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Background: COVID-19 dynamics are driven by a complex interplay of factors including population behaviour, new variants, vaccination and immunity from prior infections. We quantify drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the Dominican Republic, an upper-middle income country of 10.8 million people. We then assess the impact of the vaccination campaign implemented in February 2021, primarily using CoronaVac, in saving lives and averting hospitalisations. Methods: We fit an age-structured, multi-variant transmission dynamic model to reported deaths, hospital bed occupancy, and seroprevalence data until December 2021, and simulate epidemic trajectories under different counterfactual scenarios. Findings: We estimate that vaccination averted 7210 hospital admissions (95% credible interval, CrI: 6830-7600), 2180 intensive care unit admissions (95% CrI: 2080-2280) and 766 deaths (95% CrI: 694-859) in the first 6 months of the campaign. If no vaccination had occurred, we estimate that an additional decrease of 10-20% in population mobility would have been required to maintain equivalent death and hospitalisation outcomes. We also found that early vaccination with CoronaVac was preferable to delayed vaccination using a product with higher efficacy. Interpretation: SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in the Dominican Republic were driven by a substantial accumulation of immunity during the first two years of the pandemic but, despite this, vaccination was essential in enabling a return to pre-pandemic mobility levels without considerable additional morbidity and mortality. Funding: Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, Royal Society, US CDC and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

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BACKGROUND: Risk communication tools based on epidemiological models can help inform decision-making, but must be responsive to health literacy needs to be effective. To facilitate informed choice about risks and benefits of COVID-19 vaccination, an epidemiological model called the COVID-19 Risk Calculator (CoRiCal) tool was developed by a multi-disciplinary team. AIM: This paper demonstrates how to use health literacy principles to improve consumer understanding of COVID-19 and vaccine effects, using a range of methods that could be applied to any health emergency. METHODS: Stage 1: Health literacy optimisation and user testing to reduce improve understandability (n = 19). Stage 2: Experiments to explore the effect of risk communication formats on perceived understanding including probability, graphs, evaluative labels and comparison risks (n = 207). Stage 3: Randomised controlled trial (n = 2005) with 4 arms: 1) standard government information; 2) standard CoRiCal output based on bar graphs; 3) animation explaining bar graphs in "x per million" format; 4) animation explaining bar graphs in "1 in x chance" format. The primary outcome was knowledge about COVID-19 risk. RESULTS: Stage 1 reduced the complexity of the text and graphs. Stage 2 showed that different risk communication formats change perceived understanding, with a preference for evaluative labels across 2 experiments and some indication people with lower health literacy had a greater preference for bar graphs. Stage 3 showed both animations increased knowledge compared to standard government information. There was no difference between the probability formats, or by health literacy level. DISCUSSION: The results showed that simple explanations of complex epidemiological models improve knowledge about COVID-19 and vaccination. This demonstrates how health literacy design principles and short animations can be used to support informed decision making about health emergencies.

Asunto(s)

Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Alfabetización en Salud , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunación , Humanos , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Femenino , Medición de Riesgo , Masculino , Adulto , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vacunación/psicología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Adolescente , Urgencias Médicas , Toma de Decisiones , Comprensión , Comunicación en Salud/métodos

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BACKGROUND: Lymphatic filariasis (LF) is a globally significant, vector-borne, neglected tropical disease that can result in severe morbidity and disability. As the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis makes progress towards LF elimination, there is greater need to develop sensitive strategies for post-intervention surveillance. Molecular xenomonitoring (MX), the detection of pathogen DNA in vectors, may provide a sensitive complement to traditional human-based surveillance techniques, including detection of circulating filarial antigen and microfilaraemia (Mf). This study aims to explore the relationship between human Mf prevalence and the prevalence of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive mosquitoes using MX. METHODS: This study compared Mf and MX results from a 2019 community-based survey conducted in 35 primary sampling units (PSUs) in Samoa. This study also investigated concordance between presence and absence of PCR-positive mosquitoes and Mf-positive participants at the PSU level, and calculated sensitivity and negative predictive values for each indicator using presence of any Mf-positive infection in humans or PCR-positive mosquitoes as a reference. Correlation between prevalence of filarial DNA in mosquitoes and Mf in humans was estimated at the PSU and household/trap level using mixed-effect Bayesian multilevel regression analysis. RESULTS: Mf-positive individuals were identified in less than half of PSUs in which PCR-positive mosquito pools were present (13 of 28 PSUs). Prevalence of PCR-positive mosquitoes (each species separately) was positively correlated with Mf prevalence in humans at the PSU level. Analysed at the species level, only Aedes polynesiensis demonstrated strong evidence of positive correlation (r) with human Mf prevalence at both PSU (r: 0.5, 95% CrI 0.1-0.8) and trap/household levels (r: 0.6, 95% CrI 0.2-0.9). CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study demonstrate that MX can be a sensitive surveillance method for identifying residual infection in low Mf prevalence settings. MX identified more locations with signals of transmission than Mf-testing. Strong correlation between estimated PCR-positive mosquitoes in the primary vector species and Mf in humans at small spatial scales demonstrates the utility of MX as an indicator for LF prevalence in Samoa and similar settings. Further investigation is needed to develop MX guidelines to strengthen the ability of MX to inform operational decisions.

