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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of early disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) on illness severity in children using a database of emergency department ED encounters for children with suspected sepsis, in view of similar associations in adults. STUDY DESIGN: Laboratory and clinical data were extracted from a registry of emergency department encounters of children with suspected sepsis between April 1, 2012, and June 26, 2017. International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis DIC scores were calculated from laboratory values obtained within 24 hours of emergency department admission. Univariate logistic regression, multivariable logistic regression, and Cox regression were used to assess the influence of DIC scores on vasopressor use (primary outcome), mortality, ventilator requirement, pediatric intensive care unit admission, and hospital duration (secondary outcomes). The optimal DIC score cutoff for outcome prediction was determined. RESULTS: Of 1653 eligible patients, 284 had DIC scores within 24 hours, including 92 who required vasopressors and 23 who died within 1 year. An initial DIC score of ≥3 was the most sensitive and specific DIC score for predicting adverse outcomes. Those with a DIC score of ≥3 vs <3 had increased odds of vasopressor use in both univariate (OR, 4.48; 95% CI, 2.63-7.62; P < .001) and multivariable (OR, 3.78; 95% CI, 1.82-7.85; P < .001) analyses. Additionally, those with a DIC score of ≥3 vs <3 had increased 1-year mortality with a hazard ratio of 3.55 (95% CI, 1.46-8.64; P = .005). CONCLUSIONS: A DIC score of ≥3 was an independent predictor for both vasopressor use and mortality in this pediatric cohort, distinct from the adult overt DIC score cutoff of ≥5.

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OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate a model of risk of septic shock among children with suspected sepsis, using data known in the electronic health record at hospital arrival. STUDY DESIGN: This observational cohort study at 6 pediatric emergency department and urgent care sites used a training dataset (5 sites, April 1, 2013, to December 31, 2016), a temporal test set (5 sites, January 1, 2017 to June 30, 2018), and a geographic test set (a sixth site, April 1, 2013, to December 31, 2018). Patients 60 days to 18 years of age in whom clinicians suspected sepsis were included; patients with septic shock on arrival were excluded. The outcome, septic shock, was systolic hypotension with vasoactive medication or ≥30 mL/kg of isotonic crystalloid within 24 hours of arrival. Elastic net regularization, a penalized regression technique, was used to develop a model in the training set. RESULTS: Of 2464 included visits, septic shock occurred in 282 (11.4%). The model had an area under the curve of 0.79 (0.76-0.83) in the training set, 0.75 (0.69-0.81) in the temporal test set, and 0.87 (0.73-1.00) in the geographic test set. With a threshold set to 90% sensitivity in the training set, the model yielded 82% (72%-90%) sensitivity and 48% (44%-52%) specificity in the temporal test set, and 90% (55%-100%) sensitivity and 32% (21%-46%) specificity in the geographic test set. CONCLUSIONS: This model estimated the risk of septic shock in children at hospital arrival earlier than existing models. It leveraged the predictive value of routine electronic health record data through a modern predictive algorithm and has the potential to enhance clinical risk stratification in the critical moments before deterioration.

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OBJECTIVES: To assess whether the risk of missed clinician diagnosis of pediatric sepsis requiring care in the intensive care unit (ICU) was greater in community vs tertiary pediatric emergency care settings with sepsis pathways. STUDY DESIGN: An observational cohort study in a tertiary pediatric emergency department (ED) staffed by pediatric emergency physicians and 4 affiliated community pediatric ED/urgent care sites staffed by general pediatricians. Use of an institutional sepsis order set or pathway was considered clinician diagnosis of sepsis. Risk of missed diagnosis was compared for 2 outcomes: suspected infection plus ICU admission (sepsis-ICU) and suspected infection plus vasoactive agent/positive-pressure ventilation (sepsis-VV). RESULTS: From January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2015, there were 141 552 tertiary and 139 332 community emergency visits. Clinicians diagnosed sepsis in 1136 visits; median age was 5.7 (2.4, 12.0) years. In the tertiary ED, there were 306 sepsis-ICU visits (0.2%) and 112 sepsis-VV visits (0.08%). In community sites, there were 46 sepsis-ICU visits (0.03%) and 20 sepsis-VV visits (0.01%). The risk of missed diagnosis in community vs tertiary sites was significantly greater for sepsis-ICU (relative risk 4.30, CI 2.15-8.60) and sepsis-VV (relative risk 14.0, CI 2.91-67.24). Sensitivity for sepsis-ICU was 94.4% (91.3%-96.5%) at the tertiary site and 76.1% (62.1%-86.1%) at community sites. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of missed diagnosis of sepsis-ICU was greater in community vs tertiary emergency care settings despite shared pathways and education, but with differences in resources, providers, and sepsis incidence. More research is needed to optimize diagnostic approaches in all settings.

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