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BACKGROUND: The challenge of transplant waiting-lists is to provide organs for all candidates while maintaining efficiency and equity. AIMS: We investigated the probability of being transplanted or of waiting-list dropout in Italy. METHODS: Data from 12,749 adult patients waitlisted for primary liver-transplantation from January 2012 to December 2022 were collected from the National Transplant-Registry.The cohort was divided into Eras:1 (2012-2014);2 (2015-2018);and 3 (2019-2022). RESULTS: The one-year probability of undergoing transplant increased (67.6 % in Era 1vs73.8 % in Era 3,p < 0001) with a complementary 46 % decrease in waiting-list failures. Patients with hepatocellular-carcinoma were transplanted more often than cirrhotics[at model for end-stage liver-disease (MELD)-15:HR = 1.28,95 %CI:1.21-1.35;at MELD-25:HR = 1.04,95 %CI:0.92-1.19) and those with other indications (at MELD-15:HR = 1.27,95 %CI:1.11-1.46) across all eras. Candidates with Hepatitis-B-virus (HBV)related disease had a greater probability of transplant than those with Hepatitis-C virus-related (HR = 1.13,95 %CI:1.07-1.20), alcohol-related (HR = 1.13,95 %CI:1.05-1.21), and metabolic-related (HR = 1.18,95 %CI:1.09-1.28)disease. Waiting-list failures increased by 27 % every 5 MELD-points and by 14 % for every 5-year increase in recipient-age and decreased by 10 % with each 10-cm increase in stature. Blood-group O patients showed the highest probability of waiting-list failure (HR = 1.28,95 %CI:1.15-1.43). CONCLUSIONS: Liver-transplantation waiting-list success-rates have significantly improved in Italy, with patients with hepatocellular-carcinoma and/or HBV-related diseases being favored. High MELD-score, old-age, short-stature, and blood-group O were significant risk-factors for waiting-list failure. Efforts to improve organ-allocation and prioritization-policies are underway.
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BACKGROUND: Over the last decades relevant epidemiological changes of liver diseases have occurred, together with greatly improved treatment opportunities. AIM: To investigate how the indications for elective adult liver transplantation and the underlying disease etiologies have evolved in Italy. METHODS: We recruited from the National Transplant Registry a cohort comprising 17,317 adults patients waitlisted for primary liver transplantation from January-2004 to December-2020. Patients were divided into three Eras:1(2004-2011),2(2012-2014) and 3(2015-2020). RESULTS: Waitlistings for cirrhosis decreased from 65.9% in Era 1 to 46.1% in Era 3, while those for HCC increased from 28.7% to 48.7%. Comparing Eras 1 and 3, waitlistings for HCV-related cirrhosis decreased from 35.9% to 12.1%, yet those for HCV-related HCC increased from 8.5% to 26.7%. Waitlistings for HBV-related cirrhosis remained almost unchanged (13.2% and 12.4%), while those for HBV-related HCC increased from 4.0% to 11.6%. ALD-related cirrhosis decreased from 16.9% to 12.9% while ALD-related HCC increased from 1.9% to 3.9%. CONCLUSIONS: A sharp increase in liver transplant waitlisting for HCC and a concomitant decrease of waitlisting for cirrhosis have occurred In Italy. Despite HCV infection has noticeably decreased, still remains the primary etiology of waitlisting for HCC, while ALD and HBV represent the main causes for cirrhosis.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Adulto , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Cirrosis Hepática/cirugía , Sistema de Registros , Hepatitis C/complicaciones , Hepatitis C/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The risk of disease transmission from nonstandard risk donors (NSRDs) is low, and outcomes are similar or better relative to transplants performed with standard criteria donors. However, NSRDs have posed new ethical challenges to the informed consent (IC) process. Based on the shared decision-making model, coinciding with the 3 main timings of the IC process ([1] pretransplant assessments and waiting list registration, [2] time on the waiting list, and [3] time of the organ offer), we put forward a model (3-T Model) to summarize the knowledge on IC for NSRDs and to deliver conceptual and practical support to transplant providers on this emergent issue. METHODS: We searched PubMed and analyzed data from our area to provide evidence and ethical arguments to promote standardization of the timing of patient information, degree of patient participation, and disclosure of donor risk factors throughout the 3 stages of the time continuum leading to the potential acceptance of NSRDs. RESULTS: Each of the 3 timings carries special ethical significance and entails well-defined duties for transplant providers relative to patient involvement and information of the benefits and risks associated with NSRDs. Based on our framework, experience, and interpretation of the literature, we put forward a list of recommendations to combine standardization (ie, timing, content, and degree of patient participation) and individualization of IC. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-T Model may enable the prevention of physicians' arbitrariness and the promotion of patient-centered care. Future studies will assess the effectiveness of the 3-T Model in transplant clinical practice.