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Filariasis Linfática , Mosquitos Vectores , Wuchereria bancrofti , Filariasis Linfática/epidemiología , Filariasis Linfática/parasitología , Filariasis Linfática/diagnóstico , Humanos , Animales , Prevalencia , Mosquitos Vectores/parasitología , Masculino , Wuchereria bancrofti/genética , Wuchereria bancrofti/aislamiento & purificación , Samoa/epidemiología , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Niño , Microfilarias/aislamiento & purificación , Anciano

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BACKGROUND: Individual immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 are well-studied, while the combined effect of these responses on population-level immune dynamics remains poorly understood. Given the key role of population immunity on pathogen transmission, delineation of the factors that drive population immune evolution has critical public health implications. METHODS: We enrolled individuals 5 years and older selected using a multistage cluster survey approach in the Northwest and Southeast of the Dominican Republic. Paired blood samples were collected mid-pandemic (Aug 2021) and late pandemic (Nov 2022). We measured serum pan-immunoglobulin antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) and random forest models were used to analyze the relationship between changes in antibody levels and various predictor variables. Principal component analysis and partial dependence plots further explored the relationships between predictors and antibody changes. FINDINGS: We found a transformation in the distribution of antibody levels from an irregular to a normalized single peak Gaussian distribution that was driven by titre-dependent boosting. This led to the convergence of antibody levels around a common immune setpoint, irrespective of baseline titres and vaccination profile. INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that titre-dependent kinetics driven by widespread transmission direct the evolution of population immunity in a consistent manner. These findings have implications for targeted vaccination strategies and improved modeling of future transmission, providing a preliminary blueprint for understanding population immune dynamics that could guide public health and vaccine policy for SARS-CoV-2 and potentially other pathogens. FUNDING: The study was primarily funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention grant U01GH002238 (EN). Salary support was provided by Wellcome Trust grant 206250/Z/17/Z (AK) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator grant APP1158469 (CLL).

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BACKGROUND: Understanding mortality among travellers is essential for mitigating risks and enhancing travel safety. However, limited evidence exists on severe illnesses and injuries leading to death among travellers, particularly in low- and middle-income countries and remote regions. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective census study using country-level observational data from death certificates of travellers of seven South American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Uruguay) from 2017 to 2021. Causes of death were evaluated using ICD-10 codes, categorised into non-communicable diseases (NCDs), communicable diseases, and injuries. We quantified causes of death by demographic characteristics (e.g. age, sex), and geographical variables. Chi-square tests were used to assess differences between categories. We calculated crude mortality rates and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) per country's subregions. RESULTS: A total of 17 245 deaths were reported. NCDs (55%) were the most common cause of death, followed by communicable diseases (23.4%) and injuries (18.1%). NCD-associated deaths increased after age 55 years and were highest among ≥85 years. Communicable diseases were more common at younger age (<20 years). Injury-associated deaths were more common in men (79.9%) and 25-29-year-olds (17.1%). Most deaths (68.2%) could have been avoided by prevention or treatment. Mortality risk was higher among travellers in bordering regions between countries. In Roraima [Brazil] and Norte de Santander [Colombia], locations bordering Venezuela, the death incidence rate ratio was 863 and 60, respectively. These countries' reference mortality rates in those regions were much lower. More than 80% of the deaths in these border regions of Brazil and Colombia involved Venezuelan citizens. Conclusion: The study identified risk factors and high-risk locations for deaths among travellers in seven countries of South America. Our findings underscore the need for specific health interventions tailored to traveller demographics and destination to optimise prevention of avoidable deaths in South America.

