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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 4878, 2024 Feb 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38418495

RESUMEN

Public earthquake early warning systems (PEEWSs) have the potential to save lives by warning people of incoming seismic waves up to tens of seconds in advance. Given the scale and geographical extent of their impact, this potential is greatest for destructive earthquakes, such as the M7.8 Pazarcik (Türkiye) event of 6 February 2023, which killed almost 60,000 people. However, warning people of imminent strong shaking is particularly difficult for large-magnitude earthquakes because the warning must be given before the earthquake has reached its final size. Here, we show that the Earthquake Network (EQN), the first operational smartphone-based PEEWS and apparently the only one operating during this earthquake, issued a cross-border alert within 12 s of the beginning of the rupture. A comparison with accelerometer and macroseismic data reveals that, owing to the EQN alerting strategy, Turkish and Syrian EQN users exposed to intensity IX and above benefitted from a warning time of up to 58 s before the onset of strong ground shaking. If the alert had been extended to the entire population, approximately 2.7 million Turkish and Syrian people exposed to a life-threatening earthquake would have received a warning ranging from 30 to 66 s in advance.

2.
Sci Data ; 10(1): 143, 2023 03 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36934159

RESUMEN

The air in the Lombardy region, Italy, is one of the most polluted in Europe because of limited air circulation and high emission levels. There is a large scientific consensus that the agricultural sector has a significant impact on air quality. To support studies quantifying the role of the agricultural and livestock sectors on the Lombardy air quality, this paper presents a harmonised dataset containing daily values of air quality, weather, emissions, livestock, and land and soil use in the years 2016-2021, for the Lombardy region. The daily scale is obtained by averaging hourly data and interpolating other variables. In fact, the pollutant data come from the European Environmental Agency and the Lombardy Regional Environment Protection Agency, weather and emissions data from the European Copernicus programme, livestock data from the Italian zootechnical registry, and land and soil use data from the CORINE Land Cover project. The resulting dataset is designed to be used as is by those using air quality data for research.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire , Ganado , Animales , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Italia , Meteorología , Suelo
3.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 935, 2023 01 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36650298

RESUMEN

People mobility data sets played a role during the COVID-19 pandemic in assessing the impact of lockdown measures and correlating mobility with pandemic trends. Two global data sets were Apple's Mobility Trends Reports and Google's Community Mobility Reports. The former is no longer available online, while the latter is no longer updated since October 2022. Thus, new products are required. To establish a lower bound on data set penetration guaranteeing high adherence between new products and the Big Tech products, an independent mobility data set based on 3.8 million smartphone trajectories is analysed to compare its information content with that of the Google data set. This lower bound is determined to be around 10-4 (1 trajectory every 10,000 people) suggesting that relatively small data sets are suitable for replacing Big Tech reports.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Viaje , Humanos , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , COVID-19/epidemiología , Teléfono Inteligente , Sistemas de Información Geográfica
4.
Signif (Oxf) ; 17(3): 17-18, 2020 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32536953

RESUMEN

Francesco Finazzi and Alessandro Fassò use location data collected by an earthquake-monitoring app to gauge compliance with lockdown measures in Italy.

5.
Biometrics ; 75(4): 1356-1366, 2019 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31180147

RESUMEN

Personal exposure assessment is a challenging task that requires both measurements of the state of the environment as well as the individual's movements. In this paper, we show how location data collected by smartphone applications can be exploited to quantify the personal exposure of a large group of people to air pollution. A Bayesian approach that blends air quality monitoring data with individual location data is proposed to assess the individual exposure over time, under uncertainty of both the pollutant level and the individual location. A comparison with personal exposure obtained assuming fixed locations for the individuals is also provided. Location data collected by the Earthquake Network research project are employed to quantify the dynamic personal exposure to fine particulate matter of around 2500 people living in Santiago (Chile) over a 4-month period. For around 30% of individuals, the personal exposure based on people movements emerges significantly different over the static exposure. On the basis of this result and thanks to a simulation study, we claim that even when the individual location is known with nonnegligible error, this helps to better assess personal exposure to air pollution. The approach is flexible and can be adopted to quantify the personal exposure based on any location-aware smartphone application.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Teléfono Inteligente , Teorema de Bayes , Chile , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Humanos
6.
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol ; 19: 37-45, 2016 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27839579

RESUMEN

In this paper, the Italian hospitalization database provided by the Ministry of Health is analyzed in terms of the temporal and spatial patterns of the hospitalization rates. The database covers the period 2010-2012 and the rates are evaluated for 110 Italian provinces and 18 diagnosis groups as defined by the ICD-9 classification. The analysis is based on a novel model-based clustering approach which enables clustering of spatially registered time series with respect to latent temporal patterns. The clustering result is analyzed to study the spatial distribution of the latent temporal patterns and their trend in order to identify possible critical areas in terms of increasing rates. Additionally, emerging spatial patterns may help common causes driving the hospitalization rates to be identified.


Asunto(s)
Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/estadística & datos numéricos , Admisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Análisis por Conglomerados , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Análisis Espacio-Temporal
7.
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol ; 18: 1-12, 2016 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27494955

RESUMEN

Exposure to high levels of air pollutant concentration is known to be associated with respiratory problems which can translate into higher morbidity and mortality rates. The link between air pollution and population health has mainly been assessed considering air quality and hospitalisation or mortality data. However, this approach limits the analysis to individuals characterised by severe conditions. In this paper we evaluate the link between air pollution and respiratory diseases using general practice drug prescriptions for chronic respiratory diseases, which allow to draw conclusions based on the general population. We propose a two-stage statistical approach: in the first stage we specify a space-time model to estimate the monthly NO2 concentration integrating several data sources characterised by different spatio-temporal resolution; in the second stage we link the concentration to the ß2-agonists prescribed monthly by general practices in England and we model the prescription rates through a small area approach.


Asunto(s)
Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/provisión & distribución , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Asma/epidemiología , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/epidemiología , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/administración & dosificación , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapéutico , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Asma/tratamiento farmacológico , Asma/etiología , Teorema de Bayes , Bases de Datos Factuales , Demografía , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Humanos , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Medicina Estatal
8.
J R Stat Soc Ser C Appl Stat ; 62(2): 287-308, 2013 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23518479

RESUMEN

The paper is devoted to the development of a statistical framework for air quality assessment at the country level and for the evaluation of the ambient population exposure and risk with respect to airborne pollutants. The framework is based on a multivariate space-time model and on aggregated indices defined at different levels of aggregation in space and time. The indices are evaluated, uncertainty included, by considering both the model outputs and the information on the population spatial distribution. The framework is applied to the analysis of air quality data for Scotland for 2009 referring to European and Scottish air quality legislation.

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