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Cognitive resilience describes the phenomenon of individuals evading cognitive decline despite prominent Alzheimer's disease neuropathology. Operationalization and measurement of this latent construct is non-trivial as it cannot be directly observed. The residual approach has been widely applied to estimate CR, where the degree of resilience is estimated through a linear model's residuals. We demonstrate that this approach makes specific, uncontrollable assumptions and likely leads to biased and erroneous resilience estimates. We propose an alternative strategy which overcomes the standard approach's limitations using machine learning principles. Our proposed approach makes fewer assumptions about the data and construct to be measured and achieves better estimation accuracy on simulated ground-truth data.

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INTRODUCTION: Dementia often involves comorbid Alzheimer's and vascular pathology, but their combined impact warrants additional study. METHODS: We analyzed the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial and categorized white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume into highest versus lowest/mid tertile and the amyloid beta (Aß)42/40 ratio into lowest versus mid/highest ratio tertile. Using these binary variables, we created four exposure categories: (1) combined low risk, (2) Aß risk, (3) WMH risk, and (4) combined high risk. RESULTS: In the cohort of 467 participants (mean age 69.7 ± 7.1, 41.8% female, 31.9% nonwhite or Hispanic) during 4.8 years of follow-up and across the four exposure categories the rates of cognitive impairment were 5.3%, 7.8%, 11.8%, and 22.6%. Compared to the combined low-risk category, the adjusted hazard ratio for cognitive impairment was 4.12 (95% confidence interval, 1.71 to 9.94) in the combined high-risk category. DISCUSSION: This study emphasizes the potential impact of therapeutic approaches to dementia prevention that target both vascular and amyloid pathology. HIGHLIGHTS: White matter hyperintensity (WMH) and plasma amyloid (Aß42/40) are additive risk factors for the development of cognitive impairment in the SPRINT MIND trial. Individuals in the high-risk categories of both WMH and Aß42/40 had a near fivefold increase in risk of cognitive impairment during 4.8 years of follow-up on average. These findings suggest that treatment strategies targeting both vascular health and amyloid burden warrant further research.

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BACKGROUND: Studies of the neurovascular contribution to dementia have largely focused on cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD), but the role of intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) remains unknown in the general population. The objective of this study was to determine the risk of incident dementia from ICAD after adjusting for CSVD and cardiovascular risk factors in a US community-based cohort. METHODS: We acquired brain magnetic resonance imaging examinations from 2011 through 2013 in 1980 Black and White participants in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), a prospective cohort conducted in 4 US communities. Magnetic resonance imaging examinations included high-resolution vessel wall magnetic resonance imaging and magnetic resonance angiography to identify ICAD. Of these participants, 1590 without dementia, without missing covariates, and with adequate magnetic resonance image quality were followed through 2019 for incident dementia. Associations between ICAD and incident dementia were assessed using Cox proportional hazard ratios adjusted for CSVD (characterized by white matter hyperintensities, lacunar infarctions, and microhemorrhages), APOE4 genotype (apolipoprotein E gene ε4), and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: The mean age (SD) of study participants was 77.4 (5.2) years. ICAD was detected in 34.6% of participants. After a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 286 participants developed dementia. Compared with participants without ICAD, the fully adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for incident dementia in participants with any ICAD, with ICAD only causing stenosis ≤50%, and with ICAD causing stenosis >50% in ≥1 vessel were 1.57 (1.17-2.11), 1.41 (1.02-1.95), and 1.94 (1.32-2.84), respectively. ICAD was associated with dementia even among participants with low white matter hyperintensities burden, a marker of CSVD. CONCLUSIONS: ICAD was associated with an increased risk of incident dementia, independent of CSVD, APOE4 genotype, and cardiovascular risk factors. The increased risk of dementia was evident even among participants with low CSVD burden, a group less likely to be affected by vascular dementia, and in participants with ICAD causing only low-grade stenosis. Our results suggest that ICAD may partially mediate the effect that cardiovascular risk factors have on the brain leading to dementia. Both ICAD and CSVD must be considered to understand the vascular contributions to cognitive decline.