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Donations after circulatory death (DCD) are still challenging in Italy because of prolonged ischemia time (tWIT) due to the law and logistical issues. This cohort study was primarily aimed at assessing the association between successful transplantation and DCD types in the North Italy Transplant program. Adjusted risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for type III versus type II DCD were estimated using a Poisson regression model with a robust error variance. All consecutive DCD between 2008 and 2020 were included. Among 142 DCD, 102 were eligible for liver donation, and 96 were proposed: 68/69 (99%) and 28/33 (85%) type III and II DCD, respectively. Sixty-nine livers were recovered, 51/68 (75%) from type III and 18/28 (64%) from type II DCD, respectively (RR: 1.18; 95% CI: 0.87-1.60). After ex-vivo perfusion, 50/68 (74%) and 14/28 (50%) livers from type III and type II DCD were transplanted (RR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.01-2.19). The estimate decreased after further controlling for tWIT (RR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.55-2.24). Five patients (7.8%) experienced a PNF, 3/50 and 2/14 from type III and type II DCD, respectively. Type III DCD livers were more likely to be transplanted than type II. Warm ischemia time might explain this difference.
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Trasplante de Hígado , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Trasplantes , Estudios de Cohortes , Muerte , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Italia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Donantes de TejidosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has unfavorably influenced solid organ donation activity. AIM: The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of COVID-19 on transplantation in the North Italy Transplant program (NITp). MATERIAL AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study included all consecutive potential deceased donors proposed in the NITp in 6 weeks after February 21, 2020 (period A) compared to all potential donors during the same time frame of the previous years (period B) and all potential donors 6 weeks before February 20, 2020 (period C). RESULTS: Fifty-eight deceased donors were proposed during period A, 95 were proposed during period B, and 128 were proposed during period C. After the evaluation process, 32 of 58 (55.2%), 60 of 95 (63.2%), and 79 of 128 (61.7%) donors were used for organ donation in periods A, B, and C, respectively (P value = .595). We observed a 47% donation reduction in period A compared to period B and a 60% reduction compared to period C. There was a reduction of 44% and 59% in transplantation comparing period A with period B and period C, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed an important reduction of donations and transplants during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Infecciones por Coronavirus , Trasplante de Órganos/estadística & datos numéricos , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/estadística & datos numéricos , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The amount of time spent in dialysis waiting for a renal transplantation significantly affects its outcome. Hence, the timely planning of patients' transplant evaluation is crucial. According to data from the Nord Italia Transplant program (NITp), the average waiting time between the beginning of dialysis and the admission to the regional transplant waiting list in Lombardy is 20.2 months. METHODS: A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted in order to identify the causes of these delays and find solutions. Two questionnaires were administered to the directors of 47 Nephrology Units and to 106 patients undergoing dialysis in Lombardy respectively, during their first visit for admission to the transplant waiting list. RESULTS: The comparative analysis of the results revealed that both patients (52%) and directors (75%) consider the time required for registering to the waiting list too long. Patients judge information about the transplant to be insufficient, especially regarding the pre-emptive option (63% of patients declare that they had not been informed about this opportunity). Patients report a significantly longer time for the completion of pre-transplantation tests (more than 1 year in 23% of the cases) compared to that indicated by the directors. CONCLUSIONS: The study confirmed the necessity of providing better and more timely information to patients regarding the different kidney transplantation options and highlighted the importance of creating target-oriented and dedicated pathways in all hospitals.
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Trasplante de Riñón , Diálisis Renal/estadística & datos numéricos , Listas de Espera , Femenino , Encuestas de Atención de la Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Italia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nefrología/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de TiempoAsunto(s)
Trasplante de Hígado , Reoperación , Estudios de Seguimiento , Hígado , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMEN
There are reports of pretransplant sofosbuvir (SOF) plus ribavirin being effective in preventing recurrent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after liver transplantation (LT). The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of this strategy in the area served by the North Italy Transplant program. We retrospectively assessed the impact of HCV infection on post-LT survival in 2376 consecutive adult patients (MELD ≤ 25, unknown genotype, period 2004-2009) and the prevalence costs of conventional standard of care (SOC) antiviral therapy (pegylated interferon plus ribavirin) after LT. A Markov model was developed to compare two strategies: 12-24 weeks of SOF+ ribavirin for pre-LT anti-HCV treatment versus on-demand post-LT SOC antiviral therapy. Among the 1794 patients undergoing LT, 860 (48%) were HCV+ and 50% of them were given SOC therapy after LT (mean cost of drugs and adverse effect management = 14,421 per patient). HCV etiology had a strong impact on post-LT survival (hazard ratio = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.22-2.09, P = 0.0007). After Monte Carlo simulation, pre-LT SOF therapy showed a median survival benefit of 1.5 quality-adjusted life years and an Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 30,663/QALY, proving cost-effective in our particular Italian scenario. The costs of SOF therapy, sustained viral response rate 12 weeks after LT, and recipient's age were the main ICER predictors at multivariate analysis. This study proposes a dynamic model based on real-life data from northern Italy for adjusting the costs of pre-LT direct-acting antiviral therapies to the actual sustained virological response reached after LT.
