 19 018 laboratory confirmed COVID-19 cases were analyzed. Indigenous people had 3.18 (95% CI, 3.13-3.23) times the risk of infection and 0.34 (0.31-0.37) times the mortality risk of the general Peruvian population. Males had 1.29 (1.04-1.61) times the odds of death compared with females and for each year of age, the odds of mortality increased 1.03 (1.03-1.04) times. Cases with respiratory distress had 2.47 (1.96-3.10) times more likely to die. Having an immunodeficiency was 18.7 (6.12-57.00) times more likely to die. DISCUSSION: The Amazonian indigenous population in Peru was strongly affected by COVID-19 compared with the general Peruvian population.
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COVID-19 , Etnicidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Grupos Minoritarios , Perú/epidemiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: A proactive approach to preventing and responding to emerging infectious diseases is critical to global health security. We present a three-stage approach to modeling the spatial distribution of outbreak vulnerability to Aedes aegypti-vectored diseases in Perú. METHODS: Extending a framework developed for modeling hemorrhagic fever vulnerability in Africa, we modeled outbreak vulnerability in three stages: index case potential (stage 1), outbreak receptivity (stage 2), and epidemic potential (stage 3), stratifying scores on season and El Niño events. Subsequently, we evaluated the validity of these scores using dengue surveillance data and spatial models. RESULTS: We found high validity for stage 1 and 2 scores, but not stage 3 scores. Vulnerability was highest in Selva Baja and Costa, and in summer and during El Niño events, with index case potential (stage 1) being high in both regions but outbreak receptivity (stage 2) being generally high in Selva Baja only. CONCLUSIONS: Stage 1 and 2 scores are well-suited to predicting outbreaks of Ae. aegypti-vectored diseases in this setting, however stage 3 scores appear better suited to diseases with direct human-to-human transmission. To prevent outbreaks, measures to detect index cases should be targeted to both Selva Baja and Costa, while Selva Baja should be prioritized for healthcare system strengthening. Successful extension of this framework from hemorrhagic fevers in Africa to an arbovirus in Latin America indicates its broad utility for outbreak and pandemic preparedness and response activities.
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Aedes , Arbovirus , Dengue , Epidemias , Animales , Dengue/epidemiología , Dengue/prevención & control , Humanos , Insectos Vectores , Mosquitos VectoresRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Worldwide, Peru has one of the highest infection fatality rates of COVID-19, and its capital city, Lima, accumulates roughly 50% of diagnosed cases. Despite surveillance efforts to assess the extent of the pandemic, reported cases and deaths only capture a fraction of its impact due to COVID-19's broad clinical spectrum. This study aimed to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Lima, stratified by age, sex, region, socioeconomic status (SES), overcrowding, and symptoms. METHODS: We conducted a multi-stage, population-based serosurvey in Lima, between June 28th and July 9th, 2020, after 115 days of the index case and after the first peak cases. We collected whole blood samples by finger-prick and applied a structured questionnaire. A point-of-care rapid serological test assessed IgM and IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. Seroprevalence estimates were adjusted by sampling weights and test performance. Additionally, we performed RT-PCR molecular assays to seronegatives and estimated the infection prevalence. FINDINGS: We enrolled 3212 participants from 797 households and 241 sample clusters from Lima in the analysis. The SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was 20·8% (95%CI 17·2-23·5), and the prevalence was 25·2% (95%CI 22·5-28·2). Seroprevalence was equally distributed by sex (aPR=0·96 [95%CI 0·85-1·09, p = 0·547]) and across all age groups, including ≥60 versus ≤11 years old (aPR=0·96 [95%CI 0·73-1·27, p = 0·783]). A gradual decrease in SES was associated with higher seroprevalence (aPR=3·41 [95%CI 1·90-6·12, p<0·001] in low SES). Also, a gradual increase in the overcrowding index was associated with higher seroprevalence (aPR=1·99 [95%CI 1·41-2·81, p<0·001] in the fourth quartile). Seroprevalence was also associated with contact with a suspected or confirmed COVID-19 case, whether a household member (48·9%, aPR=2·67 [95%CI 2·06-3·47, p<0·001]), other family members (27·3%, aPR=1·66 [95%CI 1·15-2·40, p = 0·008]) or a workmate (34·1%, aPR=2·26 [95%CI 1·53-3·35, p<0·001]). More than half of seropositive participants reported never having had symptoms (56·1%, 95% CI 49·7-62·3). INTERPRETATION: This first estimate of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Lima shows an intense transmission scenario, despite the government's numerous interventions early established. Susceptibles across age groups show that physical distancing interventions must not be relaxed. SES and overcrowding households are associated with seroprevalence. This study highlights the importance of considering the existing social inequalities for implementing the response to control transmission in low- and middle-income countries.