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Measles in persons with secondary vaccination failure (SVF) may be less infectious than cases in unvaccinated persons. Our systematic review aimed to assess transmission risk for measles after SVF. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases from their inception dates. Inclusion criteria were articles describing persons who were exposed to measles-infected persons who had experienced SVF. Across the included 14 studies, >3,030 persons were exposed to measles virus from SVF cases, of whom 180 were susceptible, indicating secondary attack rates of 0%-6.25%. We identified 109 cases of SVF from the studies; 10.09% (n = 11) of case-patients transmitted the virus, resulting in 23 further cases and yielding an effective reproduction number of 0.063 (95% CI 0.0-0.5). These findings suggest a remarkably low attack rate for SVF measles cases, suggesting that, In outbreak situations, public health management of unvaccinated persons could be prioritized over persons with SVF.

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Vacuna Antisarampión , Virus del Sarampión , Sarampión , Humanos , Sarampión/transmisión , Sarampión/prevención & control , Sarampión/epidemiología , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Virus del Sarampión/inmunología , Inmunización Secundaria , Brotes de Enfermedades , Insuficiencia del Tratamiento , Vacunación

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BACKGROUND: Lymphatic filariasis (LF), a mosquito-borne helminth infection, is an important cause of chronic disability globally. The World Health Organization has validated eight Pacific Island countries as having eliminated lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem, but there are limited data to support an evidence-based approach to post-validation surveillance (PVS). Tonga was validated as having eliminated LF in 2017 but no surveillance has been conducted since 2015. This paper describes a protocol for an operational research project investigating different PVS methods in Tonga to provide an evidence base for national and regional PVS strategies. METHODS: Programmatic baseline surveys and Transmission Assessment Surveys conducted between 2000-2015 were reviewed to identify historically 'high-risk' and 'low-risk' schools and communities. 'High-risk' were those with LF antigen (Ag)-positive individuals recorded in more than one survey, whilst 'low-risk' were those with no recorded Ag-positives. The outcome measure for ongoing LF transmission will be Ag-positivity, diagnosed using Alere™ Filariasis Test Strips. A targeted study will be conducted in May-July 2024 including: (i) high and low-risk schools and communities, (ii) boarding schools, and (iii) patients attending a chronic-disease clinic. We estimate a total sample size of 2,010 participants. CONCLUSIONS: Our methodology for targeted surveillance of suspected 'high-risk' populations using historical survey data can be adopted by countries when designing their PVS strategies. The results of this study will allow us to understand the current status of LF in Tonga and will be used to develop the next phase of activities.

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Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Filariasis Linfática , Filariasis Linfática/epidemiología , Filariasis Linfática/transmisión , Filariasis Linfática/prevención & control , Humanos , Tonga/epidemiología , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Masculino , Femenino , Wuchereria bancrofti , Niño

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BACKGROUND: To monitor the progress of lymphatic filariasis (LF) elimination programmes, field surveys to assess filarial antigen (Ag) prevalence require access to reliable, user-friendly rapid diagnostic tests. We aimed to evaluate the performance of the new Q Filariasis Antigen Test (QFAT) with the currently recommended Filariasis Test Strip (FTS) for detecting the Ag of Wuchereria bancrofti, the causative agent of LF, under field laboratory conditions. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: During an LF survey in Samoa, 344 finger-prick blood samples were tested using FTS and QFAT. Microfilariae (Mf) status was determined from blood slides prepared from any sample that reported Ag-positive by either Ag-test. Each test was re-read at 1 hour and the next day to determine the stability of results over time. Overall Ag-positivity by FTS was 29.0% and 30.2% by QFAT. Concordance between the two tests was 93.6% (kappa = 0.85). Of the 101 Mf slides available, 39.6% were Mf-positive, and all were Ag-positive by both tests. Darker test line intensities from Ag-positive FTS were found to predict Mf-positivity (compared to same/lighter line intensities). QFAT had significantly higher reported test result changes than FTS, mostly reported the next day, but fewer changes were reported between 10 minutes to 1hour. The field laboratory team preferred QFAT over FTS due to the smaller blood volume required, better usability, and easier readability. CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE: QFAT could be a suitable and user-friendly diagnostic alternative for use in the monitoring and surveillance of LF in field surveys based on its similar performance to FTS under field laboratory conditions.

