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1.
Accid Anal Prev ; 198: 107454, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38290409

RESUMEN

Ideally, the evaluation of automated vehicles would involve the careful tracking of individual vehicles and recording of observed crash events. Unfortunately, due to the low frequency of crash events, such data would require many years to acquire, and potentially place the motorized public at risk if defective automated technologies were present. To acquire information on the safety effectiveness of automated vehicles more quickly, this paper uses the collective crash histories of a group of automated vehicles, and applies a duration modeling approach to the accumulated distances between crashes. To demonstrate the applicability of this approach as a method compare automated and conventional vehicles (human drivers), an empirical assessment was undertaken using two comparable sources of data. For conventional vehicles, police and non-police-reportable crashes were collected from the Second Strategic Highway Research Program's naturalistic driving study, and for automated vehicles, data from the California Department of Motor Vehicles Autonomous Vehicle Tester program were used (105 crashes from 59 permit holders driving ∼2.8 million miles were used for the analysis). The results of the empirical study showed that automated driving was safer at the 95% confidence level, with a higher number of miles between crashes, relative to their conventional vehicle counterparts. The findings indicate that the number of miles between crashes would be increased by roughly 27% when switching from conventional vehicles to automated vehicles. Despite limited data which mandated a group-vehicle approach, this study can be considered a reasonable initial approximation of automated vehicle safety.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Conducción de Automóvil , Humanos , Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Vehículos Autónomos , Vehículos a Motor , Policia
2.
Accid Anal Prev ; 182: 106964, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36638723

RESUMEN

Pedestrians and bicyclists from marginalized and underserved populations experienced disproportionate fatalities and injury rates due to traffic crashes in the US. This disparity among road users of different races and the increasing trend of traffic risk for underserved racial groups called for an urgent agenda for transportation policy making and research to ensure equity in roadway safety. Pedestrian and bicyclist crashes involved drivers and pedestrians/bicyclists; the latter were usually victims. Traditional safety studies did not account for the interaction between the two parties and assumed that they were independent from each other. In this study we paired the driver and pedestrian/bicyclist involved in the same crash to understand the socioeconomic and demographic make-up of the two parties involved in crashes and assessed the geographic distribution of these crashes and crash-contributing factors. For this purpose, we applied thelatent class clustering analysis (LCA) to classify different crash types and analyze the patterns of the crashes based on the income and ethnicity of both drivers and victims involved in pedestrian and bicyclist crashes. We then used random forest algorithms and partial dependence plots (PDPs) to model and interpreted the contributing factors of the clusters in both pedestrian and bicyclist models. The clustering results showed a pattern of social segregation in pedestrian and bicyclist crashes that drivers and victims with similar socioeconomic characteristics tend to be involved in one crash. Pedestrian/bicyclist exposure, driver's age, victim's age, year of the car in use, annual average daily traffic (AADT), speed limit, roadbed width, and lane width were the most influential factors contributing to this pattern. Crashes that involved drivers and victims with lower income and non-white ethnicity tended to happen in the location with higher pedestrian/bicyclist exposure, higher speed limit, and wider road. The findings of this research can help to inform the decision-making process for improving safety to ensure equitable and sustainable safety for all road users and communities.


Asunto(s)
Peatones , Heridas y Lesiones , Humanos , Accidentes de Tránsito , Bosques Aleatorios , Ciclismo/lesiones , Análisis por Conglomerados
3.
Cities ; 131: 103886, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35935595

RESUMEN

Active transportation could be an effective way to promote healthy physical activity, especially during pandemics like COVID-19. A comprehensive evaluation of health outcomes derived from COVID-19 induced active transportation can assist multiple stakeholders in revisiting strategies and priorities for supporting active transportation during and beyond the pandemic. We performed a two-step reviewing process by combining a scoping review with a narrative review to summarize published literature addressing the influence of COVID-19 on mobility and the environment that can lead to various health pathways and health outcomes associated with active transportation. We summarized the COVID-19 induced changes in active transportation demand, built environment, air quality, and physical activity. The results demonstrated that, since the pandemic began, bike-sharing users dropped significantly while recreational bike trips and walking activities increased in some areas. Meanwhile, there have been favorable changes to the air quality and the built environment for active transportation users. We then discussed how these changes impact health outcomes during the pandemic and their implications for urban planning and policymaking. This review also suggests that walking and biking can make up for the reduced physical activities during the pandemic, helping people stay active and healthy.