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Outbreaks of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) are uncommon. In May 2019, national surveillance in Peru detected an increase in GBS cases in excess of the expected incidence of 1.2 cases/100,000 population. Several clinical and epidemiologic findings call into question the suggested association between this GBS outbreak and Campylobacter.
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Infecciones por Campylobacter , Brotes de Enfermedades , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré , Adolescente , Adulto , Campylobacter , Infecciones por Campylobacter/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Perú/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged in Wuhan China has generated substantial morbidity and mortality impact around the world during the last four months. The daily trend in reported cases has been rapidly rising in Latin America since March 2020 with the great majority of the cases reported in Brazil followed by Peru as of April 15th, 2020. Although Peru implemented a range of social distancing measures soon after the confirmation of its first case on March 6th, 2020, the daily number of new COVID-19 cases continues to accumulate in this country. We assessed the early COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima, Peru. We estimated the reproduction number, R, during the early transmission phase in Lima from the daily series of imported and autochthonous cases by the date of symptoms onset as of March 30th, 2020. We also assessed the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima by generating short-term forecasts grounded on the early transmission dynamics before interventions were put in place. Prior to the implementation of the social distancing measures in Lima, the local incidence curve by the date of symptoms onset displays near exponential growth dynamics with the mean scaling of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.9 (95%CI: 0.9,1.0) and the reproduction number at 2.3 (95% CI: 2.0, 2.5). Our analysis indicates that school closures and other social distancing interventions have helped slow down the spread of the novel coronavirus, with the nearly exponential growth trend shifting to an approximately linear growth trend soon after the broad scale social distancing interventions were put in place by the government. While the interventions appear to have slowed the transmission rate in Lima, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accumulate, highlighting the need to strengthen social distancing and active case finding efforts to mitigate disease transmission in the region.
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The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged in Wuhan China has generated substantial morbidity and mortality impact around the world during the last four months. The daily trend in reported cases has been rapidly rising in Latin America since March 2020 with the great majority of the cases reported in Brazil followed by Peru as of April 15th, 2020. Although Peru implemented a range of social distancing measures soon after the confirmation of its first case on March 6th, 2020, the daily number of new COVID-19 cases continues to accumulate in this country. We assessed the early COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima, Peru. We estimated the reproduction number, R, during the early transmission phase in Lima from the daily series of imported and autochthonous cases by the date of symptoms onset as of March 30th, 2020. We also assessed the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima by generating short-term forecasts grounded on the early transmission dynamics before interventions were put in place. Prior to the implementation of the social distancing measures in Lima, the local incidence curve by the date of symptoms onset displays near exponential growth dynamics with the mean scaling of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.96 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.0) and the reproduction number at 2.3 (95% CI: 2.0, 2.5). Our analysis indicates that school closures and other social distancing interventions have helped slow down the spread of the novel coronavirus, with the nearly exponential growth trend shifting to an approximately linear growth trend soon after the broad scale social distancing interventions were put in place by the government. While the interventions appear to have slowed the transmission rate in Lima, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accumulate, highlighting the need to strengthen social distancing and active case finding efforts to mitigate disease transmission in the region.