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Antivirales/administración & dosificación , Hepatitis C Crónica/prevención & control , Fallo Hepático/cirugía , Trasplante de Hígado/economía , Sofosbuvir/administración & dosificación , Antivirales/economía , Enfermedad Crónica , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Femenino , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C Crónica/complicaciones , Humanos , Italia , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Fallo Hepático/complicaciones , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Periodo Preoperatorio , Probabilidad , Recurrencia , Proyectos de Investigación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sofosbuvir/economía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Listas de EsperaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To analyze in a multicenter study the potential benefit of a new prospective policy development to increase split-liver procedures for 2 adult recipients. BACKGROUND: Split-liver transplantation is an important means of overcoming organ shortages. Division of the donor liver for 1 adult and 1 pediatric recipient has reduced the mortality of children waiting for liver transplantation but the benefits or disadvantages to survival when the liver is divided for 2 adults (adult-to-adult split-liver transplant, AASLT) compared with recipients of a whole graft have not been fully investigated. METHODS: We developed a computerized algorithm in selected donors for 2 adult recipients and applied it prospectively over a 12-year period among 7 collaborative centers. Patient and graft outcomes of this cohort receiving AASLT either as full right grafts or full left grafts were analyzed and retrospectively compared with a matched cohort of adults who received a conventional whole-liver transplant (WLT). Univariate and multivariate analysis was done for selected clinical variables in the AASLT group to assess the impact on the patient outcome. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients who received the AASLT had a high postoperative complication rate (64.1% grade III and IV) and a lower 5-year survival rate than recipients of a WLT (63.3% and 83.1%) CONCLUSIONS: AASLT should be considered a surgical option for selected smaller-sized adults only in experimental clinical studies in experienced centers.
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Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Trasplante de Hígado/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Algoritmos , Femenino , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Formulación de Políticas , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Trasplantes/provisión & distribución , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The current organ allocation system for liver transplantation (LT) creates an imbalance between patients with and without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We describe a model designed to re-establish allocation equity among patient groups using transplant benefit as the common endpoint. METHODS: We enrolled consecutive adult patients entering the waiting list (WL group, n=2697) and undergoing LT (LT group, n=1702) during the period 2004-2009 in the North Italy Transplant program area. Independent multivariable regressions (WL and LT models) were created for patients without HCC and for those with stage T2 HCC. Monte Carlo simulation was used to create distributions of transplant benefit, and covariates such as Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were combined in regression equations. These equations were then calibrated to create an "MELD equivalent" which matches HCC patients to non-HCC patients having the same numerical MELD score. RESULTS: Median 5 year transplant benefit was 15.12 months (8.75-25.35) for the non-HCC patients, and 28.18 months (15.11-36.38) for the T2-HCC patients (p<0.001). Independent predictors of transplant benefit were MELD score (estimate=0.89, p<0.001) among non-HCC patients, and MELD (estimate=1.14, p<0.001) and logAFP (estimate=-0.46, p<0.001) among HCC patients. The equation "HCC-MELD"=1.27∗MELD - 0.51∗logAFP+4.59 calculates a numerical score for HCC patients, whereby their transplant benefit is equal to that of non-HCC patients with the same numerical value for MELD. CONCLUSIONS: We describe a method for calibrating HCC and non-HCC patients according to survival benefit, and propose that this method has the potential, if externally validated, to restore equity to the organ allocation system.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular/complicaciones , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/complicaciones , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicaciones , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Trasplante de Hígado , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/métodos , Listas de Espera , Adulto , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/mortalidad , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Método de Montecarlo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
In 20% to 30% of infected individuals, hepatitis C virus (HCV) can cause cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, for which liver transplantation is the best treatment available. HCV re-infection is universal, and hepatitis disease recurrence occurs in most cases with a 30% probability of progression to graft cirrhosis at 5 years post-transplant. The immunological response to HCV involves natural killer (NK) cells and killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptors (KIRs), which specifically recognize human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class I antigens present on target cells. The effector functions of NK cells are influenced by inhibitory KIR interaction with self-HLA class I ligands, with HLA-C being the most predominant. This study examines the roles of KIR genotypes and their HLA ligands in both HCV disease recurrence and its progression. A total of 151 patients were included in the cohort, and their clinical details were recorded. Liver biopsies were used to define the absence/presence of recurrent hepatitis, the degree of fibrosis, and the progression to cirrhosis over a 10-year period. Mismatching of KIR-HLA-C ligands between donor-recipient pairs was associated with the recurrence of hepatitis (P = 0.008). The presence of KIR2DL3 in the recipient correlated with progression to liver fibrosis (P = 0.04). The mismatching of HLA-KIR ligands favored the progression of the recurrent hepatitis to fibrosis only in the presence of KIR2DL3 (P = 0.04). These preliminary results indicate that the KIR genotype and KIR-HLA-C ligand compatibility play roles in the recurrence and progression of hepatitis C disease in liver transplant recipients.