4.
J Safety Res ; 82: 221-232, 2022 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36031249

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Physical activity associated with active transport modes such as bicycling has major health benefits and can help to reduce health concerns related to sedentary lifestyles, such as cardiovascular disease, Type II diabetes, and obesity, as well as risks of colon and breast cancer, high blood pressure, lipid disorders, osteoporosis, depression, and anxiety. However, as a vulnerable user group, bicyclists experience negative health impacts of transportation policies and infrastructure, such as traffic crashes and exposure to air and noise pollution that is disproportionately distributed within low-income and underserved areas. METHOD: This study used aggregated (block-group) bicyclist crash data from Harris County, Texas, to analyze how various equity measures are associated with both fatal and injury (FI) and no injury (property damage only) bicyclist crashes that occurred from 2010 to 2017. We used Bayesian bivariate copula-based random effects regression analysis to evaluate these associations. In contrast to more traditional univariate analysis, this novel methodology can consider the effects of factors of interest across different severity levels or crash types to fully understand their effects and how they may differ across categories. RESULTS: The analysis results indicate that the bicyclist exposure, vehicle exposure, population demographics, population density, the percentage of African-Americans, and households below the poverty level are associated with both FI and PDO bicyclist crashes. CONCLUSIONS: Although more location and context-specific analyses are required, this study's overall results once again conform with the findings and assumptions in bicycling safety literature that the low-income and racially diverse communities are prone to experience more bicyclist crashes. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: The findings of this study may have implications for future transportation and planning policies. These findings can be used to guide the policies and strategies targeting the elimination of inequity in transportation-related health concerns.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Teorema de Bayes , Ciclismo , Humanos , Transportes
5.
Accid Anal Prev ; 173: 106721, 2022 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35659647

RESUMEN

Understanding the relationship between social vulnerability and traffic crashes is a cornerstone for promoting social justice in transportation planning and policymaking. However, few studies have examined the disparities in traffic crashes by systemically considering the influence of social vulnerability via spatial analysis approaches. This study puts forward a new approach to assess the inequity in transportation safety by spatially examining the relationships between crash risks and the social vulnerability index (SVI) established by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). We performed spatial autocorrelation analyses to identify the clusters of high-risk and high-vulnerable census tracts in Texas. Meanwhile, we innovatively applied the Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression model (MGWR) to assess the impacts of CDC SVI on crash risks spatially and statistically. The results demonstrate that the crash rate and the social vulnerability are significantly correlated in the highly urbanized regions as well as the southern border along the Rio Grande in Texas. The MGWR results indicate the minority status of census tracts is strongly correlated with overall crashes in north-central and northeastern Texas, and the socioeconomic status is tightly correlated with fatal crashes across Texas. The outcomes from this study have significant implications for transportation planning and policymaking.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Vulnerabilidad Social , Humanos , Análisis Espacial , Regresión Espacial , Texas/epidemiología
6.
Adv Exp Med Biol ; 1368: 167-188, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35594025

RESUMEN

Infectious diseases remain an essential global challenge in public health. For instance, novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has resulted in significant negative impacts on public health, infecting more than 214 million people and causing 4.47 million deaths worldwide as of August 2021. Geographic Information Systems have played an essential role in managing, storing, analyzing, and mapping disease and related risk information. This article provides an overview of a broad topic on applications of GIS into infectious disease research. Our review follows the framework of human-environment interactions, focusing on the environmental and social factors that cause the disease outbreak and the role of humans in disease control, including public health policies and interventions such as social distancing/face covering practice and mobility modeling. The work identifies key spatial decision-making issues where GIS becomes valued in the agenda for infectious disease research and highlights the importance of adopting science-based policies to protect the public during the current and future pandemics.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmisibles , COVID-19/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Sistemas de Información Geográfica , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2
7.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35162669

