RESUMEN
As a part of the overall safety assessment for a geological disposal of radioactive waste, models for different ecosystems are used to evaluate doses to humans and biota from possible radionuclide discharges to the biosphere. In previous safety assessments, transport modelling of radionuclides in running waters such as streams has been much simplified to the extent that only dilution of the inflow of radionuclides has been considered with no regard of any other interactions. Hyporheic exchange flow (HEF) is the flow of surface water in streams that enters the subsurface zone and, after some time, returns to the surface. HEF has been studied for decades. Hyporheic exchange and the residence time in the hyporheic zone are key parameters controlling the transport of radionuclides in a stream. Furthermore, recent studies have shown that HEF can reduce the groundwater upwelling area and increase the upwelling velocity in areas closest to the streambed water interface. In this paper, the development of an assessment model describing radionuclide transport with consideration of HEF and deep groundwater upwelling along streams is presented. An approach to parameterising the hyporheic exchange processes into an assessment model is based on a comprehensive study that has been performed in five different Swedish catchments. Sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the effect with consideration of the inflow of radionuclides with regard to HEF and deep groundwater upwelling in a safety assessment perspective. Finally, we include some suggestions for the application of the assessment model to long-term radiological safety assessments.
Asunto(s)
Agua Subterránea , Monitoreo de Radiación , Humanos , Ríos , Ecosistema , Radioisótopos , AguaRESUMEN
Regulations concerning potential future health impacts of the final disposal of radioactive wastes in geological disposal facilities are written in terms of annual dose to individuals who are representative of small groups living in the landscape in the vicinity of the repository site. As disposal programmes in Sweden and Finland have progressed towards licensing and construction, so too has detail describing the state and evolution of surface biosphere and the landscape around the proposed disposal sites increased. Simple and generic biosphere dose assessment models in early iterations have grown in complexity with increasing site-specific detail that aims to capture the radiologically significant features of the landscape into which future releases of radionuclides might credibly occur. Current dose assessment models used in support of license applications for disposal programmes in Sweden and Finland are highly complex and their application consequently lacks transparency. An alternative simpler approach to characterising landscape objects for dose assessment models would be beneficial in that it would offer an additional line of reasoning and would add clarity, thereby supporting the decision-making process of the regulatory authorities. In the context of coastal Fennoscandia, landscape change is relatively rapid and dramatic with post-glacial landrise transforming areas of the coastal seabed into terrestrial ecosystems over a period of a few thousand years, global sea level rise notwithstanding. The locations of the geosphere-biosphere interfaces for deep geologic disposal can be estimated with some precision but the nature of the receiving ecosystems at the time of the release is less certain. The approach described here provides a statistical quantification of key morphological characteristics of areas in the landscape where doses could arise, so as to better express uncertainties in dose modelling. The proposed method assumes that the variation in the morphology of potential release locations can be described by the variation in landscape objects seen in the landscape on a wider scale, providing a statistical description of the possible landscape objects, so allowing a more comprehensive range of potential future evolutions to be addressed. Our understanding of the evolution of the landscape, based on the kinds of terrain and ecosystem development models used by POSIVA in Finland and SKB in Sweden, suggests that objects identified in present-day maps can be used as analogues for a statistical characterisation of objects in the future landscape; objects identified in the observed topography and bathymetry can therefore serve as the basis for the statistical description of landscape dose objects over the period during which doses are likely to arise. Using digital elevation models around a disposal site in Finland, we show that the statistical descriptions of landscape dose objects at three times over a period of 10 kyear of the evolved landscape are sufficiently similar to establish the suitability of the approach. The aim of this statistical analysis is to supplement current methods for defining radiological assessment models so as to provide additional numerical support to both the simpler and more complex methods employed by implementors and regulators. The method has been developed in the context of the Swedish and Finnish regulatory review process and is referred to in the IAEA's revised BIOMASS methodology. We briefly address how the method might be applied in other landscape contexts.