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Antígenos Helmínticos , Filariasis Linfática , Wuchereria bancrofti , Humanos , Filariasis Linfática/diagnóstico , Filariasis Linfática/sangre , Filariasis Linfática/epidemiología , Antígenos Helmínticos/sangre , Wuchereria bancrofti/inmunología , Animales , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adolescente , Samoa , Adulto Joven , Niño , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Anciano , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina/métodos , Tiras Reactivas

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OBJECTIVES: Circulating filarial antigen (Ag) is used by elimination programs to monitor lymphatic filariasis (LF) transmission; however, antifilarial antibodies (Ab) may be more sensitive than Ag for detecting LF. Our objectives were to describe Ab seroprevalence, identify risk factors for Ab seropositivity, investigate age-specific associations between Ag and Ab, and evaluate geographic clustering of seropositivity. METHODS: Community-based serosurveys of participants aged ≥5 years were conducted in 35 primary sampling units (PSUs). Ag-positivity was detected using Alere™ Filariasis Test Strips and Ab-seropositivity using multiplex bead assays. Seroprevalence was adjusted for study design. RESULTS: Of 3795 participants (range:5-90 years), adjusted prevalence for Ag, Bm14 Ab, Wb123 Ab, and Bm33 Ab were 3.7% (n=117), 20.3% (n=583), 32.2% (n=987), and 51.0% (n=1659), respectively. Male sex, older age, and residents of suspected hotspots had higher odds of seropositivity to all seromarkers. Seroprevalence was lower in 5-9-year-olds vs ≥10-year-olds (P<0.001). Clustering was significantly higher in households (intra-cluster correlation for Ag:0.45; Bm14 Ab:0.32; Bm33 Ab:0.31; Wb123 Ab:0.29) compared to PSUs or region. CONCLUSIONS: Abs enabled identification of risk factors for seropositivity and geographical clustering to inform targeted interventions for LF programmes. Further research is needed to define Ab thresholds for active versus past infection and elimination targets.

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BACKGROUND: Lymphatic filariasis (LF) remains a significant global issue. To eliminate LF as a public health problem, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends multiple rounds of mass drug administration (MDA). In certain scenarios, including when elimination targets have not been met with two-drug MDA, triple-drug MDA (using ivermectin, diethylcarbamazine and albendazole) is recommended. In this study, we report on antigen (Ag) and microfilaria (Mf) prevalence in eight primary sampling units (PSUs) in Samoa 4.5 years after one round of triple-drug MDA. METHODOLOGY: In 2023, community surveys were conducted in eight PSUs that had been surveyed previously in 2018 (between 1.5 and 3.5 months post triple-drug MDA) and 2019 (six to eight-months post triple-drug MDA). Fifteen houses were randomly selected in each PSU with household members aged ≥ 5 years invited to participate. Blood samples were tested for Ag and Mf. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Ag-positive participants were observed in six of the eight PSUs, and Ag prevalence was significantly above the 1% threshold in four PSUs. The presence of Mf-positive participants in five PSUs confirms the presence of residual active infections. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This study provides evidence of persistent LF transmission in Samoa 4.5 years after one round of triple-drug MDA, confirming that one round was insufficient for interruption of transmission in this setting. Our findings highlight the negative impact of delaying MDA rounds, for example, due to public health emergencies.

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Albendazol , Dietilcarbamazina , Filariasis Linfática , Filaricidas , Ivermectina , Administración Masiva de Medicamentos , Filariasis Linfática/transmisión , Filariasis Linfática/epidemiología , Filariasis Linfática/tratamiento farmacológico , Filariasis Linfática/prevención & control , Humanos , Albendazol/administración & dosificación , Albendazol/uso terapéutico , Samoa/epidemiología , Dietilcarbamazina/administración & dosificación , Dietilcarbamazina/uso terapéutico , Ivermectina/administración & dosificación , Ivermectina/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Filaricidas/administración & dosificación , Filaricidas/uso terapéutico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adolescente , Animales , Adulto Joven , Niño , Prevalencia , Antígenos Helmínticos/sangre , Quimioterapia Combinada , Preescolar , Wuchereria bancrofti/efectos de los fármacos , Wuchereria bancrofti/aislamiento & purificación , Anciano