RESUMEN

The emergence of low-cost air quality sensors may improve our ability to capture variations in urban air pollution and provide actionable information for public health. Despite the increasing popularity of low-cost sensors, there remain some gaps in the understanding of their performance under real-world conditions, as well as compared to regulatory monitors with high accuracy, but also high cost and maintenance requirements. In this paper, we report on the performance and the linear calibration of readings from 12 commercial low-cost sensors co-located at a regulatory air quality monitoring site in Dallas, Texas, for 18 continuous measurement months. Commercial AQY1 sensors were used, and their reported readings of O3, NO2, PM2.5, and PM10 were assessed against a regulatory monitor. We assessed how well the raw and calibrated AQY1 readings matched the regulatory monitor and whether meteorology impacted performance. We found that each sensor's response was different. Overall, the sensors performed best for O3 (R2 = 0.36-0.97) and worst for NO2 (0.00-0.58), showing a potential impact of meteorological factors, with an effect of temperature on O3 and relative humidity on PM. Calibration seemed to improve the accuracy, but not in all cases or for all performance metrics (e.g., precision versus bias), and it was limited to a linear calibration in this study. Our data showed that it is critical for users to regularly calibrate low-cost sensors and monitor data once they are installed, as sensors may not be operating properly, which may result in the loss of large amounts of data. We also recommend that co-location should be as exact as possible, minimizing the distance between sensors and regulatory monitors, and that the sampling orientation is similar. There were important deviations between the AQY1 and regulatory monitors' readings, which in small part depended on meteorology, hindering the ability of the low-costs sensors to present air quality accurately. However, categorizing air pollution levels, using for example the Air Quality Index framework, rather than reporting absolute readings, may be a more suitable approach. In addition, more sophisticated calibration methods, including accounting for individual sensor performance, may further improve performance. This work adds to the literature by assessing the performance of low-cost sensors over one of the longest durations reported to date.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Material Particulado/análisis , Texas
8.
Accid Anal Prev ; 165: 106473, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34774280

RESUMEN

Autonomous or automated vehicles (AVs) have the potential to improve traffic safety by eliminating majority of human errors. As the interest in AV deployment increases, there is an increasing need to assess and understand the expected implications of AVs on traffic safety. Until recently, most of the literature has been based on either survey questionnaires, simulation analysis, virtual reality, or simulation to assess the safety benefits of AVs. Although few studies have used AV crash data, vulnerable road users (VRUs) have not been a topic of interest. Therefore, this study uses crash narratives from four-year (2017-2020) of AV crash data collected from California to explore the direct and indirect involvement of VRUs. The study applied text network and compared the text classification performance of four classifiers - Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), and Neural Network (NN) and associated performance metrics to attain the objective. It was found that out of 252 crashes, VRUs were, directly and indirectly, involved in 23 and 12 crashes, respectively. Among VRUs, bicyclists and scooterists are more likely to be involved in the AV crashes directly, and bicyclists are likely to be at fault, while pedestrians appear more in the indirectly involvements. Further, crashes that involve VRUs indirectly are likely to occur when the AVs are in autonomous mode and are slightly involved minor damages on the rear bumper than the ones that directly involve VRUs. Additionally, feature importance from the best performing classifiers (RF and NN) revealed that crosswalks, intersections, traffic signals, movements of AVs (turning, slowing down, stopping) are the key predictors of the VRUs-AV related crashes. These findings can be helpful to AV operators and city planners.