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Demencia , Arteriosclerosis Intracraneal , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/etiología , Arteriosclerosis Intracraneal/epidemiología , Arteriosclerosis Intracraneal/diagnóstico por imagen , Factores de Riesgo , Incidencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estados Unidos/epidemiología

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BACKGROUND: Gadolinium Leakage into Ocular Structures (GLOS) is common following acute cerebrovascular events. The objective of this study was to investigate the occurrence of GLOS in an acute traumatic brain injury (TBI) cohort without acute cerebrovascular injury and to explore associated factors. METHODS: Enrolled acute TBI patients had a baseline MRI ≤48 h of injury (TP1) and follow-up MRI ≤72 h after baseline (TP2). Vitreous chamber enhancement and signal intensity ratios (SIRs) were calculated using pre- and post-contrast Fluid Attenuated Inversion Recovery (FLAIR). White matter hyperintensities (WMHs) were assessed using the Fazekas scale. RESULTS: Of the 128 TBI patients included, median age was 47 years, 70% male, and 66% presented with Glasgow Coma Scale of 15. No GLOS was detected at TP1 but was present in 23% of patients at TP2. GLOS+ patients were older (68 years [56-76] vs 39 years [27-53], p < 0.001), more likely to report falls as injury mechanism (62% vs 36%, p = 0.006), report history of hypertension (41% vs 19%, p = 0.025), and had a higher burden of WMHs (59% vs 14% with a total Fazekas ≥2, p < 0.001). Quantitative SIRs confirmed qualitative assessments: GLOS+ patients had higher SIRs at TP2 (0.43 vs 0.22, p < 0.001). Age (OR 3.28, 95%CI [1.88-5.71], p < 0.001) and prior TBI history (OR 4.99, 95%CI [1.46-17.06], p = 0.010) were independent predictors of GLOS. When age was removed, total Fazekas score (OR 2.53, 95%CI [1.60-4.00], p < 0.001) was an independent predictor of GLOS. CONCLUSIONS: GLOS is primarily associated with age and may serve as another imaging marker of chronic vascular disease.

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Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo , Gadolinio , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo/complicaciones , Anciano , Adulto , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/métodos , Medios de Contraste/efectos adversos , Factores de Edad , Estudios de Cohortes

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BACKGROUND: Associations between magnetic resonance imaging markers of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) and dementia risk in older adults have been established, but it remains unclear how lifestyle factors, including psychosocial health, may modify this association. METHODS: Social support and social isolation were assessed among participants of the community-based ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study, via self-reported questionnaires (1990-1992). Following categorization of both factors, participants were classified as having strong or poor mid-life social relationships. At visit 5 (2011-2013), participants underwent 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging quantifying CSVD measures: white matter hyperintensity volume, microbleeds (subcortical), infarcts (lacunar), and white matter integrity (diffusion tensor imaging). Incident dementia cases were identified from the time of imaging through December 31, 2020 with ongoing surveillance. Associations between CSVD magnetic resonance imaging markers and incident dementia were evaluated using Cox proportional-hazard regressions adjusted for demographic and additional risk factors (from visit 2). Effect modification by mid-life social relationships was evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1977 participants with magnetic resonance imaging, 1617 participants (60.7% women; 26.5% Black participants; mean age at visit 2, 55.4 years) were examined. In this sample, mid-life social relationships significantly modified the association between white matter hyperintensity volume and dementia risk (P interaction=0.001). Greater white matter hyperintensity volume was significantly associated with risk of dementia in all participants, yet, more substantially in those with poor (hazard ratio, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.49-2.27]) versus strong (hazard ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.08-1.47]) mid-life social relationships. Although not statistically significant, subcortical microbleeds in participants with poor mid-life social relationships were associated with a greater risk of dementia, relative to those with strong social relationships, in whom subcortical microbleeds were no longer associated with elevated dementia risk. CONCLUSIONS: The elevated risk of dementia associated with CSVD may be reduced in participants with strong mid-life social relationships. Future studies evaluating psychosocial health through the life course and the mechanisms by which they modify the relationship between CSVD and dementia are needed.

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While immune function is known to play a mechanistic role in Alzheimer's disease (AD), whether immune proteins in peripheral circulation influence the rate of amyloid-ß (Aß) progression - a central feature of AD - remains unknown. In the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging, we quantified 942 immunological proteins in plasma and identified 32 (including CAT [catalase], CD36 [CD36 antigen], and KRT19 [keratin 19]) associated with rates of cortical Aß accumulation measured with positron emission tomography (PET). Longitudinal changes in a subset of candidate proteins also predicted Aß progression, and the mid- to late-life (20-year) trajectory of one protein, CAT, was associated with late-life Aß-positive status in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Genetic variation that influenced plasma levels of CAT, CD36 and KRT19 predicted rates of Aß accumulation, including causal relationships with Aß PET levels identified with two-sample Mendelian randomization. In addition to associations with tau PET and plasma AD biomarker changes, as well as expression patterns in human microglia subtypes and neurovascular cells in AD brain tissue, we showed that 31 % of candidate proteins were related to mid-life (20-year) or late-life (8-year) dementia risk in ARIC. Our findings reveal plasma proteins associated with longitudinal Aß accumulation, and identify specific peripheral immune mediators that may contribute to the progression of AD pathophysiology.

