RESUMEN
Objective To investigate the risk factors of postoperative fecal contamination in children pa-tients with Hirschsprung's disease(HSCR),and to construct and evaluate the risk predictive model.Methods The clinical data in 377 children patients with HSCR in 3 class 3A hospitals in Guangxi from Janu-ary 2016 to June 2021were retrospectively analyzed by adopting the convenience sampling method.The pa-tients were divided into the modeling group(n=264)and testing model group(n=113)with a ratio of 7∶3.The risk factors of postoperative fecal soiling were analyzed by the single factor and multiple factors,and the risk predictive model was constructed.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to detect the discriminative ability of the model and the H-L test was used to determine the goodness of fit of the mod-el.The model was prospectively validated in 21 children patients with HSCR from August to December 2021.Results Among 377 children patients with HSCR,the fecal soiling occurred in 131 cases with a incidence rate of 34.75％.The constructed predictive model of fecal contamination risk after HSCR operation:logit(P)=-2.385+1.697 × special type of megacolon+0.929 × Soave+0.105 × length of bowel resection+2.065 × il-literate caregivers+0.808 × caregivers'implementation of postoperative diet+0.867 × postoperative defecation training by caregivers.The area under the curve(AUC)in the modeling group was 0.849,the Yoden index was 0.53,the optimal critical value of the model was 0.32,the sensitivity was 76.00％,and the specificity was 77.00％.The H-L test,X2=6.649,P=0.575.AUC of the testing model group was 0.736,the sensitivity was 81.25％,and the specificity was 78.46％.The prospective validation results showed that the sensitivity and specificity of the model were 66.67％and 100％respectively.Conclusion The constructed model has good i-dentification and predictive ability.
RESUMEN
Objective To compare the clinical characteristics of chronic bronchitis ( CB),emphysema (EM ), asthma - chronic obstructive pulmonary disease overlapping syndrome ( ACOS ) with frequent exacerbations ( FE ) or infrequent exacerbations ( iFE ) and induced sputum inflammatory cells and the heterogeneity of the transmitter. Methods Ninety-one cases of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease( COPD) with acute exacerbation were divided into CB,EM or ACOS phenotype,among which 44 were frequent,and 47 were non frequent. The clinical data,induced sputum inflammatory cells,interferon-γ(IFN-γ),tumor necrosis factor-α ( TNF-α ), interleukin ( IL )-4, IL-13 were analyzed. Results The FEV1% was ( 47 ± 13. 1 )%, significantly lower than that of non frequent episodes (( 56. 2 ± 10. 2)%),and the difference was statistically significant(P＝0.049).The FEV1/FVC% was (54.3±9.3)%,significantly lower than that of non frequent episodes (60. 1±7. 3)%,and there was a significant difference between them ( P＝0. 001) . The proportion of patients with GOLD III and IV,the percentage of neutrophils in induced sputum,tumor necrosis factor -α(TNF-α) and interferon-γin the patients with frequent episodes were significantly higher than those with non frequent episodes (P＜0. 05). Among them,FEV1/FVC% and TNF-αwere independent risk factors for COPD patients (P＝0. 032, 0. 021) . The FEV1% of patients with CB phenotypic frequent episodes were ( 47. 9 ± 14. 9 )%, significantly lower than that of non frequent episodes ((57. 2±10. 9)%)(P＝0. 000),and FEV1/FVC% was (53. 4± 9. 5)% in patients with CB frequent episodes,significantly lower than that of non frequent episodes ((60. 3±6. 9)%),and the difference was statistically significant (P＝0. 022),while the level of N%,TNF-α in induced sputum were significantly higher in CB phenotype subjects with FE than those in subjects with iFE(P＜0. 01). Patients with frequent episodes of emphysema had longer duration of disease (P＜0. 05),lower FEV1%and FEV1/FVC%(P＜0. 05),the proportion of GOLD III patients and the induced sputum TNF-αwere higher, but there was no significant difference in the number and proportion of phlegm inflammatory cells,interferon-γ, interleukin 4 and interleukin 3. The level of GOLD III and the IL-13 level of induced sputum in patients with frequent ACOS phenotype were significantly higher than those in patients with non frequent episodes (P＜0. 05) . Conclusion The lung function,the severity of the disease,the course of the disease,and the percentage of sputum neutrophils,tumor necrosis factor-α,or interleukin 13 are helpful in diagnosing patients with high risk of frequent episodes.