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OBJECTIVES: Risk factors for loss to follow-up (LTFU) were assessed for people living with HIV (PLHIV) at various reference out-patient clinics (expertise level II) and hospitals (expertise level III) in Mali. METHODS: HIV-1-positive adults starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in 2006-2013 were eligible for inclusion. Risk factors for LTFU, defined as no visit in the 6 months preceding the last database update, were assessed with the Cox model, taking into account the competing risks of transfer and death. Potential risk factors at the start of ART were demographic and socioeconomic variables, World Health Organization (WHO) stage, CD4 count, period of ART initiation, type of ART, region of care, expertise level and distance from home. RESULTS: We included 9821 PLHIV, 33% of whom were male, starting ART at nine out-patient clinics and seven hospitals [five and two in the capital Bamako and four and five in the 'regions' (i.e. districts outside the capital), respectively] with a median (interquartile range) CD4 count of 153 (56-270) cells/µL. Five-year cumulative incidences of LTFU, transfer and death were 35.2, 9.7 and 6.7%, respectively. People followed at Bamako hospitals > 5 km from home, at regional hospitals or at regional out-patient clinics < 5 km from home were at higher risk of LTFU than people followed at Bamako out-patient clinics, whereas people followed at regional out-patient clinics 5-50 km away from home were at lower risk for LTFU. Deaths were less frequent at hospitals, whether in Bamako or in the regions, than at Bamako out-patient clinics, and more frequent at regional out-patient clinics. CONCLUSIONS: Expertise level and distance to care were associated with LTFU. Stigmatization may play a role for PLHIV living close to the centres in the regions.

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OBJECTIVE: We aimed to retrieve the vital status of patients lost to follow-up (LFU), with no further visits for at least 12 months, for the 34,835 patients in the Agence Nationale de Recherche sur le SIDA CO4 French Hospital Database on HIV (ANRS CO4 FHDH) seen in 1999 and to examine how loss to follow-up might influence estimates of survival and the impact of delayed access to care (DAC) on survival. METHODS: The status of LFU patients was established by using the mid-2006 update of the FHDH in which their status 12 months after loss to follow-up was added when available and by matching with the Mortalité 2000-Epidemiological Centre for Medical Causes of Death (CépiDc) database, which included HIV-infected patients dying in 2000. We compared Kaplan-Meier and hazard ratio (HR) estimates before and after correction for the status of LFU patients. RESULTS: In the mid-2006 updated FHDH, of the patients seen in 1999, 7.5% were LFU: of these, 2.1% later returned for follow-up, with a median time without follow-up in an FHDH centre of 3.5 years, and 5.4% had no further FHDH visits whatsoever, of whom 29.8% died according to Mortalité 2000-CépiDc. After correction, the estimated 1-year survival rates following enrolment in 1999 differed between the original and updated analyses (97.1 vs. 95.9%, respectively; P=0.017); the estimates of mortality HRs associated with DAC did not differ during the first 6 months, but did differ for the 6-18-month period. CONCLUSIONS: Among LFU patients, 28.1% returned to follow-up after several years and at least 21.4% died, which led to a slight overestimation of both survival and the impact of DAC on survival.

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We estimated the number of deaths in France for the year 2000 in HIV-infected adults using three sources. The sources were (1) the 'Mortalité 2000' survey (M2000): 964 deaths were documented by 185 hospital wards involved in HIV management; (2) 1288 death certificates with a mention of HIV infection (INSERM-CepiDc) and (3) the French hospital database on HIV infection (FHDH) identified 654 deaths. The capture-recapture method was used with log-linear modelling. Overall 1559 deaths were observed. Estimation of the number of deaths in France was 1699 (95% CI 1671-1727). The completeness of M2000, CepiDc and FHDH were 55%, 76% and 38% respectively. Diversification of diseases and of causes of death in HIV-infected adults may explain: (1) the diversification of physicians involved in their management and incomplete coverage of M2000 and FHDH, and (2) why HIV infection was not mentioned in all death certificates.

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OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and tolerance of chemoprophylaxis with cotrimoxazole compared with placebo among HIV-1-infected adults. DESIGN: Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial in the urban community of Dakar, Senegal. METHODS: Eligibility criteria were age greater than 15 years, HIV-1 or HIV-1 and HIV-2 dual seropositivity, CD4 cell count lower than 400 copies/mm3, no progressive infection, no previous history of intolerance to sulphonamide, lack of severe anemia or neutropenia, and renal or hepatic failure. Written informed consent was obtained. Recruited patients received 80 mg of trimethoprim and 400 mg of sulphamethoxazole daily or a matching placebo. The main outcomes were survival and the occurrence of clinical events defined as Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia, cerebral toxoplasmosis, bacterial pneumonia, infectious enteritis, bacterial meningitis, urinary tract infection, bacterial otitis and sinusitis, and pyomyositis. RESULTS: Between September 1996 and March 1998, 297 patients were screened, and 100 were randomized in the study. Demographic, clinical, and biological characteristics of the two groups were similar as was the mean length of follow-up (7.7 months for the cotrimoxazole group vs. 8.0 months for the placebo group). There was no significant difference between the two groups in survival (hazard ratio = 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.36-1.94) in the probability of severe event occurrence, defined as death or hospital admission (hazard ratio = 1.10; 95% CI: 0.57-2.13), or in the probability of clinical event occurrence (hazard ratio = 1.19; 95% CI: 0.55-2.59). Adjustment for initial CD4 cell count did not change these results. A low dose of cotrimoxazole was tolerated well clinically as well as biologically; only one treatment interruption occurred as the result of a moderate cutaneous eruption (grade 2). CONCLUSION: Our study does not show a beneficial effect of chemoprophylaxis with low-dose cotrimoxazole on survival or occurrence of opportunistic or nonopportunistic infections for HIV-1-infected patients in Dakar, Senegal.

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OBJECTIVE: To estimate the completeness of the French mandatory AIDS surveillance system (Declaration Obligatoire DO) over the 1990-1993 period using a capture-recapture approach, by matching the mandatory reports with the AIDS cases present in the French Hospital Database on HIV infection (FHDH). METHODS: An anonymous record-linkage algorithm was developed to identify those cases common to both anonymous surveillance systems. The linkage was based on sex, date of birth, and infection risk group, all strictly matched, and on the dates of AIDS diagnosis and of death, the places of diagnosis and residence, and the AIDS-defining diseases at diagnosis. The total number of AIDS cases and completeness of both surveillance systems were estimated using a capture-recapture approach, assuming independence of the ascertainment sources. RESULTS: The completeness of the mandatory reporting was estimated at 83.6% (95% CI: 82.9-84.3), and that of the FHDH at 47.6% (95% CI: 46.9-48.3) for the surveillance of AIDS cases diagnosed among adults in France between 1990 and 1993. The completeness of the system based on FHDH increased over the study period as more hospitals joined the project, while the completeness of the DO surveillance system remained stable. CONCLUSION: This approach was useful in estimating the underreporting of AIDS cases in France. Regularly performed, it will allow the impact of underreporting to be monitored over time.

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