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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Péptidos beta-Amiloides , Biomarcadores , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Humanos , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/sangre , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/inmunología , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/genética , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Longitudinales , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/métodos , Biomarcadores/sangre , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Proteoma/metabolismo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Envejecimiento/metabolismo , Envejecimiento/inmunología , Anciano de 80 o más Años

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Importance: Plasma biomarkers show promise for identifying Alzheimer disease (AD) neuropathology and neurodegeneration, but additional examination among diverse populations and throughout the life course is needed. Objective: To assess temporal plasma biomarker changes and their association with all-cause dementia, overall and among subgroups of community-dwelling adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: In 1525 participants from the US-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, plasma biomarkers were measured using stored specimens collected in midlife (1993-1995, mean age 58.3 years) and late life (2011-2013, mean age 76.0 years; followed up to 2016-2019, mean age 80.7 years). Midlife risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, lipids, coronary heart disease, cigarette use, and physical activity) were assessed for their associations with change in plasma biomarkers over time. The associations of biomarkers with incident all-cause dementia were evaluated in a subpopulation (n = 1339) who were dementia-free in 2011-2013 and had biomarker measurements in 1993-1995 and 2011-2013. Exposure: Plasma biomarkers of amyloid-ß 42 to amyloid-ß 40 (Aß42:Aß40) ratio, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (p-tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were measured using the Quanterix Simoa platform. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident all-cause dementia was ascertained from January 1, 2012, through December 31, 2019, from neuropsychological assessments, semiannual participant or informant contact, and medical record surveillance. Results: Among 1525 participants (mean age, 58.3 [SD, 5.1] years), 914 participants (59.9%) were women, and 394 participants (25.8%) were Black. A total of 252 participants (16.5%) developed dementia. Decreasing Aß42:Aß40 ratio and increasing p-tau181, NfL, and GFAP were observed from midlife to late life, with more rapid biomarker changes among participants carrying the apolipoprotein E epsilon 4 (APOEε4) allele. Midlife hypertension was associated with a 0.15-SD faster NfL increase and a 0.08-SD faster GFAP increase per decade; estimates for midlife diabetes were a 0.11-SD faster for NfL and 0.15-SD faster for GFAP. Only AD-specific biomarkers in midlife demonstrated long-term associations with late-life dementia (hazard ratio per SD lower Aß42:Aß40 ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.21; per SD higher p-tau181, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.25). All plasma biomarkers in late life had statistically significant associations with late-life dementia, with NfL demonstrating the largest association (1.92; 95% CI, 1.72-2.14). Conclusions and Relevance: Plasma biomarkers of AD neuropathology, neuronal injury, and astrogliosis increase with age and are associated with known dementia risk factors. AD-specific biomarkers' association with dementia starts in midlife whereas late-life measures of AD, neuronal injury, and astrogliosis biomarkers are all associated with dementia.

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Importance: Epilepsy is a highly treatable condition for many people, but there are large treatment gaps with suboptimal seizure control in minoritized groups. The sexual and gender minority (SGM) community is at risk for health disparities, yet the burden of epilepsy in this community is not known. Objective: To estimate the prevalence of active epilepsy among SGM people in the United States. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a cross-sectional, nationally representative survey study of community-dwelling US adults who answered questions about epilepsy, sexual orientation, and gender identity in the 2022 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). Exposure: Self-identification of transgender or gender-diverse identity, or sexual orientation including gay, lesbian, bisexual, or other orientation, excluding straight (ie, heterosexual). Main Outcomes and Measures: Participants self-reported epilepsy status, medical treatment, seizure frequency, demographic characteristics, sexual orientation, and gender identity. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association of epilepsy with SGM identification. Results: A total of 27 624 participants (15 050 [54%] women; 3231 [12%] Black; mean [SD] age, 48.2 [18.5] years) completed the NHIS and were included. Active epilepsy was present in 1.2% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.3%) of the population. A higher proportion of SGM adults than non-SGM adults reported active epilepsy (2.4% [95% CI, 1.4%-3.3%] vs 1.1% [95% CI, 1.0%-1.3%], respectively). After adjusting for age, race, ethnicity, income, and education, SGM people were more than twice as likely to report active epilepsy than were non-SGM adults (adjusted odds ratio, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.35-3.37). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that SGM adults in the United States have a disproportionate prevalence of epilepsy. The reasons for this disparity are likely complex and may be associated with biological and psychosocial determinants of health unique to this population; as such, these individuals are in need of protected access to medical care.