Asunto(s)
Vehículos Autónomos , Peatones , Accidentes de Tránsito , Teorema de Bayes , Ciudades , Humanos
9.
Accid Anal Prev ; 155: 106101, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33848812

RESUMEN

Traffic crashes have become a leading cause of preventable deaths globally. Identifying high-risk segments not only benefits safety specialists to better understand crash patterns but also reminds road users to be aware of driving risks. This study reports on a new crowdsourcing solution to identify high-risk highway segments by analyzing driving jerks. Driving jerks represent the abrupt changes of acceleration, which have been shown to be closely related to traffic risks. In this study, we first calculate driving jerks from each participant's naturalistic driving data and identify "unsafe" drivers based on their jerk-ratio. Then, we innovatively propose an improved line-constrained clustering method to identify each participant's jerk clusters on each road. These individual-specific jerk clusters are overlapped with road networks to identify potential risky segments. By synthesizing these potential risky segments reported by different participants, we obtain the final detection results for high-risk highway segments. In this study, we compare the jerk-cluster-determined risky segments with crash-rate-determined risky segments to evaluate the proposed solution's effectiveness. The study results demonstrate that our crowdsourcing solution can effectively identify high-risk road segments with an estimated 75 % accuracy. More importantly, by analyzing this valued surrogate measure, safety specialists can identify hazardous road segments before crashes occur.


Asunto(s)
Conducción de Automóvil , Colaboración de las Masas , Aceleración , Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Concienciación , Humanos
10.
Accid Anal Prev ; 152: 106003, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33571922

RESUMEN

Vehicle automation safety must be evaluated not only for market success but also for more informed decision-making about Automated Vehicles' (AVs) deployment and supporting policies and regulations to govern AVs' unintended consequences. This study is designed to identify the AV safety quantification studies, evaluate the quantification approaches used in the literature, and uncover the gaps and challenges in AV safety evaluation. We employed a scoping review methodology to identify the approaches used in the literature to quantify AV safety. After screening and reviewing the literature, six approaches were identified: target crash population, traffic simulation, driving simulator, road test data analysis, system failure risk assessment, and safety effectiveness estimation. We ran two evaluations on the identified approaches. First, we investigated each approach in terms of its input (required data, assumptions, etc.), output (safety evaluation metrics), and application (to estimate AVs' safety implications at the vehicle, transportation system, and society levels). Second, we qualitatively compared them in terms of three criteria: availability of input data, suitability for evaluating different automation levels, and reliability of estimations. This review identifies four challenges in AV safety evaluation: (a) shortcomings in AV safety evaluation approaches, (b) uncertainties in AV implementations and their impacts on AV safety, (c) potential riskier behavior of AV passengers as well as other road users, and (d) emerging safety issues related to AV implementations. This review is expected to help researchers and rulemakers to choose the most appropriate quantification method based on their goals and study limitations. Future research is required to address the identified challenges in AV safety evaluation.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducción de Automóvil/normas , Investigación/tendencias , Robótica/métodos , Robótica/normas , Seguridad , Humanos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
11.
Accid Anal Prev ; 152: 105982, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33497855

