RESUMEN
We construct a Markov-chain representation of the surface-ocean Lagrangian dynamics in a region occupied by the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) and adjacent portions of the Caribbean Sea and North Atlantic using satellite-tracked drifter trajectory data, the largest collection so far considered. From the analysis of the eigenvectors of the transition matrix associated with the chain, we identify almost-invariant attracting sets and their basins of attraction. With this information we decompose the GoM's geography into weakly dynamically interacting provinces, which constrain the connectivity between distant locations within the GoM. Offshore oil exploration, oil spill contingency planning, and fish larval connectivity assessment are among the many activities that can benefit from the dynamical information carried in the geography constructed here.
RESUMEN
We present an efficient computational method for estimating the mean and variance of interspike intervals defined by the timing of spikes in typical orbits of one-dimensional neuronal maps. This is equivalent to finding the mean and variance of return times of orbits to particular regions of phase space. Rather than computing estimates directly from time series, the system is modelled as a finite state Markov chain to extract stationary behaviour in the form of invariant measures and average absorption times. Ergodic-theoretic formulae are then applied to produce the estimates without the need to generate orbits directly. The approach may be applied to both deterministic and randomly forced systems.