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Epilepsia , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Humanos , Epilepsia/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Minorías Sexuales y de Género/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Transversales , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Adolescente , Encuestas Epidemiológicas

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The accessibility of the retina with the use of non-invasive and relatively low-cost ophthalmic imaging techniques and analytics provides a unique opportunity to improve the detection, diagnosis and monitoring of systemic diseases. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute conducted a workshop in October 2022 to examine this concept. On the basis of the discussions at that workshop, this Roadmap describes current knowledge gaps and new research opportunities to evaluate the relationships between the eye (in particular, retinal biomarkers) and the risk of cardiovascular diseases, including coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, hypertension and vascular dementia. Identified gaps include the need to simplify and standardize the capture of high-quality images of the eye by non-ophthalmic health workers and to conduct longitudinal studies using multidisciplinary networks of diverse at-risk populations with improved implementation and methods to protect participant and dataset privacy. Other gaps include improving the measurement of structural and functional retinal biomarkers, determining the relationship between microvascular and macrovascular risk factors, improving multimodal imaging 'pipelines', and integrating advanced imaging with 'omics', lifestyle factors, primary care data and radiological reports, by using artificial intelligence technology to improve the identification of individual-level risk. Future research on retinal microvascular disease and retinal biomarkers might additionally provide insights into the temporal development of microvascular disease across other systemic vascular beds.

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INTRODUCTION: There is limited evidence regarding the rate of long-term cognitive decline after traumatic brain injury (TBI) among older adults. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, time-varying TBI was defined by self-report and International Classification of Disease diagnostic codes. Cognitive testing was performed at five visits over 30 years and scores were combined into a global cognition factor score. Adjusted linear mixed-effects models estimated the association of TBI with cognitive change. RESULTS: A total of 11,701 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants (mean baseline age 58 years, 58% female, 25% Black) without TBI at baseline were included. Over follow-up, 18% experienced TBI. The adjusted average decline in cognition per decade (standard deviation units) was more than twice as fast among individuals with ≥ 2 incident TBIs (𝛽 = -0.158, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.253,-0.063), but not among individuals with 1 TBI (𝛽 = -0.052, 95% CI = -0.107, 0.002), compared to without TBI (𝛽 = -0.057, 95% CI = -0.095, -0.020). DISCUSSION: This study provides robust evidence that TBIs fundamentally alter the trajectories of cognitive decline. HIGHLIGHTS: The adjusted average decline in cognition per decade (standard deviation units) was more than twice as fast among individuals with ≥ 2 incident traumatic brain injuries (TBIs; 𝛽 = -0.158, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.253, -0.063), but not with 1 TBI (𝛽 = -0.052, 95% CI = -0.107, 0.002), compared to without TBI (𝛽 = -0.057, 95% CI = -0.095, -0.020). Over a period of 30 years, this difference in cognitive decline is equivalent to individuals with ≥ 2 TBIs being 9.7 years older at baseline. Associations of TBI were stronger among individuals with one or two apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 alleles than among individuals with zero APOE ε4 alleles (P interaction = 0.007).

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OBJECTIVE: The impact of age of diabetes diagnosis on dementia risk across the life course is poorly characterized. We estimated the lifetime risk of dementia by age of diabetes diagnosis. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We included 13,087 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were free from dementia at age 60 years. We categorized participants as having middle age-onset diabetes (diagnosis <60 years), older-onset diabetes (diagnosis 60-69 years), or no diabetes. Incident dementia was ascertained via adjudication and active surveillance. We used the cumulative incidence function estimator to characterize the lifetime risk of dementia by age of diabetes diagnosis while accounting for the competing risk of mortality. We used restricted mean survival time to calculate years lived without and with dementia. RESULTS: Among 13,087 participants, there were 2,982 individuals with dementia and 4,662 deaths without dementia during a median follow-up of 24.1 (percentile 25-percentile 75, 17.4-28.3) years. Individuals with middle age-onset diabetes had a significantly higher lifetime risk of dementia than those with older-onset diabetes (36.0% vs. 31.0%). Compared with those with no diabetes, participants with middle age-onset diabetes also had a higher cumulative incidence of dementia by age 80 years (16.1% vs. 9.4%) but a lower lifetime risk (36.0% vs. 45.6%) due to shorter survival. Individuals with middle age-onset diabetes developed dementia 4 and 1 years earlier than those without diabetes and those with older-onset diabetes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Preventing or delaying diabetes may be an important approach for reducing dementia risk throughout the life course.