Asunto(s)
Monitoreo de Radiación , Residuos Radiactivos , Humanos , Ecosistema , Modelos Teóricos , Monitoreo de Radiación/métodos , Residuos Radiactivos/análisis , SueciaRESUMEN
The long-term condition and potential radiological consequences of legacy radioactive waste stored in a RADON-type of near-surface disposal facility outside the city of Chisinau is of concern to the central government and health protection authorities of the Republic of Moldova. A 'zero alternative scenario' risk assessment has been undertaken in order to evaluate the potential radiological impact on humans and the environment of the facility, were it to be left in its current state with no remediation. The results have been used as a basis for regulatory decision making regarding remediation and decommissioning of the legacy radioactive waste facility. The aim of this study was two-fold: first to demonstrate a complete radiological risk assessment of a real site using a combination of methodologies developed by the IAEA (ISAM and BIOMASS), the second to illustrate the current state-of-the-art in respect of extracting site-specific information from site-descriptive material. We illustrate the practicality of employing geographic information systems techniques on site-specific topographic data to identify relevant biosphere dose objects, thereby allowing customisation of the generic ISAM model framework to site-specific conditions. As a result, a simple method is suggested to bound activity concentrations in well water based on an understanding of water balance in the local catchment area in which the biosphere dose object is embedded. With conservative assumptions, estimated doses from the calculation cases of the design scenario remain lower than the IAEA's dose criteria and environmental screening values. However, the results also indicate that human intrusion activities after the institutional control period could lead to radiological exposures above the IAEA's criteria for a period up to 100 000 years. The long-lived radionuclide239Pu dominates doses for the on-site residence scenario. Remediation measures should be implemented were the waste to remain at its present place of disposal.
Asunto(s)
Residuos Radiactivos , Eliminación de Residuos , Humanos , Moldavia , Residuos Radiactivos/análisis , Medición de Riesgo , Instalaciones de Eliminación de ResiduosRESUMEN
For the first time, a system for specific consideration of radiological environmental protection has been applied in a major license application in Sweden. In 2011 the Swedish Nuclear Fuel & Waste Management Co. (SKB) submitted a license application for construction of a geological repository for spent nuclear fuel at the Forsmark site. The license application is supported by a post-closure safety assessment, which in accordance with regulatory requirements includes an assessment of environmental consequences. SKB's environmental risk assessment uses the freely available ERICA Tool. Environmental media activity concentrations needed as input to the tool are calculated by means of complex biosphere modelling based on site-specific information gathered from site investigations, as well as from supporting modelling studies and projections of future biosphere conditions in response to climate change and land rise due to glacial rebound. SKB's application is currently being reviewed by the Swedish Radiation Safety Authority (SSM). In addition to a traditional document review with an aim to determine whether SKB's models are relevant, correctly implemented and adequately parametrized, SSM has performed independent modelling in order to gain confidence in the robustness of SKB's assessment. Thus, SSM has used alternative stylized reference biosphere models to calculate environmental activity concentrations for use in subsequent exposure calculations. Secondly, an alternative dose model (RESRAD-BIOTA) is used to calculate doses to biota that are compared with SKB's calculations with the ERICA tool. SSM's experience from this review is that existing tools for environmental dose assessment are possible to use in order to show compliance with Swedish legislation. However, care is needed when site representative species are assessed with the aim to contrast them to generic reference organism. The alternative modelling of environmental concentrations resulted in much lower concentrations compared to SKB's results. However, SSM judges that SKB's in this part conservative approach is relevant for a screening assessment. SSM also concludes that there are big differences in dose rates calculated to different organisms depending on which tool that is used, although not systematically higher for either of them. Finally, independent regulatory modelling has proven valuable for SSM's review in gaining understanding and confidence in SKB's assessment presented in the license application.