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BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) transmission has long been recognized as an important occupational hazard for healthcare workers (HCWs). HCWs have a 5.8% annual risk of exposure and three times greater risk of developing active TB than the general population. METHODS: We conducted an observational cross-sectional study between September 2014 and March 2015 among HCWs in a high-burden TB setting in Lima to estimate the prevalence of positive Tuberculin Skin Test (TST) and to investigate factors associated with a positive TST. RESULTS: Two hundred forty participants were included in the analysis; TST was administered to 190 (79.2%) while the rest were exempt due to a previous positive TST result, history of TB, or test refusal. A positive TST result was found among 56.2% of participants to whom the TST was applied (95% CI: 49.22-63.55%). When considering those who had a previous positive TST result and those with a history of TB, the prevalence of a positive TST result was 64.3% (95% CI: 57.8-70.3%). No significant differences were observed between clinical/paramedical and administrative staff in the health center. The use of N95 masks during work hours was reported by 142 (69.9%) participants. Prevalence ratios (PR) show that workers with more than 120 months as a HCW were 1.44 times more likely to be TST positive. The multivariate analysis found that HCWs with over 10 years of service were 1.52 times more likely to be TST positive. CONCLUSION: This study supports previous reports that TB infection is an occupational hazard for HCWs. Prevention of TB transmission through control measures, as well as timely diagnosis of LTBI in this particular high-risk group, is critical for individual and public health.
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Personal de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Tuberculosis Latente/diagnóstico , Exposición Profesional/estadística & datos numéricos , Prueba de Tuberculina/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Tuberculosis Latente/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Latente/prevención & control , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Exposición Profesional/prevención & control , Perú , Prevalencia , Salud Pública , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiological behavior of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) in Peru. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Descriptive study of secondary data on the Ministry of Health (MINSA) hospital discharges during the period 2012-2017; EsSalud and SuSalud hospital discharges between 2015 and 2017; and national mortality data between 2014-2016. The identification of GBS in the databases was carried out using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th version, by means of code G610. Incidence, fatality rate, and mortality were estimated by age, sex, and department group. RESULTS: A total of 955 cases of GBS were identified in the database of MINSA hospital discharges between 2012 and 2017, with a higher frequency in men, within the 20 to 59-year old population. The national incidence of GBS per 100,000 inhabitants was 0.62 (2015), 0.92 (2016), and 0.91 (2017), being higher in older adults and in men. The overall case fatality rate was 3.5%, and was highest in those over 60. The average length of hospitalization was 16 ± 22 days. In addition, Lima is the department that accounted for more than 40% of all GBS cases; and Cusco, Lima, Callao, Lambayeque, and Arequipa had the highest incidence. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides relevant information to better understand the epidemiological behavior of GBS in Peru, and thus ensure adequate patient care nationally.
Objetivos. Describir el comportamiento epidemiológico del síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB) en el Perú. Materiales y métodos. Estudio descriptivo de datos secundarios sobre egresos hospitalarios del Ministerio de Salud (MINSA) durante el periodo 2012 - 2017, egresos hospitalarios de EsSalud y de SuSalud entre 2015 y 2017, y datos nacionales de mortalidad entre 2014-2016. La identificación del SGB en las bases de datos se realizó utilizando la Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades, 10ª versión, mediante el código G610. Se estimó la incidencia, tasa de letalidad y mortalidad por grupos de edad, sexo y departamento. Resultados. En la base de datos de egresos hospitalarios del MINSA se identificaron un total de 955 casos de SBG entre 2012 y 2017, con una mayor frecuencia en hombres y en la población de 20 a 59 años. La incidencia nacional de SGB por cada 100 mil habitantes fue de 0,62 (2015), 0,92 (2016) y 0,91 (2017), siendo más alta en adultos mayores y en hombres. La tasa de letalidad global fue de 3,5%, y fue más alta en los mayores de 60 años. El promedio del tiempo de hospitalización fue de 16 ± 22 días.. Además, Lima es el departamento que concentró más del 40% de casos de SGB y Cusco, Lima, Callao, Lambayeque y Arequipa tuvieron la mayor incidencia. Conclusiones. Este estudio proporciona información relevante para entender mejor el comportamiento epidemiológico del SGB en el Perú, y así poder garantizar una atención adecuada de los pacientes a nivel nacional.
Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Perú/epidemiología , Adulto JovenAsunto(s)
Suplementos Dietéticos , Hemoglobina A/análisis , Hierro de la Dieta/administración & dosificación , Micronutrientes/administración & dosificación , Preescolar , Humanos , Lactante , Cooperación del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Perú , Estudios Prospectivos , Vigilancia de Guardia , Factores de TiempoAsunto(s)
Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Glaucoma de Ángulo Abierto/fisiopatología , Presión Intraocular/fisiología , Valores de Referencia , Factores de Tiempo , Tonometría Ocular , Agua/fisiología , Campos Visuales/fisiología , Glaucoma de Ángulo Abierto/terapia , Estudios Prospectivos , Estadísticas no Paramétricas , Pruebas del Campo VisualRESUMEN
RESUMEN Objetivos. Describir el comportamiento epidemiológico del síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB) en el Perú. Materiales y métodos. Estudio descriptivo de datos secundarios sobre egresos hospitalarios del Ministerio de Salud (MINSA) durante el periodo 2012 - 2017, egresos hospitalarios de EsSalud y de SuSalud entre 2015 y 2017, y datos nacionales de mortalidad entre 2014-2016. La identificación del SGB en las bases de datos se realizó utilizando la Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades, 10ª versión, mediante el código G610. Se estimó la incidencia, tasa de letalidad y mortalidad por grupos de edad, sexo y departamento. Resultados. En la base de datos de egresos hospitalarios del MINSA se identificaron un total de 955 casos de SBG entre 2012 y 2017, con una mayor frecuencia en hombres y en la población de 20 a 59 años. La incidencia nacional de SGB por cada 100 mil habitantes fue de 0,62 (2015), 0,92 (2016) y 0,91 (2017), siendo más alta en adultos mayores y en hombres. La tasa de letalidad global fue de 3,5%, y fue más alta en los mayores de 60 años. El promedio del tiempo de hospitalización fue de 16 ± 22 días.. Además, Lima es el departamento que concentró más del 40% de casos de SGB y Cusco, Lima, Callao, Lambayeque y Arequipa tuvieron la mayor incidencia. Conclusiones. Este estudio proporciona información relevante para entender mejor el comportamiento epidemiológico del SGB en el Perú, y así poder garantizar una atención adecuada de los pacientes a nivel nacional.
ABSTRACT Objective. To describe the epidemiological behavior of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) in Peru. Materials and Methods. Descriptive study of secondary data on the Ministry of Health (MINSA) hospital discharges during the period 2012-2017; EsSalud and SuSalud hospital discharges between 2015 and 2017; and national mortality data between 2014-2016. The identification of GBS in the databases was carried out using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th version, by means of code G610. Incidence, fatality rate, and mortality were estimated by age, sex, and department group. Results. A total of 955 cases of GBS were identified in the database of MINSA hospital discharges between 2012 and 2017, with a higher frequency in men, within the 20 to 59-year old population. The national incidence of GBS per 100,000 inhabitants was 0.62 (2015), 0.92 (2016), and 0.91 (2017), being higher in older adults and in men. The overall case fatality rate was 3.5%, and was highest in those over 60. The average length of hospitalization was 16 ± 22 days. In addition, Lima is the department that accounted for more than 40% of all GBS cases; and Cusco, Lima, Callao, Lambayeque, and Arequipa had the highest incidence. Conclusions. This study provides relevant information to better understand the epidemiological behavior of GBS in Peru, and thus ensure adequate patient care nationally.