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BACKGROUND: Gram-negative bloodstream infections (GNBSI) more commonly occur in children with comorbidities and are increasingly associated with antimicrobial resistance. There are few large studies of GNBSI in children that relate the clinical presentation, pathogen characteristics and outcomes. METHODS: A 3-year prospective study of GNBSI in children aged <18 years was conducted in five Australian children's hospitals between 2019-2021. The clinical characteristics, disease severity and outcomes were recorded. Causative pathogens underwent antibiotic susceptibility testing and whole genome sequencing. RESULTS: There were 931 GNBSI episodes involving 818 children. Median age was 3 years (IQR 0.6-8.5). 576/931 episodes (62%) were community onset though 661/931 (71%) occurred in children with comorbidities and a central venous catheter (CVC) was present in 558/931 (60%). CVC (145/931) and urinary tract (149/931) were the most common sources (16% each). 100/931 (11%) children required Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and a further 11% (105/931) developed GNBSI in ICU. 659/927 (71%) isolates were Enterobacterales of which 22% (138/630) were third generation cephalosporin resistant (3GCR). Extended spectrum beta-lactamase genes (ESBL) were confirmed in 65/138 (47%) 3GCR-Enterobacterales. Most common ESBL genes were blaCTX-M-15 (34/94, 36%) and blaSHV-12 (10/94, 11%). There were 48 deaths overall and 30-day in-hospital mortality was 3% (32/931). Infections with 3GCR Enterobacterales were independently associated with higher mortality (adjusted OR 3.2, 95%CI 1.6-6.4). CONCLUSION: GNBSI in children are frequently healthcare-associated and affect children under 5 years. Infections with 3GCR Enterobacterales were associated with worse outcomes. These findings will inform optimal management guidelines and help prioritise future antimicrobial clinical trials.

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OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the role of trust in shaping COVID-19 vaccine acceptance in the Dominican Republic (DR) during the COVID-19 pandemic. DESIGN: Cross-sectional household survey. SETTING: Randomly selected households across 134 clusters in the DR, from 30 June 2021 to 12 October 2021. PARTICIPANTS: 5999 participants ≥16 years of age were enrolled. OUTCOME MEASURES: COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy (CVH) data were collected from participants ≥16 years of age and analysed as both an ordinal and binary variable. RESULTS: Overall, CVH was low (5.2% (95% CI 4.6% to 5.8%)), but more common among younger individuals, women and individuals of Mestizo ethnicity. Higher trust in local government, national government, scientists and local doctors (considered official sources) was associated with lower odds of CVH (OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.88), 0.89 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.98), 0.87 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.94) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.80), respectively). Higher trust in religious leaders, social media and traditional media (considered unofficial sources) was associated with higher odds of CVH, with respective ORs of 1.32 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.47), 1.30 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.41) and 1.08 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.22). CONCLUSION: We report findings on CVH from a national household survey in the DR and identify overall low rates of CVH but marked heterogeneity by age, gender and ethnicity. Trust in unofficial versus official sources of information is associated with increased CVH. These findings highlight and quantify the importance of trust as a key parameter when considering public health communication strategies.

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Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Confianza , Vacilación a la Vacunación , Humanos , República Dominicana , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Transversales , Adulto , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Vacilación a la Vacunación/psicología , Vacilación a la Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Anciano , Encuestas y Cuestionarios

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Fiebre Chikungunya , Vacunas contra el Dengue , Dengue , Medicina del Viajero , Humanos , Dengue/prevención & control , Fiebre Chikungunya/prevención & control , Medicina del Viajero/métodos , Vacunas contra el Dengue/administración & dosificación , Virus Chikungunya/inmunología , Viaje , Virus del Dengue/inmunología , Vacunas Virales/administración & dosificación