Asunto(s)
Política Ambiental , Concesión de Licencias , Residuos Radiactivos/análisis , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Predicción , Monitoreo de Radiación , Residuos Radiactivos/legislación & jurisprudencia , SueciaRESUMEN
Several countries consider geological disposal facilities as the preferred option for spent nuclear fuel due to their potential to provide isolation from the surface environment on very long timescales. In 2011 the Swedish Nuclear Fuel & Waste Management Co. (SKB) submitted a license application for construction of a spent nuclear fuel repository. The disposal method involves disposing spent fuel in copper canisters with a cast iron insert at about 500 m depth in crystalline basement rock, and each canister is surrounded by a buffer of swelling bentonite clay. SKB's license application is supported by a post-closure safety assessment, SR-Site. SR-Site has been reviewed by the Swedish Radiation Safety Authority (SSM) for five years. The main method for review of SKB's license application is document review, which is carried out by SSM's staff and supported by SSM's external experts. The review has proven a challenging task due to its broad scope, complexity and multidisciplinary nature. SSM and its predecessors have, for several decades, been developing independent models to support regulatory reviews of post-closure safety assessments for geological repositories. For the review of SR-Site, SSM has developed a modelling approach with a structured application of independent modelling activities, including replication modelling, use of alternative conceptual models and bounding calculations, to complement the traditional document review. This paper describes this scheme and its application to biosphere and dose assessment modelling. SSM's independent modelling has provided important insights regarding quality and reasonableness of SKB's rather complex biosphere modelling and has helped quantifying conservatisms and highlighting conceptual uncertainty.
Asunto(s)
Modelos Químicos , Dosis de Radiación , Residuos Radiactivos/análisis , Residuos Radiactivos/legislación & jurisprudencia , Medición de Riesgo , Suecia , Administración de Residuos/legislación & jurisprudencia , Administración de Residuos/métodosRESUMEN
Geological disposal facilities are the preferred option for high-level radioactive waste, due to their potential to provide isolation from the surface environment (biosphere) on very long timescales. Assessments need to strike a balance between stylised models and more complex approaches that draw more extensively on site-specific information. This paper explores the relative merits of complex versus more stylised biosphere models in the context of a site-specific assessment. The more complex biosphere modelling approach was developed by the Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co (SKB) for the Formark candidate site for a spent nuclear fuel repository in Sweden. SKB's approach is built on a landscape development model, whereby radionuclide releases to distinct hydrological basins/sub-catchments (termed 'objects') are represented as they evolve through land rise and climate change. Each of seventeen of these objects is represented with more than 80 site specific parameters, with about 22 that are time-dependent and result in over 5000 input values per object. The more stylised biosphere models developed for this study represent releases to individual ecosystems without environmental change and include the most plausible transport processes. In the context of regulatory review of the landscape modelling approach adopted in the SR-Site assessment in Sweden, the more stylised representation has helped to build understanding in the more complex modelling approaches by providing bounding results, checking the reasonableness of the more complex modelling, highlighting uncertainties introduced through conceptual assumptions and helping to quantify the conservatisms involved. The more stylised biosphere models are also shown capable of reproducing the results of more complex approaches. A major recommendation is that biosphere assessments need to justify the degree of complexity in modelling approaches as well as simplifying and conservative assumptions. In light of the uncertainties concerning the biosphere on very long timescales, stylised biosphere models are shown to provide a useful point of reference in themselves and remain a valuable tool for nuclear waste disposal licencing procedures.
Asunto(s)
Monitoreo de Radiación/métodos , Residuos Radiactivos/análisis , Administración de Residuos , Modelos Teóricos , Eliminación de Residuos , SueciaRESUMEN
Field data of physical properties in heterogeneous crystalline bedrock, like porosity and fracture aperture, is associated with uncertainty that can have a significant impact on the analysis of solute transport in rock fractures. Solutions to the central temporal moments of the residence time probability density function (PDF) are derived in a closed form for a solute Dirac pulse. The solutions are based on a model that takes into account advection along the fracture plane, diffusion into the rock matrix and sorption kinetics in the rock matrix. The most relevant rock properties including fracture aperture and several matrix properties as well as flow velocity are assumed to be spatially random along transport pathways. The mass transport is first solved in a general form along one-dimensional pathways, but the results can be extended to multi-dimensional flows simply by substituting the expected travel time for inert water parcels. Based on data obtained with rock samples taken at Aspö Hard Rock Laboratory in Sweden, the solutions indicate that the heterogeneity of the rock properties contributes to increasing significantly both the variance and the skewness of the residence time probability density function for a pulse travelling in a fracture. The Aspö data suggests that the bias introduced in the variance of the residence time PDF by neglecting the effect of heterogeneity of the rock properties on the radionuclide migration is very large for fractures thinner than a few tenths of a millimetre.