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Aterosclerosis , Demencia , Diabetes Mellitus , Humanos , Demencia/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo

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Background: It is unclear how post-stroke cognitive trajectories differ by stroke type and ischemic stroke subtype. We studied associations between stroke types (ischemic, hemorrhagic), ischemic stroke subtypes (cardioembolic, large artery atherosclerotic, lacunar/small vessel, cryptogenic/other determined etiology), and post-stroke cognitive decline. Methods: This pooled cohort analysis from four US cohort studies (1971-2019) identified 1,143 dementia-free individuals with acute stroke during follow-up: 1,061 (92.8%) ischemic, 82 (7.2%) hemorrhagic, 49.9% female, 30.8% Black. Median age at stroke was 74.1 (IQR, 68.6, 79.3) years. Outcomes were change in global cognition (primary) and changes in executive function and memory (secondary). Outcomes were standardized as T-scores (mean [SD], 50 [10]); a 1-point difference represents a 0.1-SD difference in cognition. Median follow-up for the primary outcome was 6.0 (IQR, 3.2, 9.2) years. Linear mixed-effects models estimated changes in cognition after stroke. Results: On average, the initial post-stroke global cognition score was 50.78 points (95% CI, 49.52, 52.03) in ischemic stroke survivors and did not differ in hemorrhagic stroke survivors (difference, -0.17 points [95% CI, -1.64, 1.30]; P=0.82) after adjusting for demographics and pre-stroke cognition. On average, ischemic stroke survivors showed declines in global cognition, executive function, and memory. Post-stroke declines in global cognition, executive function, and memory did not differ between hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke survivors. 955 ischemic strokes had subtypes: 200 (20.9%) cardioembolic, 77 (8.1%) large artery atherosclerotic, 207 (21.7%) lacunar/small vessel, 471 (49.3%) cryptogenic/other determined etiology. On average, small vessel stroke survivors showed declines in global cognition and memory, but not executive function. Initial post-stroke cognitive scores and cognitive declines did not differ between small vessel survivors and survivors of other ischemic stroke subtypes. Post-stroke vascular risk factor levels did not attenuate associations. Conclusion: Stroke survivors had cognitive decline in multiple domains. Declines did not differ by stroke type or ischemic stroke subtype.

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Background: Brain imaging studies may provide etiologic insight into observed links between lung function and dementia and stroke. Objective: We evaluated associations of lung function measures with brain MRI markers of vascular and neurodegenerative disease in the ARIC Neurocognitive Study, as few studies have examined the associations. Methods: Lung function was measured at participants' midlife in 1990-1992 (mean age = 56±5 years) and later-life in 2011-2013 (mean age = 76±5 years), and brain MRI was performed in 2011-2013. Linear regression models were used to examine the associations of lung function with brain and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volumes, and logistic regression models were used for cerebral infarcts and microbleeds, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: In cross-sectional analysis (i.e., examining later-life lung function and MRI markers, n = 1,223), higher forced-expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were associated with larger brain and lower WMH volumes [e.g., 8.62 (95% CI:2.54-14.71) cm3 greater total brain volume per one-liter higher FEV1]. No association was seen with microbleeds in the overall sample, but higher FVC was associated with lower odds of microbleeds in never-smokers and higher odds in ever-smokers. In the cross-temporal analysis (i.e., associations with midlife lung function, n = 1,787), higher FVC levels were significantly associated with lower later-life brain volumes. Conclusions: Our results support modest associations of better lung function with less neurodegenerative and cerebrovascular pathology, although findings for microbleeds were unexpected in ever-smokers.