RESUMEN

Traffic congestion is monotonically increasing, especially in large cities, due to rapid urbanization. Traffic congestion not only deteriorates traffic operation and degrades traffic safety, but also imposes costs to the road users. The concerns associated with traffic congestion increase when considering more complicated situations such as unsignalized intersections and driveways at which maneuvers are entirely dependent upon drivers' judgment. Urban arterials are characterized by closely spaced signalized and unsignalized intersections and high traffic volumes, which make them a priority while analyzing traffic safety and operation. Autonomous Vehicles (AV) provide ample opportunities to overcome the aforementioned challenges. In essence, this study evaluates the impact of various AV Market Penetration Rates (MPR) on the safety and operation of urban arterials in proximity of a driveway under different traffic levels of service (LOS). Twenty-four separate scenarios were developed using VISSIM, considering six AV MPRs of 0 %, 10 %, 25 %, 50 %, 75 %, and 100 %, and four LOS including A, B, C, and D. Various operational and safety measures were analyzed including traffic density, traffic speed, traffic conflict (rear-end and lane-changing), and driving volatility. The trajectory and lane-based analysis of the traffic density indicates that MPR significantly improves the overall traffic density for all the scenarios, especially under high traffic LOS. Additionally, by increasing the MPR and decreasing the traffic volume of the network, the mean speed increases significantly by up to 6 %. Exploring the safety of the scenarios indicates that by increasing the MPR from 0% to 100 % for all the LOS, the number of rear-end conflicts and lane-changing conflicts decreases 84 %-100 % and 42 %-100 %, respectively. Moreover, assessing the longitudinal driving volatility measures, which represent risky driving behaviors, showed that higher MPRs significantly reduce some of the driving volatility measures and enhance safety.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducción de Automóvil/estadística & datos numéricos , Automóviles/estadística & datos numéricos , Planificación de Ciudades , Planificación Ambiental , Robótica/estadística & datos numéricos , Seguridad/estadística & datos numéricos , Accidentes de Tránsito/prevención & control , Humanos
12.
Traffic Inj Prev ; 21(3): 228-233, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32160016

RESUMEN

Objective: The objective of this paper is to identify the list of crash severity contributing factors and evaluate their impact on multiple-vehicle crashes on two high use Trans-European interurban, freight corridors in Spain (southern Europe): Madrid - Irùn and Barcelona - Almerìa.Methods: We have used both logistic regression and random forests to identify crash severity predictors and estimate their impacts on crash outcomes. Although both statistical methods can provide useful information to help explain the safety implications of highway crashes, using both methods may further enable a more comprehensive understanding of this phenomenon. For this effort, we disaggregated the crash data into different crash types (i.e., head-on, angle, sideswipe and rear-end) and analyzed this data using roadway design elements, driver characteristics, and environmental factors. To identify the most important predictors of crash severity, we used the random forests data mining approach. We then used ordered logit models to estimate the effect of external factors on the severity of each crash type. Finally, we assessed the accuracy of the model estimates using bootstrap sampling.Results: The results of data mining analyses indicated that roadway design factors such as horizontal and vertical curvature, super elevation, and lane and shoulder width are among the most important factors associated with crash severity. The results of logistic regression show that the impact of the selected roadway element on the crash outcome is conditional on the crash type and the direction of the effects is not always consistent.Conclusions: The contribution of this paper to the existing literature is two-fold: the first important contribution of the paper is related to the safety analysis of two of the most important freight corridors in Spain and southern Europe. The second contribution of this paper is to address the existing gap in the literature relating to the comparison and compatibility of data mining and the logistic regression model.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Índices de Gravedad del Trauma , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , España/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
13.
Accid Anal Prev ; 90: 82-94, 2016 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26928290

RESUMEN

Identification of the most relevant factors for explaining road accident occurrence is an important issue in road safety research, particularly for future decision-making processes in transport policy. However model selection for this particular purpose is still an ongoing research. In this paper we propose a methodological development for model selection which addresses both explanatory variable and adequate model selection issues. A variable selection procedure, TIM (two-input model) method is carried out by combining neural network design and statistical approaches. The error structure of the fitted model is assumed to follow an autoregressive process. All models are estimated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo method where the model parameters are assigned non-informative prior distributions. The final model is built using the results of the variable selection. For the application of the proposed methodology the number of fatal accidents in Spain during 2000-2011 was used. This indicator has experienced the maximum reduction internationally during the indicated years thus making it an interesting time series from a road safety policy perspective. Hence the identification of the variables that have affected this reduction is of particular interest for future decision making. The results of the variable selection process show that the selected variables are main subjects of road safety policy measures.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito/mortalidad , Seguridad , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Método de Montecarlo , Políticas , Factores de Riesgo , España
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