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The impact of severe COVID-19 pneumonia on healthcare systems highlighted the need for accurate predictions to improve patient outcomes. Despite the established efficacy of glucocorticoids (GCs), variable patient responses are observed, and the existing clinical scores are limited in predicting non-responders. We propose a machine learning (ML) based approach to predict mortality in COVID-19 pneumonia treated with GCs.This is an ML-driven retrospective analysis involving 825 patients. We leveraged XGBoost to select the most appropriate features from the initial 52, including clinical and laboratory data. Six different ML techniques were compared. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values were used to describe the influence of each feature on classification. Internal validation was performed.Nine key predictors of death were identified: increasing C-reactive protein (CRP), decreasing arterial partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (PaO2/FiO2), age, coronary artery disease, invasive mechanical ventilation, acute renal failure, chronic heart failure, PaO2/FiO2 earliest value, and body mass index. Random forest achieved the highest test area under the receiver operating characteristic curve at 0.938 (95% CI 0.903-0.969). SHAP values highlighted age and PaO2/FiO2 improvement as the most influential features; the latter showed a higher impact than CRP reduction over time.The proposed ML algorithm effectively predicts the risk of hospital death in COVID-19 pneumonia patients undergoing GCs. This approach can be adapted to datasets measuring similar clinical variables..

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BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by phenotypical heterogeneity, partly resulting from demographic and environmental risk factors. Socio-economic factors and the characteristics of local MS facilities might also play a part. METHODS: This study included patients with a confirmed MS diagnosis enrolled in the Italian MS and Related Disorders Register in 2000-2021. Patients at first visit were classified as having a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), relapsing-remitting (RR), primary progressive (PP), progressive-relapsing (PR), or secondary progressive MS (SP). Demographic and clinical characteristics were analyzed, with centers' characteristics, geographic macro-areas, and Deprivation Index. We computed the odds ratios (OR) for CIS, PP/PR, and SP phenotypes, compared to the RR, using multivariate, multinomial, mixed effects logistic regression models. RESULTS: In all 35,243 patients from 106 centers were included. The OR of presenting more advanced MS phenotypes than the RR phenotype at first visit significantly diminished in relation to calendar period. Females were at a significantly lower risk of a PP/PR or SP phenotype. Older age was associated with CIS, PP/PR, and SP. The risk of a longer interval between disease onset and first visit was lower for the CIS phenotype, but higher for PP/PR and SP. The probability of SP at first visit was greater in the South of Italy. DISCUSSION: Differences in the phenotype of MS patients first seen in Italian centers can be only partly explained by differences in the centers' characteristics. The demographic and socio-economic characteristics of MS patients seem to be the main determinants of the phenotypes at first referral.

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BACKGROUND: Glatiramer acetate (GA) 20 mg/day (GA20) is associated with immediate post-injection reactions (PIRs). For convenience of use, approved GA 40 mg three times weekly (GA40) delivers a similar weekly dose. The dose and concentration of a single GA40 injection are, however, twice as high as for GA20, and post-injection adverse events may differ. Cases of atypical PIRs to GA40 prompted us to systematically monitor such events. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to characterize atypical PIRs in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients treated with GA40. METHODS: Clinical practice data were prospectively collected in consecutive relapsing-remitting MS patients. Descriptive statistics for categorical and continuous variables, Mann-Whitney and Chi-squared tests for baseline comparisons, and Cox regression models for association of variables to first atypical PIRs were applied. RESULTS: Forty-six out of 173 patients (26.6%) given GA40 experienced any PIRs. Of those, 38 (22.0%) had atypical, 14 (8.1%) had combined typical and atypical, and 26 (15.0%) had recurrent atypical PIRs, most frequently shivering (13.3%) and nausea/vomiting (8.1%). Compared to typical PIRs, onset of atypical PIRs was significantly delayed (median 30 vs 1 min, p < 0.0001), and their median duration longer (median 120 vs 6 min, p = 0.00013). Previous exposure to GA20 was associated with a lower risk of atypical PIRs [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.17-0.72, p = 0.0039]. Patients experiencing PIRs with GA20 were at elevated risk for atypical PIRs with GA40 (HR = 5.75, 95% CI 1.66-19.94, p = 0.0059). CONCLUSIONS: Atypical PIRs with GA40, especially gastrointestinal symptoms and/or fever/shivering, had a delayed onset and occurred in a significant proportion of our patients. Their real prevalence should be assessed in appropriately designed studies accounting for  nocebo responses. Initial dose titration might reduce PIR frequency.

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BACKGROUND: 4-aminopyridine (4-AP) is a potassium-channel blocker able to enhance walking speed in MS improving the action potentials of demyelinated axons on which internodal potassium channels are exposed. OBJECTIVE: to study early 4-AP effect with clinical, subjective, neurophysiological and neuroradiological tools. METHODS: Clinical (Timed 25-Foot Walk - T25FW, Timed Up-And-Go - TUG), subjective (MS Walking Scale-12 - MSWS-12), neurophysiological (Motor Evoked Potentials - MEPs) and imaging (Diffusion Tensor Imaging - DTI) evaluations were performed before (T0) and after (T1) 14days of 4-AP treatment. MEPs were recorded from Abductor Hallucis of both legs. A Tract-Based-Spatial-Statistics (TBSS) was performed on DTI. RESULTS: We found a significant difference between T0 and T1 for T25FW, TUG, MSWS-12 (p≤0.001) in the whole patients' sample (23 subjects, median EDSS 6.0) and decrease of Central Motor Conduction Time and increase of mean Amplitude (Amp) at T1 (p=0.008 and p=0.006). We also recorded a significant difference of T25FW, TUG, MSWS-12 and Amp in clinical responder (CR) patients (CR: amelioration >20% at T25FW). TBSS showed a significant Mean and Radial Diffusivity reduction in the corticospinal tracts (p<0.05) of the whole group of patients; this reduction was also found in the CR subgroup. CONCLUSION: Neurophysiological and neuroradiological parameters were modified in MS patients treated with 4-AP, and most of them reported a subjective improvement of their motor performances after treatment. The use of clinical, subjective, neurophysiological and neuroradiological tools could help to better explore MS patients responsiveness to 4-AP.

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PURPOSE: Individualized quality of life (QoL) measures differ from traditional inventories in that QoL domains/weights are not predetermined, but identified by the individual. We assessed practicability of the Schedule for the Evaluation of Individual QoL-Direct Weighting (SEIQoL-DW) interview in severely affected multiple sclerosis (MS) patients; the key QoL dimensions identified; and the correlation of the SEIQoL-DW index score with standard patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). METHODS: Participants were people with severe MS who performed the baseline visit of the PeNSAMI trial (ISRCTN73082124). The SEIQoL-DW was administered at the patient's home by a trained examiner. Patients then received the following PROMs: the Core-Palliative care Outcome Scale (Core-POS), the Palliative care Outcome Scale-Symptoms-MS (POS-S-MS), the European Quality of Life Five Dimensions-3L (EQ-5D-3L), and the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). RESULTS: Of 59 enrolled patients, 11 (19 %) did not receive the SEIQoL-DW (and the other PROMs) because of severe cognitive compromise or inability to communicate. SEIQoL-DW administration was completed and deemed valid in all 48 cases (mean age 60 years, 58 % women, median Expanded Disability Status Scale score 8.5). Mean SEIQoL-DW index score was 59.1 (SD 25.5). The most commonly nominated SEIQoL-DW areas were family (94 % of the patients), relationships, and leisure activities (both 65 %). Core-POS and POS-S-MS contained 70 % of the SEIQoL-DW-nominated areas. Nevertheless, correlations between SEIQoL-DW index, Core-POS, and POS-S-MS (and the other PROMs) were negligible. CONCLUSIONS: Individualized QoL can be assessed in severely affected MS patients, providing information that is not tracked by the standard inventories Core-POS, POS-S-MS, EQ-5D-3L, and HADS.

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OBJECTIVE: Multiple sclerosis (MS) affects young adults of working age. Difficulties in work-related activities are usually ascribed to MS symptoms, while the impact of workplace features is underestimated. This article presents the Multiple Sclerosis Questionnaire for Job Difficulties (MSQ-Job), designed to assess working difficulties due to MS symptoms and workplace features. METHODS: A sample of employed MS patients completed the MSQ-Job, the WHO-Disability Assessment Schedule (WHODAS 2.0) and the 54-items MS Quality of Life Questionnaires (MSQOL-54); the expanded disability status scale (EDSS) was used to define MS severity. Factor structure was evaluated using principal component extraction and Oblimin rotation; internal consistency was assessed with Cronbach's alpha; construct and discriminant validity using t-test (EDSS 0-2 vs >2; patients self-reporting need for support vs patients reporting no needs; full-time vs part-time employees); and Pearson's correlation with WHODAS 2.0 and MSQOL-54. RESULTS: The MSQ-Job is a 42-item questionnaire with six scales and an overall factor. Scores range on a 0-100 scale (higher scores indicate more and more severe difficulties); patients with EDSS>2 and self-reporting support needs had worse scores than those with EDSS 0-2 and without needs. Correlations with WHODAS 2.0 and MSQOL-54 were generally significant (P < 0.0007) and below 0.70. CONCLUSIONS: The MSQ-Job jointly measures the impact of respondents' symptoms and workplace features on work activities and enables to assess the effects of clinical and occupational interventions and better describe the impact of MS indirect costs.

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BACKGROUND: The SIMS-Trial showed that the 'Sapere Migliora' information aid (IA) for newly diagnosed people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) effectively improved patient knowledge and satisfaction with care. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this paper are to assess the effectiveness of the IA in clinical practice and to compare the whole IA with the take-home booklet/website component alone. METHODS: After updating the IA and replacing the CD with a website, a prospective, open-label non-randomised controlled trial compared the whole IA (group A, five SIMS-Trial centres) to take-home (group B, 16 centres). One month after the intervention, participants completed the MS Knowledge Questionnaire (MSKQ), care satisfaction questionnaire (COSM-R) (primary study outcomes), Hospital and Anxiety Depression Scale, and ad hoc questionnaire appraising the IA. RESULTS: We enrolled 159 newly diagnosed PwMS (May 2012-March 2013). Drop-outs were four of 77 (5%, group A) and 11/82 (13%, group B). Primary endpoint (highest tertile both for MSKQ and COSM-R section 2 scores) was achieved by 38/77 (49%) group A and 33/82 (40%) group B (p = 0.25). Attainment of secondary outcomes was also similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that the entire IA is not superior to the booklet/website alone, and that both are comparable in efficacy to the intervention arm of the SIMS-Trial. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN78940214.

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OBJECTIVES: Juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM), adult dermatomyositis, and polymyositis (PM) are idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) characterized by muscle infiltration and specific muscle fiber alterations. They are thought to have an autoimmune etiology, but triggering factors, and how immunologic attack induces muscle weakness, remain unknown. Recent evidence suggests a key role for type I interferon (IFN)-mediated innate immunity in dermatomyositis, which we explored in JDM, dermatomyositis, and PM by gene expression profiling, and other methods. METHODS: Ten IIM and 5 control muscle biopsies were assessed for expression of approximately 16,000 genes by microarray; 37 additional IIM, 10 dystrophinopathic, and 14 nonmyopathic control muscles were studied for type I IFN-dependent genes, and Toll-like receptor (TLR) expression by immunochemistry and PCR. RESULTS: Type I IFN-dependent transcripts were significantly upregulated in IIM muscles compared to controls; in JDM the most expressed were ISG15 (408-fold), IFIT3 (261-fold), MX1 (99-fold), and IRF7 (37-fold). IFN-ß (but not IFN-α) transcripts were upregulated in PM as well as dermatomyositis/JDM. TLR3 was upregulated particularly in JDM, being localized on vascular endothelial cells, muscle infiltrating cells (mainly myeloid dendritic cells), and regenerating myofibers; TLR7 and TLR9 proteins were present in IIM (prominently in PM), mainly on cell infiltrates, particularly plasma cells, and on some injured myofibers. CONCLUSIONS: IFN-ß and type I IFN-induced molecules are involved in PM as well as JDM/dermatomyositis. Endosomal TLRs (effectors of innate immunity) are also involved (but differently) in the 3 conditions, further suggesting viral involvement, although TLR activation could be secondary to tissue damage.

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BACKGROUND: Patients report information deficits in the period surrounding diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS). We assessed the effectiveness of an add-on information aid for newly diagnosed MS patients. METHODS: We randomly assigned 120 newly diagnosed MS patients from five Italian centres to diagnosis disclosure (current practice at the centre) or current practice plus information aid (ISRCTN81072971). The information aid consisted of a personal interview with a physician using a navigable compact disc and a take-home booklet. The primary composite endpoint was score in the highest tertile of MS knowledge and satisfaction with care questionnaires. Other endpoints were safety; treatment adherence; extra contacts/consultations; switching of care centre; and changes in Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and Control Preference Scale scores. RESULTS: At 1 month, 30/60 intervention and 8/60 control patients achieved the primary endpoint (odds ratio [OR] 6.5, 95% CI 2.6-16.0; p < 0.001; number needed to treat [NNT] 3). Figures at 6 months were 26/60 intervention and 11/60 control patients (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.5-7.8; p = 0.04; NNT 4). There were no adverse events. No significant treatment effects were seen on secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: The information aid was safe and significantly associated with attainment of the primary outcome at 1 and 6 months.

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There are few studies on patient knowledge in multiple sclerosis (MS), and only two published questionnaires. The objective of this article was to develop and validate the MS Knowledge Questionnaire (MSKQ), a self-assessed instrument for newly diagnosed MS patients. Thirty multiple-choice statements, conceived to test MS knowledge, were produced by a multidisciplinary panel and pre-tested on three MS patients, resulting in an intermediate 26-item version. This was tested on 54 MS patients for internal consistency, content and construct validity (validation sample I). The final (25-item) MSKQ was a primary outcome measure in the SIMS-Trial on an information aid to newly diagnosed MS patients. Postal responses of SIMS-Trial participants to the MSKQ a month after intervention (validation sample II) were analysed. Median MSKQ scores in validation samples I and II were, respectively, 18 (range 9-23) and 17 (range 3-24). Acceptability, internal consistency (Kuder-Richardson-20 formula 0.76) and content validity were good. Educational attainment and receiving the information aid were the main independent predictors of MS knowledge. Other predictors were female sex (positive association) and disease duration (negative association). In conclusion, the MSKQ has good clinimetric properties and is sensitive to an educational intervention. We propose the MSKQ as a brief instrument for clinical practice and research.

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BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies on the association between allergic disorders, T-helper type 2 (Th2) mediated, and multiple sclerosis (MS), a T-helper type 1 (Th1)/Th17-mediated disease, provided conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to further examine the association between allergic disorders and MS. METHODS: The association between MS and previous medical history of any type of allergy has been investigated in a population-based case-control study conducted in Northern Italy, based on telephone interviews to 423 cases and 643 population controls (refusal rates 3.7% and 9.4%, respectively). Controls were a random sample of the general population. RESULTS: A history of atopic allergies seems to confer protection against MS (odds ratio [OR], 0.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38-0.89; P = 0.012). In particular, the prevalence of allergic asthma was 4.9% in people with MS and 12% in control subjects (OR = 0.38; 95% CI 0.22-0.66, P < 0.01). No association was found between MS and nonatopic allergies. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are confirmatory of the putative protective effect of Th2-mediated disorders on Th1 immune responses associated with MS. A unifying theory on the mechanisms by which previous history of atopic allergies may modify the risk of MS is still lacking.

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The role of tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha or cyclo-oxygenase-2 (COX-2) eicosanoids in dystrophinopathies has been evaluated by chronically treating (4-8 weeks) adult dystrophic mdx mice with the anti-TNF-alpha etanercept (0.5 mg/kg) or the COX-2 inhibitor meloxicam (0.2 mg/kg). Throughout the treatment period the mdx mice underwent a protocol of exercise on treadmill in order to worsen the pathology progression; gastrocnemious muscles from exercised mdx mice showed an intense staining for TNF-alpha by immunohistochemistry. In vivo, etanercept, but not meloxicam, contrasted the exercise-induced forelimb force drop. Electrophysiological recordings ex vivo, showed that etanercept counteracted the decrease in chloride channel function (gCl), a functional index of myofibre damage, in both diaphragm and extensor digitorum longus (EDL) muscle, meloxicam being effective only in EDL muscle. None of the drugs ameliorated calcium homeostasis detected by electrophysiology and/or spectrofluorimetry. Etanercept, more than meloxicam, effectively reduced plasma creatine kinase (CK). Etanercept-treated muscles showed a reduction of connective tissue area and of pro-fibrotic cytokine TGF-beta1 vs. untreated ones; however, the histological profile was weakly ameliorated. In order to better evaluate the impact of etanercept treatment on histology, a 4-week treatment was performed on 2-week-old mdx mice, so to match the first spontaneous degeneration cycle. The histology profile of gastrocnemious was significantly improved with a reduction of degenerating area; however, CK levels were only slightly lower. The present results support a key role of TNF-alpha, but not of COX-2 products, in different phases of dystrophic progression. Anti-TNF-alpha drugs may be useful in combined therapies for Duchenne patients.

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The preliminary results of a post-marketing study on relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients treated with immunomodulating agents attending the Lombardia Region's Multiple Sclerosis Centers are presented. A total of 294 patients treated with Betaferon (67), Avonex (115), Rebif 22 (45), Rebif 44 (18) and Copaxone (49) were included. Relapse frequency consistently decreases at 1 year and continues to decrease after 5 years of treatment, without differences between therapeutic groups. Eighty-seven out of 294 patients (29.6%) discontinued treatment for different reasons. Forty-eight of them shifted to a second therapeutic agent. A different trend, to lower or higher doses of interferon or immunosuppression, according to reasons of discontinuation, was observed.

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Idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) are muscle diseases of autoimmune pathogenesis characterized by mononuclear cell infiltration within muscle tissue. Since immune cell homing and accumulation at the site of antigenic challenge is usually mediated by chemokines, we evaluated the expression of 2 beta-chemokines--monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) and macrophage inflammatory protein-1alpha (MIP-1alpha)--by immunohistochemistry and polymerase chain reaction in muscles of polymyositis, inclusion body myositis, and dermatomyositis patients, and related their expression to immunopathological alterations in muscle. MCP-1 and MIP-1alpha transcripts were detected by PCR in all IIM muscles, but not in controls. By immunohistochemistry, the chemokines were found in all IIM muscle sections located in infiltrating inflammatory cells and also in neighboring extracellular matrix. The extent to which extracellular matrix was filled by each chemokine differed in each disease. In view of the known ability of chemokines to bind extracellular matrix and their possible synthesis by extracellular matrix components, we suggest that chemokine storage in the extracellular matrix can act as a microenvironmental factor amplifying lymphocyte activation and migration, thereby maintaining the autoimmune attack against unknown muscle antigens.

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Myotonia congenita (MC) is a genetic disease characterized by mutations in the CLCN1 gene (OMIM*118425) encoding the skeletal muscle voltage-gated chloride channel (ClC-1). Autosomal dominant and recessive forms are observed, characterized by impaired muscle relaxation after forceful contraction (myotonia), which is more pronounced after inactivity and improves with exercise. We report three novel and one known mutations of the CLCN1 gene in four unrelated MC families. In two families the mutations were missense: 803C>T (T268M) and 1272C>G (I424M) in exons 7 and 12, respectively. The third was a splice mutation in intron 5 (696+2T>A), which induced a frame shift with a stop codon in exon 6 (fs213X). In the fourth family the previously-reported missense mutation 689G>A (G230E) was found. We also report two known polymorphisms: 261C>T (T87T) and 2154T>C (D718D) in exons 2 and 17 of two MC families; also found in 14 (33%) and 28 (67%) of 42 healthy controls, respectively. These findings expand our knowledge of mutations responsible for myotonia congenita, reducing the proportion of MC patients in whom genetic alterations have not been found.

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We describe a patient who suffered from impaired ocular motility from age 10 years and at 16 years developed ptosis, proximal weakness and progressive fatigability. At 35 years she developed massive myoclonic jerks, and head and distal tremor. A muscle biopsy showed a high percentage of cytochrome c oxidase negative fibers but no ragged-red fibers. A novel heteroplasmic mutation (8342G-->A) was found in the mitochondrial transfer RNA(Lys) gene by single-strand conformation polymorphism screening, followed by sequence and restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. Approximately 80% of muscle mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) harbored the mutation, while the mutation was absent in lymphocyte DNA of the proband, as well as of her mother, daughter and a maternal aunt. However, the pathogenicity of the mutation was confirmed by restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis of single muscle fibers, which revealed a significantly greater level of mutant mtDNA in cytochrome c oxidase negative over cytochrome c oxidase positive fibers.

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We evaluated transforming growth factor-beta1 (TGF-beta1) expression in the muscle of four laminin alpha2-negative, four laminin alpha2-positive and seven partial laminin alpha2-deficient congenital muscular dystrophy (CMD) patients, and compared it to Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) patients and controls. TGF-beta1 mRNA levels in skeletal muscle from laminin alpha2-negative and laminin alpha2-positive CMD patients were significantly greater than in controls (P < 0.05 and P < 0.005, respectively), while in partial laminin alpha2-deficient muscular dystrophy patients the amount was not significantly higher than in controls (P > 0.1). The TGF-beta1 values were lower than those found in DMD, although the extent of fibrosis was greater in CMD than in DMD and controls. Our findings suggest that TGF-beta1 is involved in CMD muscle fibrosis, but differently from what we observed in DMD muscles as it seems not to be the major player in connective tissue proliferation.

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