RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: In an effort to identify and characterize the environmental factors that affect the number of patients with acute diarrheal (AD) syndrome, we developed and tested two regional surveillance models including holiday and weather information in addition to visitor records, at emergency medical facilities in the Seoul metropolitan area of Korea. METHODS: With 1,328,686 emergency department visitor records from the National Emergency Department Information system (NEDIS) and the holiday and weather information, two seasonal ARIMA models were constructed: (1) The simple model (only with total patient number), (2) the environmental factor-added model. The stationary R-squared was utilized as an in-sample model goodness-of-fit statistic for the constructed models, and the cumulative mean of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) was used to measure post-sample forecast accuracy over the next 1 month. RESULTS: The (1,0,1)(0,1,1)7 ARIMA model resulted in an adequate model fit for the daily number of AD patient visits over 12 months for both cases. Among various features, the total number of patient visits was selected as a commonly influential independent variable. Additionally, for the environmental factor-added model, holidays and daily precipitation were selected as features that statistically significantly affected model fitting. Stationary R-squared values were changed in a range of 0.651-0.828 (simple), and 0.805-0.844 (environmental factor-added) with p<0.05. In terms of prediction, the MAPE values changed within 0.090-0.120 and 0.089-0.114, respectively. CONCLUSION: The environmental factor-added model yielded better MAPE values. Holiday and weather information appear to be crucial for the construction of an accurate syndromic surveillance model for AD, in addition to the visitor and assessment records.

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Questionnaire-based ADHD screening tests may not always be objective or accurate, owing to both subjectivity and prejudice. Despite attempts to develop objective measures to characterize ADHD, no widely applicable index currently exists. The principal aim of this study was to develop a decision support model for ADHD screening by monitoring children's school activities using a 3-axial actigraph. METHODS: Actigraphs were placed on the non-dominant wrists of 153 children for 3 hours, while they were at school. Children who scored high on the questionnaires were clinically examined by child psychiatrists, who then confirmed ADHD. Mean, variance, and ratios of low-level (0.5-1.0G) and high-level (1.6-3.2G) activity were extracted as activity features from 142 children (10 ADHD, 132 non-ADHD). Two decision-tree models were constructed using the C5.0 algorithm: [A] from whole hours (class + playtime) and [B] during classes. Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were evaluated. PPV, NPV, likelihood ratio, and AUC were also calculated for evaluation. RESULTS: [Model A] One child without ADHD was misclassified, resulting in an accuracy score of 99.30%. Sensitivity and NPV were 1.0000. Specificity and PPV were 0.992 and 0.803-0.909, respectively. [Model B] Two children without ADHD were misclassified, resulting in an accuracy score of 98.59%. Specificity and PPV were scored at 0.985 and 0.671-0.832, respectively. CONCLUSION: The selected features were consistent with the findings of previous studies. Objective screening of latent patients with ADHD can be accomplished with a simple watch-like sensor, which is worn for just a few hours while the child attends school. The model proposed herein can be applied to a great many children without heavy cost in time and manpower cost, and would generate valuable results from a public health perspective.

RESUMEN

The effect of ferrous fumarate on the relative bioavailability of ciprofloxacin after a single 500 mg oral dose of ciprofloxacin was studied in eight healthy males. Blood samples were collected at regular intervals 0-24 h post-dose. Urine was collected during 24 h to determine the cumulative urine excretion of ciprofloxacin. Ciprofloxacin concentrations in serum and urine were determined by high pressure liquid chromatography. Mean area under the serum concentration-time curve decreased significantly (P less than 0.001) after ciprofloxacin was taken with 200 mg ferrous fumarate. The relative bioavailability was 30% when ciprofloxacin was given with ferrous fumarate. The maximum blood level decreased from 2.1 +/- 0.9 (control) to 0.6 +/- 0.2 mg/l (with ferrous fumarate). Further studies are needed to determine if chronic treatment with ferrous fumarate further decreases the relative bioavailability. For the moment administration of ciprofloxacin with ferrous fumarate should therefore be avoided.

Asunto(s)

RESUMEN

A rapid and sensitive high pressure liquid chromatographic method has been developed for the routine monitoring in serum of the antineoplastic agent fluorouracil, during continuous intraportal administration. Serum spiked with internal standard, bromouracil, was gently shaken for 10 min with ethylacetate at an acidic pH. The evaporated extract was dissolved in the mobile phase containing potassium phosphate buffer. Assays were performed at ambient temperature on a Chrompack LiChrosorb RP 18 column (2 X 100 X 3.0 mm) equipped with a guard column. The retention time of fluorouracil was 2-6 min. The calibration curve was linear from 25 to 2,000 ng/ml. The coefficient of variation was less than or equal to 1.6% for within-run precision and less than or equal to 2.9% for day-to-day precision. The mean recovery of fluorouracil was 57%.

Asunto(s)