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Encéfalo , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Encéfalo/patología , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico por imagen , Pulmón/diagnóstico por imagen , Pulmón/fisiopatología , Pulmón/patología , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria , Capacidad Vital , Anciano de 80 o más Años

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INTRODUCTION: The contribution of neuropsychological assessments to risk assessment for incident dementia is underappreciated. METHODS: We analyzed neuropsychological testing results in dementia-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. We examined associations of index domain-specific neuropsychological test performance with incident dementia using cumulative incidence curves and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Among 5296 initially dementia-free participants (mean [standard deviation] age of 75.8 [5.1] years; 60.1% women, 22.2% Black) over a median follow-up of 7.9 years, the covariate-adjusted hazard ratio varied substantially depending on the pattern of domain-specific performance and age, in an orderly manner from single domain language abnormalities (lowest risk) to single domain executive or memory abnormalities, to multidomain abnormalities including memory (highest risk). DISCUSSION: By identifying normatively defined cognitive abnormalities by domains based on neuropsychological test performance, there is a conceptually orderly and age-sensitive spectrum of risk for incident dementia that provides valuable information about the likelihood of progression. HIGHLIGHTS: Domain-specific cognitive profiles carry enhanced prognostic value compared to mild cognitive impairment. Single-domain non-amnestic cognitive abnormalities have the most favorable prognosis. Multidomain amnestic abnormalities have the greatest risk for incident dementia. Patterns of domain-specific risks are similar by sex and race.

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Demencia , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/diagnóstico , Anciano , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Medición de Riesgo , Disfunción Cognitiva/epidemiología , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Incidencia , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Trastornos del Conocimiento/epidemiología , Trastornos del Conocimiento/diagnóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales

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Stroke is a leading cause of death in the United States across all race/ethnicity and sex groups, though disparities exist. We investigated the potential for primary prevention of total first stroke for Americans aged 20 and older, stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. Specifically, we calculated population attributable fractions (PAF) of first stroke for 7 potentially modifiable risk factors: smoking, physical inactivity, poor diet, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and atrial fibrillation. PAFs are a function of (1) the relative risk of first stroke for people with the exposure and (2) the prevalence of the risk factor in the population. Relative risks came from recent meta-analyses and sex-race/ethnicity-specific prevalence estimates came from the 2015-2018 NHANES or Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (for atrial fibrillation only). Approximately 1/3 (35.7% [CI: 21.6%-49.0%]) for women, 32.7% [CI: 19.2%-45.1%] for men) of strokes were attributable to the 7 risk factors we considered. A 20% proportional reduction in stroke risk factors would result in approximately 37,000 fewer strokes annually in the United States. The estimated PAF was highest for non-Hispanic Black women (39.3% [CI: 24.8%-52.3%]) and lowest for non-Hispanic Asian men (25.5% [CI: 14.6%-36.2%]). For most groups, obesity and hypertension were the largest contributors to stroke rates.

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PURPOSE: Population-based evidence in the interrelationships among hearing, brain structure, and cognition is limited. This study aims to investigate the cross-sectional associations of peripheral hearing, brain imaging measures, and cognitive function with speech-in-noise performance among older adults. METHOD: We studied 602 participants in the Aging and Cognitive Health Evaluation in Elders (ACHIEVE) brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) ancillary study, including 427 ACHIEVE baseline (2018-2020) participants with hearing loss and 175 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study Visit 6/7 (2016-2017/2018-2019) participants with normal hearing. Speech-in-noise performance, as outcome of interest, was assessed by the Quick Speech-in-Noise (QuickSIN) test (range: 0-30; higher = better). Predictors of interest included (a) peripheral hearing assessed by pure-tone audiometry; (b) brain imaging measures: structural MRI measures, white matter hyperintensities, and diffusion tensor imaging measures; and (c) cognitive performance assessed by a battery of 10 cognitive tests. All predictors were standardized to z scores. We estimated the differences in QuickSIN associated with every standard deviation (SD) worse in each predictor (peripheral hearing, brain imaging, and cognition) using multivariable-adjusted linear regression, adjusting for demographic variables, lifestyle, and disease factors (Model 1), and, additionally, for other predictors to assess independent associations (Model 2). RESULTS: Participants were aged 70-84 years, 56% female, and 17% Black. Every SD worse in better-ear 4-frequency pure-tone average was associated with worse QuickSIN (-4.89, 95% confidence interval, CI [-5.57, -4.21]) when participants had peripheral hearing loss, independent of other predictors. Smaller temporal lobe volume was associated with worse QuickSIN, but the association was not independent of other predictors (-0.30, 95% CI [-0.86, 0.26]). Every SD worse in global cognitive performance was independently associated with worse QuickSIN (-0.90, 95% CI [-1.30, -0.50]). CONCLUSIONS: Peripheral hearing and cognitive performance are independently associated with speech-in-noise performance among dementia-free older adults. The ongoing ACHIEVE trial will elucidate the effect of a hearing intervention that includes amplification and auditory rehabilitation on speech-in-noise understanding in older adults. SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL: https://doi.org/10.23641/asha.25733679.