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BACKGROUND: Immunisation against herpes zoster is recommended for adults aged ≥ 50 years. Two vaccines, a live attenuated (ZVL, Zostavax®) and an adjuvant recombinant subunit (HZ/su, Shingrix®), are available in Australia. Immunisation guidelines are shifting their recommendations towards HZ/su because of higher efficacy in preventing herpes zoster and associated complications. However, there are limited post-marketing data comparing the safety profiles of these vaccines. METHODS: Data from SmartVax, an active surveillance system for monitoring adverse events following immunisation (AEFIs) utilised by > 450 clinics throughout Australia, were analysed. Data from patients aged ≥ 50 years, who received ZVL or HZ/su, from 1 June 2021 to 31 May 2022, at clinics that utilised SmartVax were included. The proportion of records where patients who reported any, local, and systemic AEFIs after receiving ZVL or HZ/su were compared using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: Data from 10,392 immunisation records (n = 8341 ZVL; n = 2051 HZ/su) were included. The proportion of AEFIs reported was higher with HZ/su (41.9 % [any], 33.8 % [local], 25.2 % [systemic]) than with ZVL (8.7 % [any], 6.2 % [local], 3.5 % [systemic]). After controlling for demographic variables, HZ/su presented a 6-fold increase in the odds (OR 6.44; 95 %CI: 5.57-7.46) of a reported AEFI compared to ZVL. Only 59 (0.6 %) of vaccinations lead to medical attention being sought due to an AEFI. CONCLUSIONS: While rates of AEFIs was higher with HZ/su than ZVL, most AEFIs were mild and did not require medical attention. Our findings support the change in vaccine recommendations and the use of HZ/su in immunisation programs.

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Vacuna contra el Herpes Zóster , Herpes Zóster , Vigilancia de Productos Comercializados , Humanos , Vacuna contra el Herpes Zóster/efectos adversos , Vacuna contra el Herpes Zóster/administración & dosificación , Vacuna contra el Herpes Zóster/inmunología , Australia/epidemiología , Herpes Zóster/prevención & control , Herpes Zóster/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Vacunación/efectos adversos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Vacunas Atenuadas/efectos adversos , Vacunas Atenuadas/administración & dosificación , Vacunas Atenuadas/inmunología , Herpesvirus Humano 3/inmunología , Sistemas de Registro de Reacción Adversa a Medicamentos/estadística & datos numéricos

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Dengue , Viaje , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Australia , Vacunas contra el Dengue/administración & dosificación , Anciano

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BACKGROUND: Despite the World Health Organisation certifying China malaria-free in 2021, the risk of local transmission caused by imported malaria cases remains a significant clinical and public health issue. It is necessary to present the changing trends of malaria in China and discuss the role of travel medicine services in consolidating malaria elimination. METHODS: This study systematically reviewed articles and reports related to human malaria from 2013 to 2022 published in international and Chinese databases. Data on malaria (i.e. number of cases, Plasmodium spp., diagnostic method, country of acquisition, provinces with high risk of re-introduction and transmission) were collected and synthesised, then summarised using descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Overall, 24 758 cases of malaria (>99.5% laboratory confirmed, > 99.2% imported, 0.5% fatal) were reported in China from 2013 to 2022, with a downward trend over the years (4128 cases in 2013 compared to 843 cases in 2022; χ2 trend p-value = 0.005). The last locally acquired case was reported in 2017. P. falciparum (65.5%) was the most common species identified, followed by P. vivax (20.9%) and P. ovale (10.0%). Two Pheidole knowlesi cases were also identified in 2014 and 2017 in returned travellers from Malaysia and Indonesia, respectively. The most common countries of malaria acquisition were Ghana, Angola, and Myanmar. P. vivax was mainly detected in returned travellers from Myanmar, while P. falciparum and P. ovale were detected in travellers from Sub-Saharan Africa. Imported cases were mainly reported in Yunnan, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Guangxi, Shandong, Zhejiang, and Henan provinces, where large numbers of Chinese people travel overseas for work. CONCLUSION: Returned travellers from malaria-endemic countries pose a significant risk of malaria re-introduction to China. Travel medicine should be strengthened to improve the capacity and accessibility of both pre- and post-travel services, including malaria prophylaxis and prompt diagnosis of illness in returned travellers.

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Geographically weighted regression (GWR) takes a prominent role in spatial regression analysis, providing a nuanced perspective on the intricate interplay of variables within geographical landscapes (Brunsdon et al., 1998). However, it is essential to have a strong rationale for employing GWR, either as an addition to, or a complementary analysis alongside, non-spatial (global) regression models (Kiani, Mamiya et al., 2023). Moreover, the proper selection of bandwidth, weighting function or kernel types, and variable choices constitute the most critical configurations in GWR analysis (Wheeler, 2021). [...].

