RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Hospital-acquired bacterial infections are associated with high morbidity and mortality rates in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). This study aimed to develop and validate predictive models for the risk of hospital-acquired bacterial infections in patients with SLE. METHODS: A historical cohort study was designed for development, and another bidirectional cohort study was used for external validation. The risk of bacterial infection was assessed upon admission and after 5 days of hospitalization. Predictor selection employed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) techniques. Multiple imputations were used to handle missing data. Logistic regression models were applied, and the properties of discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis were evaluated. RESULTS: The development cohort comprised 1686 patients and 237 events (14.1%) from 3 tertiary hospitals. The external validation cohort included 531 patients and 84 infection outcomes (15.8%) from 10 hospital centers in Colombia (secondary and tertiary level). The models applied at admission and after 120 hours of stay exhibited good discrimination (AUC > 0.74). External validation demonstrated good performance among patients from the same tertiary institutions where the models were developed. However, geographic validation at other institutions has been suboptimal. CONCLUSIONS: Two predictive models for nosocomial bacterial infections in patients with SLE are presented. All infection prevention recommendations should be maximized in patients at moderate/high risk. Further validation studies in diverse contexts, as well as clinical impact trials, are necessary before potential applications in research and clinical care.
Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico , Humanos , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico/complicaciones , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/diagnóstico , Infección Hospitalaria/prevención & control , Adulto , Colombia/epidemiología , Infecciones Bacterianas/epidemiología , Infecciones Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Estudios de Cohortes , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos LogísticosRESUMEN
RESUMEN Objetivo: La actividad y el riesgo de recaída de la arteritis de Takayasu son bajos durante la gestación. Hasta el 40% de las pacientes puede tener desenlaces obstétricos desfavorables, por lo que es importante conocer su comportamiento clínico. Describimos las características clínicas y el desenlace obstétrico de gestantes con arteritis de Takayasu atendidas en un hospital de alta complejidad. Materiales y métodos: Evaluación retrospectiva de historias clínicas de gestantes con arteritis de Takayasu atendidas en el Hospital Universitario San Vicente Fundación de Medellín, Colombia, entre 2011 y 2018. Resultados: Se incluyó en el estudio a 6 pacientes con mediana de edad al diagnóstico de 17,5 arios (RI 9,25), al parto de 24 arios (RI 8,25) y con una duración de la enfermedad de 5,5 arios (RI 10,5). Del total, 3 pacientes tenían compromiso aórtico extenso; al parto, 3 pacientes esta ban activas y requirieron inmunosupresores, 5 tenían hipertensión arterial, una desarrolló preeclampsia en el segundo trimestre, una tenía insuficiencia mitral y tricuspídea grave con disminución de la fracción de eyección del ventrículo izquierdo; 2 tenían aneurismas (arte ria subclavia izquierda y aorta ascendente). Ningún embarazo resultó en aborto ni parto pretérmino; hubo 2 óbitos fetales, uno por restricción del crecimiento intrauterino e insuficiencia placentaria, y otro de etiología desconocida; ambas pacientes con actividad de la enfermedad, afección aórtica extensa e hipertensión arterial. Fueron por cesárea 5 par tos por indicación materna; no hubo disección aórtica, rotura aneurismática ni hemorragia cerebral. Conclusión: Las pacientes con enfermedad activa y afección aórtica extensa presentaron resultados obstétricos desfavorables, lo que indica que el inadecuado control de la vasculitis genera mayores complicaciones materno-fetales.
ABSTRACT Objective: The activity and risk of relapse of Takayasu's arteritis are low during pregnancy. Up to 40% of patients may have unfavorable obstetric outcomes therefore it is important to know their clinical behavior. We describe the clinical characteristics and obstetric outcome of pregnant women with Takayasu arteritis treated in a hospital of high complexity. Materials and methods: A retrospective evaluation of medical records of pregnant patients with Takayasu's arteritis treated at Hospital Universitario San Vicente Fundación in Medellin, Colombia between 2011 and 2018. Results: Six patients with a median age at diagnosis 17.5 (RI 9.25) years, at delivery 24 (RI 8.25) years, disease duration 5.5 (RI 10.5) years. Three patients had extensive aortic involvement; at delivery, 3 patients were active and required immunosuppressants, 5 had high blood pres sure, one developed preeclampsia in the second trimester, one had severe mitral and tricus pid insufficiency with a decreased ejection fraction of the left ventricle; 2 had aneurysms (left subclavian artery and ascending aorta). No pregnancy resulted in abortion or preterm birth; there were 2 fetal deaths, one due to intrauterine growth restriction and placental insuffi ciency and another of unknown etiology; both patients with disease activity, extensive aortic condition, and arterial hypertension. Five deliveries were by cesarean section by maternal indication; there was no aortic dissection, aneurysmal rupture or cerebral hemorrhage. Conclusion: Patients with active disease and extensive aortic compromise presented unfa vorable obstetric results, suggesting that inadequate control of vasculitis leads to greater maternal-fetal complications.
Asunto(s)
Humanos , Femenino , Adolescente , Adulto , Varicocele , Preeclampsia , Complicaciones del Embarazo , Vasculitis , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Arteritis de TakayasuRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Having reliable predictive models of prognosis/the risk of infection in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients would allow this problem to be addressed on an individual basis to study and implement possible preventive or therapeutic interventions. OBJECTIVE: To identify and analyze all predictive models of prognosis/the risk of infection in patients with SLE that exist in medical literature. METHODS: A structured search in PubMed, Embase, and LILACS databases was carried out until May 9, 2020. In addition, a search for abstracts in the American Congress of Rheumatology (ACR) and European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) annual meetings' archives published over the past eight years was also conducted. Studies on developing, validating or updating predictive prognostic models carried out in patients with SLE, in which the outcome to be predicted is some type of infection, that were generated in any clinical context and with any time horizon were included. There were no restrictions on language, date, or status of the publication. To carry out the systematic review, the CHARMS (Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies) guideline recommendations were followed. The PROBAST tool (A Tool to Assess the Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies) was used to assess the risk of bias and the applicability of each model. RESULTS: We identified four models of infection prognosis in patients with SLE. Mostly, there were very few events per candidate predictor. In addition, to construct the models, an initial selection was made based on univariate analyses with no contraction of the estimated coefficients being carried out. This suggests that the proposed models have a high probability of overfitting and being optimistic. CONCLUSIONS: To date, very few prognostic models have been published on the infection of SLE patients. These models are very heterogeneous and are rated as having a high risk of bias and methodological weaknesses. Despite the widespread recognition of the frequency and severity of infections in SLE patients, there is no reliable predictive prognostic model that facilitates the study and implementation of personalized preventive or therapeutic measures.Protocol registration number: PROSPERO CRD42020171638.
Asunto(s)
Infecciones/etiología , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico/complicaciones , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
Resumen Se presenta una imagen gammagráfica que muestra en forma didáctica características típicas de la artritis psoriásica.
Abstract A scintigraphic image is presented that shows the typical characteristics of psoriatic arthritis as a teaching aid.