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Cognición , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Ruido , Percepción del Habla , Humanos , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Transversales , Cognición/fisiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Audiometría de Tonos Puros , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Pérdida Auditiva/diagnóstico por imagen

RESUMEN

Strategies to prevent or delay Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) are urgently needed, and blood pressure (BP) management is a promising strategy. Yet the effects of different BP control strategies across the life course on AD/ADRD are unknown. Randomized trials may be infeasible due to prolonged follow-up and large sample sizes. Simulation analysis is a practical approach to estimating these effects using the best available existing data. However, existing simulation frameworks cannot estimate the effects of BP control on both dementia and cardiovascular disease. This manuscript describes the design principles, implementation details, and population-level validation of a novel population-health microsimulation framework, the MIchigan ChROnic Disease SIMulation (MICROSIM), for The Effect of Lower Blood Pressure over the Life Course on Late-life Cognition in Blacks, Hispanics, and Whites (BP-COG) study of the effect of BP levels over the life course on dementia and cardiovascular disease. MICROSIM is an agent-based Monte Carlo simulation designed using computer programming best practices. MICROSIM estimates annual vascular risk factor levels and transition probabilities in all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality in a nationally representative sample of US adults 18+ using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). MICROSIM models changes in risk factors over time, cognition and dementia using changes from a pooled dataset of individual participant data from 6 US prospective cardiovascular cohort studies. Cardiovascular risks were estimated using a widely used risk model and BP treatment effects were derived from meta-analyses of randomized trials. MICROSIM is an extensible, open-source framework designed to estimate the population-level impact of different BP management strategies and reproduces US population-level estimates of BP and other vascular risk factors levels, their change over time, and incident all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality.

Asunto(s)

Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Michigan/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica , Masculino , Demencia/epidemiología , Anciano , Femenino , Factores de Riesgo , Método de Montecarlo , Presión Sanguínea , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Adulto , Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Anciano de 80 o más Años

RESUMEN

Importance: Stroke risk varies by systolic blood pressure (SBP), race, and ethnicity. The association between cumulative mean SBP and incident stroke type is unclear, and whether this association differs by race and ethnicity remains unknown. Objective: To examine the association between cumulative mean SBP and first incident stroke among 3 major stroke types-ischemic stroke (IS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)-and explore how these associations vary by race and ethnicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual participant data from 6 US longitudinal cohorts (January 1, 1971, to December 31, 2019) were pooled. The analysis was performed from January 1, 2022, to January 2, 2024. The median follow-up was 21.6 (IQR, 13.6-31.8) years. Exposure: Time-dependent cumulative mean SBP. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was time from baseline visit to first incident stroke. Secondary outcomes consisted of time to first incident IS, ICH, and SAH. Results: Among 40 016 participants, 38 167 who were 18 years or older at baseline with no history of stroke and at least 1 SBP measurement before the first incident stroke were included in the analysis. Of these, 54.0% were women; 25.0% were Black, 8.9% were Hispanic of any race, and 66.2% were White. The mean (SD) age at baseline was 53.4 (17.0) years and the mean (SD) SBP at baseline was 136.9 (20.4) mm Hg. A 10-mm Hg higher cumulative mean SBP was associated with a higher risk of overall stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.23]), IS (HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.17-1.22]), and ICH (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.25-1.38]) but not SAH (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 0.99-1.29]; P = .06). Compared with White participants, Black participants had a higher risk of IS (HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.09-1.33]) and ICH (HR, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.30-2.13]) and Hispanic participants of any race had a higher risk of SAH (HR, 3.81 [95% CI, 1.29-11.22]). There was no consistent evidence that race and ethnicity modified the association of cumulative mean SBP with first incident stroke and stroke type. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that cumulative mean SBP was associated with incident stroke type, but the associations did not differ by race and ethnicity. Culturally informed stroke prevention programs should address modifiable risk factors such as SBP along with social determinants of health and structural inequities in society.