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Regresión Espacial , Análisis Espacial , Geografía

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BACKGROUND: International travel can increase the risk of exposure to infectious diseases including sexually transmissible infections (STI). Pre-travel medical consultation provides an opportunity for travel-related health risk assessments and advice. This study explored how travel medicine clinicians integrate sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services into clinical practice. METHODS: A convenience sample of travel medicine clinicians completed a cross-sectional survey online or via hard-copy disseminated at an annual national Australian travel medicine conference. RESULTS: Of the 67 respondents, most (n , 51; 76.1%) had a postgraduate qualification relevant to travel medicine and 55.2% (n , 37) had worked in travel medicine for over 10years. Only 22.4% (n , 15) reported conducting a SRH history/STI risk assessment for all travel patients. STI testing pre-departure was conducted on patient request (48, 71.6%), if symptomatic (32, 47.8%) or based on risk history (28, 41.8%). SRH information pre-departure was most frequently provided if prompted by patient questions (n , 42; 62.7%), or based on the patient's history (n , 37; 55.2%). Over half the sample (n , 40; 59.7%) expressed interest in further training in SRH. CONCLUSION: Providing and engaging with additional training may assist travel medicine clinicians to take a more proactive approach to SRH consultations and STI testing. Additional research is needed to explore models of care that will allow comprehensive SRH and STI services to be integrated into standard pre- and post-travel care.

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Salud Reproductiva , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Medicina del Viajero , Viaje , Australia , Enfermedad Relacionada con los Viajes , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/diagnóstico , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/prevención & control

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malaria continues to pose a significant burden in endemic countries, many of which lack access to molecular surveillance. Insights from malaria cases in travellers returning to non-endemic areas can provide valuable data to inform endemic country programmes. To evaluate the potential for novel global insights into malaria, we examined epidemiological and molecular data from imported malaria cases to Australia. METHODS: We analysed malaria cases reported in Australia from 2012 to 2022 using National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System data. Molecular data on imported malaria cases were obtained from literature searches. RESULTS: Between 2012 and 2022, 3204 malaria cases were reported in Australia. Most cases (69%) were male and 44% occurred in young adults aged 20-39 years. Incidence rates initially declined between 2012 and 2015, then increased until 2019. During 2012-2019, the incidence in travellers ranged from 1.34 to 7.71 per 100 000 trips. Cases were primarily acquired in Sub-Saharan Africa (n = 1433; 45%), Oceania (n = 569; 18%) and Southern and Central Asia (n = 367; 12%). The most common countries of acquisition were Papua New Guinea (n = 474) and India (n = 277). Plasmodium falciparum accounted for 58% (1871/3204) of cases and was predominantly acquired in Sub-Saharan Africa, and Plasmodium vivax accounted for 32% (1016/3204), predominantly from Oceania and Asia. Molecular studies of imported malaria cases to Australia identified genetic mutations and deletions associated with drug resistance and false-negative rapid diagnostic test results, and led to the establishment of reference genomes for P. vivax and Plasmodium malariae. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis highlights the continuing burden of imported malaria into Australia. Molecular studies have offered valuable insights into drug resistance and diagnostic limitations, and established reference genomes. Integrating molecular data into national surveillance systems could provide important infectious disease intelligence to optimize treatment guidelines for returning travellers and support endemic country surveillance programmes.

Asunto(s)

Malaria Vivax , Malaria , Adulto Joven , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Viaje , Malaria/diagnóstico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/epidemiología , Plasmodium falciparum , Australia/epidemiología

RESUMEN

Incidence of COVID-19 has been associated with sociodemographic factors. We investigated variations in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence at sub-national levels in the Dominican Republic and assessed potential factors influencing variation in regional-level seroprevalence. Data were collected in a three-stage cross-sectional national serosurvey from June to October 2021. Seroprevalence of antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (anti-S) was estimated and adjusted for selection probability, age, and sex. Multilevel logistic regression was used to estimate the effect of covariates on seropositivity for anti-S and correlates of 80% protection (PT80) against symptomatic infection for the ancestral and Delta strains. A total of 6683 participants from 134 clusters in all 10 regions were enrolled. Anti-S, PT80 for the ancestral and Delta strains odds ratio varied across regions, Enriquillo presented significant higher odds for all outcomes compared with Yuma. Compared to being unvaccinated, receiving ≥2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine was associated with a significantly higher odds of anti-S positivity (OR 85.94, [10.95-674.33]) and PT80 for the ancestral (OR 4.78, [2.15-10.62]) and Delta strains (OR 3.08, [1.57-9.65]) nationally and also for each region. Our results can help inform regional-level public health response, such as strategies to increase vaccination coverage in areas with low population immunity against currently circulating strains.