RESUMEN
"This paper presents alternative population projections for Egypt, the Sudan and Tunisia using the scenario approach developed at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Its primary objective is to show how education attainment and policies influence the future population patterns in these countries.... Section I gives a brief presentation of the scenario approach. Sections II and III show fertility and mortality conditions in Egypt, the Sudan and Tunisia.... Section V presents the stands of Governments on population policies and in shaping future population patterns. We [then] present our assumptions, scenario setting and projection results...."
Asunto(s)
Escolaridad , Fertilidad , Predicción , Gobierno , Mortalidad , Política Pública , África , África del Norte , Demografía , Países en Desarrollo , Economía , Egipto , Medio Oriente , Política , Población , Dinámica Poblacional , Investigación , Clase Social , Factores Socioeconómicos , Estadística como Asunto , Sudán , TúnezRESUMEN
PIP: This study identifies the causes of fertility decline in Jordan for the period 1976-83, and suggests family planning program and related development activities which should be implemented through future policy regarding fertility reduction. Employing information from the 1976 Jordan Fertility Survey, the 1983 Fertility and Family Health Survey, and the 1985 Jordan Husbands Survey, fertility levels and trends are reviewed and investigated with a view upon differentials and changes of determinant factors during 1976-85. Determinant factors considered include age at marriage, contraceptive use, breastfeeding, and postpartum abstinence, with consideration of their correlation with socioeconomic and cultural background characteristics. The study encourages delayed age of 1st marriage, and calls for promotion of accessible education of all types especially in poor, rural areas to women. Family planning should be promoted as an health issue, and fully integrated with child and maternal programs, information, education, and communication programs, and rural development projects. The young and married couples should not be excluded from service availability, and women's status and roles in the community must be improved. Finally, upgraded management of family planning programs, and increasing male involvement in family planning should also be future policy priorities for Jordan.^ieng
Asunto(s)
Tasa de Natalidad , Lactancia Materna , Conducta Anticonceptiva , Cultura , Recolección de Datos , Economía , Política de Planificación Familiar , Servicios de Planificación Familiar , Fertilidad , Directrices para la Planificación en Salud , Planificación en Salud , Matrimonio , Política Pública , Abstinencia Sexual , Cambio Social , Planificación Social , Factores Socioeconómicos , Asia , Asia Occidental , Anticoncepción , Demografía , Países en Desarrollo , Salud , Fenómenos Fisiológicos Nutricionales del Lactante , Jordania , Medio Oriente , Fenómenos Fisiológicos de la Nutrición , Población , Características de la Población , Dinámica Poblacional , Investigación , MuestreoRESUMEN
"The objective of this paper...is to identify the socio-economic determinants of contraceptive use in a multivariate context, in order to determine their combined predictive power, as well as their importance when controlling for other variables (i.e. demographic variables)....The study investigates the fertility differentials of the various contraceptive categories." Data are from the 1976 Jordanian Fertility Survey.
Asunto(s)
Conducta Anticonceptiva , Fertilidad , Factores Socioeconómicos , Asia , Asia Occidental , Anticoncepción , Demografía , Países en Desarrollo , Economía , Servicios de Planificación Familiar , Jordania , Medio Oriente , Población , Dinámica PoblacionalAsunto(s)
Desempleo , Factores de Edad , Asia , Asia Occidental , Países en Desarrollo , Economía , Escolaridad , Emigración e Inmigración , Empleo , Jordania , Estado Civil , Medio Oriente , Población Rural , Factores Sexuales , Población UrbanaRESUMEN
PIP: The author uses a log-linear model to analyze data from the Multipurpose Household Survey, Jordanians Abroad 1975. This survey consisted of a six percent multistate stratified random sample of households in the East Bank of Jordan in 1975. Data are included on members of households living abroad, reasons for migration, country of residence, and selected demographic characteristics^ieng
Asunto(s)
Emigración e Inmigración , Modelos Teóricos , Estadística como Asunto , Asia , Asia Occidental , Demografía , Países en Desarrollo , Jordania , Medio Oriente , Población , Dinámica Poblacional , InvestigaciónRESUMEN
PIP: The author analyzes the extent, destinations, and reasons given for emigration from Jordan and examines the demographic characteristics of the emigrants. Data are from the Multi-purpose Household Survey: Jordanians Abroad 1975, which includes some six percent of households in the East Bank of Jordan^ieng
Asunto(s)
Emigración e Inmigración , Modelos Teóricos , Características de la Población , Asia , Asia Occidental , Demografía , Países en Desarrollo , Jordania , Medio Oriente , Población , Dinámica Poblacional , InvestigaciónRESUMEN
PIP: The extent and structure of open unemployment in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan was examined. The data on unemployment in Jordan come from censuses and labor force sample surveys. The last census was conducted in 1961 and obviously cannot provide current information, but a multipurpose household survey has been conducted annually since 1972. The survey sample is a stratified multistage random sample; 3 strata are distinquished, i.e., cities, camps, and rural areas. For this survey, the unemployed are defined as those persons who are physically unable to perform work and who want work and are actively seeking work but are unemployed at present. In this analysis, those persons among the unemployed who are in the age group 12-14 are excluded. 82.3% of the unemployed in the sample were men. The total unemployment rate was 1.6%, but the rate for women was 2.8% and that for men only 1.5%. The rate for women may be overstated to an unknown extent due to underreporting of women in the labor force, yet it seems unlikely that this factor would explain all of the differences in the extent of unemployment between men and women. The cultural bias against work for women outside the home exerts an influence in making it more difficult for women to find a job, but because of this bias many women do not even enter the labor force and hence cannot be unemployed. Most of the unemployed were in the 20-24 age group and to a lesser extent in the 15-19 age group. Almost 60% of the unemployed were in these 2 age groups. Beyond these ages, the percentages of unemployed decreased regularly with age, with the age group 40-44 as a minor exception. When taking sex into account, the 1st phenomenon to be observed was the highly skewed age distribution of female unemployed who were all under age 30. Of the unemployed men, most were also young, with 34.6% in the 20-24 age group and 52.9% younger than 25 years. For married women the low unemployment rate can be explained by the fact that many married women most likely drop out of the labor market if they cannot find a job or if they lose their previous job (because of marriage or pregnancy or for other reasons). In all age groups unemployment was more severe among single than among married men. Among the unmarried population female unemployment was far worse (10.5%) than male unemployment (2.7%) at ages 15-19. Unemployment increased with educational level for men; female unemployed by educational level showed 2 distinct peaks, i.e., at the B.A. level and at the "less than secondary" level plus the "Tawjihi" level. Unemployment was a phenomenon of urban rather than rural areas.^ieng