Asunto(s)

Presión Sanguínea , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/etnología , Hemorragia Cerebral/epidemiología , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Hipertensión/etnología , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Incidencia , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/etnología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Grupos Raciales/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etnología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/etnología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/epidemiología , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/fisiopatología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricos , Negro o Afroamericano , Blanco , Hispánicos o Latinos

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The large and increasing number of adults living with dementia is a pressing societal priority, which may be partially mitigated through improved population-level blood pressure (BP) control. We explored how tighter population-level BP control affects the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events and dementia. METHODS: Using an open-source ASCVD and dementia simulation analysis platform, the Michigan Chronic Disease Simulation Model, we evaluated how optimal implementation of 2 BP treatments based on the Eighth Joint National Committee recommendations and SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) protocol would influence population-level ASCVD events, global cognitive performance, and all-cause dementia. We simulated 3 populations (usual care, Eighth Joint National Committee based, SPRINT based) using nationally representative data to annually update risk factors and assign ASCVD events, global cognitive performance scores, and dementia, applying different BP treatments in each population. We tabulated total ASCVD events, global cognitive performance, all-cause dementia, optimal brain health, and years lived in each state per population. RESULTS: Optimal implementation of SPRINT-based BP treatment strategy, compared with usual care, reduced ASCVD events in the United States by ≈77 000 per year and produced 0.4 more years of stroke- or myocardial infarction-free survival when averaged across all Americans. Population-level gains in years lived free of ASCVD events were greater for SPRINT-based than Eighth Joint National Committee-based treatment. Survival and years spent with optimal brain health improved with optimal SPRINT-based BP treatment implementation versus usual care: the average patient with hypertension lived 0.19 additional years and 0.3 additional years in optimal brain health. SPRINT-based BP treatment increased the number of years lived without dementia (by an average of 0.13 years/person with hypertension), but increased the total number of individuals with dementia, mainly through more adults surviving to advanced ages. CONCLUSIONS: Tighter BP control likely benefits most individuals but is unlikely to reduce dementia prevalence and might even increase the number of older adults living with dementia.

Asunto(s)

Antihipertensivos , Presión Sanguínea , Cognición , Demencia , Hipertensión , Humanos , Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Hipertensión/fisiopatología , Hipertensión/mortalidad , Presión Sanguínea/efectos de los fármacos , Anciano , Masculino , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/diagnóstico , Demencia/mortalidad , Femenino , Resultado del Tratamiento , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Incidencia , Factores de Tiempo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Michigan/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , Aterosclerosis/tratamiento farmacológico , Estados Unidos/epidemiología

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: While stroke is a recognized short-term sequela of traumatic brain injury, evidence about long-term ischemic stroke risk after traumatic brain injury remains limited. METHODS: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study is an ongoing prospective cohort comprised of US community-dwelling adults enrolled in 1987 to 1989 followed through 2019. Head injury was defined using self-report and hospital-based diagnostic codes and was analyzed as a time-varying exposure. Incident ischemic stroke events were physician-adjudicated. We used Cox regression adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors to estimate the hazard of ischemic stroke as a function of head injury. Secondary analyses explored the number and severity of head injuries; the mechanism and severity of incident ischemic stroke; and heterogeneity within subgroups defined by race, sex, and age. RESULTS: Our analysis included 12 813 participants with no prior head injury or stroke. The median follow-up age was 27.1 years (25th-75th percentile=21.1-30.5). Participants were of median age 54 years (25th-75th percentile=49-59) at baseline; 57.7% were female and 27.8% were Black. There were 2158 (16.8%) participants with at least 1 head injury and 1141 (8.9%) participants with an incident ischemic stroke during follow-up. For those with head injuries, the median age to ischemic stroke was 7.5 years (25th-75th percentile=2.2-14.0). In adjusted models, head injury was associated with an increased hazard of incident ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.34 [95% CI, 1.12-1.60]). We observed evidence of dose-response for the number of head injuries (1: HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.97-1.40]; ≥2: HR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.39-2.71]) but not for injury severity. We observed evidence of stronger associations between head injury and more severe stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤5: HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.04-1.64]; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 6-10: HR, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.06-2.52]; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≥11: HR, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.18-2.76]). Results were similar across stroke mechanism and within strata of race, sex, and age. CONCLUSIONS: In this community-based cohort, head injury was associated with subsequent ischemic stroke. These results suggest the importance of public health interventions aimed at preventing head injuries and primary stroke prevention among individuals with prior traumatic brain injuries.

Asunto(s)

Traumatismos Craneocerebrales , Vida Independiente , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Incidencia , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Traumatismos Craneocerebrales/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes